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Royal Ascot - Day One - 2025

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14:30 Ascot ~ Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) ~ 1m ~ 10 Runners
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1Cairo11Alice HaynesS De Sousa59-280/1
2Carl Spackler8C MaherJames McDonald59-210/1
3Dancing Gemini2R A TealK Shoemark49-27/1
4Diego Velazquez1A P O'BrienR L Moore49-210/1
5Docklands5Harry EustaceMark Zahra59-214/1
6Lake Forest9W J HaggasTom Marquand49-216/1
7Lead Artist3J & T GosdenC T Keane49-25/1
8Notable Speech6C ApplebyW Buick49-25/1
9Quddwah7S & E CrisfordCallum Shepherd59-214/1
10Rosallion10R HannonS M Levey49-23/1
All Odds▸ Rosallion 3/1 | Lead Artist 5/1 | Notable Speech 5/1 | Sardinian Warrior 6/1 | Dancing Gemini 7/1 | Diego Velazquez 10/1 | Carl Spackler 10/1 | Docklands 14/1 | Lake Forest 16/1
15:05 Ascot ~ Coventry Stakes (Group 2) ~ 6f ~ 20 Runners
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1American Gulf8P & O ColeOisin Murphy29-310/1
2Andab20J P O'BrienD McMonagle29-39/1
3Ballistic Missile11R HannonS Foley29-340/1
4Bone Marra7Ollie SangsterC Soumillon29-340/1
5Bourbon Blues2B J MeehanBilly Loughnane29-340/1
6Coppull17C G CoxDavid Probert29-366/1
7Do Or Do Not5E WalkerTom Marquand29-3100/1
8Gavoo21D MarnaneL T McAteer29-325/1
9Gstaad14A P O'BrienR L Moore29-39/2
10Kolkata Knight3Tom DascombeP-L Jamin29-340/1
11Military Code15C ApplebyW Buick29-313/2
12Postmodern19H Al JehaniJames Doyle29-311/2
13Power Blue9A MurrayD Egan29-318/1
14Raakeb4R HannonS M Levey29-3100/1
15Rock On Thunder10K A RyanJim Crowley29-312/1
16Shaatir12A WatsonHollie Doyle29-366/1
17Super Soldier16K R BurkeC Lee29-3100/1
18Tadej13A WatsonL Morris29-380/1
19Underwriter18A WatsonJames McDonald29-318/1
20Warsaw6A P O'BrienW M Lordan29-312/1
All Odds▸ Gstaad 9/2 | Postmodern 11/2 | Military Code 13/2 | Andab 9/1 | American Gulf 10/1 | Warsaw 12/1 | Rock On Thunder 12/1 | Underwriter 18/1 | Power Blue 18/1 | Tricky Tel 22/1 | Gavoo 25/1 | Bourbon Blues 40/1 | Bone Marra 40/1 | Kolkata Knight 40/1 | Ballistic Missile 40/1 | Coppull 66/1 | Shaatir 66/1 | Tadej 80/1 | Super Soldier 100/1 | Raakeb 100/1 | Do Or Do Not 100/1
15:40 Ascot ~ King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) ~ 5f ~ 21 Runners
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1Asfoora (AUS)10Henry DwyerOisin Murphy69-49/2
2Believing (IRE)1G BougheyR L Moore59-45/1
3Mgheera8E WalkerW Buick59-48/1
4Regional17E BethellCallum Rodriguez79-717/2
5Night Raider (IRE)7K R BurkeJames Doyle49-79/1
6Starlust14R M BeckettRossa Ryan49-714/1
7American Affair16J S GoldieP Mulrennan59-716/1
8West Acre (IRE)23George ScottCallum Shepherd39-118/1
9Rumstar5J G PortmanRob Hornby59-722/1
10Jasour6C G CoxJim Crowley49-722/1
11Bucanero Fuerte~~~~~33/1
