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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Thurs Oct 23 2025

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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Thursday October 23rd 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a second meeting on the AW this thursday evening at Chelmsford. An 8 race card with 6 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. One of the handicaps is a 2yo nursery hcp. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys to follow this evening, have to be Hector Crouch (𝕏) (22.8%) and champion jockey Oisin Murphy (𝕏) (36.4%), who are both strong riders over the wide sweeping bends at Chelmsford.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 23 Oct 2025 5:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f James Fanshawe SO SASSY
  • 23 Oct 2025 5:45 Chelmsford City 2yo Nursery Hcp 1m 2f Michael Bell LOOSE CONNECTION
  • 23 Oct 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m 2f Ralph Beckett PARTICIPLE
  • 23 Oct 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m Hughie Morrison DALMALLY ✅

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 23 Oct 2025 5:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Rae Guest HEAVEN KNOWS ✅
  • 23 Oct 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City 3yo+ Novice Stakes 1m 2f Marcus Tregining GOODWOOD MOGUL
  • 23 Oct 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m S B Suroor SUMMER HEAT

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

5:15 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C5 Hcp. ❖ Heaven Knows (9/2) will race up with the pace under Oisin Murphy, take the lead off the final bend and try to fend off the latecomers. I expect him to prevail under the champion jockey from a winning mark.


5:15 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Heaven Knows (4th 9/2)

7:15 Chelmsford ❖ 8f C5 Hcp. ❖ Dalmally (4/1) will be up there all the way to the finish line. If something nuts him then so be it. I think he'll not be for passing.


7:15 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Dalmally (Unp 7/1)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
9/2 Heaven Knows. (4th 9/2) In rear, plenty to do home turn, soon ridden, rallied and ran on well towards centre from 1f out, went fourth final 110 yards, 4th.

5:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
4/1 Dalmally. (Unplaced 7/1) Alarming drifter in the market, chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden hung left and weakened over 1f out, 7th.

7:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Chelmsford Results - Thursday Oct 23 2025. Going: Standard
16:27
1. 9 Juno Star 11/1
2. 1 Nelson Gay 12/1
3. 6 Arlington 6/1
Tote Win 12.20
Places 2.70, 2.90, 1.60
Exacta: 141.00
CSF: 136.16
Tricast: 881.10
Trifecta: 1336.50
Winning Jockey: Ashley Lewis
Winning Trainer: P J McBride
Distances: 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Dandy Fitz 85/40 F
9 ran
17:00
1. 1 Fiery Damsel 15/8F
2. 11 Zooella 5/1
3. 5 Hello It's Me 25/1
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.30, 1.40, 5.80
Exacta: 14.40
CSF: 12.54
Trifecta: 159.30
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length
Fiery Damsel 15/8 F
10 ran
17:30
1. 1 Zariela 14/1
2. 11 Liberty Bird 17/2
3. 2 Mamma Maria 11/4F
Tote Win 19.30
Places 4.70, 2.30, 1.40
Exacta: 198.50
CSF: 128.39
Tricast: 433.02
Trifecta: 829.60
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: S Woods
Distances: Neck, Neck
Mamma Maria 11/4 F
11 ran
18:00
1. 2 Al Durry 5/4F
2. 6 Radiant Jewel 33/1
3. 5 Quamby 85/40
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.20, 5.30, 1.20
Exacta: 62.60
CSF: 57.33
Trifecta: 201.00
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: Owen Burrows
Distances: 1 length, Short Head
Al Durry 5/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 10
18:30
1. 7 Knickerbocker 8/1
2. 10 Optimatum 16/1
3. 2 Forest Caper 4/1
Tote Win 9.00
Places 2.40, 4.50, 2.00
Exacta: 104.70
CSF: 130.18
Tricast: 608.26
Trifecta: 898.70
Winning Jockey: Miss J Gordon
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: Neck, 2 1/4 lengths
Saytarr 3/1 JF
Riyadh Gem 3/1 JF
10 ran
19:00
1. 6 Tribal Wisdom 9/1
2. 2 Counting Cards 7/2
3. 7 Coeur Jaune 18/1
Tote Win 10.00
Places 2.30, 2.70, 3.50
Exacta: 38.40
CSF: 41.45
Tricast: 570.33
Trifecta: 341.90
Winning Jockey: J P Spencer
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Tokyo Joe 7/4 F
9 ran
19:30
1. 8 Ararat 12/1
2. 1 Pals Battalion 17/2
3. 7 Top Juggler 12/1
Tote Win 13.80
Places 3.40, 3.20, 4.70
Exacta: 112.50
CSF: 115.55
Tricast: 1277.09
Trifecta: 2483.20
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: R M H Cowell
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Hoodie Hoo 10/3 F
12 ran
20:00
1. 4 Savvy Stellar 5/2
2. 6 Arcimboldo 28/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 2.20, 9.20
Exacta: 47.10
CSF: 54.24
Trifecta: 136.50
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: S Woods
Distances: Short Head
Moab 7/4 F
6 ran
20:30
1. 4 Way Of Life 15/2
2. 12 His Finest Hour 10/1
3. 9 Light Speed 9/1
Tote Win 9.70
Places 2.80, 3.70, 2.90
Exacta: 100.70
CSF: 81.85
Tricast: 705.57
Trifecta: 1558.50
Winning Jockey: Mr Joe Leavy
Winning Trainer: J G Portman
Distances: Short Head, 1 1/4 length
Always A Star 7/4 F
12 ran
Non Runners 11

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Race Result - Chelmsford City, 23rd October 2025

17:15 'Timeform Sprint Series Qualifier' Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Sensorium D Egan 9 9 5 11/4 F
Prominent, soon raced in third, pushed along and chased leader 2f out, ran on strongly final furlong, led final 110 yards, won going away

2nd Fiorella Princess Luke Catton 1 1/2 length 6 9 6 18/1
Led, quickened home turn, briefly two lengths clear over 1f out, ridden when headed final 110 yard, no extra towards finish

3rd So Sassy Hector Crouch 3/4 length 5 9 7 12/1
Rear of midfield, raced close to inner rail throughout, pushed along over 2f out, went third and chased leaders over 1f out, kept on

4th Heaven Knows Oisin Murphy 1 3/4 length 8 9 5 9/2
In rear, plenty to do home turn, soon ridden, rallied and ran on well towards centre from 1f out, went fourth final 110 yards

5th Maui Breeze Daniel Muscutt 1 1/2 length 4 9 7 7/1
Midfield, ridden 2f out, some headway over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

6th Fan Mail S B Kirrane Head 2 9 8 5/1
Prominent, bumped after 1f, soon settled in rear of midfield, pushed along halfway, edged towards centre when ridden over 1f out, soon weakened

7th Zabeel Road William Carver 3/4 length 1 9 9 14/1
In rear, pushed along soon after halfway, ridden to make modest headway over 1f out, weakened quickly inside final furlong

8th Winchurch S D Bowen 4 1/2 lengths 3 9 8 12/1
Midfield, raced wide throughout, outpaced and struggling home turn, soon weakened

9th My Mate Kev Cieren Fallon 1/2 length 10 9 3 12/1
Prominent, soon raced in second, pushed along halfway, edged toward centre home turn, soon outpaced, weakened quickly over 1f out

10th Correspondence George Wood 18 lengths 7 9 6 12/1
Midfield, shifted right and bumped rival after 1f, outpaced and struggling home turn, dropped to last 1f out, tailed off and eased towards finish

Blogger Sandracer @ 5:28 pm, October 23, 2025  

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