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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Tues Oct 21 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Tuesday October 21st 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting is 8 race card from Newcastle. 6 of the races are handicaps including one for apprentices only. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by top jockey Silvestre De Sousa (𝕏) ~ who has a 25% strike rate here this year with 7 wins from 28 rides. He has 3 rides this evening.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey SILVESTRE DE SOUSA

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 21 Oct 2025 6:00 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Charlie Johnston BALKADISHA
  • 21 Oct 2025 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 1m Roger Varian GREY SOUL
  • 21 Oct 2025 7:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Ivan Furtado KAMEKIST ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

7:30 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Kamekist (18/1) needed the last run after switching to the Furtado stable. He'll be fitter today and I predict a bold show from this outsider under De Sousa.

He has reasonable form in a higher grade and is down to a very handy mark. Has won on the AW before ~ so I suspect he'll go well at a big price in a big field. Win only bet.

#Betting note: 45/1 currently available on the exchanges.


7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 18/1 Kamekist (Unp 40/1)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:25 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
18/1 Kamekist. (Unplaced 40/1) Chased leaders, pushed along halfway, ridden and weakened quickly inside final 2f, 14th.

8:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Newcastle Results - Tuesday Oct 21 2025. Going: standard
16:50
1. 3 Warrant Holder 4/5F
2. 2 Bragbor 5/1
Tote Win 1.80
Places 1.10, 2.60
Exacta: 6.20
CSF: 5.44
Trifecta: 11.30
Winning Jockey: D Tudhope
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths
Warrant Holder 4/5 F
5 ran
17:25
1. 3 Moonlight Warrior 9/4
2. 5 Loma Express 8/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places ,
Exacta: 18.90
CSF: 16.34
Trifecta: 35.00
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: Neck
Beny Nahar 5/4 F
4 ran
Non Runners 2
18:00
1. 5 Winged One 9/1
2. 3 Harriet Quimby 1/1F
Tote Win 10.00
Places 3.40, 1.30
Exacta: 17.90
CSF: 18.43
Trifecta: 66.90
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths
Harriet Quimby 1/1 F
5 ran
18:30
1. 11 Pockley 18/5F
2. 14 A Lady Forever 11/1
3. 13 Shatin Venture 9/1
Tote Win 5.40
Places 2.70, 3.50, 3.50
Exacta: 57.00
CSF: 47.72
Tricast: 363.12
Trifecta: 391.90
Winning Jockey: D Allan
Winning Trainer: Miss L A Perratt
Distances: 4 1/4 lengths, 1/2 length
Pockley 18/5 F
13 ran
Non Runners 10
19:00
1. 4 Grey Soul 10/3
2. 7 Runninsonofagun 12/1
3. 3 Travis 8/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.10, 3.10, 2.60
Exacta: 30.70
CSF: 43.40
Tricast: 302.76
Trifecta: 140.30
Winning Jockey: S De Sousa
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: 2 lengths, 1/2 length
Terrapin 5/4 F
8 ran
19:30
1. 1 Bonnie's Boy 4/1JF
2. 14 Cash In 14/1
3. 10 Rock Of England 9/1
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.20, 5.00, 3.50
Exacta: 61.40
CSF: 68.40
Tricast: 498.65
Trifecta: 1236.80
Winning Jockey: O J Orr
Winning Trainer: R A Fahey
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Wen Moon 4/1 JF
Bonnie's Boy 4/1 JF
14 ran
20:00
1. 5 Bellagio Man 7/1
2. 4 Raft Up 11/8F
3. 3 Holbache 16/1
Tote Win 9.90
Places 2.00, 1.20, 3.70
Exacta: 25.60
CSF: 17.25
Tricast: 151.62
Trifecta: 188.80
Winning Jockey: Cameron Hardie
Winning Trainer: A Brittain
Distances: Neck, 1 3/4 length
Raft Up 11/8 F
8 ran
20:30
1. 7 Spun To Gold 10/1
2. 8 Superior Council 16/1
3. 12 Yorkshire Glory 11/1
Tote Win 12.40
Places 4.00, 5.30, 4.00
Exacta: 164.40
CSF: 173.91
Tricast: 1890.71
Trifecta: 2974.10
Winning Jockey: Lauren Young
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: 1 length, Nose
Profit Street 2/1 F
13 ran

Labels:

1 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 21st October 2025

19:30 Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap
Going standard, 14 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Bonnie's Boy O J Orr 1 9 9 4/1 JF
Chased leaders far side of group, led inside final 2f, clear when ridden over 1f out, ran on strongly, eased towards finish

2nd Cash In D Allan 2 1/4 lengths 14 8 13 14/1
Held up off the pace towards rear, headway over 1f out, not clear run and switched right 1f out, ran on when in the clear inside final furlong, took 2nd inside final 110 yards, no chance with winner

3rd Rock Of England Jason Hart 1 1/4 length 10 9 4 9/1
Mid-division, headway chasing leaders and hung left over 1f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, no chance with winner, lost 2nd inside final 110 yards, no extra in 3rd

4th Herakles P Mulrennan 1/2 length 11 9 4 9/1
Held up towards rear far side of group, good headway chasing leaders over 1f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, not pace to challenge

5th Wen Moon Aiden Brookes Neck 5 9 7 4/1 JF
Off the pace in last pair, headway near side of group and hung left over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, never going pace to reach leaders

6th Harb C Horgan 1/2 length 2 9 8 11/1
Mid-division, pushed along halfway, some headway inside final furlong, never involved

7th Rambuso Creek T Eaves Neck 8 9 4 22/1
Outpaced in rear, hung left over 1f out, no impression when hung left again inside final furlong, kept on but never going pace to get involved

8th Sergeant Mayer Faye McManoman 1 3/4 length 7 9 6 17/2
Never closer than mid-division

9th Blue Force Cameron Hardie Short Head 3 9 7 17/2
Prominent far side of group weakened final furlong

10th Ganesha Rowan Scott Head 9 9 4 13/2
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, weakened quickly final furlong

11th Zuffolo S B Kirrane 3/4 length 12 9 1 16/1
Led in centre, ridden and headed inside final 2f, lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened quickly final furlong

12th Digital J P Sullivan 3 lengths 13 9 1 18/1
Went left start, prominent near side of group, weakened

13th Desert Champion Mark Winn Neck 6 9 7 40/1
Chased leader until 2f out, weakened quickly soon after

14th Kamekist S De Sousa 2 3/4 lengths 4 9 7 40/1
Chased leaders, pushed along halfway, ridden and weakened quickly inside final 2f

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:53 pm, October 21, 2025  

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