12Balmoral Lady (IRE)4E WalkerTom Marquand49-440/1
13Tropical Storm19A M BaldingC T Keane39-140/1
14Aesterius (IRE)9A WatsonJames McDonald39-140/1
15Kerdos (IRE)3C G CoxC Soumillon59-750/1
16Frost At Dawn (USA)15W J KnightM Barzalona49-450/1
17Washington Heights11K A RyanT Eaves59-766/1
18Prime Art (IRE)20Jane Chapple-HyamBilly Loughnane49-466/1
19No Half Measures~~~~~66/1
20Manaccan12J RyanCieren Fallon69-780/1
21Twilight Calls21R SpencerJ P Spencer79-780/1
All Odds▸ Asfoora 9/2 | Believing 5/1 | Mgheera 8/1 | Regional 17/2 | Night Raider 9/1 | Starlust 14/1 | American Affair 16/1 | West Acre 18/1 | Rumstar 22/1 | Jasour 22/1 | Bucanero Fuerte 33/1 | Balmoral Lady 40/1 | Tropical Storm 40/1 | Aesterius 40/1 | Kerdos 50/1 | Frost At Dawn 50/1 | Washington Heights 66/1 | Prime Art 66/1 | No Half Measures 66/1 | Manaccan 80/1 | Twilight Calls 80/1
16:20 Ascot ~ Wolferton Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) ~ 1m 1f 212y ~ 14 Runners
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1Al Mubhir8W HaggasJames Doyle59-811/1
2Ancient Rome2N MeadeRossa Ryan59-825/1
3Bolthole7J & T GosdenK Shoemark59-812/1
4King of Conquest1C ApplebyW Buick59-811/2
5Royal Rhyme10K R BurkeClifford Lee49-83/1
6Royal Scotsman12P & O ColeR L Moore49-84/1
7San Antonio5A P O'BrienR Whelan49-812/1
8Solid Stone3S bin SuroorOisin Murphy89-825/1
9Stay Alert14H MorrisonDavid Egan59-514/1
10Bolster13H & R CharltonJames McDonald49-818/1
11Certain Lad11M ChannonJ F Egan89-850/1
12Cadillac9K P De FoyD Tudhope69-822/1
13Bless Him6D M SimcockJamie Spencer109-840/1
14Croupier4S & E CrisfordWilliam Buick59-816/1
All Odds▸ Royal Rhyme 3/1 | Royal Scotsman 4/1 | King of Conquest 11/2 | Charlus 11/2 | Al Mubhir 11/1 | Bolthole 12/1 | San Antonio 12/1 | Stay Alert 14/1 | Croupier 16/1 | Bolster 18/1 | Cadillac 22/1 | Ancient Rome 25/1 | Solid Stone 25/1 | Bless Him 40/1 | Certain Lad 50/1
17:00 Ascot ~ Ascot Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBB Plus Race) (Class 2)
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1Dawn Rising19J P O'BrienD P McDonogh89-1228/1
2Artistic Star9R M BeckettJack Dace59-1266/1
3Divine Comedy5Harry EustaceDavid Probert79-1128/1
4San Salvador12J P O'BrienH J Horgan99-11125/1
5Align The Stars13C JohnstonJ Fanning49-1066/1
6Feigning Madness14R M BeckettHector Crouch49-950/1
7East India Dock18James OwenJames Doyle49-818/5
8Manxman4S & E CrisfordS D Bowen59-711/1
9Ascending6H De BromheadW J Lee69-720/1
10Liari15M L W BellK Shoemark59-733/1
11Zoffee8H PalmerOisin Murphy99-640/1
12Saturn3Mrs J HarringtonS Foley59-550/1
13Nurburgring20J P O'BrienC T Keane59-516/1
14Alphonse Le Grande11A J MartinJ P Spencer69-515/2
15Reaching High1W P MullinsR L Moore49-511/4
16Comfort Zone16J P O'BrienTom Marquand69-533/1
17Leinster17J P O'BrienD McMonagle49-425/1
