SANDRACER.COM - Predicting Horse Races With ChatGPT AI - (7:15 Newcastle - Fri Nov 8 2024)


Predicting Horse Races With ChatGPT AI - (7:15 Newcastle - Fri Nov 8 2024)

Earlier, I was picking ChatGPT's AI brain about taking on Google and other search engine via ChatGPT Search - and how I could get more folk to Sandracer. It had some interesting answers. One answer was using ChatGPT to predict horse races.

I gave it a race, some info, a few race details on the 7:15 at Newcastle. Here's what ChatGPT had to say:

7:15 Newcastle Prediction: ChatGPT's Take

Race Info:

  • Class: 6 Handicap
  • Distance: 1m 5y
  • Surface: Standard All-Weather
  • Purse: £5,700 (Winner: £2,983)
  • Betting Forecast: Volenti (1/1), Trais Fluors (7/2), Eyeeye (13/2), Whatwouldyouknow (10/1), etc.

ChatGPT's Pick:

Volenti (IRE) – 1/1 (even money)

Why Volenti?

  • Strong recent form, including a tight win at Newcastle over similar conditions.
  • Trainer and jockey combo (B. Haslam & P. Mulrennan) showing excellent form together.
  • Even money offers great value, especially when you consider the horse’s stamina and course familiarity.

Betting Slip

Stake: £1.00 Win on Volenti (2nd 10/11) held up towards rear, smooth headway near side of group over 3f out, led inside final 2f, ridden and strongly pressed inside final furlong, headed and no extra towards finish, 2nd

Return Estimate:

  • If Volenti wins: £2.00 (total return)
  • If it doesn't: A loss of £1.00

Verdict:

Volenti looks like the safest bet with an even-money price. You’re getting value for a horse that has proven form and looks well-suited for today’s conditions. For an each-way bet, Martin's Brig might be worth a small punt at 12/1 if you want to hedge your bets.

ChatGPT More In Depth Prediction & 1-2-3 For The 8:15 @ Newcastle


Let’s break this down and go for a prediction based on form, recent performances, and race dynamics.

Key Points to Consider:
  • Class 6 Handicap – This typically involves horses that are a bit inconsistent, so we’ll focus on recent form and course knowledge.
  • Distance: 1m 5y – Middle-distance, so stamina is important.
  • Going: Standard All-Weather – This is key as some horses are better on synthetic surfaces (All-Weather) than turf.

Now, let’s take a closer look at the runners:

Key Contenders:
Volenti (IRE) (7)

Odds: 10/11 (fav) – The favorite for a reason.
Recent Form: Win at Newcastle last time out over a similar distance and conditions. Beat a strong field by a head. Trainer B Haslam and jockey P Mulrennan are a solid team. Volenti is in good form and clearly likes this surface.

Rating: 5.0 out of 5.

Verdict: Strong chance given current form, course familiarity, and solid win last time.

Trais Fluors (1)

Odds: 7/2 – Not a bad price, but form has been inconsistent recently.
Recent Form: Hasn’t been in the best form, although has run well on this course in the past. Most recent performances have been below par, especially over longer trips.

Rating: 1.5 out of 5.

Verdict: Despite previous course experience, likely to struggle based on current form.

Whatwouldyouknow (IRE) (7)

Odds: 10/1 – Not impossible, but not the strongest contender.
Recent Form: Solid place finish last time out, 3rd of 10 at Newcastle, but didn’t quite have the stamina to finish stronger.

Rating: 1.5 out of 5.

Verdict: Could be a decent placer, but I’m not convinced it has the extra bit needed to win today.

Martin’s Brig (IRE) (4)

Odds: 12/1 – A bit of an outsider, but worth a mention.
Recent Form: Mixed performances lately, but has managed to win a couple of times in the past. Disappointing in most recent runs.

Rating: 5.0 out of 5.

Verdict: The price is good, but current form suggests it may lack the consistency to win here.

Eyeeye (3)

Odds: 13/2 – Could surprise, but recent form has been poor.
Recent Form: Last few runs have been disappointing, especially against stronger opposition.
Verdict: Not a strong contender in this field, though it could pull something unexpected.

Dark Horse:

Angel Of Antrim (IRE) (2)

Odds: 9/1 – An outsider, but could be value.
Recent Form: A bit of a mixed bag—was competitive in races earlier in the season but faded badly recently.

Verdict: Could be a surprise placer but isn’t on the radar for the win at this stage.


Prediction:

Winner: Volenti (IRE) (7) – Most likely to win, given recent form, course performance, and competitive field.

Why: The horse won at Newcastle recently in a similar race and showed excellent stamina to hold off rivals. With solid connections and a favorable draw, Volenti looks the one to beat.

Each-way contender: Martin’s Brig (IRE) (4) – Could surprise in the places.

Why: Despite recent dips in form, past winning form and a good draw could see Martin’s Brig bounce back. At 12/1, it’s worth a look if you want some value.

Potential Placer: Whatwouldyouknow (IRE) (7)

Why: Based on the past couple of competitive efforts, a place finish seems likely, though I don’t think it has the class to take the win today.

Conclusion: I’m going with Volenti to take the win in this one, with Martin’s Brig potentially coming in for a place or showing a strong late run. Whatwouldyouknow could fill out the trifecta (uk - tricast), but I’m not entirely convinced it'll be a winner today.

ChatGPT: Let me know how the post goes, I’m intrigued to see the reactions! 😄

Blogged up at 15:56, Friday, November 08, 2024 by the Sandracer. blog post quick edit pencil

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Newcastle Results

15:28 - Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (Class 5) (3YO plus) 1m 2f
1st (6) Molinari 3/1 F
2nd (9) Prince Achille 12/1
3rd (8) Urban Road 33/1


16:03 - Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery (Class 6) (2YO only) 6f
1st (4) Bella Fortunata 11/2
2nd (1) Lima Sierra 7/4 F


16:40 - Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 5) (3YO plus) 5f
1st (1) Cash In 11/10 F
All 4 ran


17:15 - Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap (Class 5) (3YO plus) 7f
1st (1) Lincoln Legacy 11/4 2F
All 4 ran


18:15 - Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Class 6) (3YO plus) 5f
1st (2) Hk Fourteen 15/8 F
2nd (11) Blackcurrent 16/1
3rd (4) Ninety Nine 25/1


18:45 - BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Class 5) (3YO plus) 6f
1st (6) Fletchers Dream 9/1
2nd (3) Profit Street 6/1
3rd (8) Bellagio Man 9/2


19:15 - Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Class 6) (3YO plus) 1m
1st (1) Trais Fluors 7/2 2F
2nd (6) Volenti 10/11 F
3rd (7) Whatwouldyouknow 15/2


Newcastle Dividends
Placepot: £106.20 , Pool £75,381.39 , Winning Units 517.76
Quadpot: £18.70 , Pool £13,443.51 , Winning Units 530.1

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:08 pm, November 08, 2024  


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