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Cracking The Kempton AW Code ~ Thurs Sept 18 2025

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Cracking The Kempton AW Code

❖ Thursday Sept 18 2025

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton on the All Weather this evening is a 9 race card. There are 6 handicaps to read. I will attempt to crack the Kemp All Weather code in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I am concentrating on 30 yr old top jockey Oisin Murphy (𝕏) for this evening's betting.

❖ Trainers ❖ No trainer in particular catches my eye today.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

  • ❖ If anything Murphy is on is well drawn, give it a close look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
  • 18 Sep 2025 3:57 Kempton Stakes 7f Andrew Balding HEADING
  • 18 Sep 2025 5:40 Kempton Handicap Harry Charlton 1m OPENING BAT
  • 18 Sep 2025 6:12 Kempton Stakes 1m Andrew Balding ALLEGRESSE
  • 18 Sep 2025 6:45 Kempton Stakes 6f Harry Charlton BINTOLA
  • 18 Sep 2025 7:15 Kempton Handicap Emma Lavelle 2m ST MAWES
  • 18 Sep 2025 7:45 Kempton Handicap Harry Charlton 1m 3f CATHERINE'S GIFT
  • 18 Sep 2025 8:15 Kempton Handicap Dave Evans 6f EARLY RELEASE ✅

Kempton Betting Analysis

8:15 Kempton ❖ 6f C6 Handicap ❖ Early Release (4/1) is well draw, has Murphy in the saddle, is in decent form and goes well on the AW. A reasonable betting proposition at the price available.

8:15 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Early Release (Won 9/2)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

3:57 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:27 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:02 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:40 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:12 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:45 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:15 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:45 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:15 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
4/1 Early Release. (Won 9/2) Raced keenly, made all, ridden clear over 1f out, ran on strongly, unchallenged, 1st.
Returns: £5.50

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: £5.50

Total: + £4.50

Kempton Results - Thurs Sept 18 2025. Going: Standard
15:57
1. 12 Wedonttelllies 3/1
2. 9 Slight Of Foot 10/1
3. 1 Lord Britain 5/1
Tote Win 4.30
Places 1.70, 2.90, 2.10
Exacta: 49.70
CSF: 36.32
Trifecta: 266.00
Winning Jockey: Finley Marsh
Winning Trainer: R Hughes
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Leone Alato 2/1 F
14 ran
16:27
1. 9 Island Ocean 5/1
2. 1 Valkyrja 5/1
3. 4 Villalobos 2/1F
Tote Win 6.00
Places 2.10, 2.00, 1.40
Exacta: 33.30
CSF: 31.84
Tricast: 70.23
Trifecta: 156.90
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: H Main
Distances: 1 length, 1 length
Villalobos 2/1 F
11 ran
Non Runners 12
17:02
1. 3 English Lady 9/2
2. 8 Aim For The Bull 4/1F
3. 7 My Boy Harry 9/2
Tote Win 5.50
Places 2.20, 2.10, 1.90
Exacta: 27.40
CSF: 24.27
Tricast: 91.51
Trifecta: 119.40
Winning Jockey: Jefferson Smith
Winning Trainer: D K Ivory
Distances: 1/2 length, 3 1/4 lengths
Aim For The Bull 4/1 F
12 ran
17:40
1. 3 Saytarr 5/4F
2. 2 Knickerbocker 25/1
3. 4 Frostmagic 9/1
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.30, 3.90, 2.20
Exacta: 37.70
CSF: 42.69
Tricast: 219.94
Trifecta: 215.90
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: C Fellowes
Distances: Nose, Head
Saytarr 5/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 8
18:12
1. 2 Allegresse 10/11F
2. 1 He's Waliim 2/1
Tote Win 1.91
Places ,
Exacta: 3.10
CSF: 3.06
Trifecta: 5.10
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: Neck
Allegresse 10/11 F
4 ran
Non Runners 5
18:45
1. 2 Barefoot Beach 25/1
2. 4 Bintola 7/2
3. 10 Valdorcia 3/1
Tote Win 36.00
Places 5.70, 1.80, 1.40
Exacta: 197.30
CSF: 112.52
Trifecta: 1175.60
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 3 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Khafar 5/2 F
10 ran
19:15
1. 3 St Mawes 4/1
2. 7 Warrior King 11/4F
3. 4 Rogue Empire 15/2
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.60, 1.60, 2.60
Exacta: 19.20
CSF: 15.94
Tricast: 78.15
Trifecta: 115.60
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: Miss E C Lavelle
Distances: 3/4 length, 1/2 length
Warrior King 11/4 F
9 ran
19:45
1. 11 Must Believe 6/1
2. 3 Solanna 4/1
3. 13 Blue Train 10/3F
Tote Win 7.00
Places 2.80, 1.70, 1.90
Exacta: 44.60
CSF: 32.87
Tricast: 99.78
Trifecta: 264.80
Winning Jockey: Tommie Jakes
Winning Trainer: I Mohammed
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Blue Train 10/3 F
13 ran
20:15
1. 6 Early Release 9/2
2. 3 Respectable Jack 11/2
3. 12 Vitalline 18/1
Tote Win 5.80
Places 2.20, 1.50, 4.70
Exacta: 40.80
CSF: 30.77
Tricast: 429.30
Trifecta: 461.90
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 1 3/4 length
Equalised 3/1 F
12 ran

Labels:

1 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Kempton, 18th September 2025

20:15 Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap
Going standard / slow, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Early Release Oisin Murphy 6 9 6 9/2
Raced keenly, made all, ridden clear over 1f out, ran on strongly, unchallenged

2nd Respectable Jack Hollie Doyle 2 1/4 lengths 3 9 7 11/2
Chased leaders, pushed along halfway, went 2nd inside final furlong, no chance with winner

3rd Vitalline Miss J Gordon 1 3/4 length 12 8 11 18/1
Mid-division, headway and switched right to inner inside final furlong, kept on into 3rd towards finish

4th Equalised Luke Morris Neck 10 9 4 3/1 F
Chased leaders inside, went 2nd inside final 2f, no impression when lost 2nd inside final furlong, weakened and lost 3rd towards finish

5th Southbank S D Bowen 1 1/2 length 8 9 5 14/1
Very awkwardly away, towards rear, headway on inside over 1f out, weakened final furlong

6th Top Biller Paddy Bradley 3/4 length 11 9 4 12/1
Chased winner until inside final 2f, weakened quickly final furlong

7th Little Miss Magic Isobelle Chalmers 3 lengths 4 9 6 28/1
Started very slowly and lost all chance, off the pace towards rear, some headway on inside over 1f out, weakened final furlong

8th Sundiata Keita Rob Hornby 1 length 7 9 5 25/1
Mid-division inside, pushed along chasing leaders over 2f out, ridden inside final 2f, soon weakened

9th Soar Above S M Levey 1 3/4 length 5 9 6 10/3
Off the pace towards rear, never on trerms

10th Lahina Bay Rhys Clutterbuck Neck 2 9 7 18/1
Chased leaders out wide, pushed along and outpaced over 2f out, soon weakened

11th Wild Embers S Donohoe 6 lengths 9 9 5 33/1
Always behind, never a factor

12th Galel Darragh Keenan 3 1/4 lengths 1 9 9 11/1
Towards rear inside, never a factor

Blogger Sandracer @ 9:44 pm, September 18, 2025  

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