18Woot City2F ChappetS Pasquier89-340/1
19Mr Hampstead7Raphael FreireD Egan49-225/1
20Poniros10W P MullinsW Buick49-23/1
All Odds▸ Reaching High 11/4 | Poniros 3/1 | East India Dock 18/5 | Alphonse Le Grande 15/2 | Nurburgring 16/1 | Manxman 11/1 | Mr Hampstead 25/1 | Leinster 25/1 | Ascending 20/1 | Dawn Rising 28/1 | Divine Comedy 28/1 | Liari 33/1 | Comfort Zone 33/1 | Zoffee 40/1 | Woot City 40/1 | Feigning Madness 50/1 | Saturn 50/1 | Artistic Star 66/1 | Align The Stars 66/1 | San Salvador 125/1
17:35 Ascot ~ Wolferton Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) ~ 1m 1f 212y ~ 16 Runners
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1Galen9J P O'BrienD McMonagle49-1011/1
2Liberty Lane16K R BurkeC Lee59-818/1
3Military Order10C ApplebyW Buick59-820/1
4Phantom Flight15George ScottCallum Shepherd69-825/1
5Ambiente Friendly3James OwenR Havlin49-528/1
6Checkandchallenge14W J KnightS De Sousa69-528/1
7Ecureuil Secret8R A FaheyO J Orr49-511/1
8Enfjaar2R VarianJim Crowley59-58/1
9Haatem5R HannonJames Doyle49-510/1
10Haunted Dream4H Al JehaniM Barzalona69-522/1
11King's Gambit12Harry CharltonJames McDonald49-59/2
12Meydaan11S & E CrisfordHarry Davies49-511/1
13Passion And Glory13S bin SuroorRossa Ryan99-550/1
14Sons And Lovers1J P O'BrienR L Moore49-513/2
15Torito7J & T GosdenC T Keane59-516/1
16Doha6R M BeckettHector Crouch59-340/1
All Odds▸ King's Gambit 9/2 | Sons And Lovers 13/2 | Enfjaar 8/1 | Haatem 10/1 | Ecureuil Secret 11/1 | Galen 11/1 | Meydaan 11/1 | Torito 16/1 | Liberty Lane 18/1 | Haunted Dream 22/1 | Military Order 20/1 | Ambiente Friendly 28/1 | Checkandchallenge 28/1 | Phantom Flight 25/1 | Doha 40/1 |Passion And Glory 50/1
18:10 Ascot ~ Copper Horse Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2) ~ 1m 6f 34y ~ 16 Runners
No Horse Dr Trainer Jockey Ag Wt Odds
1Giddy Giddy11S & E CrisfordWilliam Buick79-610/1
2Black Poppy9J & T GosdenJames Doyle59-616/1
3Balko Saint6George BougheyJ F Egan69-55/1
4Forest Falcon5J R FanshaweJ Fanning89-510/1
5Great Esteem14J & T GosdenK Shoemark69-411/2
6Judicial Law15K R BurkeRyan Sexton59-45/1
7Misstrophy10George BougheyAdam Kirby59-47/1
8New Exceed12A P O'BrienJ A Heffernan69-416/1
9Adwan3R VarianDavid Egan69-411/2
10Red Shot8H MorrisonHarry Davies69-37/1
11Rashki4S & E CrisfordJames Doyle59-312/1
12Where's Jeff7S & E CrisfordJason Watson79-39/2
13Spirit Dancer1J R FanshaweWilliam Buick49-38/1
14Vibraphonic13D O'MearaTom Marquand79-210/1
15Wood Eagle16D O'MearaJim Crowley69-050/1
16Grey Wolf2A P O'BrienRyan Moore69-012/1
All Odds▸ Balko Saint 5/1 | Judicial Law 5/1 | Adwan 11/2 | Great Esteem 11/2 | Red Shot 7/1 | Misstrophy 7/1 | Spirit Dancer 8/1 | Where's Jeff 9/2 | Giddy Giddy 10/1 | Forest Falcon 10/1 | Vibraphonic 10/1 | Rashki 12/1 | Grey Wolf 12/1 | Black Poppy 16/1 | New Exceed 16/1 | Wood Eagle 50/1

