SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Wed May 7 2025)

Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Fontwell NH Jumps▼
  • 5:35 Ma Belle Noire 16/1 (Unp 22/1)
  • 7:40 River Tyne 18/1 (Unp 16/1)

⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍

Labels:

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Tues May 6 2025)

Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ POTENTIAL OVERPRICED HORSE ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Fakenham NH Jumps▼
  • 4:50 Milan Bridge 28/1 (PU 28/1)

  • Ffos Las NH Jumps▼
  • 4:00 Dessie Haze 25/1 (Unp 25/1)
  • 4:30 Universal Brook 22/1 (PU 33/1)

  • Worcester NH Jumps▼
  • 6:18 Impatient 20/1 (4th 28/1)
  • 6:48 Icare Allen 25/1 (2nd 28/1)
  • 7:18 Tigerbythetail 66/1 (Unp 66/1)

  • Wolverhampton AW Flat▼
  • 8:30 One More Bottle 22/1 (Unp 40/1)

⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍

Labels:

Horse Racing News Headlines Archive (Apr 2025)

Sandracer Newspaper

Galopin Des Champs wins first Punchestown Gold Cup

Galopin Des Champs produces a dominant to display to win a first Punchestown Gold Cup....

British Racecourses Reveal Significant Increase in Community and Charity Commitments

British racecourses have revealed significant community and charity commitments in 2024 as part of the British Racing Social Impact Survey. The survey asked racecourses to share details of the community engagement work they did in 2024 including fundraising, volunteering, partnerships and donations. The results will provide the RCA with a...

April’s BE Spotlight Award winner is announced

Isabel Jordan has been chosen as April’s Spotlight Award winner, British Eventing announced today (29 April, 2025). As part of her award, Isabel wins a uvex exxential 3 riding helmet, courtesy of Zebra Products. Presented jointly by The Howden Way and British Eventing, the Spotlight Award is a monthly recognition that celebrates individuals...

Warwickshire Point-to-Point Preview, May Bank Holiday 2025

By Russell Smith With the UK bathed in sunshine, extensive watering is taking place at Mollington, near Banbury, in a bid to provide Good ground for the Warwickshire meeting, which traditionally attracts a big crowd on Bank Holiday Monday, May 5 (2pm). Speaking from the track where two bowsers have...

Marine Nationale wins Punchestown Champion Chase

Marine Nationale gets the better of Fact To File to win a thrilling Champion Chase on the first day of the Punchestown Festival....

Royal Ascot Trials Day Moves to Friday from 2026 Following Fixture Swap

Ascot Racecourse has announced that Royal Ascot Trials Day will shift from its traditional Wednesday slot to Friday from 2026, following a fixture exchange with Musselburgh Racecourse. The British Horseracing Authority and the Flat Pattern Committee have approved the change, which will see the meeting take place on Friday 1st...

Catterick Racecourse to Host Special Racing Reminiscence Day in Partnership with Racing Welfare

There will be memorabilia on display at Catterick Racecourse on Racing Reminiscence Day, Monday 12 May Catterick Racecourse, in collaboration with Racing Welfare, will celebrate the sport’s rich heritage with Racing Reminiscence Day on Monday 12 May, set against the backdrop of a thrilling Flat racing fixture. Racing Reminiscence Day...

2025 BETA Trade Awards Nominations Now Open

The British Equestrian Trade Association’s Trade Awards, the BETAs, are now accepting nominations for the 2025 awards. The BETAs are made up of 11 awards with five needing nominations from customers before judging commences. The winners will be announced at BETA’s annual gala dinner which will be held on Sunday 28th...

Louise Norman took full charge of the Racehorse Owners Association on July 4th last year, recognising interdependence and stronger communications as crucial in driving forward the 80-year-old organisation for the benefit of all owners.

I’m delighted to introduce myself as the Chief Executive of the Racehorse Owners Association (ROA). Since stepping into the role, it’s been a whirlwind, full of challenges, yes, but also packed with opportunity. I’ve always believed in diving in with both feet, and that’s exactly what I’ve done. With a...

'I've fulfilled a childhood dream' - Bowen

Sean Bowen says he has "fulfilled a childhood dream" in becoming champion jockey....

