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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Aug 21 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thurs Aug 21 2025

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Evening meeting at Newcastle. The racecard is an ITV terrestrial TV free to air Racing League handicap only offering tonight ~ 7 hcp's from 7 races to go through. I will take a look at cracking the AW code with the ones with Mulrennan aboard.

❖ Jockeys ❖ So, I am on Paul Mulrennan only today. Top jockey. 42 wins from 233 rides this season, a reasonable strike rate of 17% ~ not magnificent, but workable nonetheless.

❖ Trainer ❖ It has to be the Jim Goldie yard. 19 wins from 117 runners this season at Newcastle.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
  • 21 Aug 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Jim Goldie MIDNIGHT LION
  • 21 Aug 2025 7:15 Newcastle Handicap 7f Julie Camacho STREETS OF GOLD
  • 21 Aug 2025 7:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Jim Goldie BONITO CAVALO
  • 21 Aug 2025 8:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Will Knight TILTED KILT
  • 21 Aug 2025 8:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Jim Goldie ORIENTAL PRINCE

Newcastle AW Trainer Statistics

Jockey JIM GOLDIE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance Jockey | Horse
  • 21 Aug 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Amie Waugh CASCADE HALL
  • 21 Aug 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Paul Mulrennan MIDNIGHT LION
  • 21 Aug 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Kaiya Fraser ALPINE SIERRA
  • 21 Aug 2025 7:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Paul Mulrennan BONITO CAVALO
  • 21 Aug 2025 8:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Paul Mulrennan ORIENTAL PRINCE

Newcastle Betting Analysis

6:15 Newcastle ❖ 12f C3 Hcp. Midnight Lion (16/1) is priced up as a bit of a no hoper. I am of the opinion he may well not be that far away at the end.

Conclusion: Plenty of talking horses in the race to worry about, but at the price, The Lion has some solid efforts to his name. With the aid of Mulrennan up top, he might just roar past them all.

#betting note: 35/1 is currently freely available on the exchanges.

6:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Midnight Lion (Unplaced 22/1)

7:45 Newcastle ❖ 5f C4 Hcp. Bonito Cavalo 12/1 is impossible to rule out now back on the AW circuit after some not so great runs on turf. I can also see very generous looking 12/1 odds on offer.

Conclusion: Bonito has some rock solid Newcastle AW form over the C&D, from today's mark of 80 by the way. Paul Mulrennan was aboard last time he won here 6 months back. Maybe he will be again.

#betting note: 25/1 is currently freely available on the exchanges.

7:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Bonito Cavalo (Unplaced 20/1)

8:45 Newcastle ❖ 6f C3 Hcp. Oriental Prince 12/1 is arguably running right at the top of his ability mark-wise (79) ~ but he's had a great season and he's only a 4yo, so who's to say he won't improve again now back at the scene of his best runs?

Conclusion: The Prince is a danger to them all if he carries on his upward projectory now running back on the AW. I'll take my chances at the double figure odds on offer.

#betting note: The 12/1 on offer at the bookies is matched on the exchanges. They are wary of this one it seems.

8:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Oriental Prince (4th 16/1)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
16/1 Midnight Lion. (Unplaced 22/1) Soon led until headed over 2f out, weakened quickly, 12th.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Bonito Cavalo. (Unplaced 20/1) Mid-division, not clear run over 1f out, soon eased and beaten, 13th.

8:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Oriental Prince. (4th 16/1) Led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, weakened final 110 yards, 4th.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles = £3.00