Race Analysis ~ 18:10 Ascot ~ Copper Horse Stakes

Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places)  |  Distance▸ 1m 6f 34y  |  Surface▸ Turf

Key Contenders

  • French Master (9/4) ~ Progressive 4-y-o from Gosden yard. Overcame trouble last time, now fitted with blinkers. Open to more improvement. Classy profile.
  • Caballo De Mar (5/1) ~ Highly consistent stayer with 5 wins in last 6. Proven over 2m+, handles fast ground, and still improving.
  • Charlus (4/1) ~ Trained by Willie Mullins (won last 2 runnings). Lightly raced ex-French runner. Ryan Moore booked. Big danger if tuned up.
  • Aeronautic (5/1) ~ Strong staying pedigree, looked rusty last time but is expected to strip fitter. Could step up back over a suitable trip.
  • My Mate Mozzie (17/2) ~ 3rd in this race last year; returns from a jumps campaign. Booking of a 5-lb claimer is a positive; solid place claims.

📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)

Horse Rating Summary
Caballo De Mar ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ Relentless improver with staying form, but price now reflects full ceiling ~ no longer 'under the radar'.
French Master ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ Improving, but hasn’t truly been tested in a race of this nature. Price very tight. Not value, but dangerous.
Charlus ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ Mullins/Moore angle attracts attention, but flat form unproven at this trip; market may overrate stable bias.
Lavender Hill Mob ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ Strong recent form, stays well, lightly raced, improving ~ but priced like he’s a shot in the dark. He’s not.
Fairbanks ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ Fit from jumps win; stays 14f+, might be better than his flat mark suggests. Wouldn’t need a career best.
Jesse Evans ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ Big field experience, strong closer, decent hurdles form. Drawn wide and exposed, but live if pace collapses.
My Mate Mozzie ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ Placed in this race last year. Claimer helps, but prep via Aintree chase doesn’t inspire. Not well drawn either.
Aeronautic ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ Lightly raced, promising, but only one handicap start and flopped in it. May need one more run to peak.
Champagne Prince ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ Speed on the AW but turf question still looms. Not disgraced in Group 3 last time. A sharp ride could unlock him.

📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics

  • 4-year-olds▸ Continue to dominate in this race ~ they’ve won 3 of last 4 runnings, and 12 of today’s 16 runners are aged 4.
  • Draw Bias▸ Low-to-middle draws (2~10) historically outperform at this trip ~ best for hold-up or midfield horses with finishing speed.
  • Trainer Bias▸ Mullins has won last two renewals, but with Vauban and Belloccio ~ far more proven flat horses than Charlus.
  • Profile Key▸ Horses with strong recent form, proven stamina beyond 14f, and ability to quicken on fast turf score best.

Conclusion▸ French Master and Caballo De Mar both deserve respect, but their odds reflect that ~ no edge remains. The real interest lies in horses whose ~ chances have been discounted ~ due to profile unfamiliarity or stable reputation gaps. Lavender Hill Mob offers a genuine threat at a price that hasn’t caught up to his improvement. Fairbanks and Jesse Evans are better than "place fancies" ~ they’re long-range threats in a strongly run handicap.

Backing quality at double-digit odds is the only sustainable path here.

⭐ Bet Analysis ~ Where's the Edge?

