SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Overpriced UK Horse Watch (Sat Nov 8 2025)

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Potentially Overpriced UK Horses Watch

Caricature of a punter studying the odds

On The Hunt For Potentially Overpriced UK Horses


❏ Uber large price horses I am keeping an eye on regarding the betting market. For various reasons, I think they are potentially overpriced odds runners.

❏ It will be interesting to me atleast, to keep a close watch on how these big priced runners do, re the market and how they run.

⚠ Potential Overpriced Horse ⚠

❏ I won't bore anyone with how spotting the potentially overpriced horse sausage is made.

❏ Just let's keep an eye on them.

❖ It's with these kind of horses, that multibet players might just pull off the big one, one day.

⍣ Click ⍣ 2 Uber Bets Landed For Punters This Weekend 💰

    Potentially Overpriced Uber Price Horses


    Aintree NH Jumps▼
  • 2:05 Netywell 12/1 (Unp 16/1)
  • 3:15 Whiskeywealth 28/1 (Unp 22/1)
  • Kelso NH Jumps▼
  • 1:17 Grozni 20/1 (Unp 22/1)
  • Wincanton NH Jumps▼
  • 1:10 Aramillo 20/1 (Unp 14/1)
⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To Oddschecker To Keep An Eye On The Prices 🔍 ⍣ Click ⍣ To Go To At The Races To Check On The Market Movers 🔍

Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code ~ Sat Nov 8 2025

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Cracking The Wolverhampton AW Code

❖ Saturday November 8 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code this saturday afternoon's 9 race card, which features 6 handicaps, one of which is a 2yo nursery hcp, in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ The young jockey Jack Callan is improving fast and is well worth his 5lb claim at the moment. He has 7 rides this evening.


Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.


Bet Selection Considerations

  • ❖ Give all Jack Callan's rides an uber close up look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JACK CALLAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 8 Nov 2025 2:18 Wolverhampton 2yo Nursery Hcp 7f George Boughey EXOTIC BABY
  • 8 Nov 2025 2:50 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 6f Charlie Johnston ARTISAN DANCER
  • 8 Nov 2025 3:25 Wolverhampton 2yo Novice Stakes 6f George Boughey ZIGHY
  • 8 Nov 2025 4:30 Wolverhampton 2yo Novice Stakes 1m George Boughey LAKE COMO
  • 8 Nov 2025 5:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 7f Mark Loughnane ZU RUN
  • 8 Nov 2025 6:00 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Mark Loughnane BEAUMADIER
  • 8 Nov 2025 6:30 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m George Boughey BRASIL POWER

Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

2:50 Wolverhampton ❖ 2m C4 Hcp ❖ Artisan Dancer (7/2f) is running well at the moment and is a worthy fav in a decent race. This is a class 4, he drops down from a C2. Callan's claim will prove absolutely crucial over the marathon trip I feel, seeing as in this grade he carries topweight.


2:50 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 7/2f Artisan Dancer (Won 10/3)


5:00 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Zu Run (16/1) has reasonable form over the C&D at this grade from a similar mark. Once again, Callan's claim, from a decent draw, could well prove invaluable for the Loughnane stable, which is why they've booked him for his first ride on the horse.


5:00 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Zu Run (Unp 14/1)


6:30 Wolverhampton ❖ 1m C3 Hcp ❖ Brasil Power (25/1) goes well on the AW and has some ok form at Wolver. At the huge price available (25/1), I'll take my chances Callan can get into a reasonable position early on from a slightly wide draw and rattle home from a light weight in this C3 hcp.


6:30 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 25/1 Brasil Power (3rd 22/1)


Wolverhampton Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

2:18 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:50 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
7/2f Artisan Dancer. (Won 10/3) Towards rear, progress into 6th halfway, travelling strongly when short of room entering straight, ridden to go 3rd over 1f out, kept on well inside final furlong, led close home, 1st.
Returns: £4.33

3:25 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
16/1 Zu Run. (Unplaced 14/1) Rear of mid division, 7th halfway, pushed along entering straight, soon ridden and no impression from over 1f out, 7th.

5:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
25/1 Brasil Power. (3rd 22/1) Held up, ran through the field with a furlong to go, beaten a neck in 3rd.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £4.33

Total: + £1.33

Wolverhampton Results - Saturday November 8 2025. Going: standard
14:18
1. 2 Bone Marra 10/1
2. 5 Jackabi 12/1
Tote Win 11.00
Places 1.90, 6.30
Exacta: 29.90
CSF: 96.92
Trifecta: 324.50
Winning Jockey: S Donohoe
Winning Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Distances: 1 3/4 length
Exotic Baby 11/8 F
5 ran
Non Runners 6
14:50
1. 1 Artisan Dancer 10/3
2. 7 Aajej 5/1
3. 9 Francesco Baracca 6/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.70, 1.70, 2.20
Exacta: 29.80
CSF: 20.92
Tricast: 98.26
Trifecta: 114.40
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: Neck, 1/2 length
Earnest Belief 5/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 6
15:25
1. 9 Zighy 10/3
2. 5 Queen Sana 13/2
3. 4 La Belle Forest 3/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.40, 3.00, 1.80
Exacta: 18.30
CSF: 26.36
Trifecta: 57.90
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: G Boughey
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Head
Silvery 9/4 F
8 ran
Non Runners 3
16:00
1. 2 Clearpoint 3/1
2. 5 Rhythm N Hooves 9/2
3. 6 Atomic Force 5/2F
Tote Win 4.00
Places 2.20, 2.90, 1.90
Exacta: 27.40
CSF: 17.72
Tricast: 38.74
Trifecta: 89.70
Winning Jockey: A Rawlinson
Winning Trainer: S Hodgson
Distances: 1 length, 1 1/4 length
Atomic Force 5/2 F
10 ran
16:30
1. 11 Sahara King 16/1
2. 10 Ranga Tang 5/1
3. 4 Heyzoom 10/11F
Tote Win 18.80
Places 2.80, 1.70, 1.30
Exacta: 91.90
CSF: 95.37
Trifecta: 443.00
Winning Jockey: Alexander Voikhansky
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: Neck, 1 3/4 length
Heyzoom 10/11 F
10 ran
Non Runners 2 3 6
17:00
1. 8 South Dakota Sioux 9/2
2. 7 Chifa 4/1
3. 1 Havana Sky 15/2
Tote Win 5.50
Places 1.80, 1.80, 2.00
Exacta: 27.30
CSF: 23.39
Tricast: 134.49
Trifecta: 145.20
Winning Jockey: Finley Marsh
Winning Trainer: J Butler
Distances: Short Head, Neck
Winter Crown 7/2 JF
Noisy Music 7/2 JF
9 ran
17:30
1. 1 Al Muqdad 10/11F
2. 6 Rainwater 9/2
3. 2 Tortured Soul 12/1
Tote Win 1.91
Places 1.60, 1.40, 2.50
Exacta: 6.10
CSF: 5.06
Tricast: 30.22
Trifecta: 35.30
Winning Jockey: J Watson
Winning Trainer: D O'Meara
Distances: 5 1/2 lengths, Head
Al Muqdad 10/11 F
9 ran
18:00
1. 2 Beaumadier 15/8F
2. 1 So Smart 17/2
3. 8 Street Life 15/2
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.30, 2.70, 2.30
Exacta: 20.60
CSF: 18.94
Tricast: 101.31
Trifecta: 125.20
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: D M Loughnane
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, 1 length
Beaumadier 15/8 F
11 ran
18:30
1. 5 City Of Poets 5/2JF
2. 8 Zryan 12/1
3. 9 Brasil Power 22/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.60, 3.40, 4.70
Exacta: 26.60
CSF: 37.58
Tricast: 573.41
Trifecta: 213.20
Winning Jockey: S Foley
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: Short Head, Neck
Silver Sword 5/2 JF
City Of Poets 5/2 JF
12 ran
Non Runners 6

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Fri Nov 7 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday November 7 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 8 of the races are handicaps for me to look at ~ one is a nursery handicap for 2yo horses, another is a fillies only. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by 51yr old veteran jockey Rab Havlin ~ he has 2 rides this afternoon.

