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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Thurs Oct 16 2025

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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Thursday October 16th 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a second meeting on the AW this thursday evening at Chelmsford. A 9 race card with 8 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. One of the handicaps is a 2yo nursery hcp. My attempt to crack the Chelmsford All Weather code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys to follow this evening, have to be Hector Crouch (𝕏) (23.6%) and young Billy Loughnane (𝕏) (24.4%), who are both nearing a 25% strike rate here this season.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 16 Oct 2025 4:00 Chelmsford City Maiden 1m 2f Harry Charlton GRAND CASCADE
  • 16 Oct 2025 4:35 Chelmsford City 2yo Nursery Hcp 5f Michael Bell GO LOCKERS GO
  • 16 Oct 2025 5:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Oliver Cole ARRAN
  • 16 Oct 2025 6:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f Brian Toomey VALADERO ✅

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 16 Oct 2025 4:35 Chelmsford City 2yo Nursery Hcp 5f George Boughey AMERICAN FLIGHT
  • 16 Oct 2025 5:10 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Dan Kubler ABBEY HEIGHTS
  • 16 Oct 2025 5:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Richard Hughes THE THAMES BOATMAN
  • 16 Oct 2025 6:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f Adrian Whittle MY CLEMENTINE
  • 16 Oct 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f Ed Walker WOROODD
  • 16 Oct 2025 7:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m Phil McEntee KESSAAR POWER ✅

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:45 Chelmsford ❖ 7f C6 Hcp. ❖ Valadero (5/1) keeps finding ways to lose. I expect Crouch to find the way to win today. Running at 29lb below his best, I think it's time to break his 27 race career duck.


4:35 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Valadero (Unp 7/2f)

7:45 Chelmsford ❖ 8f C6 Hcp. ❖ Kessaar Power (4/1) could well lead these from start to finish with Billy Loughnane in the saddle for the first time.


7:45 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Kessaar Power (Won 7/2)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:35 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:10 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
5/1 Valadero. (Unplaced 7/2f) Mid-division, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened, 10th.

7:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
♥ 4/1 Kessaar Power. (Won 7/2) Always prominent, led over 1f out, clear inside final furlong, ran on well, 1st.
Returns: £4.50

8:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £4.50

Total: + £3.50

Chelmsford Results - Thurs Oct 16 2025. Going: Standard
16:00
1. 5 Noble Journey 1/3F
2. 7 Velocity Vow 10/1
Tote Win 1.34
Places 1.10, 2.90
Exacta: 4.50
CSF: 4.68
Trifecta: 17.10
Winning Jockey: William Buick
Winning Trainer: C Appleby
Distances: 3 lengths
Noble Journey 1/3 F
6 ran
Non Runners 6
16:35
1. 5 Beach Partee 9/1
2. 3 American Flight 5/2
Tote Win 10.00
Places 3.20, 2.00
Exacta: 46.30
CSF: 31.99
Trifecta: 214.90
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: W J Knight
Distances: 1 1/2 length
Go Lockers Go 9/4 F
7 ran
17:10
1. 2 Jungle Drums 80/1
1. 5 Artagnan 18/5
3. 9 Cherry Cobbler 12/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 14.20, 1.90, 2.20
Exacta: 86.20
CSF: 127.85
Tricast: 1574.04
Trifecta: 1599.50
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: H Al Jehani
Distances: Dead Heat, 3/4 length
Don Pacifico 13/8 F
9 ran
Non Runners 7
17:45
1. 4 Evening Saigon 9/4
2. 9 Charlie Mason 13/2
3. 2 Emperor Spirit 11/1
Tote Win 3.30
Places 1.40, 1.70, 3.30
Exacta: 19.30
CSF: 17.99
Tricast: 135.61
Trifecta: 147.00
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: H Al Jehani
Distances: 1/2 length, 2 lengths
Mesaafi 2/1 F
9 ran
Non Runners 1
18:15
1. 6 Waiting All Night 5/1
2. 2 Giant 11/4
Tote Win 6.00
Places 2.30, 1.60
Exacta: 22.40
CSF: 19.12
Trifecta: 254.90
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: R Spencer
Distances: 1 1/4 length
Kitaro Kich 5/2 F
7 ran
18:45
1. 3 Edergole's Gift 8/1
2. 1 Soar Above 14/1
3. 9 My Mate Beattie 10/1
Tote Win 9.00
Places 3.20, 5.00, 2.80
Exacta: 165.70
CSF: 112.96
Tricast: 1196.90
Trifecta: 1474.60
Winning Jockey: Connor Planas
Winning Trainer: C Allen
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 2 1/4 lengths
Valadero 7/2 F
13 ran
19:15
1. 4 Morte Point 11/4F
2. 1 Mandurah 7/1
3. 2 Arctic Grey 6/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.40, 2.40, 2.00
Exacta: 27.90
CSF: 22.81
Tricast: 109.91
Trifecta: 158.10
Winning Jockey: Mr L Edmunds
Winning Trainer: W Muir & C Grassick
Distances: 2 lengths, 1 length
Morte Point 11/4 F
10 ran
19:45
1. 4 Kessaar Power 7/2
2. 1 Cuban Fiesta 11/4
3. 9 Madrigal Moment 28/1
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.60, 1.40, 5.80
Exacta: 18.50
CSF: 13.76
Tricast: 234.10
Trifecta: 272.30
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: P S McEntee
Distances: 1 3/4 length, Neck
My Boy Harry 85/40 F
10 ran
20:15
1. 3 Wyld Bill 11/8F
2. 1 Mister Daydream 13/2
3. 9 Twilight Guest 17/2
Tote Win 2.38
Places 1.10, 2.40, 2.10
Exacta: 13.00
CSF: 11.48
Tricast: 57.91
Trifecta: 85.10
Winning Jockey: Raymond Dawson
Winning Trainer: D P Quinn
Distances: 7 1/2 lengths, 2 3/4 lengths
Wyld Bill 11/8 F
8 ran
Non Runners 4

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Race Result - Chelmsford City, 16th October 2025

18:45 Bet At Your Best With Betfair Handicap
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Edergole's Gift Connor Planas 3 9 7 8/1
Mid-division on inside, headway over 1f out, led entering final furlong, soon clear, readily

2nd Soar Above D Egan 3 1/4 lengths 1 9 9 14/1
Soon led, headed over 6f out, prominent, not much room and switched right after final bend, led again briefly 1f out, no impression on winner well inside final furlong

3rd My Mate Beattie S De Sousa 2 1/4 lengths 9 9 4 10/1
Prominent, led over 6f out, headed 1f out, 3rd and no extra towards finish

4th Bishop's Glory Mr Andrea Pinna 3 3/4 lengths 10 9 0 28/1
Held up towards rear, headway over 1f out, kept on, went never dangerous 4th towards finish

5th Match Anthem Luke Morris 1/2 length 11 9 0 11/2
TBC ----------------- TBC ------------------ TBC

6th Questa Notte Ashley Lewis 1 1/4 length 13 8 12 25/1
Mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, effort when not much room over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong

7th My Clementine Billy Loughnane 3/4 length 7 9 5 25/1
Held up towards rear, pushed along over 2f out, headway when switched right over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong

8th Saidha Tyler Heard 1 length 8 9 5 5/1
Chased leaders, pushed along 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

9th Evanka Callum Hutchinson Nose 4 9 6 11/1
In rear, pushed along 3f out, no impression

10th Valadero Hector Crouch 2 1/2 lengths 2 9 8 7/2 F
Mid-division, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened

11th Magic Fluke Mr L Edmunds 3/4 length 12 9 0 25/1
TBC ------------- TBC ---------------- TBC --------------

12th Twitch Georgia Dobie 1/2 length 5 9 5 9/2
Mid-division on outside, ridden 2f out, weakened over 1f out

13th Dark Sorceress Rob Hornby 3 lengths 6 9 5 20/1
Prominent on outside early, chased leaders, lost place over 2f out, well beaten over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:04 pm, October 16, 2025  

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