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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Thurs Oct 30 2025

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Thursday October 30 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's 9 race card that features 7 handicaps, one of which is a fillies only hcp, in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Sean Levey rides and additionally ~ everything that Kieran Shoemark is on. They both ride Southwell equally well with a one in 5 hit rate.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey SEAN LEVEY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 30 Oct 2025 5:30 Southwell Fillies Handicap 1m 3f David Menuisier ROMANTIC SPIRIT ✅
  • 30 Oct 2025 6:00 Southwell Handicap 7f Richard Hannon ANGEL HUNTER
  • 30 Oct 2025 6:30 Southwell Handicap 1m 6f David Menuisier DODDINGTON GUY
  • 30 Oct 2025 7:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Richard Hannon PHAEDRA
  • 30 Oct 2025 8:30 Southwell Handicap 7f Dylan Cunha DESERT BEAUTY ✅

Jockey KIERAN SHOEMARK

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 30 Oct 2025 4:30 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 7f Harry Charlton PHANTOM SHADOW
  • 30 Oct 2025 5:00 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 5f Olly Sangster BIRDCALL
  • 30 Oct 2025 7:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Dr Richard Newland SAN MUNOZ
  • 30 Oct 2025 7:30 Southwell Handicap 1m Paul Attwater MIDNIGHT RAVENS
  • 30 Oct 2025 8:00 Southwell Handicap 7f Michael Wigham INSTANT BOND ✅

Southwell Betting Analysis

5:30 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C5 Hcp ❖ Romantic Spirit (6/1) will be up there.

Conclusion: Always runs her race on the AW. Upped in distance by a couple of furlongs. Reasonably priced and in good form, Sean Levey's aggressive riding style may just be robust enough to keep her head in front.

She got squeezed out last time where I thought she might win. Hopefully not today in this small field over the extended trip.


5:30 South ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Romantic Spirit (Won 9/2)

8:00 Southwell ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Instant Bond (8/1) is the one to oppose the hot fav.

Conclusion: In good nick lately and will take on the Ev money favourite. I think he'll win at a fairly generous looking 8/1. The jolly keeps finding ways to get beat.


8:00 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Instant Bond (4th 13/2)

8:30 Southwell ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Desert Beauty (18/1) is a bit of a shot from left field.

Conclusion: Clearly ridden her best races under Sean Levey. She is not badly treated and has been discounted judging by the price. Turns up when she feels like it ~ I think the trip and Southwell will suit, so I'll take my chances at the huge price. Win only, small stakes.


8:30 South ~ Win Bet: 18/1 Desert Beauty (2nd 14/1)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
♥ 6/1 Romantic Spirit. (Won 9/2) Led from start to finish, kept at it by Levey right up to the line, nice ride, 1st.
Returns: £5.50

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Instant Bond. (4th 13/2) Rear of mid-division, headway over 1f out, lost 3rd well inside final furlong, 4th.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
18/1 Desert Beauty. (2nd 14/1) Slow away, held up in rear, headway and switched left entering final furlong, went 2nd towards finish, stayed on, 2nd.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £5.50

Total: + £2.50

Southwell Results - Thursday Oct 30 2025. Going: Standard
16:30
1. 10 Shafi 4/5F
2. 8 Maskatto 8/1
3. 7 Heart Sign 8/1
Tote Win 1.80
Places 1.10, 2.40, 2.50
Exacta: 9.40
CSF: 8.59
Trifecta: 45.90
Winning Jockey: D Allan
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Shafi 4/5 F
11 ran
17:00
1. 1 Birdcall 2/9F
2. 3 Cool Molly 18/1
Tote Win 1.23
Places 1.02, 5.30
Exacta: 4.20
CSF: 7.03
Trifecta: 7.30
Winning Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Winning Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Distances: 2 lengths
Birdcall 2/9 F
5 ran
17:30
1. 6 Romantic Spirit 9/2
2. 3 Aiming High 10/1
Tote Win 5.80
Places 2.50, 2.70
Exacta: 37.00
CSF: 44.09
Trifecta: 114.90
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: D Menuisier
Distances: 3/4 length
Lightning Touch 15/8 F
6 ran
18:00
1. 7 Morte Point 7/2
1. 6 Angel Hunter 4/1
3. 8 Master Richard 12/1
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.80, 2.10, 3.10
Exacta: 11.90
CSF: 9.49
Tricast: 79.35
Trifecta: 88.00
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: Dead Heat, 3/4 length
Dapper Guest 10/3 F
11 ran
18:30
1. 10 Fornido 28/1
2. 9 Captain Robert 11/4F
3. 3 Nunc Est Bibendum 17/2
Tote Win 38.80
Places 7.70, 1.70, 2.30
Exacta: 179.90
CSF: 104.45
Tricast: 748.38
Trifecta: 849.10
Winning Jockey: J F Egan
Winning Trainer: M J Attwater
Distances: Nose, 1 1/2 length
Captain Robert 11/4 F
10 ran
19:00
1. 1 Woodstock City 10/3
2. 3 Covert Legend 6/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 2.10, 2.70
Exacta: 18.50
CSF: 22.56
Trifecta: 49.00
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 2 lengths
Divot 13/8 F
6 ran
19:30
1. 7 Towerlands 22/1
2. 8 Coloane 14/1
3. 3 Shimmering Sands 16/5
Tote Win 24.80
Places 3.40, 2.80, 1.30
Exacta: 180.60
CSF: 290.60
Tricast: 1265.00
Trifecta: 2032.90
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 2 1/4 lengths
Beaming Light 11/8 F
8 ran
20:00
1. 4 Ardaddy 16/1
2. 5 Latin 6/4F
3. 6 Imola 4/1
Tote Win 17.10
Places 5.10, 1.20, 1.80
Exacta: 53.00
CSF: 40.69
Tricast: 126.11
Trifecta: 248.90
Winning Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Winning Trainer: Grant Tuer
Distances: 3/4 length, 1/2 length
Latin 6/4 F
11 ran
20:30
1. 1 Spun To Gold 9/4F
2. 8 Desert Beauty 14/1
3. 6 Urban Dandy 12/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places 1.40, 3.90, 2.50
Exacta: 31.00
CSF: 35.91
Tricast: 318.33
Trifecta: 197.60
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1/2 length
Spun To Gold 9/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 4