Mullins passes Skelton to retain trainers' title

Willie Mullins overhauls Dan Skelton on the last day of the season to retain the British jump racing trainers' title....

Horse Owners Invited to Share Their Views for Strangles Awareness Week 2025

Strangles Awareness Week: 5–11 May 2025 Horse owners are being encouraged to take part in a new survey to share their experiences and opinions on strangles, one of the most common and contagious equine diseases. The survey, organised by Dechra as part of the Strangles Awareness Week 2025 campaign, aims...

Equine BioSecurity: Healthy practices for any horse owner

Biosecurity is a fundamental process of helping keep our horses safe, as successful measures can help prevent the transmission of infectious diseases. Whether you look after your horse yourself or pay a livery service, it’s wise to practice safety measures throughout our interaction with our fellow equines. In this article,...

The 2025 bet365 Gold Cup

On Monday 10th March Dan Skelton was priced up 1/6 to collect his first British trainers' title; six and a half weeks later, Willie Mullins is priced up 1/12 to collect his second British trainers' title.

Dan Skelton leads Willie Mullins by £68,483 this evening but tomorrow's card at Sandown will...

War Time Races

Following the declaration of war on 1st September, 1939, all horseracing was abandoned with immediate effect. Such was the anxiety about the potential for mass casualties as a result of aerial bombing, that all sporting events were cancelled and it took some time for politicians to realise that life in...

People Board secures funding for 2025 programme of activity

The Horseracing Industry People Board (HIPB) has secured funding from the Racing Foundation and Horserace Betting Levy Board (HBLB) to support the implementation of its immediate programme of activity for 2025. The funding approval follows the publication earlier this year of Our People, Racing’s Future – an industry-backed strategy to attract and...

Building a Better Future for Racing’s Workforce: Julia Tyson on the Industry People Strategy

Julia Tyson brings a wealth of human resources experience from the corporate world to her current role of guiding a three-year workforce strategy addressing racing’s recruitment, training and development, employment practices, inclusion and wellbeing. She reveals more to Racing Together. My role as Chair of Horseracing Industry People board has given...

Young horses show great promise at Kelsall Hill International

Promising young event horses made their mark in The Howden Way Young horse classes this weekend at Kelsall Hill International in Cheshire. The six-year-old The Howden Way young horse title was claimed by Nina de Haas on her own Javas London. The gelding by Vittorio out of Lady Clover Kilkenny,...

Melon and Corazon Espinado Complete Horses for Courses Ambassador Line-up Across Jockey Club Racecourses

The Jockey Club and Retraining of Racehorses (RoR) have today announced a major milestone in their ongoing commitment to thoroughbred aftercare with the appointment of Horses for Courses Ambassadors at every Jockey Club racecourse across the country. With Warwick and Epsom Downs Racecourses being the final two of the Group’s...

Ludlow’s Community Commitment Shines Ahead of Racing Together Week

Ludlow Racecourse has set the tone for what is predicted to be a record-breaking Racing Together Community Week through two standout initiatives. During February half-term, Ludlow hosted a well-attended “Behind the Scenes” raceday, welcoming families and young people for a memorable introduction to racing. Activities included a course walk led...

Kentucky Three-Day Event 2025: Trot-Up Trials and Triumphs Set the Stage for a Thrilling Competition

The 2025 Defender Kentucky Three-Day Event commenced with the traditional first horse inspection, setting the tone for what promises to be an exhilarating competition. Held at the Kentucky Horse Park in Lexington, this premier CCI5*-L event attracts top-tier equestrian talent from around the globe. Trot-Up Highlights: British Contenders Shine Among...

Shedfield Country Stores Opens New Flagship Retail Destination

Shedfield Country Stores Limited is celebrating the opening of its new 650sqm flagship store in April 2025, bringing an expanded equestrian and rural lifestyle shopping experience to Hampshire. Formerly known as Shedfield Equestrian Tack Shop, the business has served the local community for 46 years. Now under the ownership of...

Getting Stick

Chris Cook of The Racing Post has suggested that Thirsk's Clerk of the Course is living in a world of fairytales and, in a sense, he is correct because: (shock) James Sanderson has just pointed at the electronic Going Stick and declared that the Emperor is not wearing any clothes......

