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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Sun Dec 28 2025

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Sunday December 28 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's eight race card that features six handicaps, of which one is a nursery hcp for 2yo runners only.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This afternoon I'll be studying all of the Billy Loughnane (𝕏) rides. He has seven rides booked. There will likely be a winner or two to be had from those.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 28 Dec 2025 1:00 Southwell 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m Keving Phillipart De Foy NICATOR
  • 28 Dec 2025 2:10 Southwell 2yo Nursery Handicap 1m George Boughey LAKE COMO
  • 28 Dec 2025 2:45 Southwell 3yo+ Novice Stakes 7f Dan & Claire Kubler BOWFELL
  • 28 Dec 2025 3:20 Southwell Handicap 6f Mark Loughnane INVINCIBLE SPEED ✅
  • 28 Dec 2025 3:50 Southwell Handicap 2m Charlie Johnston SAX APPEAL
  • 28 Dec 2025 4:20 Southwell Handicap 5f Jim & Suzi Best TWILIGHT JET (Non Runner)
  • 28 Dec 2025 4:50 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Mark Loughnane STIPULATION ✅

Southwell Betting Analysis

3:20 Southwell ❖ 6f C5 ❖ Invincible Speed 9/1 is on a winnable mark.

Conclusion: has steadily dropped in the weights to a spot where I thiunk this C5 hcp is well within his scope. The 9/1 on offer is very reasonable and is worth a small stakes, win only bet. The overnight 16/1 on offer has been snapped up.


3:20 South ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Invincible Speed (4th 16/1)

4:50 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C6 ❖ Stipulation 4/1 is upped in trip and down in class.

Conclusion: has an extra furlong to cover which will probably suit him just fine. The drop back down to a C6 will see him come home in front with Loughnane back in the saddle for his father Mark.


4:50 South ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Stipulation (3rd 4/1)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

1:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

1:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:10 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:20 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
9/1 Invincible Speed. (4th 16/1) Big drifter out to 16's, held up in touch, pushed along 2f out, went fourth final furlong, never going pace to threaten, 4th.

3:50 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:20 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:50 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
4/1 Stipulation. (3rd 4/1) Midfield, asked for effort 2f out, went third final furlong, plugged on, 3rd.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Southwell Results - Sunday December 28 2025. Going: Standard
13:00
1. 1 Fight Your Corner 5/2
2. 5 Nicator 2/1
3. 9 Cerelia 15/8F
Tote Win 3.70
Places 1.50, 1.20, 1.20
Exacta: 10.30
CSF: 8.11
Trifecta: 32.80
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 3/4 length, Head
Cerelia 15/8 F
10 ran
13:35
1. 1 Eligible 10/1
2. 2 I'm Workin On It 9/2
3. 5 King David 7/2
Tote Win 11.00
Places 3.20, 2.10, 2.10
Exacta: 62.60
CSF: 55.81
Tricast: 193.08
Trifecta: 206.50
Winning Jockey: Miss Joanna Mason
Winning Trainer: M & D Easterby
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Onemorenomore 3/1 F
9 ran
14:10
1. 1 Lake Como 11/10F
2. 2 Raging Raj 13/8
Tote Win 2.10
Places ,
Exacta: 3.80
CSF: 3.22
Trifecta: 6.70
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: G Boughey
Distances: 2 lengths
Lake Como 11/10 F
4 ran
14:45
1. 5 All Moonshine 9/2
2. 1 Bowfell 4/7F
3. 4 Thequietman 4/1
Tote Win 5.50
Places 1.70, 1.10, 1.60
Exacta: 11.70
CSF: 8.02
Trifecta: 27.10
Winning Jockey: J Watson
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths, 1/2 length
Bowfell 4/7 F
8 ran
15:20
1. 5 Hunky Dory 6/4F
2. 3 Your Love 10/1
3. 4 Em Four 11/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.30, 3.20, 3.10
Exacta: 22.30
CSF: 18.22
Tricast: 124.28
Trifecta: 178.90
Winning Jockey: A Rawlinson
Winning Trainer: M Appleby
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length
Hunky Dory 6/4 F
8 ran
Non Runners 8
15:50
1. 1 Sax Appeal 6/5F
2. 7 Bashful Boy 6/1
3. 6 Dance Time 7/1
Tote Win 2.20
Places 1.10, 1.90, 1.70
Exacta: 9.70
CSF: 9.23
Tricast: 37.97
Trifecta: 29.70
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 3 lengths, 6 1/2 lengths
Sax Appeal 6/5 F
9 ran
16:20
1. 4 Ziggy's Triton 11/2
2. 3 Hiya Maite 15/8F
3. 10 Toolatetonegotiate 15/2
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.00, 1.10, 2.70
Exacta: 22.80
CSF: 16.87
Tricast: 80.72
Trifecta: 93.10
Winning Jockey: D Nolan
Winning Trainer: D O'Meara
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Hiya Maite 15/8 F
9 ran
Non Runners 1 2
16:50
1. 4 Mr Nugget 10/3F
2. 10 Knight Of Magic 12/1
3. 1 Stipulation 4/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.30, 3.20, 2.30
Exacta: 38.80
CSF: 47.15
Tricast: 173.73
Trifecta: 222.00
Winning Jockey: Rowan Scott
Winning Trainer: D M Simcock
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 2 1/4 lengths
Mr Nugget 10/3 F
12 ran
Non Runners 13

