SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Sat Jan 17 2026

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Saturday January 17 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's eight race card that features five handicaps, is as follows.


Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Jason Hart (𝕏) rides. He has six rides booked.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.


Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON HART

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 17 Jan 2026 5:30 Southwell Handicap 1m Hugo Palmer MR WONKA
  • 17 Jan 2026 6:00 Southwell 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m Stella Barclay BALQAA
  • 17 Jan 2026 7:00 Southwell 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m Ivan Furtado TEGGY LASSO
  • 17 Jan 2026 7:30 Southwell Handicap 5f Sean Quinn MASTER OF MY FATE
  • 17 Jan 2026 8:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 4f Ivan Furtado LEDNIKOV
  • 17 Jan 2026 8:30 Southwell Handicap 6f Ivan Furtado RAI ROGERS

Southwell Betting Analysis

7:30 Southwell ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Master Of My Fate 6/1 needed the last couple of runs.

Conclusion: Should be spot on today.

The 6/1 on offer in this tight 6 runner handicap is reasonable enough. Has been sneaking back into form and fitness almost unnoticed. I reckon they'll see him today.


7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Master Of My Fate (2nd 7/1)


Southwell Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

5:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Master Of My Fate. (2nd 7/1) Led, ridden over 1f out, pressed final furlong, headed final stride, 2nd.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Southwell Results - Saturday January 17 2026. Going: Standard
17:00
1. 6 Soames Forsyte 28/1
2. 3 Ernie's Valentine 15/2
3. 2 Forest Caper 17/2
Tote Win 34.50
Places 8.30, 3.50, 2.10
Exacta: 290.60
CSF: 234.27
Tricast: 1337.89
Trifecta: 2557.90
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: M Herrington
Distances: Neck, Nose
Miners Gamble 7/2 F
12 ran
17:30
1. 4 Mr Wonka 2/1
2. 7 Norcross Brow 20/1
3. 1 Fermain 14/1
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.40, 4.70, 4.10
Exacta: 37.30
CSF: 44.77
Tricast: 456.14
Trifecta: 475.80
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: H Palmer
Distances: 6 1/2 lengths, 3/4 length
Beckon 6/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 2 6
18:00
1. 1 Pink Socks 8/11F
2. 2 Balqaa 10/1
3. 8 Taskheer 3/1
Tote Win 1.73
Places 1.10, 2.30, 1.20
Exacta: 11.10
CSF: 10.26
Trifecta: 29.60
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Pink Socks 8/11 F
9 ran
18:30
1. 4 Relevant Range 6/5F
2. 1 Secret Road 2/1
3. 5 Spirit Of Bowland 4/1
Tote Win 2.40
Places 1.10, 1.50, 1.50
Exacta: 4.90
CSF: 3.96
Trifecta: 15.30
Winning Jockey: Jordan Nason
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 1 length, 2 1/2 lengths
Relevant Range 6/5 F
8 ran
19:00
1. 4 Knowledge 15/2
2. 2 Venetian Prince 2/9F
Tote Win 8.50
Places 2.00, 1.10
Exacta: 16.50
CSF: 10.07
Trifecta: 35.50
Winning Jockey: Harry Davies
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: Short Head
Venetian Prince 2/9 F
7 ran
19:30
1. 3 Star Chorus 5/2F
2. 2 Master Of My Fate 7/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 2.10, 2.80
Exacta: 22.30
CSF: 19.65
Trifecta: 100.50
Winning Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Winning Trainer: M Murphy
Distances: Head
Star Chorus 5/2 F
6 ran
20:00
1. 8 Hackney Diamonds 17/2
2. 6 Harlington 5/2
3. 1 Skycutter 11/5F
Tote Win 10.70
Places 2.00, 1.60, 1.10
Exacta: 40.50
CSF: 30.27
Tricast: 64.19
Trifecta: 153.50
Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 2 lengths
Skycutter 11/5 F
9 ran
20:30
1. 4 Al Najashi 5/4F
2. 2 Mademoiselle Belle 17/2
3. 7 Oh So Perfect 16/1
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.30, 1.60, 2.80
Exacta: 18.20
CSF: 13.47
Tricast: 125.55
Trifecta: 189.90
Winning Jockey: S Donohoe
Winning Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Distances: 2 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Al Najashi 5/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1

Labels:

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code ~ Sat Jan 17 2026

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Saturday January 17 2026

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first saturday racing AW meeting comes from Lingfield. First up is a 3yo handicap at 11:30 in the morning, so it's an early start. An eight race card with seven handicaps to pick from. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is youngster Billy Loughnane (facebook). He rides Lingfield's quirky track very well. He has seven rides.


Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.


Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.


Bet Selection Considerations

  • ❖ Check out all of the Loughnane rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 17 Jan 2026 11:30 Lingfield Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston ONYEISI
  • 17 Jan 2026 12:05 Lingfield Handicap 2m Ian Williams ZOOKS
  • 17 Jan 2026 12:40 Lingfield Handicap 6f Heather Main ZOULU CHIEF
  • 17 Jan 2026 1:15 Lingfield Fillies Handicap 1m 2f George Boughey UNASSUMING
  • 17 Jan 2026 1:55 Lingfield 3yo+ Novice Stakes 7f TJ Kent PINATUBO'S LEGACY
  • 17 Jan 2026 2:30 Lingfield Handicap 6f John & Sean Quinn PINJARRA
  • 17 Jan 2026 3:05 Lingfield Handicap 6f Phil McEntee EM JAY KAY

Lingfield Betting Analysis

2:30 Lingfield ❖ 6f C6Hcp ❖ Pinjarra (3/1) got nutted by a 50/1 Tony Carroll horse last time up. He even had the 1lb punishment added by the handicapper after the race, to add insult to injury. I think he'll go in today.

#Betting Note: The 6/1 allegedly on offer overnight has gone.


2:30 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Pinjarra (Unp 9/4f)


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

11:30 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

12:05 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

12:40 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:15 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:55 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

14:30 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
3/1 Pinjarra. (Unplaced 9/4f) Broke sharply, raced wide early, edged left and led after 1f, ridden 1f out, headed final 110yds, weakened and three places towards finish, 5th.

15:05 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

15:40 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Lingfield Results - Saturday January 17 2026. Going: Standard
11:30
1. 2 Morbeh 6/4F
2. 5 Onyeisi 10/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.20, 2.90
Exacta: 16.30
CSF: 15.98
Trifecta: 43.90
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: 1 1/4 length
Morbeh 6/4 F
5 ran
12:05
1. 6 Forglen 10/3
2. 7 Fornido 25/1
3. 2 The Craftymaster 11/4JF
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.70, 6.40, 1.20
Exacta: 104.40
CSF: 85.19
Tricast: 262.55
Trifecta: 623.60
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: W Stone
Distances: Neck, 1 1/4 length
Zooks 11/4 JF
The Craftymaster 11/4 JF
9 ran
Non Runners 4 11
12:40
1. 1 Completely Random 13/8F
2. 2 Bolo Neighs 18/1
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.40, 6.00
Exacta: 39.80
CSF: 32.01
Trifecta: 104.20
Winning Jockey: R L Moore
Winning Trainer: Harry Charlton
Distances: 3 3/4 lengths
Completely Random 13/8 F
7 ran
13:15
1. 1 Morrophore 6/5F
2. 2 Sky Safari 11/2
3. 4 Wujjood 10/3
Tote Win 2.20
Places 1.20, 2.00, 1.20
Exacta: 10.60
CSF: 8.32
Tricast: 18.76
Trifecta: 28.00
Winning Jockey: R L Moore
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Head, 1 1/2 length
Morrophore 6/5 F
10 ran
13:55
1. 7 Northern Empire 5/2JF
2. 3 Factual 5/2JF
Tote Win 3.50
Places 2.00, 1.50
Exacta: 11.70
CSF: 9.11
Trifecta: 41.50
Winning Jockey: Tom Marquand
Winning Trainer: E Walker
Distances: 3/4 length
Factual 5/2 JF
Northern Empire 5/2 JF
7 ran
14:30
1. 9 Porfin 10/1
2. 6 Southbank 5/1
3. 2 Harry Brown 10/1
Tote Win 11.00
Places 3.10, 1.90, 1.80
Exacta: 58.00
CSF: 61.71
Tricast: 524.85
Trifecta: 604.30
Winning Jockey: Connor Planas
Winning Trainer: P S McEntee
Distances: 2 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Pinjarra 9/4 F
8 ran
Non Runners 3
15:05
1. 3 Em Jay Kay 6/4F
2. 4 Dark Sun 10/1
3. 8 East Tyrone 17/2
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.10, 2.90, 2.20
Exacta: 19.00
CSF: 19.33
Tricast: 102.46
Trifecta: 115.20
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: P S McEntee
Distances: Head, 1 1/2 length
Em Jay Kay 6/4 F
8 ran
15:40
1. 8 Tommy's Promise 11/4F
2. 3 Eupator 7/2
3. 5 King's Hand 7/2
CSF: 12.69
Tricast: 34.72
Winning Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Winning Trainer: J Ryan
Distances: Short Head, 2 1/2 lengths
Tommy's Promise 11/4 F
9 ran

Labels:

Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code ~ Fri Jan 16 2026

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code

❖ Friday January 16 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This evening's 8 race card features 5 handicaps.


Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am looking to this evening is the old warhorse Luke Morris ~ who has 5 rides.


Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.


Bet Selection Considerations

  • ❖ Give all Luke Morris mounts a close up look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 16 Jan 2026 5:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Jennie Candlish IMPLIED VOLATILITY
  • 16 Jan 2026 7:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m David Simcock HITCHED
  • 16 Jan 2026 7:30 Wolverhampton 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m 4f Tom Faulkner IGNITION
  • 16 Jan 2026 8:00 Wolverhampton 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m 4f Jennie Candlish WARRIOR LION
  • 16 Jan 2026 8:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Tom Faulkner SULTAN OF OJ

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

7:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C4 Hcp ❖ Hitched 15/2 is running well and looks booked to give the hot fav the most to do. If the rise in weights proves too much for the jolly, the 15/2 i just about big enough to warrant a speculative win only punt. The presence of Luke Morris and the handy draw in trap one could make all the difference.


7:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Hitched (2nd 9/1)


Wolverhampton Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

5:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
15/2 Hitched. (2nd 9/1) In touch with leaders, headway when along inside 2f out, led over 1f out, hung left, ridden inside final 110yds, no extra when headed final strides, 2nd.

7:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Wolverhampton Results - Friday Januay 16 2026. Going: standard
17:00
1. 8 Magic Runner 16/1
2. 1 Francesi 9/2
3. 3 Stipulation 10/3
Tote Win 19.40
Places 3.30, 1.30, 1.50
Exacta: 86.70
CSF: 87.00
Tricast: 305.36
Trifecta: 895.70
Winning Jockey: Miss Taryn Langley
Winning Trainer: Mrs R Carr
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Seraphic 13/8 F
9 ran
17:30
1. 1 Latin 16/5F
2. 7 Imola 7/2
3. 6 The Dark Baron 10/3
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.40, 1.50, 1.30
Exacta: 17.60
CSF: 15.04
Tricast: 39.56
Trifecta: 50.00
Winning Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: Short Head, 2 3/4 lengths
Latin 16/5 F
8 ran
18:00
1. 2 Mythical Bay 2/5F
2. 1 Felix Gem 3/1
Tote Win 1.40
Places 1.10, 1.40
Exacta: 1.80
CSF: 2.03
Trifecta: 3.20
Winning Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: Neck
Mythical Bay 2/5 F
5 ran
18:30
1. 8 Piperstown 11/2
2. 3 Nordic Glory 11/2
3. 1 Some Nightmare 13/2
Tote Win 7.30
Places 2.00, 1.30, 2.70
Exacta: 47.00
CSF: 36.87
Tricast: 205.11
Trifecta: 359.50
Winning Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Winning Trainer: K Frost
Distances: 2 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Autumn Angel 3/1 F
9 ran
Non Runners 6 10 11
19:00
1. 6 Paladin 33/1
2. 8 Hitched 9/1
3. 3 Epictetus 15/2
CSF: 309.38
Tricast: 2512.16
Winning Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Winning Trainer: K Frost
Distances:
Advancing 4/7 F
9 ran
Non Runners 2

Labels:

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Fri Jan 16 2026

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday January 16 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle afternoon meeting starts with a 6f apprentice handicap at 12:30. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on young jockey Billy Loughnane 𝕏 who rides the Newcastle AW track very well. He has four rides.


Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.


Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 16 Jan 2026 1:40 Newcastle Fillies Handicap 7f Mark Loughnane MOLLIE FOSTER
  • 16 Jan 2026 2:15 Newcastle Handicap 2m George Boughey BRASIL POWER
  • 16 Jan 2026 2:50 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Ian Williams BEYLERBEYI
  • 16 Jan 2026 3:55 Newcastle Handicap 6f Jamie Osborne TEN CARAT HARRY

Newcastle Betting Analysis

2:15 Newcastle ❖ 2m C2 Hcp ❖ Brasil Power (10/1) is upped in trip by 4f so is a bit of an unknown. However, the further he's gone, the better he's got. Ther 10/1 on offer is very tempting. I'll play to small stakes, win only.


2:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Brasil Power (3rd 8/1)


3:55 Newcastle ❖ 1m C4 Hcp ❖ Ten Carat Harry (13/2) is in barnstorming form and goes for a 5 timer. Will the handicapper's latest 3lb rise be enough to stop him? At the price I'll take my chances.


3:55 Newc ~ Win Bet: 13/2 Ten Carat Harry (Won 4/1 from 13/2)


Newcastle Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

12:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:05 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:40 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

14:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
10/1 Brasil Power. (3rd 8/1) Mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on final furlong, went third final 50yds, 3rd.

14:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
13/2 Ten Carat Harry. (Won 4/1 from 13/2) Front rank, going well over 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, kept on well inside final furlong, 1st.
Returns: £5.00

16:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £5.00

Total: + £3.00

12:30
1. 4 Blue Lakota 10/1
2. 2 True Promise 4/1
3. 8 Cargin Bhui 5/2F
Tote Win 13.80
Places 3.00, 1.90, 1.60
Exacta: 37.90
CSF: 49.89
Tricast: 133.27
Trifecta: 144.20
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Nicholls
Winning Trainer: K A Ryan
Distances: Neck, 1 1/4 length
Cargin Bhui 5/2 F
9 ran
13:05
1. 4 Supreme King 7/2JF
2. 2 Dandy Magic 7/1
3. 7 Express Train 14/1
Tote Win 4.90
Places 2.30, 2.20, 4.20
Exacta: 38.20
CSF: 29.85
Tricast: 312.67
Trifecta: 429.70
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: Nose, 1 length
Judgment Call 7/2 JF
Supreme King 7/2 JF
9 ran
13:40
1. 2 Stateira 6/4F
2. 8 Nikki Swango 13/2
3. 4 Indigo Dream 8/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.10, 2.50, 3.10
Exacta: 12.10
CSF: 11.96
Tricast: 64.51
Trifecta: 81.10
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Stateira 6/4 F
11 ran
14:15
1. 2 Duke Of Oxford 5/1
2. 7 Ribble Vibe 5/1
3. 3 Brasil Power 8/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.10, 2.70, 2.60
Exacta: 39.10
CSF: 31.20
Tricast: 202.16
Trifecta: 197.30
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: M L W Bell
Distances: 3 lengths, 3 1/2 lengths
Berkshire Sundance 4/1 F
11 ran
14:50
1. 4 King's Code 18/1
2. 8 Parlando 9/2
3. 3 Beylerbeyi 22/1
Tote Win 28.60
Places 6.70, 1.40, 3.90
Exacta: 157.50
CSF: 100.53
Tricast: 1873.23
Trifecta: 3553.90
Winning Jockey: P Cosgrave
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 length
Regal Ulixes 6/4 F
13 ran
Non Runners 10
15:20
1. 11 The Caltonian 33/1
2. 3 Pocklington 10/3F
3. 5 Fivethousandtoone 28/1
Tote Win 58.90
Places 10.40, 1.60, 10.50
Exacta: 315.20
CSF: 139.50
Tricast: 3320.24
Trifecta: 3387.60
Winning Jockey: Keiran O'Neill
Winning Trainer: Miss L A Perratt
Distances: 3/4 length, 3/4 length
Pocklington 10/3 F
14 ran
15:55
1. 4 Ten Carat Harry 4/1
2. 8 Lord Harcourt 17/2
3. 9 One And Gone 50/1
Tote Win 5.10
Places 2.00, 3.20, 4.50
Exacta: 33.90
CSF: 40.32
Tricast: 1528.21
Trifecta: 1466.70
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: J A Osborne
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Augustus Gloop 10/3 F
11 ran
16:30
1. 1 Witch Hunter 11/2
2. 6 Talis Evolvere 13/2
3. 8 Dosman 18/1
CSF: 42.04
Tricast: 608.25
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 1 1/2 length, Head
Storm Star 7/4 F
9 ran

Labels:

Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Thurs Jan 15 2026

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Thursday January 15 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon rolls into Chelmsford this evening starting with a race at 5:30. A 7 race card with 5 handicaps to sift through. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.


Jockeys ❖ My jockey to follow this evening is Jason Hart who has a 30% strike rate here this season.


Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.


Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey JASON HART

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 15 Jan 2026 5:30 Chelmsford City 3-5yo Maiden Stakes 1m Charlie Johnston HENGIST POD
  • 15 Jan 2026 7:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Hugo Palmer SIOBHANBROGAN
  • 15 Jan 2026 7:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 5f Charlie Johnston ATLANTIC SUNSET
  • 15 Jan 2026 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Hugo Palmer MONTY BEAU

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

7:00 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C5 Hcp. ❖ Siobhan Brogan (12/1) looked in need of her last couple of runs after nearly a year out to me. I think she'll go well at a price with Jason Hart up top.


7:00 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Siobhan Brogan (Unp 15/2 from 12's)


7:30 Chelmsford ❖ 1m 5f C5 Hcp. ❖ Atlantic Sunset (18/1) is another that looked a bit short the last couple of times out. I expect him to do much better today. The rag of the race at 18/1, he won't be finishing last from what I can read into the race beforhand.


7:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 18/1 Atlantic Sunset (Unp 22/1)


8:30 Chelmsford ❖ 1m 2f C4 Hcp. ❖ Monty Beau (7/2) should be at least joint fav to win this. The 7/2 on offer is very very "quite" reasonable in my opinion.


8:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 7/2 Monty Beau (Unp 5/1)


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

5:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
12/1 Siobhan Brogan. (Unplaced 15/2 from 12's) Went to post early in hood, took keen hold, in touch behind leaders, ridden over 2f out, weakened entering final furlong, 8th.

7:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
18/1 Atlantic Sunset. (Unplaced 22/1) Held up in rear, driven over 3f out, not clear run over 1f out, soon faded, 6th.

8:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
7/2 Monty Beau. (3rd 5/1) Awkward start, midfield, headway after 2f out, ridden over 2f out, soon lost position, kept on inside final furlong, went third final stride, 3rd.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Chelmsford Results - Thursday Jan 15 2026. Going: Standard
17:30
1. 2 Gennadius 9/2
2. 6 Dor's Dazzler 66/1
Tote Win 5.50
Places 2.20, 16.10
Exacta: 171.80
CSF: 224.95
Trifecta: 559.70
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 8 lengths
Variety Act 4/5 F
7 ran
18:00
1. 2 Lexington Jet 6/1
2. 3 My Awele 28/1
3. 5 Union Island 17/2
Tote Win 7.00
Places 2.00, 5.60, 2.10
Exacta: 90.10
CSF: 146.10
Tricast: 1428.68
Trifecta: 1226.30
Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Winning Trainer: D Loughnane
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, Neck
My Mate Mike 3/1 F
8 ran
18:30
1. 1 My Boy Harry 7/2
2. 2 Kondratiev Wave 15/8
Tote Win 4.80
Places 2.00, 1.60
Exacta: 12.60
CSF: 10.81
Trifecta: 54.80
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: J & S Best
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths
Kessaar Power 13/8 F
6 ran
19:00
1. 1 Lazzar 13/8F
2. 6 Invincible Melody 5/2
3. 8 Vitalline 8/1
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.10, 1.20, 2.10
Exacta: 6.30
CSF: 5.85
Tricast: 23.60
Trifecta: 22.10
Winning Jockey: Finley Marsh
Winning Trainer: R Hughes
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 3/4 length
Lazzar 13/8 F
8 ran
19:30
1. 7 Relocal 4/1
2. 1 Carlton 11/4F
Tote Win 5.30
Places 3.10, 1.90
Exacta: 20.70
CSF: 15.71
Trifecta: 106.70
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: Short Head
Carlton 11/4 F
7 ran
20:00
1. 2 Flicka's Girl 3/1
2. 7 Under Curfew 5/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 2.10, 2.10
Exacta: 17.70
CSF: 17.67
Trifecta: 43.30
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: M J Attwater
Distances: 1/2 length
Bishop's Glory 6/4 F
7 ran
20:30
1. 8 Hinchinbrooke 9/4
2. 10 Oman 14/1
3. 7 Monty Beau 5/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places 1.20, 3.20, 1.90
Exacta: 30.20
CSF: 34.63
Tricast: 147.13
Trifecta: 132.70
Winning Jockey: Harry Davies
Winning Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1/2 length
Time Tested 85/40 F
9 ran
Non Runners 2

Labels:

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code ~ Wed Jan 14 2026

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Wednesday January 14 2026

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first AW meeting comes from Lingfield. Racing starts at 11:55 in the morning, so it's an early start. An eight race card with six handicaps to pick from. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is the old warhorse Luke Morris (facebook). He rides Lingfield's quirky track very well. He has six rides.


Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.


Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.


Bet Selection Considerations

  • ❖ Check out all of the Morris rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey Luke Morris

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 14 Jan 2026 11:55 Lingfield 3yo Handicap 5f James Owen ROGUE REBELLION
  • 14 Jan 2026 12:25 Lingfield 4yo+ Classified Stakes 5f Grace Harris ROGUE ENDEAVOUR
  • 14 Jan 2026 12:55 Lingfield 3yo+ Fillies Novice Stakes 7f Ed Walker LOTUS
  • 14 Jan 2026 1:55 Lingfield 3yo Handicap 1m William Knight ATHENIAN SPIRIT
  • 14 Jan 2026 2:30 Lingfield Handicap 5f Phil McEntee ALAFDHAL
  • 14 Jan 2026 3:40 Lingfield Handicap 7f Ed Walker CRYSTAL DAGGER

Lingfield Betting Analysis

3:40 Lingfield ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Crystal Dagger (12/1) ran well over the C&D last and has every chance here today from what I can see.

#Betting Note: I shall be having a small bet, win only. The drift out to 12/1 from an overnight 4/1 is a mystery to me.


3:40 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Crystal Dagger


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

11:55 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

12:25 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

12:55 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:25 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:55 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

14:30 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

15:05 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

15:40 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
12/1 Crystal Dagger. (Unplaced 12/1) Tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong, 5th

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Lingfield Results - Wednesday January 14 2026. Going: Standard
11:55
1. 6 Rogue Rebellion 11/2
2. 1 Rosieisme Darling 9/4F
Tote Win 6.50
Places 3.40, 1.80
Exacta: 18.70
CSF: 18.18
Tricast: 43.47
Trifecta: 62.30
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: 1/2 length
Rosieisme Darling 9/4 F
7 ran
Non Runners 3
12:25
1. 3 Forest Gunner 9/4
2. 1 Colors Of Freedom 15/8F
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.70, 1.30
Exacta: 7.40
CSF: 6.50
Trifecta: 43.10
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: 1 3/4 length
Colors Of Freedom 15/8 F
6 ran
Non Runners 7
12:55
1. 2 Chamas 85/40
2. 3 Lady Dora Mae 9/5F
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.70, 1.50
Exacta: 8.20
CSF: 6.40
Trifecta: 25.20
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: R M Beckett
Distances: Nose
Lady Dora Mae 9/5 F
6 ran
13:25
1. 6 Karakula Dancer 5/1
2. 4 Hove Ranger 10/1
3. 2 Chilliconcarneigh 3/1
Tote Win 6.20
Places 1.40, 1.90, 1.10
Exacta: 45.50
CSF: 53.47
Tricast: 180.06
Trifecta: 184.30
Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Winning Trainer: J Ferguson
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 1 length
Giles Glory 5/6 F
8 ran
13:55
1. 2 Hardstyle 13/8F
2. 1 Athenian Spirit 7/2
3. 6 Lapidarist 11/1
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.50, 1.20, 3.10
Exacta: 7.60
CSF: 7.73
Tricast: 47.07
Trifecta: 48.60
Winning Jockey: P Cosgrave
Winning Trainer: G Boughey
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 3/4 length
Hardstyle 13/8 F
8 ran
14:30
1. 6 Mick's Spirit 7/2
2. 4 Beaumadier 7/2
Tote Win 4.60
Places 1.80, 2.00
Exacta: 18.10
CSF: 16.36
Trifecta: 60.80
Winning Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Winning Trainer: C Allen
Distances: 1 length
Gogo Yubari 9/5 F
6 ran
Non Runners 1
15:05
1. 7 Haveagobeau 25/1
2. 1 Pride Of Nepal 15/2
3. 6 Dubai Harbour 3/1
Tote Win 36.70
Places 5.10, 1.70, 1.60
Exacta: 250.80
CSF: 196.63
Tricast: 736.58
Trifecta: 1281.00
Winning Jockey: Jack Dace
Winning Trainer: J R Boyle
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths, 1/2 length
Krissy 6/4 F
8 ran
15:40
1. 6 Maximising 15/2
2. 3 Captain Parma 4/1
3. 4 Tadreeb 10/3F
Tote Win 8.50
Places 2.50, 1.40, 1.50
Exacta: 43.00
CSF: 38.58
Tricast: 121.38
Trifecta: 224.40
Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Winning Trainer: K P De Foy
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Tadreeb 10/3 F
8 ran

Labels: