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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Fri Sept 19 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday Sept 19 2025

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening it's an 8 race card for all weather racing fans to get thier teeth into. 6 of the races are handicaps. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am concentrating on are David Nolan (𝕏) and his Irish compatriot PJ McDonald (𝕏).


Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye this evening.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.


Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey DAVID NOLAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
  • 19 Sep 2025 6:15 Newcastle Maiden 7f Ann Duffield NANYUKI
  • 19 Sep 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ivan Furtado JACHIN
  • 19 Sep 2025 7:15 Newcastle Handicap 6f Paul Midgeley RESPECTFUL
  • 19 Sep 2025 7:45 Newcastle Handicap 7f David I'Meara RIOT
  • 19 Sep 2025 8:15 Newcastle Handicap 5f Paul Midgley LATIN FIVE

Jockey PATRICK MCDONALD

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
  • 19 Sep 2025 4:33 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Phil McBride DUFFUS CASTLE
  • 19 Sep 2025 5:08 Newcastle Handicap 2m Don Willians PARISH RECORD
  • 19 Sep 2025 5:44 Newcastle Maiden 6f Ed Bethwell ZARINCA
  • 19 Sep 2025 6:15 Newcastle Maiden 7f Andreww Balding THAISA
  • 19 Sep 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 1m Sam England YAFAARR

Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:33 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C6 Hcp ❖ Duffus Castle (5/2f) looks to have a fair amount of improvement left in him. The extra 2f should not be a problem. PJ McDonald should get the meeting off to a winner at a reasonable looking 5/2.

4:33 Newc ~ Win Bet: 5/2f Duffus Castle (2nd 3/1jf)


7:15 Newcastle ❖ 6f C6 Hcp ❖ Topweight Respectful (8/1) has every chance now back at Newcastle on the straight AW track. Has a clear chance on his best form. Has been running ok recently, so from this mark, in a C6, I expect him to be challenging for the win this evening under Nolan.

7:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Respectful (Unp 11/2)


7:45 Newcastle ❖ 7f C5 Hcp ❖ Riot (6/1) is a Chelmsford specialist due to his liking for the wide sweeping bends. I expect he'll go just as well as he ever has on the straight Newcastle 7 course. In a 7f C5, carrying 73, with Nolan aboard, he'll be rattling home. Will he pass them all? I think he will and at the price, in this small field hcp, I think he's a reasonable betting proposition.

7:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Riot (4th 11/2)


8:15 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Nolan's horse Latin Five (16/1) has a couple of C&D's to his name at slightly higher marks than today's 50. His last 4 runs have totalled less than 7 lengths worth of defeats. He's knocking on the door, running well ~ needs to find a length. At 16/1, he's twice the price he should be in my opinion. I'll play.

8:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Latin Five (Unp 20/1)



Newcastle Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:33 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
5/2f Duffus Castle. (2nd 3/1jf) Midfield, driven 3f out, headway over 1f out, led close home, sustained duel with winner near finish, headed post, 2nd.

5:08 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:44 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Respectful. (Unplaced 11/2) Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and weakened over 1f out, 8th.

7:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Riot. (4th 11/2) Held up in rear, ridden and headway inside final furlong, never going pace to get involved, 4th.

8:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
16/1 Latin Five. (Unplaced 20/1) held up in rear, ran on a furlong out, never reached the leaders, 8th.

