Marhaba The Champ Wins @ York

4:15 Marhaba The Champ (9/1) looked back on it last time up. The extra couple of furlongs will make all the difference. Well backed evens fav Dramatic Star has been gelded since his last run. The procedure does not always work out for the better.

I would say The Champ should be arguably the 4/1 2nd fav, even though it's his AW debut. It seems he's had the extra overround added to his price exclusively. The 9/1 is worth a bet.

5:55 Muker (20/1) has apprentice jockey Alex Jary aboard claiming a handy 5lb. That means if Jary makes no errors, Muker is carrying 79.

The pair nearly nicked a C2 hcp at 80/1 a run ago back at Southwell, on the AW. I think he's worth a slippery punt in this C3, back on the Poly. The straight 6 at Newcastle is a bonus for my old Muker.

Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
~~9/1 Marhaba The Champ.~~ (Unplaced 9/1) mid-division on inside, pushed along and made no impression over 2f out, 8th.

4:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:25 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
~~20/1 Muker.~~ (2nd 18/1) mid-division far side, ridden 2f out, headway final furlong, soon went 2nd, stayed on well, always held, 2nd.

6:25 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:25 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:25 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles = £2.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £2.00

Blogged up at 14:49, Tuesday, October 22, 2024 by the Sandracer.

0 Comment(s)

5:25 Boujee Gold (9/1) looks set to be right up there today. The booking of Luke Morris is worthy of note.

A race that won't take much winning. The strong handling of Morris will make the difference hopefully.

5:25 Bella Bisbee (20/1) ran so poorly last time out I'm putting a line through it. She was held up at the back and stayed there. She would be half the price she is today, based upon her 2 runs before last.

Luke Morris takes the reigns on this one also. I expect hold up tactics will be employed. I suspect the idea will be to get her at it a bit earlier under the urgings of Morris this time.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:20 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:50 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:25 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
~~9/1 Boujee Gold.~~ (Unplaced 15/1) rousted along from stalls, caught 3 wide 1st bend trying to get a position, stuck 3 wide for whole race, no chance from out there at Dunstall Park, 12th.

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta) (fillies only hcp)
~~20/1 Bella Bisbee.~~ (Unplaced 14/1) slowly into stride, towards rear, switched right over 1f out, never dangerous, 7th.

8:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles = £2.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £2.00

Blogged up at 16:18, Monday, October 21, 2024 by the Sandracer.

1 Comment(s)

5:08 Lyndon B (11/1) hasn't had much in the way of luck trying to weave his way through from the back lately. He's looked threatening and is clearly in decent form, but no cigar.

I think the extra furlong added to the first time try on the AW in public will see him go past them all this evening.

Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

4:05 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:08 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
~~11/1 Lyndon B.~~ (4th 12/1) started very slowly, lost 4 or 5 lengths, ran on off final bend, beaten in 4th by 3 lengths, unlucky loser again, 4th.

5:43 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Blogged up at 15:21, by the Sandracer.

1 Comment(s)

UK Biden Punters Hit Hard - For £8 million - Before The Race Even Started:

The current Betfair betting exchange tally for money staked on Joe Biden to be the next American president is currently £8,144,587.77. That's just with UK punters I presume. How many ante post bets on Biden went down in America and around the world is anyone's guess. Can you say bloodbath?

I can't tell you for sure it's the biggest amount of money lost on a non runner, but I can't imagine how it's far off. To be honest, when it comes to being a big ante post loser, it's an off the charts loss. I can't recall anything of the like.

What I can say for sure, is when Kamala Harris took over the nomination to be the 2024 Democrat nominee for Potus, £8m was lost in an instant.

Current Potus Market Position:
What strikes me about the current state of the market, is how much the prices have moved just this week. 7 days ago it was neck and neck, pretty much even money who you like. Now Donald Trump has drawn into a clear lead as the 4/6fav.

This table is an illustration on money taken on the market, plus the current prices as they are right now (Oct 20, 2024), with a couple of weeks to go until election day (Nov 5, 2024).

USA - Presidential Election 2024

💰 Total Amount Staked On The Betfair UK Market: £95,056,329.47

💰 Total Amount Staked Per Candidate ↙

Donald Trump 👱🏽‍♂️: £50,661,681.38 Current Odds: 4/6f

Kamala Harris 👩🏾‍⚖: £30,491,793.04 Current Odds: 6/4

Joe Biden 👨‍🦳: £8,143,848.90 Current Odds: 1000/1

Michelle Obama 👩🏾‍🎤: £1,229,310.50 Current Odds: 580/1

Robert F. Kennedy Jr 👱‍♂️: £805,699.28 Current Odds: 980/1

Hillary Clinton 👱‍♀️: £227,095.18 Current Odds: 630/1

JD Vance 👨‍: £177,406.85 Current Odds: 280/1

Mike Pence 👨‍🦳: £72,924.96 Current Odds: 1000/1

Tim Walz 👨🏻‍🌾: £46,086.71 Current Odds: 1000/1

Blogged up at 19:31, Sunday, October 20, 2024 by the Sandracer.

7 Comment(s)

Ernies Valentine Wins @ Kempton

7:00 Ernies Valentine (14/1) goes off a career low 69 if you factor in the 3lb claim of jockey Conor Planas. That's a 9lb dive in 2 months.

He'll only win if he turns up in anything like the form he was running at in June this year. I thought he showed up ok last run and hinted at a possible return to some form.

The extra furlong, a relenting handicapper, the 3lb claim, nice draw in trap 1, maybe it will be Ernies Valentine day tonight..

All in all, the 14/1 is a reasonable betting opportunity. Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:27 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
~~14/1 Ernies Valentine.~~ (4th 22/1) mid-division, headway and switched right over 1f out, no extra towards finish, 4th.

7:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Wolverhampton (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Blogged up at 16:43, Saturday, October 19, 2024 by the Sandracer.

1 Comment(s)