Labels:

2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Southwell, 28th December 2025

15:20 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap
Going standard, 8 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Hunky Dory A Rawlinson 5 9 7 6/4 F
Tracked leader, led 2f out, asked for effort 1f out, soon pressed, pulled clear near finish

2nd Your Love George Wood 1 1/4 length 3 9 8 10/1
Midfield, pushed along and progress well over 1f out, challenged strongly final furlong, no extra near finish

3rd Em Four Rob Hornby 3/4 length 4 9 7 11/1
Tracked leaders, shaken up 2f out, stayed on same pace

4th Invincible Speed Billy Loughnane 1 1/2 length 6 9 5 16/1
Held up in touch, pushed along 2f out, went fourth final furlong, never going pace to threaten

5th Fiscal Policy J P Sullivan Neck 1 9 9 15/2
Held up in touch, asked for effort over 2f out, switched left and minor late headway, never a threat

6th True Promise O McSweeney 2 1/4 lengths 2 9 9 9/2
Led, headed 2f out, soon ridden, weakened final furlong

7th Yaaser P Mulrennan 5 lengths 7 9 5 5/1
Very slowly away, held up in last, asked for effort over 2f out, never involved

8th Orbital Chime S James 6 lengths 9 9 1 18/1
Midfield, ridden 2f out, soon held

Blogger Sandracer @ 3:42 pm, December 28, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 28th December 2025

16:50 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap
Going standard, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Mr Nugget Rowan Scott 4 9 8 10/3 F
Held up in touch, shaken up 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on strongly to lead final furlong, ran on

2nd Knight Of Magic Harry Davies 1 1/2 length 10 8 10 12/1
Midfield, improved to lead after 5f, went clear over 2f out, soon ridden, reduced advantage 1f out, headed final furlong, no extra

3rd Stipulation Billy Loughnane 2 1/4 lengths 1 10 0 4/1
Midfield, asked for effort 2f out, went third final furlong, plugged on

4th King Chaos Kaiya Fraser Neck 2 9 11 5/1
Held up in rear, pushed along 2f out, late headway into fourth, never going pace to challenge

5th Spec Of Light Luke Morris Short Head 3 9 11 17/2
Midfield, asked for effort over 2f out, headway over 1f out, plugged on inside last

6th Berkshire Phantom O McSweeney 2 3/4 lengths 5 9 7 11/1
Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong

7th Whatacracker Miss Joanna Mason 1 1/4 length 9 9 4 9/2
Always behind

8th Top Of Pleinmont P Cosgrave 1/2 length 7 9 5 8/1
Midfield, asked for effort over 2f out, switched left well over 1f out, no extra 1f out

9th Broadstone Aiden Brookes 2 1/4 lengths 11 8 10 66/1
Missed break and lost many lengths start, held up in rear, pushed along well over 2f out, never involved

10th Busby Cameron Hardie 3 1/2 lengths 12 8 10 28/1
Led, headed after 5f, shaken up and lost position over 2f out, soon beaten

11th Extrication Rob Hornby 1/2 length 6 9 6 28/1
Midfield, shaken up 2f out, soon no threat

12th Bizarre Law T Eaves 22 lengths 8 9 4 50/1
Missed break and lost many lengths start, always struggling in rear

Blogger Sandracer @ 5:52 pm, December 28, 2025  

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