Stake: 4 X £1.00 Win Singles = £4.00

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £4.00

Newcastle Results - Fri Sept 19 2025. Going: standard
16:33
1. 8 Heartened 8/1
2. 7 Duffus Castle 3/1JF
3. 5 Grizzieblanca 9/2
Tote Win 9.00
Places 2.20, 1.40, 1.50
Exacta: 33.70
CSF: 32.54
Tricast: 122.77
Trifecta: 191.50
Winning Jockey: Cameron Hardie
Winning Trainer: Ollie Pears
Distances: Head, Short Head
That Lucas Fella 3/1 JF
Duffus Castle 3/1 JF
8 ran
Non Runners 4 10
17:08
1. 2 Queen Roslyn 13/8
2. 5 Team Endeavour 28/1
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.40, 5.40
Exacta: 34.50
CSF: 32.55
Trifecta: 136.80
Winning Jockey: Ben Robinson
Winning Trainer: B Ellison
Distances: 1 length
Quercus Robur 5/4 F
5 ran
Non Runners 6
17:44
1. 4 Storm Esme 85/40F
2. 13 Zarinca 12/1
3. 2 Clementines Star 11/2
Tote Win 3.60
Places 1.70, 3.80, 2.30
Exacta: 39.50
CSF: 31.40
Trifecta: 244.60
Winning Jockey: S B Kirrane
Winning Trainer: T D Easterby
Distances: Head, 1 3/4 length
Storm Esme 85/40 F
12 ran
Non Runners 12
18:15
1. 2 Great Dream 6/4F
2. 1 Fierce Fortitude 10/3
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.20, 1.80
Exacta: 6.30
CSF: 6.77
Trifecta: 17.80
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: 3/4 length
Great Dream 6/4 F
6 ran
18:45
1. 7 Jachin 12/1
2. 2 Tees George 14/1
3. 6 Yafaarr 7/2
Tote Win 14.70
Places 4.20, 3.20, 1.70
Exacta: 199.00
CSF: 168.76
Tricast: 566.21
Trifecta: 1415.90
Winning Jockey: D Nolan
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 1 1/4 length
Sassy Glory 9/4 F
11 ran
19:15
1. 7 Bazball 4/1
2. 10 Little Mi Mi 9/1
3. 4 Invitorio 7/2F
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.60, 3.20, 2.00
Exacta: 46.90
CSF: 40.36
Tricast: 136.54
Trifecta: 399.80
Winning Jockey: B McHugh
Winning Trainer: J Parkinson & S Smith
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 1/4 length
Invitorio 7/2 F
10 ran
19:45
1. 1 Blazing Son 8/1
2. 4 Yaajooz 10/3
Tote Win 9.60
Places 3.30, 2.10
Exacta: 34.50
CSF: 34.90
Trifecta: 137.60
Winning Jockey: Andrew Breslin
Winning Trainer: B Smart
Distances: Neck
Mister Mojito 7/4 F
7 ran
20:15
1. 2 Let's Go Hugo 12/1
2. 3 Newyorkstateofmind 9/1
3. 11 Dandy Fitz 10/3F
Tote Win 14.30
Places 4.20, 3.00, 2.30
Exacta: 182.80
CSF: 115.37
Tricast: 467.64
Trifecta: 798.10
Winning Jockey: T Kiely-Marshall
Winning Trainer: Ollie Pears
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Dandy Fitz 10/3 F
14 ran

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4 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 19th September 2025

16:33 High Gosforth Park Golf Club Handicap
Going standard, 8 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Heartened Cameron Hardie 8 8 11 8/1
Dwelt in rear, in touch and travelling well 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on, sustained duel with runner-up near finish, led post

2nd Duffus Castle P J McDonald Head 7 9 0 3/1 JF
Midfield, driven 3f out, headway over 1f out, led close home, sustained duel with winner near finish, headed post

3rd Grizzieblanca Ben Robinson Short Head 5 9 2 9/2
Midfield, headway and ridden over 2f out, soon led narrowly, headed close home, held in 3rd near finish

4th That Lucas Fella Rowan Scott 1 1/4 length 6 9 1 3/1 JF
Prominent, headway to lead over 2f out where pressed for lead, soon ridden and headed, kept on same pace

5th Toronto Raptor Billy Garritty 1/2 length 3 9 4 12/1
Held up in rear, headway 2f out, soon pushed along, kept on same pace inside final furlong

6th Russian Virtue S B Kirrane 11 lengths 1 9 9 4/1
Took fierce hold early and led, headed after 1f, ridden over 2f out, soon faded

7th Cloud Free T Kiely-Marshall Head 2 9 4 18/1
Always in rear, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened

8th Miss Raincloud Keiran ONeill 43 lengths 9 8 10 33/1
Keen early, held up in midfield, headway to lead after 1f, ridden 3f out, soon headed and weakened, eased 2f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:38 pm, September 19, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 19th September 2025

19:15 Border Minstrel Sunday Lunch Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Bazball B McHugh 7 8 12 4/1
Chased leader, ridden and challenging inside final furlong, led final 110 yards, won going away

2nd Little Mi Mi Greg Fairley 3/4 length 10 8 9 9/1
Led in centre, came to near side rail 4f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, headed and no extra final 110 yards

3rd Invitorio J P Sullivan 1 1/4 length 4 9 5 7/2 F
Raced keenly tracking leaders, went 3rd inside final 2f, ridden and stayed on same pace inside final furlong

4th Golden Duke Faye McManoman 1 1/4 length 3 9 6 17/2
Mid-division, headway near side rail over 1f out, kept on in 4th inside final furlong, never going pace to get involved

5th Asadjumeirah Cameron Hardie Short Head 5 9 4 15/2
Raced towards far rail, held up and behind, strong run between horses inside final furlong, finished well but never going pace to get involved

