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Chelmsford Bets - Thurs Feb 29 2024 (evening meeting)

8:30 Mr Trick (9/1) won the last time he tackled this C&D at 3/1. Today he is rated a 1lb higher. You can get 9/1 if you shop about. 10/1 atm on the exchanges.

Astute punters will note the draw: Drawn in 3 last time, he tracked wide and still won. Trap 10 should be no problem. The wide sweeping bends at Chelmsford pretty much negate the draw. Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Polytrack - Standard.

5:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
9/1 Mr Trick. (Unplaced 9/1) held up in rear, some late minor headway never threatened, 8th.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Posted at 15:12, Thursday, February 29, 2024 by the Sandracer.

Kempton Bets - Wed Feb 28 2024 (evening meeting)

7:00 7yo Gavi Di Gavi (12/1) has tripled in price overnight from 4/1 out to 12's. I see a bunch of horses fighting for the lead. I see a 13/8 jolly that hasn't run for 6 months.

I foresee 2 horses coming past the lot of them. Gavi Di Gavi (drawn 1) up the cuttaway on the inside at 12/1. Eligible (drawn 6) going the long way round on the outside at half the price.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

5:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
12/1 Gavi Di Gavi. (Unplaced 9/1) towards rear, some headway under 3f out, outpaced and no impression from 2f out, 7th.

7:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Posted at 15:16, Wednesday, February 28, 2024 by the Sandracer.

Southwell Bets - Tues Feb 27 2024 (evening meeting)

8:30 Ivan Furtado and the 9yo May Remain (14/1) reoppose the 4yo 5/2 fav Sassy Redhead 3lb worse off for a 1/2 a length win. Obviously the prevailing wind is with the jolly doing some overturning. I say not so much.

If May Remain pops out and leads today, the fav will need to stop pulling for it's head in this larger field, or he'll get bossed up by the old head again. 7lb claimer Elle-May Croot retains the ride. She knows what to do.

The doubling of May Remain's 7/1 winning price from then helps. He was a 6/1 on the tissue yesterday. 8/1 early odds last night. 14/1 freely available today. 25 on the exchanges. I'll take my chances.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

5:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
14/1 May Remain. (Unplaced 16/1) chased leaders, shaken up over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong, 5th.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Posted at 14:29, Tuesday, February 27, 2024 by the Sandracer.

Chelmsford Bets - Sat Feb 24 2024 (evening meeting)

7:50 Further Measure (12/1) is down to a lowly 57 from a high of 89 when he arrived from France 3 years ago. His best run was over the C&D at 84.

I know nothing of 7lb claimer J R Lyons and virtually nothing about trainers Murphy and Keady.

What I do know is the horse is effectively carrying 50 with the claimer on board. I thought he ran ok 2 races ago over the mile at Kempton.

On his 5th run for his new yard, if he's actually racing fit, which he should be by now, he could be 2 stone in on the dark side. I've seen many horses with a similar profile win by 10 lengths at a price. Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Polytrack - Standard.

5:20 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:50 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:20 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:50 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:20 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:50 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
12/1 Further Measure. (Unplaced 9/1 from 12's) soon prominent, pushed along on outside over 1f out, held final furlong, kept on, 3rd

8:20 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Posted at 18:42, Saturday, February 24, 2024 by the Sandracer.

Southwell Bets - Sat Feb 24 2024 (afternoon meeting)

3:20 109 rated Military Order (2/1) takes on the 120 rated and 2023 AW Derby defending champion Lord North (7/5f). I find the fav without a recent run, plus no Southwell form. Unbackable as far as I'm concerned, classy as he is.

Military Order's pipe opener 2nd over the C&D a month ago is solid. He's the one they have to beat. I doubt they will.

6:35 Visibility (25/1) picked up a C&D win from a 1lb lower 3 months ago, 11/1. Today from a 1lb higher, you can get 25's he does it again. 3lb claimer Elisha Whittington will be hoping to repeat that run too. Cheers, Sandracer.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard

14:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta) (55k, Listed, Class 1, Hever 5f Sprint) (ITV)
# No Bet.

15:20 Southwell (AW Tapeta) (100k, Group 3, C1, 11f Winter Derby) (ITV)
2/1 Military Order. (Won 9/4) chased leaders, ridden 2f out, headway to lead over 1f out, ran on well, 1st.
Returns: £3.25

15:55 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

16:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

17:05 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

17:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

18:05 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

18:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
25/1 Visibility. (Unplaced 25/1) held up in mid-division, pushed along turning in, no headway, 7th.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles = £2.00
Returns: £3.25
Total: Plus £1.25

Posted at 12:22, by the Sandracer.

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