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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Fri Oct 31 2025

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Friday October 31 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's 9 race card that features 7 handicaps, one is a 2yo nursery and another is an apprentice only hcp, in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Sean Levey rides and additionally ~ everything that apprentice jockey Jack Callan is on. They both ride Southwell equally well with a one in 5 hit rate. They have 5 rides between them tonight, so theoretically there is a winner there to be had statistically speaking. I'm hoping for two.

#Jockey note to self: Pay attention to spare rides. Missing a winner Sean Levey picked up yesterday after his horse was declared a non runner, after which he jumped on another for the same trainer, is vaguely aggravating. Stay awake old boy.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey SEAN LEVEY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 31 Oct 2025 7:15 Southwell Handicap 1m Richard Hannon AL ARBEED ✅
  • 31 Oct 2025 8:15 Southwell Handicap 1m Richard Hannon OUTRACE ✅

Jockey JACK CALLAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 31 Oct 2025 4:10 Southwell Apprentice Handicap 1m 6f S Woods BETELGEUSE
  • 31 Oct 2025 6:15 Southwell Handicap 5f Mark Loughnane BEAUMADIER ✅
  • 31 Oct 2025 8:15 Southwell Handicap 1m Mark Loughnane DASH POWER

Southwell Betting Analysis

6:15 Southwell ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Beaumadier (8/1) will be up there at the finish.

Conclusion: Over the straight 5f at Southwell, the aid of Jack Callan's claim and strong handling, puts Beuamadier right in the mix at the last knockings of the race. That is of course, if he can stop the horse running off and doing what he likes during the first furlong, which he's known to do. It's his to lose as far I as I can see.

The 8/1, therefore, imo, is twice the price of his true chance of an outright win.


6:15 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Beaumadier (2nd 8/1)

7:15 Southwell ❖ 1m C2 Hcp ❖ Al Arbeed (5/1) returns after a break.

Conclusion: Has won on the course under Levey for the Hannon yard on his track debut and will prove hard to beat returning here. Decent race it is granted.


7:15 South ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Al Arbeed (4th 9/2)

8:15 Southwell ❖ 8f C6 Hcp ❖ Outrace (12/1) has been running terribly since unseating his rider.

Conclusion: I presume the Hannon yard will be expecting this one to find his form again much sooner rather than later, hence the presence of Levey. Carrying 10lb less than when competetive previously, he could well run up and down all over these under the strong handling of Sean Levey.


8:15 South ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Outrace

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:10 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Beaumadier. (2nd 8/1) Prominent, ridden over 1f out, stayed on to challenge inside final furlong, went second final 50yds, 2nd.

6:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
5/1 Al Arbeed. (4th 9/2) Chased leaders, ridden to challenge 2f out, led briefly over 1f out, kept on final furlong, lost third post, 4th.

7:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Outrace. (Unplaced 9/1) Ran no kind of race, plum last, 9th of 9.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Southwell Results - Friday Oct 31 2025. Going: Standard
16:10
1. 1 Dance Time 8/1
2. 4 Prince Quattro 13/2
Tote Win 9.20
Places 2.50, 2.60
Exacta: 45.60
CSF: 57.25
Tricast: 1237.73
Trifecta: 244.20
Winning Jockey: William Pyle
Winning Trainer: D Loughnane
Distances: Short Head
Betelgeuse 10/11 F
6 ran
Non Runners 6 8
16:45
1. 1 Lady Milton 3/1
2. 7 Thanh Nam 15/8F
3. 5 Trust No One 20/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.20, 1.10, 4.60
Exacta: 9.30
CSF: 9.12
Tricast: 93.23
Trifecta: 84.20
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: J G Portman
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 1/2 length
Thanh Nam 15/8 F
8 ran
17:15
1. 1 Caballo Grande 10/11F
2. 2 Chhota Saab 5/1
Tote Win 1.91
Places 1.10, 2.40
Exacta: 4.90
CSF: 6.02
Trifecta: 10.90
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: M L W Bell
Distances: 4 1/4 lengths
Caballo Grande 10/11 F
7 ran
Non Runners 5
17:45
1. 11 Lakers 5/1
2. 14 Prince Of Pillo 22/1
3. 13 Artagnan 10/3F
Tote Win 6.20
Places 2.20, 6.50, 2.00
Exacta: 158.00
CSF: 122.06
Tricast: 448.14
Trifecta: 706.30
Winning Jockey: Rowan Scott
Winning Trainer: K P De Foy
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, Short Head
Artagnan 10/3 F
13 ran
Non Runners 10
18:15
1. 4 Popular Dream 12/1
2. 7 Beaumadier 8/1
3. 5 Minnesota Lad 11/4F
Tote Win 14.50
Places 3.40, 2.20, 1.80
Exacta: 133.40
CSF: 107.19
Tricast: 345.72
Trifecta: 728.40
Winning Jockey: Miss Joanna Mason
Winning Trainer: D Shaw
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Minnesota Lad 11/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 9 10
18:45
1. 3 Desert Spring 1/4F
2. 6 Pyleates 7/2
Tote Win 1.25
Places 1.10, 1.60
Exacta: 1.80
CSF: 1.75
Trifecta: 3.30
Winning Jockey: B d l Sayette
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 12 lengths
Desert Spring 1/4 F
6 ran
Non Runners 2
19:15
1. 9 First Principle 9/2
2. 2 Two Tempting 10/1
3. 3 Dividend 7/2F
Tote Win 5.50
Places 1.80, 3.20, 1.90
Exacta: 60.60
CSF: 50.36
Tricast: 182.34
Trifecta: 272.20
Winning Jockey: Miss Joanna Mason
Winning Trainer: W J Haggas
Distances: 3/4 length, Head
Dividend 7/2 F
10 ran
19:45
1. 1 Tonal 1/1F
2. 5 Marry The Night 6/1
3. 4 Tam Lin 11/2
Tote Win 2.00
Places 1.10, 2.00, 2.10
Exacta: 9.30
CSF: 7.88
Tricast: 26.05
Trifecta: 46.80
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1 length, 1 1/2 length
Tonal 1/1 F
10 ran
20:15
1. 1 Heretic 13/8F
2. 7 Tootsie 12/1
3. 6 Homme De Fer 3/1
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.30, 2.20, 1.20
Exacta: 20.20
CSF: 24.58
Tricast: 60.58
Trifecta: 79.50
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: M Herrington
Distances: 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Heretic 13/8 F
10 ran

