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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Thurs Oct 16 2025

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Thursday October 16 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to crack the AW code at Southwell on this evening's 8 race card that features 6 handicaps, one is for fillies only, in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Kieran Shoemark rides ~ he is in 6 races.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether they'll actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey KIERAN SHOEMARK

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 16 Oct 2025 4:55 Southwell Handicap 7f Jack Jones TIEMPO ALEGRE
  • 16 Oct 2025 5:30 Southwell Maiden 7f Simon Crisford EXTRATERRESTRIAL
  • 16 Oct 2025 6:00 Southwell Stakes 6f Lemos De Souza WISETANCK
  • 16 Oct 2025 6:30 Southwell Fillies Hcp 1m Ed Walker MOLLIE FOSTER
  • 16 Oct 2025 8:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 6f Charlie Fellowes BELAYA RIVER ✅
  • 16 Oct 2025 8:30 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f James Owen TAKTEEK

Southwell Betting Analysis

8:00 Southwell ❖ 2m C6 Hcp ❖ Belaya River (2/1f) is a strong fav for me.

Conclusion: Short head defeat over C&D last time. I thought he was unlucky. Shoemark will be looking to get a smoother passage and make amends.


8:00 South ~ Win Bet: 2/1f Belaya River (Unp 3/1)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:55 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
2/1f Belaya River. (Unplaced 3/1) Off the pace and always towards rear, never a factor, poor run, 6th.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Southwell Results - Oct 16 2025. Going: Standard
16:55
1. 4 Captain Parma 7/2
2. 8 Petra Celera 11/1
3. 6 Tattie Bogle 2/1F
Tote Win 3.80
Places 1.40, 3.00, 1.30
Exacta: 44.90
CSF: 26.13
Tricast: 53.59
Trifecta: 221.60
Winning Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length
Tattie Bogle 2/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1
17:30
1. 3 King's Trust 7/4
2. 4 We're Goosers 11/10F
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.40, 1.10
Exacta: 3.90
CSF: 4.04
Trifecta: 10.00
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Neck
We're Goosers 11/10 F
5 ran
18:00
1. 5 Rogue Citation 11/10F
2. 1 Bushwacker 7/2
Tote Win 2.10
Places 1.10, 1.70
Exacta: 4.90
CSF: 5.30
Trifecta: 17.80
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: E Bethell
Distances: Short Head
Rogue Citation 11/10 F
5 ran
18:30
1. 5 Mollie Foster 11/1
2. 1 Madame De Sevigne 4/1
3. 2 Lady Of Arabia 9/2
Tote Win 12.60
Places 3.10, 1.50, 1.90
Exacta: 64.60
CSF: 56.12
Tricast: 233.46
Trifecta: 247.50
Winning Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Winning Trainer: E Walker
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 1/4 length
Purple Rainbow 7/4 F
8 ran
Non Runners 6
19:00
1. 4 Jazz Scene 85/40F
2. 2 Fire Eyes 5/1
3. 8 Heretic 16/1
Tote Win 3.13
Places 1.30, 1.70, 4.40
Exacta: 15.50
CSF: 13.34
Tricast: 135.24
Trifecta: 151.30
Winning Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Winning Trainer: J Parr
Distances: Neck, Neck
Jazz Scene 85/40 F
8 ran
19:30
1. 10 Massimo Blue 14/1
2. 9 Atomic Mass 11/4F
3. 3 Addarella 13/2
Tote Win 15.50
Places 4.20, 1.40, 2.40
Exacta: 76.90
CSF: 54.44
Tricast: 289.51
Trifecta: 492.60
Winning Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Winning Trainer: George Baker
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3 3/4 lengths
Atomic Mass 11/4 F
11 ran
20:00
1. 7 Betelgeuse 7/4F
2. 9 Yurinov 40/1
3. 2 Lahire 11/2
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.40, 8.60, 2.00
Exacta: 75.10
CSF: 81.78
Tricast: 333.37
Trifecta: 405.50
Winning Jockey: Keiran O'Neill
Winning Trainer: S Woods
Distances: 9 lengths, Neck
Betelgeuse 7/4 F
9 ran
20:30
1. 7 Takteek 7/2F
2. 11 Zaeim Alharb 9/1
3. 9 Hickton 11/2
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.80, 2.60, 2.30
Exacta: 35.00
CSF: 36.45
Tricast: 173.18
Trifecta: 205.00
Winning Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: Short Head, 2 lengths
Takteek 7/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 2 3

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Race Result - Southwell, 16th October 2025

20:00 attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap
Going standard, 9 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Betelgeuse Keiran O'Neill 7 9 7 7/4 F
Close 3rd, went 2nd over 3f out, led turning in, ridden clear over 1f out, stayed on well

2nd Yurinov Cameron Hardie 9 lengths 9 9 0 40/1
Held up in 5th, headway into 3rd over 3f out, ridden and no impression final 2f, went modest 2nd towards finish, no chance with winner

3rd Lahire P Mulrennan Neck 2 9 12 11/2
Tracked leader, led 4f out, ridden and headed turning in, chased winner, well held over 1f out, lost 2nd towards finish

4th Balgowan George Downing Head 4 9 10 17/2
Held up in rear, no impression when pushed along in modest 4th 3f out, no chance with winner

5th Inlet D E Hogan 3/4 length 1 9 12 13/2
Slowly into stride, held up in last pair, headway over 3f out, ridden and no impression in 4th turning in, lost modest 4th towards finish

6th Belaya River Kieran Shoemark 7 lengths 8 9 7 3/1
Off the pace and always towards rear, never a factor

7th Sea Master J P Sullivan 61 lengths 6 9 9 16/1
Raced keenly tracking leaders inside, pushed along over 4f out, weakened quickly over 3f out, tailed off

8th Harry The Haggler Miss Laura Pearson 16 lengths 3 9 11 40/1
Led, pushed along and headed 4f out, lost 2nd over 3f out, weakened quickly, tailed off

9th Mr Zippi Harrison Shaw 2 1/4 lengths 5 9 9 14/1
Raced wide towards rear, headway tracking leaders 10f out, pushed along and weakened over 4f out, soon behind, tailed off

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:57 pm, October 16, 2025  

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