Join a great line-up of guests for the next the Racing Together Webinar on Thursday 24th April

All roads lead to the racing’s largest volunteering effort – Racing Together Community Week Racing Together is delighted to announce the panel for its upcoming Community Week Webinar on Thursday 24th April – a conversation to discuss the huge benefits of getting involved with this year’s  Racing Together Community Week,...

Sandown Park Racecourse Launches Community Fund to Celebrate it’s 150th Anniversary

Sandown Park Racecourse is proud to announce the launch of the Community Fund for Elmbridge as part of the racecourse’s 150th anniversary celebrations in 2025.  The fund will be the focal point for fundraising at Sandown Park in its anniversary year and beyond and has been established in partnership with...

The 2025 Scottish Grand National

In a bid to wrestle a second consecutive British trainers' title from Dan Skelton, Willie Mullins' bandwagon rolls in to Ayr...

Six of the yard's original 11 entries for tomorrow's Scottish Grand National (3.35) have made the final declaration stage in a field of 23 runners; those who waited to see...

Your Questions Answered

We love answering your questions here at the Border Post, so please keep them coming… Do horses prefer carrots or Polo mints?...

On Track: The Power of an Equine Ambassador at Sandown Park

‘Horses for Courses’. This well-known phrase, one of many originating from horseracing to venture into common vernacular, has taken on a new meaning thanks to the ever-growing Retraining of Racehorses (RoR) initiative of the same name. Horses for Courses sees retired racehorses revisit their old stomping grounds across the country...

#page description: The aim of this page is to provide punters with an archive of a months worth of the Latest Horse Racing News Headlines and article sources, from various highly respected racing media organisations, direct via thier published RSS feeds. This month's archive covers April, 2025

#page last update: Mon May 5, 2025



Related Page: SANDRACER.COM - Horse Racing News Headlines Aggregator ➔

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Mon May 5)

Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them. ⯇

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.⯇

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Bath Turf Flat▼
  • 5:45 Fighting Queen 22/1 (Won 14/1)

  • Beverley Turf Flat▼
  • 4:05 The Real Mckay 20/1 (Unp 28/1)
  • 4:40 Tiriac 20/1 (Unp 50/1)

⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍

Labels:

1000 Guineas 2025

2025 Betfred 1000 Guineas Racecard ~ As They Line Up

1000 Guineas Full Race Replay

The 1000 Guineas ~ one of the five British Classics ~ is a prestigious Group 1 race for 3yo fillies ~ run over a mile on Newmarkets Rowley Mile. Established in 1814 ~ its named after its original prize of 1000 guineas and is a key early-season test of speed and stamina.

The race has a long and story~book like history ~ with legendary winners like Miesque (1987) ~ Oh So Sharp (1985) ~ and Love (2020) ~ the last filly to complete the 1000 Guineas ~ Oaks double. The Rowley Miles straight ~ undulating course ~ with its challenging Dip ~ demands a blend of tactical speed and resilience.

The 1000 Guineas often serves as a trial for the Oaks ~ with fillies like Love showcasing its significance as a stepping stone. Last year ~ Elmalka won at 28's ~ highlighting the races capacity for big priced surprises.

1000 Guineas Likely Contenders▸
Desert Flower leads the betting at 5/4f after an unbeaten juvenile campaign ~ including a dominant Fillies Mile win. Lake Victoria (5/2) ~ another unbeaten star ~ boasts five Group 1 victories ~ while Red Letter (15/2) and Duty First (12/1) are lively contenders. The field is packed with potential ~ and the outcome is far from certain.

With a £500K prize pot ~ including £300K for the winner ~ the 1000 Guineas is always a top classic target for big trainers prestige-wise and money-wise.

