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Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Tonight's seven race Newcastle AW evening meeting starts with the 5:00 and ends with the 8:30. Five handicaps and two novices to sift through. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Jason Hart 𝕏 ~ he has six rides.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON HART

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 13 Apr 2026 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston SOVEREIGN BRIGHT
• 13 Apr 2026 6:30 Newcastle 3-5yo Novice Stakes 7f Charlie Johnston EAGLE THUNDER
• 13 Apr 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 6f Paul Midgely GRANT WOOD ✅
• 13 Apr 2026 7:30 Newcastle 3yo+ Maiden 1m John & Sean Quinn MASTER OF ENTROPY
• 13 Apr 2026 8:00 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ivan Furtado TEGGY LASSO ✅
• 13 Apr 2026 8:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Paul Midgley ROCK OF ENGLAND ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

7:00 Newcastle ❖ 6f C3 Hcp ❖ Grant Wood (8/1) won well enough over the C&D the last time he ran here to very possibly defy an 8lb rise.. We shall see. At the 8/1 on offer, I'll play. Especially with Jason Hart taking the reins today.

7:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Grant Wood (Unp 13/2)

8:00 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Teggy Lasso (8/1) is sneaking up behind them unnoticed formwise for the grade and distance. I fele the booking of Hart today will be significant. I believe this pairing can win this outright.

8:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Teggy Lasso (4th 8/1)

8:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Rock Of England (8/1) has the form in the book to win this on previous efforts. I am guessing he needed the last run after a break. If he's spot on now, he can win this with Jason Hart doing the steering.

8:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Rock Of England

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's eight race card that features seven handicaps no less.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides Rossa Ryan 𝕏 has booked ~ he has five rides later today.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 11 Apr 2026 5:15 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Tony Carroll TORTURED SOUL ✅
• 11 Apr 2026 6:15 Southwell Handicap 5f Ed Crisford COMIC STRIP
• 11 Apr 2026 6:45 Southwell Handicap 7f Ed Dunlop KITTY'S DREAM (Non Runner)
• 11 Apr 2026 7:15 Southwell Handicap 7f Tony Carroll AUTUMN ANGEL ✅
• 11 Apr 2026 7:45 Southwell Handicap 6f Mike Murphy JESSE LUC ✅

Southwell Betting Analysis

5:15 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C5 Hcp ❖ Tortured Soul (9/2) won over the C&D last time he ran here.

Conclusion: Carries a couple of pound more this time, but I think he'll go in again regardless with Rossa Ryan on board today instead of claimer Jack Doughty.

5:15 South ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Tortured Soul (2nd 9/2)

7:15 Southwell ❖7f C6 Hcp ❖ Autumn Angel (15/2) will be competetive against these today.

Conclusion: She's a bit in and out, but ran well under Ryan last time out. She should be giving the two main rivals shortest in the betting a real run for thier money today.

7:15 South ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Autumn Angel (3rd 11/1)

7:45 Southwell ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Jesse Luc (4/1) regularly competes well from this kind of mark.

Conclusion: Is never far away over the distance from this mark. With Rossa Ryan taking the ride, I can see him winning this outright this evening.

7:45 South ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Jesse Luc (3rd 7/2)

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's seven race card that features five handicaps and three other nondescript races I won't be paying much mind to. Yes, I prefer handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides Oisin Murphy 𝕏 has booked ~ he has three rides today.

Additionally, I think Cieren Fallon jr 𝕏 is slightly underestimated on the AW. He has two rides booked for races later on in the meeting that Murphy is not entered into.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 9 Apr 2026 3:17 Southwell Handicap 5f Paul Midgely SPRING IS SPRUNG ✅
• 9 Apr 2026 3:47 Southwell 3yo Fillies Novice Stakes 6f Tom Ward GOT THE BOOTY
• 9 Apr 2026 4:25 Southwell Handicap 2m Andrew Balding PEAKY BLINDER

Jockey CIEREN FALLON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 9 Apr 2026 4:55 Southwell Handicap 1m Will Knight TILTED KILT
• 9 Apr 2026 5:25 Southwell Handicap 1m Ian Williams AKRIVOS (Non Runner)

Southwell Betting Analysis

3:17 Southwell ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Spring Is Sprung (3/1) looks weighted to stick it to the favourite Fidelius again.

Conclusion: Interesting race because the favourite has been beaten by Spring Is Sprung before, on better terms, but is still the fav. I'll just have to take the 3/1 (10/3 in a place) and hopefuly watch Oisin Murphy collect for me again.

3:17 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Spring Is Sprung (4th 15/8f)

Kempton AW Code Breaker

I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible. We have an eight race card with five handicaps on offer for us to hopefully find a winner.