6th Pancake S B Kirrane Head 6 9 1 25/1
Steadied start, held up in last pair, headway inside final furlong, finished well but never going pace to get involved

7th She'sashambles Andrew Breslin 2 lengths 9 8 9 15/2
Raced keenly, towards rear far side, never involved

8th Respectful D Nolan 1 length 1 9 9 11/2
Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and weakened over 1f out

9th South Road J Fanning Head 2 9 6 25/1
Steadied start, soon racing against near side rail in mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, soon lost place and in last pair, no chance wen hampered inside final furlong

10th Captain Pickles Zak Wheatley Neck 8 8 11 11/1
Switched left after start, held up and always towards rear

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:38 pm, September 19, 2025  


Race Result - Newcastle, 19th September 2025

19:45 Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns Handicap
Going standard, 7 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Blazing Son Andrew Breslin 1 9 9 8/1
Tracked leader who went clear over 5f out, closer over 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, joined inside final furlong, on top towards finish

2nd Yaajooz Billy Garritty Neck 4 9 8 10/3
Went right start, close 3rd, went 2nd approaching final furlong, ridden and strong challenge inside final furlong, found no extra towards finish, just held on for 2nd

3rd Flying Fletcher Harry Russell Nose 5 9 7 4/1
Steadied start, held up in last pair, headway between horses over 1f out, ridden and kept on 3rd final furlong, just missed 2nd

4th Riot D Nolan 2 lengths 2 9 8 11/2
Held up in rear, ridden and headway inside final furlong, never going pace to get involved

5th Mister Mojito Raymond Dawson Neck 3 9 8 7/4 F
Raced keenly tracking leaders, not clear run and angled out over 1f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, never going pace of leading trio

6th Saisons D'Or Jack Garritty 4 lengths 7 9 3 18/1
Led in centre, switched right to near side rail over 5f out and soon went clear, reduced lead over 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened quickly

7th Sovereign Knight Paddy Bradley 2 lengths 6 9 5 28/1
Raced keenly in 5th far side of group, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and weakened inside final 2f

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:39 pm, September 19, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 19th September 2025

20:15 Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! Handicap
Going standard, 14 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Let's Go Hugo T Kiely-Marshall 2 9 9 12/1
Towards rear out wide, good headway chasing leaders inside final 2f, ridden and went 2nd inside final furlong, led inside final 110 yards, kept on

2nd Newyorkstateofmind J P Sullivan 1/2 length 3 9 8 9/1
Held up towards rear, switched right and headway near side rail halfway, strong run inside final furlong, not reach winner

3rd Dandy Fitz S B Kirrane Neck 11 9 5 10/3 F
Chased leaders, went 2nd inside final 2f, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final 110 yards, lost 2nd close home

4th Desert Master Alex Jary Neck 12 9 4 28/1
Off the pace towards rear far side of group, good headway out wide over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, not quite pace to challenge

5th Lady Of The Garr Keiran ONeill Head 5 9 7 7/1
Very awkwardly away and almost unseated rider, soon mid-division, headway over 1f out, ridden and ran on inside final furlong, not pace to challenge

6th Bibendum Ryan Sexton Neck 4 9 8 11/2
Outpaced in rear, switched left and good headway between horses inside final furlong, ran on inside final furlong, never finished well, not reach leaders

7th Rogue De Vega Cameron Hardie 1 3/4 length 9 9 5 12/1
Off the pace towards rear, some late minor headway, never involved

8th Latin Five D Nolan Neck 13 9 4 20/1
Off the pace in last pair, never involved

9th Golden Rainbow Paddy Bradley 1/2 length 6 9 7 20/1
Mid-division near side of group, headway tracking leaders 3f out, weakened final furlong

10th Arlington Harrison Shaw 1 length 8 9 6 14/1
Led and raced in centre, came to near side rail 3f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened quickly inside final furlong

11th Bust A Moon Shay Farmer 1/2 length 10 9 5 33/1
Chased leaders out wide, weakened final furlong

12th Doralee Billy Garritty 1 length 7 9 6 28/1
Raced near side of group tracking leader, pushed along 3f out, ridden and lost 2nd inside final 2f, ridden and weakened over 1f out

13th Northerner Ben Robinson Head 14 9 3 16/1
Raced far side of group, never closer than mid-division, weakened rapidly over 1f out

14th Sanbona Rhys Elliott 3 1/2 lengths 1 9 13 4/1
Race against near side rail, outpaced and always in rear

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:54 pm, September 19, 2025  

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