15:35 Newmarket
1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1)
10 Runners
Distance▸ 1 mile
Surface▸ Turf
Ground▸ Good to Firm
£500~000 added
Winner▸ £300~000
2nd▸ £113~420
3rd▸ £56~710
4th▸ £28~355

No Horse~Name Form A Wt O/R Trainer Jockey
01 Chantilly Lace
🎗 Green ~ pink sash ~ white sleeves
1- 3 9-2 94 R M Beckett Rossa Ryan
02 Desert Flower
🎗 Royal blue
1111- 3 9-2 117 C Appleby W Buick
03 Duty First
🎗 Yellow ~ black star
4123-1 3 9-2 109 A Watson Hollie Doyle
04 Elwateen
🎗 Royal blue ~ white seams
1- 3 9-2 - S bin Suroor Jim Crowley
05 Flight
🎗 Red ~ white stars
22133- 3 9-2 100 Ollie Sangster Oisin Murphy
06 Hey Boo
🎗 Light blue ~ orange sleeves
112 3 9-2 101 J Channon George Bass
07 Lake Victoria
🎗 Purple ~ white seams
11111- 3 9-2 119 A P O'Brien R L Moore
08 Red Letter
🎗 Green ~ red epaulets
214- 3 9-2 111 G M Lyons C T Keane
09 Remaat
🎗 Pink ~ grey sash
621-3 3 9-2 101 A M Balding Jason Watson
10 Simmering
🎗 Red ~ white sash
1124-7 3 9-2 109 Ollie Sangster D McMonagle
Each-Way Terms: 3 Places: 1/5 Odds (prices will change)
Desert Flower▸ 5/4F
Lake Victoria▸ 5/2
Red Letter▸ 15/2
Duty First▸ 12/1
Chantilly Lace▸ 16/1
Elwateen▸ 18/1
Simmering▸ 28/1
Flight▸ 28/1
Hey Boo▸ 33/1
Remaat▸ 80/1

Contender Summaries

Desert Flower▸ 5/4F

Charlie Applebys unbeaten filly ~ ridden by William Buick @𝕏 ~ sets a lofty standard after four juvenile wins ~ including a 5½-length rout in the Fillies Mile over this course and distance. Her draw in stall 1 suits her versatile running style ~ and her pedigree suggests further progress. Applebys strong Guineas record adds confidence ~ but she faces stiff competition from Lake Victoria. If she handles the step up to Group 1 pressure ~ shes the one to beat.

Lake Victoria▸ 5/2

Aidan OBriens Frankel filly ~ ridden by Ryan Moore ~ is a perfect five-from-five ~ with Group 1 wins over 6f ~ 7f ~ and 1m ~ including the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. Her draw in stall 7 offers tactical options ~ and OBriens meticulous preparation ensures shes primed. Her class and versatility make her a massive threat ~ though shell need to fend off Desert Flower to keep her unbeaten record. Expect a bold showing from this top contender.

Red Letter▸ 15/2

Ger Lyons filly ~ ridden by Colin Keane @𝕏 ~ has strong form ~ narrowly losing to Lake Victoria on debut and finishing a close fourth in the Moyglare Stud Stakes. Her draw in stall 9 requires a smart ride ~ but her finishing kick could shine if she gets a clear run. Lyons knack for big race success makes her a lively each-way chance ~ especially if the pace is strong.

Duty First▸ 12/1

Archie Watsons filly ~ ridden by Hollie Doyle @𝕏 ~ impressed with a 3l win in the Fred Darling at Newbury. Her draw in stall 6 is favorable ~ and her speed suits the good-to-firm ground. While she needs to prove herself at Group 1 level ~ her recent form suggests shes improving rapidly. A place finish is within reach if she continues her upward trajectory.

Chantilly Lace▸ 16/1

Ralph Becketts Lope De Vega filly ~ ridden by Rossa Ryan @𝕏 ~ won her sole start at Salisbury on heavy ground. Her draw in stall 5 is decent ~ but the step up to Group 1 on faster ground is a big ask. Becketts yard excels with fillies ~ so she could outrun her odds if she adapts to the conditions. An intriguing outsider with potential.

Elwateen▸ 18/1

Saeed bin Suroors Dubawi filly ~ ridden by Jim Crowley @𝕏 ~ won a Kempton novice on debut. Her draw in stall 3 allows a stalking position ~ but shes lightly raced and faces a steep challenge. Bin Suroors Guineas pedigree offers hope ~ but shell need a significant leap forward to feature. A speculative EW pick.