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Newcastle Results - 21 August 2025. Going: standard
17:45
1. 3 Sax Appeal 17/2
2. 6 Synergism 11/8F
3. 7 Zealandia 25/1
Tote Win 10.30
Places 2.70, 1.30, 6.70
Exacta: 32.50
CSF: 20.42
Tricast: 310.73
Trifecta: 461.90
Winning Jockey: Archie Young
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 1/2 length, Nose
Synergism 11/8 F
14 ran
18:15
1. 8 Circus Of Rome 5/2F
2. 7 Gran Descans 4/1
3. 4 Per Contra 6/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.30, 2.10, 2.00
Exacta: 17.40
CSF: 11.50
Tricast: 55.98
Trifecta: 80.20
Winning Jockey: Finley Marsh
Winning Trainer: R Hughes
Distances: 3 3/4 lengths, Short Head
Circus Of Rome 5/2 F
13 ran
Non Runners 3
18:45
1. 1 Bragbor 7/4F
2. 14 Say What You See 10/1
3. 2 Salamanca City 11/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.30, 2.30, 3.00
Exacta: 26.20
CSF: 20.71
Tricast: 163.32
Trifecta: 142.70
Winning Jockey: R Kingscote
Winning Trainer: George Scott
Distances: Head, 3 lengths
Bragbor 7/4 F
14 ran
19:15
1. 5 Golden Mind 9/1
2. 9 King's Lynn 18/1
3. 13 Mister Bluebird 33/1
Tote Win 10.00
Places 2.80, 4.00, 6.70
Exacta: 129.90
CSF: 158.76
Tricast: 5212.28
Trifecta: 2707.30
Winning Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Winning Trainer: R A Fahey
Distances: Head, 1/2 length
Miss Nightfall 4/1 F
14 ran
19:45
1. 5 Northern Spirit 13/2
2. 8 Pixie Diva 11/2
3. 7 South Parade 5/1F
Tote Win 7.90
Places 2.90, 2.50, 1.80
Exacta: 60.30
CSF: 41.47
Tricast: 207.36
Trifecta: 399.60
Winning Jockey: Ben Robinson
Winning Trainer: B Ellison
Distances: 3/4 length, Nose
South Parade 5/1 F
14 ran
20:15
1. 8 Crack On Boys 18/1
2. 2 Nikovo 22/1
3. 5 Tremolo 13/2
Tote Win 20.00
Places 6.10, 6.10, 2.20
Exacta: 430.00
CSF: 379.00
Tricast: 1816.76
Trifecta: 2426.40
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: Tom Clover
Distances: Neck, 1 length
Talis Evolvere 10/3 F
14 ran
20:45
1. 7 Tuco Salamanca 7/2F
2. 3 Purest Time 80/1
3. 11 Storm Free 6/1
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.90, 21.60, 2.50
Exacta: 381.40
CSF: 344.96
Tricast: 1731.89
Trifecta: 3556.50
Winning Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Winning Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Tuco Salamanca 7/2 F
14 ran

Labels:

3 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 21st August 2025

18:15 Racing League Race 30 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Circus Of Rome Finley Marsh 8 9 1 5/2 F
Held up towards rear, headway going well 4f out, ridden to lead over 2f out, stayed on strongly, cosily

2nd Gran Descans T E Whelan 3 3/4 lengths 7 9 3 4/1
In rear, headway 3f out, ridden 2f out, kept on gamely to hold second final furlong

3rd Per Contra S B Kirrane Short Head 4 9 6 6/1
Towards rear, headway going well over 2f out, ridden to chase winner over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong

4th King's Scholar William Carver 4 1/4 lengths 2 9 9 14/1
In rear, niggled along halfway, ridden 3f out, kept on from over 2f out, never threatened leaders

5th Great Bedwyn Mr Joe Leavy 2 lengths 1 9 12 12/1
Mid-division, ridden and headway over 2f out, kept on one pace

6th Ivatt Luke Morris 1/2 length 12 8 8 5/1
Chased leaders, ridden to challenge 2f out, weakened over 1f out

7th Ribble Vibe Mark Winn 3 1/2 lengths 5 9 6 18/1
Towards rear, ridden over 3f out, never threatened leaders

8th Bulldog Spirit Ben Robinson 3/4 length 9 8 13 50/1
Prominent, chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

9th Peaky Blinder Nicola Currie Head 11 8 9 12/1
Towards rear, ridden over 2f out, never in contention

10th Freddy Robinson Shay Farmer 3 lengths 13 8 2 50/1
Always rear division, never threatened

11th Flickering Halo Miss Joanna Mason 3/4 length 10 8 10 22/1
Chased leaders, ridden and weakened 2f out

12th Midnight Lion P Mulrennan 12 lengths 6 9 4 22/1
Soon led until headed over 2f out, weakened quickly

13th Cascade Hall Amie Waugh 36 lengths 14 8 2 66/1
Prominent, chased leaders, strongly ridden over 3f out, soon lost place and tailed off

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:25 pm, August 21, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 21st August 2025

