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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon rolls into Chelmsford this evening starting with the 5:30. A 7 race card with 5 handicaps to pick from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ No particular jockey catches my eye for this evening's meeting. I think I'll be going through each race one by one ~ old school formreading style.

Mason Paetel for example, has a single ride for the James Owen stable, which he'll probably win.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey MASON PAETEL

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Mar 2026 6:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f James Owen CAPTAIN PARMA ✅

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:30 Chelmsford ❖ 7f C4 Hcp. ❖ Captain Parma (3/1) won well enough over the C&D in a C5. He now tackles a C4 with the obligatory 6lb penalty for that 2l win. I'll follow him in I think.

6:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Captain Parma (3rd 9/4f)

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Labels: All-Weather-Code

Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

I will be trying to Crack The Wolverhampton AW code in as few words as possible. This afternoon's televised seven race card features five handicaps and the listed C1 Listed Lady Wulfrana.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am looking to this follow this afternoon are Oisin Murphy 𝕏 and the youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ both ride the quirky Wolverhampton track very well.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw is essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Give a close up look on form to anything Oisin Murphy and Billy Loughnane are on.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Mar 2026 2:05 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Tony Carroll CINQUE VERDE
• 7 Mar 2026 2:42 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Andrew Balding THE LOST KING
• 7 Mar 2026 3:15 Wolverhampton Lady Wulfrana Stakes 7f Andrew Balding COOL HOOF LUKE

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Mar 2026 2:05 Wolverhampton Handicap 6f Richard Hughes KNEBWORTH ✅
• 7 Mar 2026 2:42 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m Ed Dunlop SUPERPOSITION
• 7 Mar 2026 3:15 Wolverhampton Lady Wulfrana Stakes 7f Marco Botti PRINCE OF INDIA ✅
• 7 Mar 2026 4:25 Wolverhampton Handicap 5f Joe Ponting COLORS OF FREEDOM
• 7 Mar 2026 5:35 Wolverhampton Handicap 1m 1f Mark Loughnane ARCADIAN NIGHTS ✅

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

2:05 Wolverhampton ❖ 6f C3 Hcp ❖ Knebworth (11/2) wins these types of races from this kind of mark in his turn. From trap 4, Loughnane on board, now back on top form winning last time out after a break, I think he'll just about squeeze this one in front of the ITV cameras.

2:05 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 11/2 Knebworth (Won 7/2 from 11/2)

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3:15 Wolverhampton ❖ 7f C1 Lady Wulfrana ❖ Prince Of India (3/1) should be clear fav as far as I can see. The 3/1 on offer is a reasonable betting proposition.

3:15 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Prince Of India (Unp 2/1f)

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5:35 Wolverhampton ❖ 9.5f C4 Hcp ❖ Arcadian Nights (5/1) has the form in the book to win this. The benchmark horse as far as I'm concerned going from stall 5 with Loughnane riding.

5:35 Wolver ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Arcadian Nights (Unp 4/1)

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Wolverhampton Results - Saturday March 7 2026. Going: standard

14:05 1. 5 Knebworth 7/2 2. 10 Addarella 66/1 3. 7 Silky Wilkie 9/1 Tote Win 4.50 Places 1.80, 7.50, 2.50 Exacta: 79.10 CSF: 179.95 Tricast: 1934.17 Trifecta: 688.90 Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane Winning Trainer: R Hughes Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 3/4 length Kullazain 11/4 F 9 ran Non Runners 9	14:42 1. 6 The Lost King 3/1F 2. 7 First Principle 5/1 3. 2 Two Tempting 10/1 Tote Win 4.00 Places 1.80, 2.10, 3.10 Exacta: 21.70 CSF: 18.05 Tricast: 141.06 Trifecta: 180.00 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: A M Balding Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1/2 length The Lost King 3/1 F 12 ran
15:15 1. 1 Cool Hoof Luke 11/4 2. 3 Heathcliff 20/1 3. 4 Marshman 11/1 Tote Win 3.75 Places 1.30, 4.00, 2.90 Exacta: 37.10 CSF: 53.72 Trifecta: 242.00 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: A M Balding Distances: 1/2 length, Neck Prince Of India 2/1 F 8 ran	15:50 1. 4 Zambezi River 8/13F 2. 2 Showcasing Star 5/4 Tote Win 1.62 Places , Exacta: 1.50 CSF: 1.75 Trifecta: 1.40 Winning Jockey: Harry Davies Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford Distances: 1 1/4 length Zambezi River 8/13 F 3 ran Non Runners 3
16:25 1. 5 Kento 5/4F 2. 1 Henery Hawk 9/2 Tote Win 2.25 Places 1.20, 2.50 Exacta: 8.40 CSF: 7.47 Trifecta: 20.60 Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan Winning Trainer: A W Carroll Distances: 3/4 length Kento 5/4 F 7 ran	17:00 1. 7 Sands of Seve 12/1 2. 2 Elashgar 5/6F Tote Win 13.40 Places 5.30, 1.20 Exacta: 33.70 CSF: 23.03 Trifecta: 87.20 Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex Winning Trainer: R M H Cowell Distances: 3 lengths Elashgar 5/6 F 7 ran
17:35 1. 5 Way Of Life 12/1 2. 6 Mr Nugget 6/1 Tote Win 16.80 Places 5.00, 1.90 Exacta: 61.60 CSF: 78.67 Trifecta: 314.50 Winning Jockey: Olivia Tubb Winning Trainer: J G Portman Distances: Neck Towerlands 6/4 F 6 ran