Simmering▸ 28/1

Ollie Sangsters filly ~ ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle @𝕏 ~ has Group 2/3 wins but disappointed in the Fred Darling. Her draw in stall 2 suits her front-running style ~ but she needs to rediscover her best form. A tough task awaits ~ though her juvenile class gives her a slim place chance.

Flight▸ 28/1

Ollie Sangsters other runner ~ ridden by Oisin Murphy @𝕏 ~ showed consistency as a juvenile ~ placing in Group races. Her draw in stall 10 is tricky ~ and shell need others to falter to make the frame. Murphys skill could maximize her chances ~ but a win seems unlikely.

Hey Boo▸ 33/1

Jack Channons filly ~ ridden by George Bass @𝕏 ~ ran well behind Duty First in the Fred Darling. Her draw in stall 4 is favorable ~ but she needs a big step up to compete at this level. A place finish would require a career-best effort ~ making her an outsider.

Remaat▸ 80/1

Andrew Baldings filly ~ ridden by Jason Watson @𝕏 ~ ran a solid third in the Nell Gwyn. Her draw in stall 8 is manageable ~ but shes up against it in this company. A repeat of her recent form might see her sneak a minor placing ~ but a win is a long shot.

1000 GUINEAS RESULT

1st▸ (2) Desert Flower 1/1F
2nd▸ (5) Flight 28/1
3rd▸ (10) Simmering 33/1
Tote Win▸ 2.00
Places▸ 1.10, 5.10, 6.00
Exacta▸ 26.70

CSF▸ 39.21
Tricast▸ 599.64
Trifecta▸ 311.90

Winning Jockey▸ William Buick
Winning Trainer▸ C Appleby

Distances▸ 1 length, 1 length
Desert Flower▸ 1/1 F
10 ran

Labels:

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Sun May 4)

Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


◢ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.
It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep an eye on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.
I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potential overpriced horse sausage is made. Just let's keep an eye on them. ⯇

◢ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.⯇

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Salisbury Turf Flat▼
  • 5:00 Breccia 25/1 (Unp 14/1)

⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍

Labels:

2025 Kentucky Derby

The 151st Kentucky Derby▸ Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs

❏ The 151st Kentucky Derby ~ set for May 3 ~ 2025 ~ at Churchill Downs ~ promises to be an electrifying chapter in horse racing history. Known as the "Run for the Roses ~" this Grade 1 race is the first leg of the Triple Crown ~ drawing global attention with its $5 million purse and a competitive field of 19 3yo Thoroughbreds. With a sloppy track due to rain and a wide-open race ~ the stage is set for drama at 11:57 p.m. BST (6:57 p.m. ET). Watch the race unfold live on Racing TVs YouTube Channel viewable for free below ~ and dive into our runner-by-runner guide to the 2025 Kentucky Derby.

❖ Live Kentucky Derby 2025 Broadcast

❖ Race Overview

❏ The Kentucky Derby is more than a race▸ its a celebration of tradition ~ speed ~ and strategy. This years 1m2f contest on a dirt surface is complicated by sloppy conditions ~ testing the adaptability of horses and jockeys. The field ~ reduced from 20 after Grandes scratch due to a bruised foot ~ features three standout favourites ~ Journalism ~ Sandman ~ and Sovereignty ~ all with odds below 10-1. Journalism leads at 9/4 ~ but the race is anyones to claim ~ with longshots like Luxor Cafe and Baeza poised to surprise.

❖ Runners and Riders

No. (Draw) Horse Trainer Jockey Odds Form Rating
1 (1) Citizen Bull Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 16/1 1311-14 107
2 (2) Neoequos S Joseph Jr Luis Saez 66/1 122-133 94
3 (3) Final Gambit B Cox Luan Machado 16/1 3-211 98
5 (5) American Promise D Lukas Nik Juarez 14/1 241-D51 95
6 (6) Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato C P Lemaire 40/1 422-141 -
7 (7) Luxor Cafe Noriyuki Hori Joao Moreira 6/1 421-111 -
8 (8) Journalism Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 9/4 311-11 112
9 (9) Burnham Square Ian Wilkes Brian Jr Hernandez 10/1 231-141 100
11 (11) Flying Mohawk Whitworth Beckman Joseph Ramos 50/1 6251-12 96
12 (12) East Avenue Brendan Walsh Manuel Franco 22/1 119-02 95
13 (13) Publisher Steven Asmussen Irad Ortiz Jr 28/1 332-642 99
14 (14) Tiztastic Steven Asmussen Joel Rosario 25/1 123-351 100
15 (15) Render Judgment Kenneth McPeek J R Leparoux 50/1 153-825 95
16 (16) Coal Battle Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas 28/1 711-113 96
17 (17) Sandman Mark Casse Jose Ortiz 7/1 531-231 103
18 (18) Sovereignty William Mott Junior Alvarado 9/2 421-12 100
19 (19) Chunk of Gold Ethan West Jareth Loveberry 33/1 1-222 98
20 (20) Owen Almighty Brian Lynch Javier Castellano 50/1 12-D216 103
21 (21) Baeza J Shirreffs Flavien Prat 10/1 9-212 106