❖ Jockeys ❖ Obvious choice is Champion Jockey Oisin Murphy 𝕏 ~ he has six rides booked. Secondarily, I always like to keep on the right side of Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ he has eight rides on the card.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Oisin Murphy or Billy Loughnane is on is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Kempton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 8 Apr 2026 5:00 Kempton 3yo+ C3 Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 3f Andrew Balding LITTLECOTE
• 8 Apr 2026 5:30 Kempton 3yo+ C4 Maiden (div 1) 1m Andrew Balding TURRET
• 8 Apr 2026 6:00 Kempton 3yo+ C4 Maiden (div 2) 1m David Menuisier GET OUTTA HERE
• 8 Apr 2026 6:30 Kempton Handicap 7f Richard Spencer ATMOSPHERE
• 8 Apr 2026 7:00 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f James Fanshawe CLUB CLASS
• 8 Apr 2026 8:00 Kempton Handicap 6f Richard Spencer TEARDROPS ✅

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 8 Apr 2026 5:00 Kempton 3yo+ C3 Fillies Novice Stakes 1m 3f Charlie Appleby ROMANTIC SYMPHONY
• 8 Apr 2026 5:30 Kempton 3yo+ C4 Maiden (div 1) 1m George Boughey BUMAAN
• 8 Apr 2026 6:00 Kempton 3yo+ C4 Maiden (div 2) 1m George Boughey ZATSGOOD
• 8 Apr 2026 6:30 Kempton Handicap 7f Mark Loughnane STATE OF MADNESS ✅
• 8 Apr 2026 7:00 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f John Butler RASTNET
• 8 Apr 2026 7:30 Kempton Handicap 6f Ollie Sangster CRYINGINTHERAIN
• 8 Apr 2026 8:00 Kempton Handicap 6f Jamie Insole INITIAL BLUE
• 8 Apr 2026 8:30 Kempton Handicap 1m 4f Ed Dunlop IWANTMYTIMEWITHYOU ✅

Kempton Betting Analysis

6:30 Kempton ❖ 7f C5 Handicap ❖ State Of Madness (6/1) is upped in trip which I think will be suitable. With Loughnane aboard I think he'll be all over the fav at the end of the race.

6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 6/1 State Of Madness (Unp 13/2)

8:00 Kempton ❖ 6f C6 Handicap ❖ Teardrops (8/1) has Oisin Murphy doing the steering this evening and I think the pair of them have a strong chance the outright win at a very reasonable looking 8/1.

8:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Teardrops (4th 15/2)

8:30 Kempton ❖ 1m 4f C6 Handicap ❖ Iwantmytimewithyou (5/1) has Loughnane aboard and come from the Dunlop stable, who I presume have the horse ready to go after a break judging by the small, but downwards move in the betting.

8:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Iwantmytimewithyou (2nd 11/2)

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's eight race card that features no less than seven handicaps from the 8 on the offer. This is a good thing ~ much prefer the handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides Hector Crouch 𝕏 has booked ~ he has a 23% strike rate here this season currently. He has three rides booked.

Additionally, Mr Maverick himself Jamie Spencer 𝕏 has a 23% strike rate here this season also, so he knows the track, that's for sure. He has a couple of rides worth scrutinising.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Apr 2026 6:00 Southwell Handicap 1m Ed Dunlop MAGICAL MERLOT
• 7 Apr 2026 6:30 Southwell Handicap 6f Ed Dunlop FANJOVE ✅
• 7 Apr 2026 8:00 Southwell 3yo+ Fillies Novice Stakes 7f Jack Jones CONFIDE IN ME

Jockey JAMIE SPENCER

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Apr 2026 6:00 Southwell Handicap 1m Ollie Sangster DEPORTED ✅
• 7 Apr 2026 7:00 Southwell Handicap 1m Ian Williams UNITING ✅

Southwell Betting Analysis

6:00 Southwell ❖ 1m C4 3yo Hcp ❖ Deported (5/1) has an obvious chance, even as a odds on beaten fav last time.

Conclusion: Last time out ~ 8/11 beaten fav in a lower grade race than today's, means we get a reasonable price. The Sangster yard will certainly be expecting a better run from the horse and Spencer too.

❖ The easier track at Southwell should provide the type of gallop needed, rather than the tricky Wolverhampton he ran on last time out.

6:00 South ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Deported (4th 7/1)

6:30 Southwell ❖ 6f C5 3yo Hcp ❖ Fanjove (7/1) is the one they have to beat I say.

Conclusion: Returns after a 6 month break. Looks to me the horse only knows how to run well looking at his form figures. I expect the Dunlop yard have him ready to go. Crouch will do thr steering. I think he's fav material, so I'll take the 7/1 on offer all day.

6:30 South ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Fanjove (4th 6/1)

7:00 Southwell ❖ 1m C4 3yo Hcp ❖ Uniting (7/1) The Racing Mile Series Final Handicap has been rescheduled from the fixture at Chelmsford the BHA vetoed last week.

Conclusion: The galloping track at Chelmsford would have suited Uniting. I think the switch to Southwell will be right up his street due to the course similarities.

❖ I expect a big run. I am betting Jamie Spencer works the oracle in the big race, with hold up tactics and a late flourish, as he's been known to do before ~ and then some.

7:00 South ~ Win Bet: 7/1 Uniting