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Race Result - Southwell, 31st October 2025

18:15 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Popular Dream Miss Joanna Mason 4 9 6 12/1
Wore hood and went early to post, held up towards rear, switched right 2f out, headway 1f out, ran on to lead final 50yds

2nd Beaumadier Mr Jack Callan 1/2 length 7 9 3 8/1
Prominent, ridden over 1f out, stayed on to challenge inside final furlong, went second final 50yds

3rd Minnesota Lad Jason Hart Neck 5 9 6 11/4 F
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, stayed on well final furlong

4th Toptime Mr L Edmunds Head 8 9 3 15/2
Led, ridden over 1f out, no extra and headed final 50yds

5th Good Point Oliver Carmichael 1 length 1 9 9 3/1
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on final furlong

6th Ready Freddie Go Harry Russell Neck 2 9 9 6/1
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, no extra final 110yds

7th Gypsy Nation Jack Dace 2 1/2 lengths 12 8 6 40/1
Midfield, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong

8th Let's Go Hugo T Kiely-Marshall Neck 6 9 5 11/1
Held up in rear, edged left over 1f out, plugged on through beaten rivals final furlong

9th Glendown D Fentiman 1/2 length 11 8 7 16/1
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, faded 1f out

10th Sanbona S B Kirrane 4 3/4 lengths 3 9 6 14/1
Chased leaders, outpaced over 3f out, weakened over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:39 pm, October 31, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 31st October 2025

19:15 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st First Principle Miss Joanna Mason 9 8 11 9/2
Took keen hold, prominent, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on well

2nd Two Tempting Rob Hornby 3/4 length 2 9 8 10/1
Led, headed after 1f, soon chased leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, pressed and headed inside final furlong, kept on well

3rd Dividend Hollie Doyle Head 3 9 7 7/2 F
Took keen hold, midfield, ridden and switched right over 1f out, ran on well final furlong, went third post

4th Al Arbeed S M Levey Head 6 9 3 9/2
Chased leaders, ridden to challenge 2f out, led briefly over 1f out, kept on final furlong, lost third post

5th Supido P Mulrennan 2 1/4 lengths 5 9 4 10/1
Wore hood to post, towards rear, headway 2f out, no extra 1f out

6th Whitcombe Rockstar Miss J Gordon 1 1/2 length 7 9 2 14/1
Took keen hold, held up towards rear, ridden 2f out, plugged on one pace final furlong

7th Fantastic Fox Aidan Keeley 1 length 8 9 2 11/1
Held up in midfield, ridden 2f out, made no impression

8th Nikovo Jason Hart 1/2 length 4 9 5 28/1
Went early to post, always in rear

9th Sir Paul Ramsey J Fanning Nose 10 8 11 13/2
Led after 1f, ridden and headed over 1f out, soon faded

10th Rajeko Callum Rodriguez Neck 1 9 9 8/1
In touch with leaders, ridden over 1f out, weakened 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:14 pm, October 31, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 31st October 2025

20:15 Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Heretic D E Hogan 1 9 11 13/8 F
Wore hood and went early to post, prominent, chased leaders over 4f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on to lead inside final furlong

2nd Tootsie S B Kirrane 1/2 length 7 9 0 12/1
Chased leaders, ridden 2f out, kept on well final furlong

3rd Homme De Fer W A Carson 1/2 length 6 9 1 3/1
Raced wide early, prominent, joined main group after 3f, led over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on

4th Poke The Bear Jason Hart 5 1/2 lengths 10 8 11 20/1
Mid-division, ridden over 2f out, kept on one pace into fourth final 50yds

5th Vecchio Joseph Haynes 1/2 length 8 9 0 33/1
Slowly away, held up in rear, switched left 1f out, plugged on one pace

6th Back From Dubai Mr L Edmunds 3/4 length 3 9 8 7/2
Led, headed over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

7th Duke Orsino Jonny Peate 3 lengths 4 9 6 40/1
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, made no impression

8th Dash Power Mr Jack Callan 3 3/4 lengths 5 9 3 11/1
Mid-division, ridden 2f out, made no impression

9th Kath's Tipple Rowan Scott 3/4 length 9 8 12 100/1
Midfield, ridden 2f out, faded over 1f out

10th Outrace S M Levey Head 2 9 9 9/1
Towards rear, ridden over 2f out, soon beaten

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:41 pm, October 31, 2025  

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