❖ Top Contenders

Journalism (9/4 ~ Post 8)

❏ Journalism ~ trained by Michael McCarthy and ridden by Umberto Rispoli ~ is the standout favourite with a flawless four-race winning streak. His latest triumph at the Santa Anita Derby over Baeza showcased his versatility ~ having won at three different distances. With an official rating of 112 ~ the highest in the field ~ Journalisms draw in Post 8 offers a tactical advantage ~ though hell need to navigate a potentially congested mid-pack on the sloppy track. His resume screams champion ~ but the short price has sparked debate among bettors on X ~ with some questioning his value in a chaotic field.

Sandman (7/1 ~ Post 17)

❏ Sandman ~ under trainer Mark Casse and jockey Jose Ortiz ~ brings a compelling case at 7/1. Fresh off a victory at the Arkansas Derby ~ Sandman has finished in the top three in his last five races ~ showing consistency across varied conditions. Ortiz ~ a two-time Triple Crown winner ~ adds significant experience ~ having piloted horses below 10-1 to victory. Drawn in Post 17 ~ Sandmans outside position could allow a clean run alongside Sovereignty ~ potentially surging past slower starters. His ability to lead in diverse races makes him a serious threat.

Sovereignty (9/2 ~ Post 18)

❏ Sovereignty ~ trained by William Mott and ridden by Junior Alvarado ~ sits at 9/2 with a strong recent record ~ two wins and a second in his last three outings. While less raced than Journalism or Sandman ~ his consistency in Derby preparation races marks him as a contender. Starting next to Sandman in Post 18 ~ Sovereignty could benefit from a fast early pace ~ using his stamina to challenge late. His odds reflect confidence ~ but hell need to overcome the wide draw to claim the roses.

❖ Other Notable Runners

  • Luxor Cafe (6/1 ~ Post 7)▸ Trained by Noriyuki Hori and ridden by Joao Moreira ~ Luxor Cafe boasts three consecutive wins ~ including strong recent form figures (421-111). At 6/1 ~ hes a dangerous outsider with a favourable draw.
  • Baeza (10/1 ~ Post 21)▸ A late entry after Rodriguez scratch ~ Baeza ~ trained by J Shirreffs and ridden by Flavien Prat ~ showed promise finishing second to Journalism at Santa Anita. His 10/1 odds and high rating (106) make him an acceptable pick ~ though the wide Post 21 is a challenge.
  • Burnham Square (10/1 ~ Post 9)▸ With trainer Ian Wilkes and jockey Brian Jr Hernandez ~ Burnham Squares recent form (231-141) and middle draw make him a reasonable EW prospect.

❖ Live Odds and Betting Insights

❏ Powered by TwinSpires ~ live odds are shifting as punters react to the sloppy conditions and late scratches ~ including Grande and Rodriguez. Journalism remains the favourite ~ but Sandman and Sovereignty are gaining traction ~ with longshots like American Promise (14/1) and Citizen Bull (16/1) drawing interest for place bets. Check TwinSpires for real-time updates and expert picks to inform your wagers.

❖ Why This Derby Matters

❏ The 2025 Kentucky Derby is a wide-open affair ~ amplified by the unpredictable track conditions. The clash of Journalisms dominance ~ Sandmans experience ~ and Sovereigntys consistency sets up a decent race ~ which will be run on wet muddy ground this year, adding to the uncertainty. Will Journalism cement his legacy ~ or will an underdog like Luxor Cafe or Baeza steal the spotlight? The live broadcast on Racing TVs YouTube channel captures every moment ~ from the undercard to the main event ~ offering fans a front-row seat for free.