Young jock Billy Loughnane (𝕏) is always worth a look also. He has 6 rides.


Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.


Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey RAB HAVLIN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 7 Nov 2025 2:18 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f S Woods BAHADUR
  • 7 Nov 2025 6:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Jim Goldie IGNAC LAMAR

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 7 Nov 2025 3:28 Newcastle 2yo Nursery Hcp 6f Lawrence Mullaney RYEFIELD
  • 7 Nov 2025 4:00 Newcastle Fillies Handicap 7f George Boughey AFTER LOVE
  • 7 Nov 2025 5:00 Newcastle Handicap 6f Phil McEntee BILL PLUMB
  • 7 Nov 2025 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ian Williams BETTY BASSETT
  • 7 Nov 2025 6:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Lawrence Mullaney NORTHERN CRACKSMAN
  • 7 Nov 2025 6:30 Newcastle Handicap 7f Ian Williams CALL GLORY

Newcastle Betting Analysis

5:00 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Bill Plumb (13/2) is running well and will be there at the finish line with whoever has a chance of the outright win. The one to beat as far as I can see. Nice price.


5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 13/2 Bill Plumb (3rd 15/1)


5:30 Newcastle ❖ 1m C5 Hcp ❖ Betty Bassett (11/2) was a neck behind over the C&D last time out and reopposes without a penalty. Loughnane takes the ride from Mulrennan. Will be right there at the death.


5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 11/2 Betty Bassett (4th 15/2)


6:00 Newcastle ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Ignac Lamar (5/1) ran well over the C&D last time out, going down a length. Upped a lb for that run, he'll be right there again under the guidance of Havlin, who takes the ride from De Sousa.


6:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Ignac Lamar (Unp 5/1)



Newcastle Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

2:18 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:53 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:28 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
13/2 Bill Plumb. (3rd 15/2) Slow away, held up towards rear, not much room when headway 2f out, kept on, lost 2nd last stride, 3rd.

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
11/2 Betty Bassett. (4th 15/2) Tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, lost 3rd close home, 4th.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
5/1 Ignac Lamar. (Unplaced 5/1) Held up towards rear, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened, 8th.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Newcastle Results - Friday November 7 2025. Going: standard
14:18
1. 5 Bahadur 2/1F
2. 8 Winter Flower 7/2
3. 4 Machete 20/1
Tote Win 3.30
Places 1.50, 1.30, 3.40
Exacta: 11.10
CSF: 9.14
Tricast: 111.70
Trifecta: 278.30
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: S Woods
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 2 1/2 lengths
Bahadur 2/1 F
10 ran
14:53
1. 9 We're Goosers 1/2F
2. 4 Kaindy 2/1
3. 1 Fyreline 12/1
Tote Win 1.50
Places 1.02, 1.20, 2.40
Exacta: 2.40
CSF: 2.09
Trifecta: 10.80
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: H Palmer
Distances: 2 lengths, 11 lengths
We're Goosers 1/2 F
9 ran
15:28
1. 8 The Tunguska Event 11/1
2. 5 My Champion 2/1F
3. 6 Hey Havana 5/1
Tote Win 22.00
Places 7.40, 1.20, 1.50
Exacta: 47.00
CSF: 34.52
Tricast: 129.69
Trifecta: 434.50
Winning Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Winning Trainer: J & S Quinn
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
My Champion 2/1 F
8 ran
16:00
1. 6 Electric Avenue 3/1F
2. 7 Graduated 9/1
3. 4 Emery Down 10/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.30, 2.20, 5.10
Exacta: 36.10
CSF: 31.72
Tricast: 249.62
Trifecta: 537.40
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1/2 length
Electric Avenue 3/1 F
10 ran
16:30
1. 5 Blue Lakota 9/2
2. 11 Orbital Chime 20/1
3. 3 Spirit Of Applause 11/8F
Tote Win 6.90
Places 1.90, 6.60, 1.20
Exacta: 166.20
CSF: 100.63
Tricast: 197.80
Trifecta: 876.60
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: K A Ryan
Distances: Head, 1 length
Spirit Of Applause 11/8 F
14 ran
17:00
1. 1 Fortamour 9/2
2. 11 Asadjumeirah 18/1
3. 6 Bill Plumb 15/2
Tote Win 5.50
Places 2.10, 4.60, 2.80
Exacta: 86.20
CSF: 89.85
Tricast: 628.15
Trifecta: 956.90
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: B Haslam
Distances: Neck, Head
Brazilian Rose 4/1 F
12 ran
17:30
1. 5 Bowood 7/4F
2. 11 Powerful Response 28/1
3. 4 It's A Love Thing 14/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.40, 6.00, 4.20
Exacta: 73.70
CSF: 65.43
Tricast: 575.06
Trifecta: 605.50
Winning Jockey: Elle-may Croot
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1 length
Bowood 7/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1
18:00
1. 3 Front Gunner 6/1
2. 1 Yafaarr 9/4F
3. 2 Vizzavona Lady 6/1
Tote Win 7.00
Places 1.80, 2.40, 2.50
Exacta: 29.20
CSF: 19.90
Tricast: 89.43
Trifecta: 186.80
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: Mrs A Duffield
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Yafaarr 9/4 F
11 ran
18:30
1. 3 Eden Storm 5/1
2. 7 Pit Boss 7/1
3. 6 Military Leader 7/2
Tote Win 6.00
Places 1.80, 1.80, 1.30
Exacta: 33.90
CSF: 40.64
Tricast: 139.44
Trifecta: 158.70
Winning Jockey: D Nolan
Winning Trainer: P Morris
Distances: Head, Neck
Call Glory 11/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 2