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Race Result - Southwell, 30th October 2025

17:30 Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Fillies' Handicap
Going standard, 6 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Romantic Spirit S M Levey 6 9 4 9/2
Made all, ridden over 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong

2nd Aiming High Georgia Dobie 3/4 length 3 10 0 10/1
Held up in rear, switched left and headway 2f out, chased winner over 1f out, kept on, held towards finish

3rd Jindri Harry Davies 3/4 length 5 9 9 4/1
Held up behind leaders, closed and not much room over 2f out, chased winner briefly over 1f out, 3rd and held inside final furlong

4th Gold Penny R Havlin 6 lengths 4 9 10 3/1
Chased leader after 2f, not much room over 2f out, soon beaten, no impression over 1f out

5th Lightning Touch Jack Mitchell 1/2 length 2 10 0 15/8 F
Prominent 2f, chased leaders, ridden 2f out, lost place over 1f out

6th Letiza Harrison Shaw Short Head 1 10 1 22/1
Broke well, held up in touch, effort over 2f out, no extra over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:50 pm, October 30, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 30th October 2025

20:00 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Ardaddy Oliver Stammers 4 9 7 16/1
Chased leader, led 2f out, ran on well inside final furlong

2nd Latin Paddy Bradley 3/4 length 5 9 6 6/4 F
In touch in mid-division, switched left and headway over 2f out, chased winner over 1f out, held but kept on inside final furlong

3rd Imola Mr Andrea Pinna 1/2 length 6 9 5 4/1
Slowly away, towards rear, headway over 1f out, went 3rd well inside final furlong, kept on

4th Instant Bond Kieran Shoemark 1/2 length 1 9 9 13/2
Rear of mid-division, headway over 1f out, lost 3rd well inside final furlong

5th No Nay Nevermind A Mullen 4 lengths 3 9 7 25/1
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, no extra inside final furlong

6th Rory Lauren Young 1/2 length 9 9 0 11/2
Slowly away, towards rear, stayed on inside final furlong, nearest finish

7th Al Baahy Jack Mitchell 1 1/4 length 2 9 8 11/1
Mid-division, effort over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

8th Blue Seeker S M Levey 1 1/2 length 8 9 4 28/1
Off the pace in mid-division, outpaced over 2f out, no impression

9th Jimmy Henry T Eaves 1 length 11 8 12 22/1
Chased leaders, outpaced over 2f out, soon weakened

10th Sands Of Dubai B McHugh 1 1/4 length 7 9 5 16/1
Broke very well and led, headed 2f out, weakened from over 1f out

11th Barney's Bay Miss Joanna Mason 9 1/2 lengths 10 9 0 66/1
Blindfold removed late and slow away, always in rear

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:51 pm, October 30, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 30th October 2025

20:30 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)
Going standard, 9 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Spun To Gold P Mulrennan 1 9 9 9/4 F
Chased leaders, led over 1f out, ran on well inside final furlong

2nd Desert Beauty S M Levey 1 1/4 length 8 9 3 14/1
Slow away, held up in rear, headway and switched left entering final furlong, went 2nd towards finish, stayed on

3rd Urban Dandy D Nolan 1/2 length 6 9 6 12/1
Mid-division, headway over 1f out, switched left inside final furlong, kept on

4th Von Krolock Paddy Bradley 3/4 length 7 9 6 11/2
Led, switched right over 2f out, headed over 1f out, stayed on same pace final furlong

5th Magna Molly Gunn 1 length 9 9 0 18/1
Chased leaders, closed 3f out, no extra inside final 100 yards

6th Elvetham R Havlin Neck 3 9 8 11/2
Mid-division, headway over 3f out, weakened inside final furlong

7th Charlatan Georgia Dobie Head 2 9 8 14/1
Held up in rear, switched left over 2f out, headway over 1f out, no extra inside final 100 yards

8th Oselton S B Kirrane 3/4 length 5 9 7 11/4
Held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, weakened inside final fulrong

9th Twilight Poppy Jack Mitchell 13 lengths 10 8 12 50/1
Chased leader, ridden 3f out, lost place 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

Blogger Sandracer @ 10:03 pm, October 30, 2025  

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