July Cup - Sat Jul 12 2025
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Al Basti Equiworld ~ Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1) 2025
16:35 Newmarket | Group 1 (Class 1)
15 Runners | Distance▸ 6f | Going▸ Good to Firm | Surface▸ Turf
£657,000 added | Winner▸ £372,585 | 2nd▸ £141,255 | 3rd▸ £70,693 | 4th▸ £35,215
1 (12) Inisherin
21 | p | D | Form▸ 1150-17
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 116
Trainer▸ K A Ryan | Jockey▸ T Eaves
2 (6) Jasour
21 | ht | D | CD | Form▸ 600-606
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 106
Trainer▸ C G Cox | Jockey▸ Saffie Osborne
3 (1) Night Raider (IRE)
25 | D | Form▸ 0511-30
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 105
Trainer▸ K R Burke | Jockey▸ S H James
4 (4) Notable Speech
25 | Form▸ 7153-44
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 118
Trainer▸ C Appleby | Jockey▸ W Buick
5 (10) Rogue Lightning (IRE)
70 | p | D | CD | Form▸ 738-128
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 110
Trainer▸ Tom Clover | Jockey▸ R Kingscote
6 (13) Run To Freedom
21 | C | D | Form▸ 205/0-48
Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 105
Trainer▸ H Candy | Jockey▸ T E Whelan
7 (3) Twilight Calls
21 | C | D | Form▸ 54-5900
Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 9-8 | Official Rating▸ 97
Trainer▸ R Spencer | Jockey▸ George Wood
8 (11) Believing (IRE)
25 | t | BF | D | Form▸ 3223-10
Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-5 | Official Rating▸ 112
Trainer▸ G Boughey | Jockey▸ Billy Loughnane
9 (5) Flora Of Bermuda (IRE)
21 | D | Form▸ 1453-23
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-5 | Official Rating▸ 112
Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ James Doyle
10 (15) No Half Measures
42 | C | D | Form▸ 1615-92
Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-5 | Official Rating▸ 105
Trainer▸ R Hughes | Jockey▸ N Callan
11 (9) Big Mojo (IRE)
22 | D | Form▸ 424-147
Age▸ 3 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 108
Trainer▸ M Appleby | Jockey▸ Tom Marquand
12 (7) Ides Of March (IRE)
22 | D | Form▸ 117-220
Age▸ 3 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 105
Trainer▸ A P O'Brien | Jockey▸ W M Lordan
13 (14) Spy Chief
21 | D | Form▸ 6212
Age▸ 3 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 106
Trainer▸ J & T Gosden | Jockey▸ R Havlin
14 (8) Symbol Of Honour
49 | D | Form▸ 4-11611
Age▸ 3 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 110
Trainer▸ C Appleby | Jockey▸ Oisin Murphy
15 (2) Whistlejacket (IRE)
22 | D | CD | Form▸ 125-126
Age▸ 3 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 110
Trainer▸ A P O'Brien | Jockey▸ R L Moore
Betting Odds
Al Basti Equiworld ~ Dubai July Cup Stakes 2025 Analysis
The July Cup, one of the premier Group 1 sprint contests at Newmarket over 6 furlongs, pits top-class sprinters against each other, blending proven Group 1 performers with emerging talents. This year’s renewal features 2000 Guineas winner Notable Speech dropping to sprint distance, Commonwealth Cup contender Whistlejacket, consistent filly Flora Of Bermuda, and York winner Inisherin. With speed and tactical nous at a premium, this is a wide-open race.
Race Overview
- Distance▸ 6 furlongs
- Surface▸ Turf (Good to Firm)
- Field▸ 15 runners
- Prize▸ £657,000
Historical Trends and Weight Factor
The July Cup often favours horses with proven sprinting form at Group 1 level, with tactical speed and a good draw crucial on Newmarket’s straight course. Three-year-olds receive a 6lb weight allowance, giving them an edge, as seen in 4 of the last 10 editions won by younger horses. Recent form at Royal Ascot, particularly in the Commonwealth Cup or Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, is a strong indicator.
Key Contenders
| Horse | Draw | Odds | Recent Form | Expert Mentions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notable Speech | 4 | 11/4 | 4th in Queen Anne (G1) | Timeform and oddschecker pick, Buick retained |
| Whistlejacket | 2 | 13/2 | 6th in Commonwealth Cup (G1) | Timeform top pick, Pricewise 25/1 ante post, Moore retained |
| Flora Of Bermuda | 5 | 7/1 | 3rd in QEII Jubilee (G1) | Racing Post nap, consistent performer |
| Symbol Of Honour | 8 | 15/2 | 1st in Sandy Lane (G2) | Impressive 6f record, oddschecker mention |
| Believing | 11 | 17/2 | 11th in King Charles III (G1) | Group 1 winner, excuses at Ascot |
| Inisherin | 12 | 11/1 | 7th in QEII Jubilee (G1) | oddschecker pick, cheekpieces applied |
Expert Predictions
- Timeform▸ Whistlejacket (1st), Notable Speech (2nd), Flora Of Bermuda (3rd) ~ Read 📰
- Racing Post▸ Flora Of Bermuda to land the spoils ~ Read 📰
- Oddschecker▸ Inisherin to bounce back, Notable Speech and Symbol Of Honour respected ~ Read 📰
- Notebook Angle▸ Notable Speech’s class and drop to 6f could unlock potential
Additional Factors
- Notable Speech drops to 6f for the first time, a bold move given his Group 1 mile form
- Whistlejacket was unlucky in the Commonwealth Cup, suggesting untapped potential
- Flora Of Bermuda’s consistency at this level makes her a threat, especially with a good draw
- Inisherin’s cheekpieces could sharpen him up after a lackluster Ascot run
- Symbol Of Honour’s 5-6 record at 6f is notable, but Buick prefers Notable Speech
Final Recommendation ~ Notable Speech 11/4 ~ Win Only ✅
While Whistlejacket has strong claims with his 6f pedigree and Ryan Moore’s support, Notable Speech stands out as the best bet at 11/4 after drifting from as short as 2/1. His proven Group 1 class over a mile, combined with William Buick’s confidence and a favourable draw (4), suggests he can adapt to the drop in trip. Flora Of Bermuda is a consistent danger, and Inisherin could rebound, but Notable Speech’s quality edges him ahead.
Labels: Newmarket
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