SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

My attempt to crack the Chelmsford All Weather code in as few words as possible is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ Today it's a pretty simple task, I will be backing Latin Five ridden by claimer 3lb apprentice jockey Liam Wright.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey LIAM WRIGHT

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
• 14 Aug 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 5f Paul Midgeley LATIN FIVE (Unp 4/1)

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:15 Chelmsford ❖ C6 hcp over 5f. Latin Five 11/2 has reasonable form in his grade on the All Weather tracks over 5f on the Tapeta surface. I see no reason why he won't go on today's Polytrack surface for the first time of asking.

He's on a handy mark at 51 ~ his best win was at 57 over 5f at Newcastle. Liam Wright is an able apprentice claiming 3lb. I also think the 11/2 is quite generous. He looks about a 3/1 shot, tops.

3:30 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 11/2 Latin Five

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Kempton AW Code Breaker

A decent looking Kempton AWR meeting is up for this evening. I will attempt to crack the Kempton All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockeys I am concentrating on are top jocks Oisin Murphy and 3 X champion jockey Silvestre De Sousa.

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❖ Trainers ❖ The trainers on my hit list at Kempton this evening are Roger Varian and the Andrew Balding stable. I will be taking a close look at everything they put out.

Other trainers of note are on the card, but I will be concentrating on the two mentioned. The aim is to isolate a couple of winners and not get confused by meticulously reading hundreds of horses form ~ thereby ending up with no idea who to back.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I Will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything matches up all three parameters above, give it a close look on form.
• ❖ Anything that matches up two from three, very carefully check the form also.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
• 13 Aug 2025 7:15 Kempton Handicap 7f John Quinn RED MIRAGE
• 13 Aug 2025 7:45 Kempton Handicap 1m Michael Dods KING OF FURY
• 13 Aug 2025 8:15 Kempton Handicap 1m 4f Will Knight DUBAWI TIME
• 13 Aug 2025 8:45 Kempton Handicap 2m Andrew Balding TRIPLE GEE

Jockey SILVESTRE DE SOUSA

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
• 13 Aug 2025 7:15 Kempton Handicap 7f Roger Varian AL KHAWSSAA
• 13 Aug 2025 7:45 Kempton Handicap 1m Roger Varian SHE'S A WARRIOR (NR)
• 13 Aug 2025 8:15 Kempton Handicap 1m 4f Ed Dunlop DAMASCUS STEEL

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Kempton AW Trainer Runners

Trainer ROGER VARIAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Jockey | HORSE
• 13 Aug 2025 7:15 Kempton Handicap 7f S De Sousa AL KHAWSSAA
• 13 Aug 2025 7:45 Kempton Handicap 1m S De Sousa SHE'S A WARRIOR (NR)

Trainer ANDREW BALDING

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Jockey | HORSE
• 13 Aug 2025 8:45 Kempton Handicap 2m Oisin Murphy TRIPLE GEE

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Kempton Betting Analysis

7:15 Kempton ❖ 7f C4 Hcp. Al Kawssaa (7/1) and Red Mirage (5/1) both have plenty going for them. Both however, are not drawn so well. Horses can still win over the 7f trip at Kempton from outside draws, but I won't bet on it.

# No Bet

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7:45 Kempton ❖ 8f C4 Hcp. King Of Fury (11/2) takes on a couple of 3yo talking horses, but they have been found by the market at 3/1jf's. Fury sets the benchmark in this 14 runner handicap and for me, is the one they all have to beat. I make him the arguable 5/2fav from an inside draw with top jockey Oisin Murphy booked.

7:45 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 11/2 King Of Fury (4th 4/1)

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8:15 Kempton ❖ 1m 4f C5 Hcp. Dubawi Time (9/2) and topweight Damascus Steel (11/2) are 3rd and 4th fav in this one. I'm happy they can beat all these rivals. As far as I'm concerned, I need to pick the winner of a match between the two.

#verdict: I think Dubawi Time with the aid of Murphy, and the drop back down to a handy mark of 60, will take all the beating.

8:15 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Dubawi Time (Unp 13/2)

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8:45 Kempton ❖ 2m C4 Hcp. Triple Gee (5/2) may well trounce the fav Synergism first time up on the All Weather ~ it's possible. At 5/2 though, he won't be doing so with any of my dough on it. There are a couple of other handy opponents in the race also. Definitely a no bet race.

# No Bet

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Wolverhampton AW Code Breaker

Sunday afternoon All Weather meet today. Not much of my type of races to try to crack the Wolverhampton AW code with, but the last race looks reasonable.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Low draw essential at Wolverhampton, pretty much every distance, one way or another.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ Today is a day to keep it pretty simple ~ Hollie Doyle has a decent looking runner in the last race.

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Wolverhampton AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HOLLIE DOYLE

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
• 10 Aug 2025 5:07 Wolv Handicap 1m James Tate WAITING FOR LOVE (Unp 5/1)

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Wolverhampton Betting Analysis

5:07 Wolverhampton ❖ Waiting For Love (4/1) has trap one and Hollie Doyle in the saddle. He'll need to break well and control the race from there.

Backed down from 11/2 overnight and this morning, he should take all the beating.

5:07 Wolv ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Waiting For Love

Wolverhampton Results - Aug 10 2025. Going: standard

14:37 1. 2 Flicka's Girl 3/1 2. 4 Dorothy May 7/2 Tote Win 4.00 Places 1.60, 1.60 Exacta: 12.10 CSF: 13.59 Trifecta: 23.00 Winning Jockey: Paddy Bradley Winning Trainer: M J Attwater Distances: 1 1/4 length Rock N It 11/10 F 5 ran Non Runners 3	15:07 1. 1 Fierce 5/1 2. 2 Many A Star 15/8F Tote Win 6.00 Places , Exacta: 14.10 CSF: 14.64 Trifecta: 30.90 Winning Jockey: J P Fahy Winning Trainer: P T Midgley Distances: 1 length Many A Star 15/8 F 4 ran
15:37 1. 1 Enricher 10/3 2. 3 Sea Cookie 3/1 Tote Win 4.34 Places 1.80, 1.90 Exacta: 13.00 CSF: 14.10 Trifecta: 26.70 Winning Jockey: Mr L Edmunds Winning Trainer: W Muir & C Grassick Distances: 1 1/4 length Wyle Cop 2/1 F 7 ran	16:07 1. 3 Without Burlington 11/8F 2. 2 Bouboule 11/4 Tote Win 2.38 Places , Exacta: 5.00 CSF: 5.44 Trifecta: 13.10 Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt Winning Trainer: K P De Foy Distances: 3 1/2 lengths Without Burlington 11/8 F 4 ran
16:37 1. 3 Marquis Pompeo 14/1 2. 8 Polygram 10/11F 3. 6 Eliza Bennet 5/4 Tote Win 15.00 Places 2.20, 1.10, 1.10 Exacta: 38.10 CSF: 28.20 Trifecta: 62.00 Winning Jockey: S D Bowen Winning Trainer: C Johnston Distances: Nose, 6 lengths Polygram 10/11 F 8 ran	17:07 1. 4 Run With It 9/2 2. 5 Saxonia 13/8F 3. 7 Studious 12/1 Tote Win 5.50 Places 1.80, 1.20, 3.00 Exacta: 16.40 CSF: 12.43 Tricast: 79.89 Trifecta: 118.40 Winning Jockey: Jack Dace Winning Trainer: R M Beckett Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 1/2 length Saxonia 13/8 F 9 ran Non Runners 3 10