  • French Master (9/4)▸ Short enough now. Looks classy, but margin for error is gone. Has to win to pay ~ and this is no small-field soft-ground gallop.
  • Caballo De Mar (5/1)▸ You can’t knock the form, but 5/1 in a 16-runner handicap is now fully priced. Reliable, but the risk premium’s gone.
  • Lavender Hill Mob (20/1)▸ This is where things get interesting. Improving, stays well, and that last run wasn’t flattered. Has a proper engine and could sit handy from a fair draw. Rated a true value bet.
  • Fairbanks (20/1) & Jesse Evans (16/1)▸ Both are tough, race-fit, and proven in big fields. They’re not long shots by accident, but they’re not priced for the scenario where this becomes a test of grit and tactics ~ which it might.

Final Take▸ If you're backing a short one, French Master has the fewest questions. But for those chasing profit, Lavender Hill Mob is the most compelling from a value perspective. He's improving, stays, handles ground, and isn't just a place option ~ he can win this. The others ~ Fairbanks, Jesse Evans ~ deserve mention if playing wider or looking at exchanges or big money forecast and tricast combinations.

Recommended Bet▸
6:10 Ascot: Lavender Hill Mob (28/1)

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns:
Total:

Royal Ascot Results - 17 June 2025. Going: good to firm (good in places)
14:30
1. 5 Docklands 14/1
2. 10 Rosallion 5/2F
3. 1 Cairo 100/1
Tote Win 15.00
Places 3.30, 1.45, 13.80
Exacta: 75.80
CSF: 49.80
Tricast: 3540.56
Trifecta: 2730.30
Winning Jockey: M Zahra
Winning Trainer: Harry Eustace
Distances: Nose, 1 3/4 length
Rosallion 5/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 11
15:05
1. 9 Gstaad 7/2F
2. 7 Do Or Do Not 80/1
3. 6 Coppull 66/1
Tote Win 4.75
Places 1.90, 8.35, 13.25
Exacta: 235.20
CSF: 328.56
Tricast: 15479.12
Trifecta: 7016.20
Winning Jockey: R L Moore
Winning Trainer: A P O'Brien
Distances: 3 lengths, Neck
Gstaad 7/2 F
20 ran
Non Runners 19
15:40
1. 1 American Affair 11/1
2. 15 Frost At Dawn 28/1
3. 7 Regional 9/1
Tote Win 11.15
Places 2.85, 6.35, 2.25
Exacta: 422.70
CSF: 256.61
Tricast: 2152.45
Trifecta: 3228.40
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: Neck, 1 length
Believing 3/1 F
20 ran
Non Runners 2 18
16:20
1. 1 Field Of Gold 8/11F
2. 3 Henri Matisse 4/1
Tote Win 1.73
Places 1.10, 1.30
Exacta: 4.80
CSF: 3.37
Trifecta: 7.70
Winning Jockey: C T Keane
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths
Field Of Gold 8/11 F
7 ran
17:00
1. 9 Ascending 20/1
2. 13 Nurburgring 16/1
3. 16 Comfort Zone 33/1
4. 17 Leinster 25/1
Tote Win 26.85
Places 6.70, 7.15, 8.40,
Exacta: 665.70
CSF: 309.82
Tricast: 10130.96
Trifecta: 11658.00
Winning Jockey: W J Lee
Winning Trainer: H De Bromhead
Distances: Neck, 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Reaching High 11/4 F
20 ran
17:35
1. 9 Haatem 8/1
2. 1 Galen 13/2
3. 11 King's Gambit 4/1F
Tote Win 10.85
Places 4.05, 2.70, 2.20
Exacta: 92.90
CSF: 57.25
Tricast: 248.17
Trifecta: 507.90
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 3/4 length, 3/4 length
King's Gambit 4/1 F
16 ran
18:10
1. 7 French Master 5/2F
2. 12 Caballo De Mar 13/2
3. 3 Samui 20/1
4. 8 Barnso 14/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.50, 2.35, 4.50,
Exacta: 17.30
CSF: 17.89
Tricast: 287.02
Trifecta: 399.70
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length, Short Head
French Master 5/2 F
16 ran

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