❏ For more insights ~ visit Racing TVs runner-by-runner guide. Join the conversation on X ~ where fans are sharing picks and debating the favourites. The Run for the Roses awaits ~ who will wear the garland?

❖ Post ~ Race Analysis

❖ Sovereignty Reigns Supreme in a Soaked and Stormy Kentucky Derby 2025

Churchill Downs ~ May 3 ~ 2025

The thunderclouds rolled in ~ but that didnt stop the drama. In the 151st running of the Kentucky Derby ~ it was Sovereignty who surged through the muck and rain to claim a gritty ~ unforgettable win in the big race.

▸ Race Conditions

  • Track▸ Sloppy ~ soaked in heavy rain
  • Distance▸ 1 1/4 miles
  • Winning Time▸ 2▸02.31
  • Crowd▸ Determined ~ drenched ~ draped in ponchos

❏ The Final Charge

  • 🥇 Sovereignty (No. 18) ~ Odds▸ 7-1 ~ Jockey▸ Junior Alvarado ~ Trainer▸ Bill Mott ~ Owner▸ Godolphin Stables
  • Sovereignty ran with heart ~ and mud caked across his hooves ~ holding off a strong late push from race favorite Journalism to win by 1 1/2 lengths. The son of the Florida Derby runner-up lived up to his potential, despite treacherous track conditions and fierce competition.

  • 🥈 Journalism (No. 8) ~ Odds▸ 5/2 (favorite) ~ Jockey▸ Umberto Rispoli ~ Trainer▸ Michael McCarthy
  • Things didnt go smoothly early for Journalism, who ran into traffic around the first turn. Forced wide ~ he fought hard down the stretch ~ only to be outgunned by Sovereigntys late burst.

  • 🥉 Baeza (No. 21) ~ Odds▸ 12/1 ~ Jockey▸ Flavien Prat ~ Trainer▸ John Shirreffs
  • The surprise package of the top three ~ Baeza made a bold move down the outside and showed real staying power.

  • 4th▸ Final Gambit (No. 3)
  • 5th▸ Owen Almighty (No. 20)

❏ A Big Day for Godolphin

Sovereigntys win ended a 13-race Derby drought for powerhouse owners Godolphin Stables ~ the global operation owned by Sheikh Mohammed.

  • Winning Weekend for Godolphin▸
  • Friday▸ Good Cheer takes the Kentucky Oaks
  • Saturday▸ Ruling Court wins the 2,000 Guineas in the UK
  • Saturday▸ Sovereignty storms to Derby glory in the US

❏ Notable Stories from the Field

  • Luxor Café ~ Sired by 2015 Triple Crown legend American Pharoah ~ A hopeful for Japan, aiming to be the nations first Derby winner ~ Faded late despite early promise
  • Render Judgment ~ Raised on Dream Walkin Farms, owned by late country music star Toby Keith ~ The colts name was chosen by Keith before his passing, making its Derby run an emotional tribute
  • Sandman ~ Entered with strong 9/2 odds ~ Finished outside the top spots despite high expectations

❏ Expert Forecast and Race Flow

NBC Sports analyst Al Bernstein had anticipated a blazing pace and potential upset ~ and the race delivered just that ~ sort of.

  • Citizen Bull led through much of the early stages
  • Neoequos briefly took command heading into the final turn
  • Journalism made a move for glory
  • But Sovereignty had the final word, surging late under a fierce ride from Alvarado

❏ A Comeback Ride for Junior Alvarado

Just days before the Derby, Junior Alvarado was recovering from a hospital visit and a fall during Thurby ~ a lesser-known race in the Derby week lineup. But when it mattered most ~ he delivered the ride of his life.

I cant even describe it, Alvarado said, still in disbelief. Im pretty sure my family is way over the moon right now.

The 2025 Kentucky Derby had everything▸ rain ~ heart ~ heritage and a champion who earned every inch of that final stretch. Sovereigntys victory was a reminder of why this race still captures imaginations ~ 151 years on.

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