19:45 Racing League Race 33 Handicap
Going standard, 14 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Northern Spirit Ben Robinson 5 9 11 13/2
Chased leaders, ridden 2f out, ran on strongly to lead inside final furlong

2nd Pixie Diva Mr Joe Leavy 3/4 length 8 9 8 11/2
Prominent, ridden to chase leader 2f out, kept on well

3rd South Parade Warren Fentiman Nose 7 9 10 5/1 F
Soon led, ridden and quickened 2f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on well

4th Lion's House Kaiya Fraser Neck 4 9 12 6/1
Held up towards rear, ridden 2f out, stayed on well final furlong

5th Bright Finley Marsh 3/4 length 1 10 0 15/2
Mid-division, pushed along and outpaced halfway, strongly ridden and stayed on from over 1f out

6th Castan Jack Mitchell Neck 6 9 11 6/1
Chased leader, ridden 2f out, weakened well inside final furlong

7th Spendmore Lane T E Whelan 1 length 14 8 10 100/1
Prominent, ridden 2f out, every chance 1f out, weakened final furlong

8th Jenever Jack Dace Head 2 10 0 12/1
Prominent, chased leader, ridden and lost place over 2f out, kept on one pace from over 1f out

9th Jesse Luc Luke Morris Neck 10 9 7 25/1
Towards rear, ridden 2f out, never threatened leaders

10th Zarzyni Cieren Fallon 3/4 length 12 9 6 22/1
Held up towards rear, ridden 2f out, hampered over 1f out, no extra final furlong

11th Monks Dream S B Kirrane Neck 3 9 13 6/1
Held up in rear, headway going well 2f out, not clear run from over 1f out, eased well inside final furlong

12th Above Miss Joanna Mason 1 length 9 9 7 40/1
Towards rear, ridden over 2f out, never in contention

13th Bonito Cavalo P Mulrennan 5 lengths 11 9 6 20/1
Mid-division, not clear run over 1f out, soon eased and beaten

14th Dashing Harry William Carver 6 lengths 13 9 5 40/1
Prominent, chased leader stands side rails, ridden and weakened quickly 2f out,

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:26 pm, August 21, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 21st August 2025

20:45 Racing League Race 35 Handicap
Going standard, 14 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Tuco Salamanca Cieren Fallon 7 9 6 7/2 F
Held up towards rear, headway and ridden 2f out, stayed on strongly to lead inside final furlong, cosily

2nd Purest Time T E Whelan 1 length 3 9 9 80/1
Held up towards rear, ridden 2f out, stayed on final furlong, nearest finish

3rd Storm Free S B Kirrane Neck 11 9 2 6/1
Mid-division, headway and ridden over 1f out, stayed on final furlong

4th Oriental Prince P Mulrennan 1 length 12 9 1 16/1
Led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, weakened final 110 yards

5th Leadenhall Street Daniel Muscutt 1/2 length 8 9 5 17/2
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, every chance 1f out, no extra final furlong

6th Barbapapa C Cusack 1 length 10 9 4 12/1
Prominent, ridden to chase leader over 2f out, no extra final furlong

7th Glenfinnan Connor Beasley Head 6 9 7 12/1
Mid-division, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong

8th Zubaru Jack Dace Head 14 8 6 20/1
Towards rear, ridden over 2f out, kept on from over 1f out, no impression on leaders

9th Scarboroughwarning Luke Morris Neck 13 9 0 9/2
Prominent, ridden over 2f out, hung left over 1f out, weakened final furlong

10th Arctic Thunder William Carver Head 2 9 10 7/1
Held up in rear, ridden over 2f out, kept on from over 1f out, never nearer

11th Arctic Voyage A Mullen 2 lengths 4 9 9 50/1
Held up towards rear, ridden over 2f out, never in contention

12th Eye Of Dubai Jason Hart Head 5 9 9 12/1
Prominent, raced keenly, ridden over 2f out, weakened final furlong

13th Brighton Boy Nicola Currie Neck 9 9 5 12/1
Always towards rear

14th The X O Mr Jack Nicholls 2 3/4 lengths 1 9 12 33/1
Chased leader, raced keenly, ridden over 2f out, weakened and eased 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:27 pm, August 21, 2025  

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