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday March 6 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Tonight's bumper nine race Newcastle AW evening meeting starts with the 4:26 and ends with the 8:30. Seven handicaps to mull over. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Billy Loughnane 𝕏 who has a 20% strike rate here this season. He has four rides.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 6 Mar 2026 4:26 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Ian Williams GREEN TEAM ✅
• 6 Mar 2026 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m George Boughey CARRON
• 6 Mar 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ian Williams MOYOWASI
• 6 Mar 2026 7:30 Newcastle 4yo+ Classified Stakes 5f Stephen Hanlon FORTUNATE STAR ✅

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:26 Newcastle ❖ 1m 4f C5 Hcp ❖ Green Team (9/1) is plenty good enough to beat these at any distance from 1.5 to 2miles, from half a stone higher to boot. There are only six to beat, ie it's not going to be a battle to get a handy race position from trap four.

With Loughnane aboard, I'll take my chances at the 9/1 on offer, which looks too big to me. The alleged overnight price of a giant looking 16/1 is gone.

4:26 Newc ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Green Team (4th 9/1)

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7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Classified ❖ Fortunate Star (11/4) won a similar classified race 10 days ago and goes again. I figure the result will be much the same with Loughnane up top.

7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 11/4 Fortunate Star (Won 3/1f)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday March 5 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle evening meeting starts with the 4:55. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Paul Mulrennan 𝕏 who rides the Newcastle AW track very well, especially the straight course. He has three rides.

Additionally, I am looking at 5lb claimer Jack Callan 𝕏, who has a strong 24% strike rate here this season, so is obviously worth his allowance.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Mar 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Ben Haslam LIGHTENING COMPANY
• 5 Mar 2026 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 6f Bryan Smart FILLE UNIQUE ✅
• 5 Mar 2026 7:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Bryan Smart CASTAN ✅

Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Mar 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Hugo Palmer MONTY BEAU ✅
• 5 Mar 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Hugo Palmer SOUTH COAST STAR

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:55 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp ❖ Monty Beau (4/1) is running well at present. The 4/1 available is reasonable enough.

4:55 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Monty Beau (Unp 3/1f)

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5:30 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 3yo Hcp ❖ Fille Unique (28/1) is upped in trip to 6f. Shes done nothing wrong on the level. I feel the 28/1 is an out with the washing quote. I think she has a squeak.

There is no harm at the price, of a small stake, win only bet. 45/1 freely available on the exchanges btw.

5:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 28/1 Fille Unique (Unp 18/1)

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7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Castan (9/2) is knocking on the door. With Mulrennan aboard, a half reasonable break will see this one be a winner today against these.

7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Castan (Unp 5/1)

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Thursday March 5 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first AW meeting comes from Lingfield. A seven race card. The races include 6 handicaps and a single maiden for 3-5yo runners.

I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is top level youngster Billy Loughnane 𝕏 ~ he has five rides this afternoon.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Billy Loughnane runners very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 5 Mar 2026 2:53 Lingfield Handicap 5f Mark Loughnane BEAUMADIER
• 5 Mar 2026 3:25 Lingfield Handicap 5f Richard Hughes THE THAMES BOATMAN
• 5 Mar 2026 4:00 Lingfield Handicap 1m 2f Ian Williams AKRIVOS
• 5 Mar 2026 4:33 Lingfield Handicap 1m Stephanie Cassidy PINK SOCKS
• 5 Mar 2026 5:08 Lingfield Handicap 1m 2f Mark Loughnane CRAFTER ✅

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

5:08 Lingfield ❖ 1m 2f Hcp ❖ Crafter (3/1) has the form in the book to run up and down all over these.

5:08 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Crafter (Unp 4/1)

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