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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 6 2025

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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Thursday November 6 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a second meeting on the AW this thursday evening at Chelmsford. An 8 race card with 6 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. Tow of the handicaps are 2yo nurseries. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.


Jockeys ❖ The jockes to follow this evening, has to be Hector Crouch (𝕏) who has a decent strike (23.8%) here this season. He has 5 rides.


Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.


Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 6 Nov 2025 5:45 Chelmsford City 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Michael Bell TIMBER TWELVE
  • 6 Nov 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m David O'Meara RAJAPOUR
  • 6 Nov 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Jamie Osborne WODAO
  • 6 Nov 2025 7:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 5f Rae Guest HEAVEN KNOWS
  • 6 Nov 2025 8:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Darryll Holland LOVE YOUR WORK

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:15 Chelmsford ❖ 1m C4 Hcp. ❖ Rajapour (5/1) will appreciate the drop back to a mile. The most winnable set of race conditions he's faced since arriving from France with a reasonable record. Now running at 11lb lower than his UK best, will take all the beating with Crouch in the saddle for the first time.


6:15 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Rajapour (Unp 7/2)


7:15 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C4 Hcp. ❖ Wadao (16/1) has been discounted by ther bookies judging by the price. I say that, but he was available at 33's overnight, so some punters have noticed, seeing his price has halved.

Running at 20lb+ below his best, he'll be right there at the end of the race, pushing for the win under Hector Crouch.


7:15 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Wadao (unp 18/1)


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
5/1 Rajapour. (Unplaced 7/2) Held up in last pair, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never going pace to reach leaders, 5th.

6:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
16/1 Wadao. (Unplaced 18/1) Held up towards rear of mid-division, never managed to get involved with the leaders, 6th.

7:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Chelmsford Results - Thursday Nov 6 2025. Going: Standard
16:45
1. 3 Onyeisi 8/1
2. 1 Captain Cairney 4/6F
Tote Win 9.00
Places 3.20, 1.10
Exacta: 13.70
CSF: 14.14
Trifecta: 56.20
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: Head
Captain Cairney 4/6 F
6 ran
17:15
1. 2 Flash Rascal 4/1
2. 1 Corniche Girl 9/2
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.20, 2.00
Exacta: 23.50
CSF: 22.57
Tricast: 106.35
Trifecta: 123.10
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: Dr R Newland & J Insole
Distances: 1 3/4 length
Solar Invincible 5/2 F
7 ran
Non Runners 8
17:45
1. 1 Starlight Time 1/2F
2. 5 Devil's Brigade 14/1
3. 9 Al's River 33/1
Tote Win 1.50
Places 1.10, 3.00, 7.20
Exacta: 11.30
CSF: 8.75
Trifecta: 81.30
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Starlight Time 1/2 F
14 ran
Non Runners 2 16
18:15
1. 11 Threatening 15/2
2. 12 Happy Banner 11/2
3. 1 Shimmering Spin 7/2
Tote Win 8.50
Places 2.30, 1.90, 1.80
Exacta: 39.50
CSF: 49.07
Tricast: 177.86
Trifecta: 233.90
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 1/2 length
Absolute Star 5/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 3 10
18:45
1. 3 Freddie's Star 1/16F
2. 1 Al Hofzan 15/2
Tote Win 1.10
Places 1.02, 1.60
Exacta: 1.50
CSF: 1.68
Trifecta: 2.30
Winning Jockey: Mr L Edmunds
Winning Trainer: R A Teal
Distances: 2 lengths
Freddie's Star 1/16 F
5 ran
19:15
1. 3 Valley Ofthe Kings 4/1
2. 11 Tyger Bay 17/2
3. 10 Starproof 25/1
Tote Win 5.30
Places 1.80, 2.10, 6.20
Exacta: 41.60
CSF: 33.27
Tricast: 558.53
Trifecta: 817.30
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Distances: 1 length, 3/4 length
Azure Zain 10/3 F
10 ran
19:45
1. 1 General Assembly 5/1
2. 6 Emperor's Son 9/2
3. 7 Mick's Spirit 9/1
Tote Win 6.00
Places 1.90, 2.10, 2.00
Exacta: 32.00
CSF: 28.56
Tricast: 200.50
Trifecta: 277.40
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: C Hobson
Distances: Neck, Head
Mart 3/1 F
9 ran
20:15
1. 1 Renesmee 22/1
2. 3 Love Your Work 8/1
3. 6 Salaria 9/2
Tote Win 23.00
Places 5.60, 2.30, 2.20
Exacta: 247.70
CSF: 192.66
Tricast: 954.25
Trifecta: 1572.40
Winning Jockey: K S McHugh
Winning Trainer: Michael Keady
Distances: 4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Glorious Kitty 3/1 F
11 ran
Non Runners 7 11 12

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 6 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday November 6 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 7 of the races are handicaps for me to look at ~ two are nursery handicaps for 2yo horses. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by 43yr old PJ McDonald (𝕏) ~ he has 4 rides this afternoon.


Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.


Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PJ McDONALD

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 6 Nov 2025 2:45 Newcastle 2yo Nursery Handicap 7f James Ferguson LORD CLOUGHAN
  • 6 Nov 2025 3:20 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Jedd O'Keefe PERCY WILLIS
  • 6 Nov 2025 4:30 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Andrew Balding ROKER ROAR
  • 6 Nov 2025 5:00 Newcastle Handicap 5f Paul Midgely LETHAL NYMPH

Multibet Players: A small stakes win yankee is not the worst bet in the world for Mulrennan's 4 rides as noted above this evening.


Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:20 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp ❖ Percy Willis (20/1) is way overpriced. Has some reasonable runs in his Newcastle form. Dangerous to them all with McDonald taking the ride again today.


3:20 Newc ~ Win Bet: 20/1 Percy Willis (3rd 25/1)


5:00 Newcastle ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Lethal Nymph (5/1) is in good form and this looks like one of his least competetive races for a good while. Goes well for McDonald.


5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Lethal Nymph (Won 4/1)



Newcastle Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

2:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
20/1 Percy Willis. (3rd 25/1) Midfield, driven and progress over 1f out, stayed on one pace, 3rd.

3:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
5/1 Lethal Nymph. (Won 4/1) Chased leaders, effort over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on, 1st.
Returns: £5.00

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £5.00

Total: + £3.00

Newcastle Results - Thursday November 6 2025. Going: standard
14:10
1. 3 Parisian Scholar 5/2
2. 2 Likeness 9/4F
Tote Win 3.50
Places ,
Exacta: 7.90
CSF: 8.27
Trifecta: 24.40
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 1 1/2 length
Likeness 9/4 F
4 ran
14:45
1. 6 Secret Testimony 50/1
2. 3 Lion of Mali 5/2
3. 1 Mereside Princess 33/1
Tote Win 60.50
Places 8.70, 1.20, 4.20
Exacta: 391.80
CSF: 173.45
Tricast: 4472.30
Trifecta: 2659.00
Winning Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Winning Trainer: D Carroll
Distances: Nose, 1 1/2 length
Lord Cloughan 2/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 10
15:20
1. 3 Without Compromise 2/1F
2. 1 Molinari 7/2
3. 8 Percy Willis 25/1
Tote Win 2.90
Places 1.10, 1.40, 5.10
Exacta: 8.80
CSF: 8.47
Tricast: 116.82
Trifecta: 210.80
Winning Jockey: Cameron Hardie
Winning Trainer: A Brittain
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Without Compromise 2/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 10
15:55
1. 2 Fashion People 1/2F
2. 3 Heart Beats True 13/2
Tote Win 1.50
Places 1.10, 1.70
Exacta: 5.40
CSF: 4.59
Trifecta: 9.00
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths
Fashion People 1/2 F
6 ran
16:30
1. 1 Be Patient 11/1
2. 5 Glory Of The Seas 3/1
3. 8 Norman Invasion 12/1
Tote Win 12.00
Places 3.20, 1.20, 3.10
Exacta: 49.00
CSF: 43.75
Trifecta: 751.00
Winning Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Winning Trainer: E Bethell
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Emtinan 9/4 F
10 ran
17:00
1. 6 Lethal Nymph 4/1
2. 3 Sturlasson 10/3
3. 1 Emperor Spirit 22/1
Tote Win 5.60
Places 1.90, 2.00, 3.10
Exacta: 23.10
CSF: 17.93
Tricast: 257.65
Trifecta: 359.90
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: P T Midgley
Distances: 1 length, Nose
Bonnie's Boy 5/2 F
8 ran
17:30
1. 1 Coramento 11/4F
2. 8 Imola 10/3
3. 6 Concert Boy 7/2
Tote Win 3.75
Places 1.70, 2.10, 1.30
Exacta: 17.60
CSF: 12.13
Tricast: 34.64
Trifecta: 43.70
Winning Jockey: O J Orr
Winning Trainer: D Thompson
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 3/4 length
Coramento 11/4 F
12 ran
Non Runners 4 14
18:00
1. 12 Korroor 4/1
2. 13 Yorkshire Glory 10/3
3. 8 Catherine Chroi 3/1F
Tote Win 6.20
Places 2.60, 1.40, 2.30
Exacta: 30.50
CSF: 17.91
Tricast: 48.30
Trifecta: 119.80
Winning Jockey: T Kiely-Marshall
Winning Trainer: Miss J A Camacho
Distances: 1 length, 1 length
Catherine Chroi 3/1 F
14 ran
18:30
1. 13 Bishop's Glory 22/1
2. 1 Haworth Star 16/1
3. 4 Masterclass 10/1
Tote Win 31.80
Places 7.80, 7.80, 3.40
Exacta: 780.20
CSF: 347.92
Tricast: 3745.25
Trifecta: 1896.60
Winning Jockey: Mr Andrea Pinna
Winning Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Bibendum 10/3 F
14 ran

Labels:

2 AW Meetings Tomorrow For The 6th Nov 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

2 meetings on the All Weather circuit for tomorrow evening.

Looking at the AWR schedule, we have ❯ 6th November 2025
  • ❖ Chelmsford City (Evening) (All Weather) (Flat) | Racecards |
  • ❖ Newcastle (Evening/Twilight) (All Weather) (Flat) | Racecards |

The Newcastle meeting is arguably an afternoon meeting, starting at 2:10. Let's call it twilight. I hope to can catch a winner or two. Bust that AW Code. Cheers, good luck out there.

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