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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Sat Jan 10 2026

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Saturday January 10 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle evening meeting starts with the 3:10. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on 25yr old ex champion apprentice jockey Jason Watson 𝕏 | Insta | who has a 31% strike rate here this season ~ so he knows the track well. He has three rides today.

Additionally, I will be checking out all of the Cieren Fallon 𝕏 ridden horses. There are three of those also.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON WATSON

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 10 Jan 2026 3:47 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ed Bethell THE ENGLISH ROGUE ✅
  • 10 Jan 2026 5:20 Newcastle 4yo+ Novice Stakes 1m Andrew Balding TED LE SAUX
  • 10 Jan 2026 6:20 Newcastle Handicap 5f Michael Keady MAD UNICORN

Jockey CIEREN FALLON

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 10 Jan 2026 4:50 Newcastle 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m Kevin Frost AL BAAHY ✅
  • 10 Jan 2026 5:50 Newcastle Handicap 7f James Owen GOLDMOYNE
  • 10 Jan 2026 6:20 Newcastle Handicap 5f Dylan Cunha KING OF CHAOS

Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:47 Newcastle ❖ 1m C5 Hcp ❖ The English Rogue (10/1) has only had 5 runs in his career, but has never run badly, nor has he ever troubled the judge. The 10/1 on offer that he can get his head in front now he's dropped in trip and mark, looks reasonable.

The race circumstances today may well be right up his street. I won't bore you with the technical deatails, otherwise we might be all day. Let's just see how he goes, win only, small stakes.


3:47 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 The English Rogue (Unp 14/1)

4:50 Newcastle ❖ 1m C6 Classified Stakes ❖ Al Baahy (4/1) drops down to the basement, ie a C6 classified race. He has not won for two years. His performances however, are never stinkers. He runs his race. I expect he'll win today. I am fairly surprised he's not a 2/1fav chance, so I'll play.


4:50 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Al Baahy (3rd 4/1)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:47 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
10/1 The English Rogue. (Unplaced 14/1) Wore hood to post, chased leaders, pushed along over 3f out, ridden and made no impression over 2f out, weakened gradually from over 1f out, 10th.

4:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
4/1 Al Baahy. (3rd 4/1) In touch, waiting for room 2f out, not clear run over 1f out, soon ridden when in clear, kept on and went third inside final furlong, never dangerous, 3rd.

5:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Newcastle Results - Saturday January 10 2026. Going: Standard
15:10
1. 5 Star Cast 12/1
2. 3 Time Turner 9/4
3. 7 Alpine Sierra 2/1F
Tote Win 14.90
Places 2.60, 1.40, 1.20
Exacta: 51.90
CSF: 33.59
Tricast: 60.35
Trifecta: 239.40
Winning Jockey: Miss A Collier
Winning Trainer: G Tutty
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Alpine Sierra 2/1 F
9 ran
15:47
1. 1 Eligible 6/1
2. 11 Book Of Life 40/1
3. 6 Starliner 17/2
Tote Win 7.00
Places 2.50, 8.60, 2.30
Exacta: 282.80
CSF: 215.67
Tricast: 2060.79
Trifecta: 2776.00
Winning Jockey: Miss Joanna Mason
Winning Trainer: M & D Easterby
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Second Fiddle 10/3 F
11 ran
16:20
1. 5 Eagles Whistle 7/2
2. 9 Relevant Range 13/8F
3. 1 Annalee Lass 18/1
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.70, 1.30, 4.90
Exacta: 12.40
CSF: 9.93
Trifecta: 139.10
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: D Bourke
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 1 1/2 length
Relevant Range 13/8 F
10 ran
Non Runners 10
16:50
1. 7 Pink Socks 6/4F
2. 9 That Lucas Fella 7/1
3. 1 Al Baahy 4/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.30, 1.70, 1.70
Exacta: 15.60
CSF: 12.25
Trifecta: 34.50
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 5 1/2 lengths, Head
Pink Socks 6/4 F
10 ran
17:20
1. 5 Ted Le Saux 5/4
2. 1 Inspired 8/11F
Tote Win 2.30
Places 1.30, 1.02
Exacta: 2.40
CSF: 2.49
Trifecta: 4.90
Winning Jockey: J Watson
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths
Inspired 8/11 F
5 ran
17:50
1. 10 Lord Capulet 17/2
2. 3 Goldmoyne 11/4JF
3. 4 Concert Boy 3/1
Tote Win 10.60
Places 3.10, 1.50, 1.40
Exacta: 45.60
CSF: 32.41
Tricast: 91.02
Trifecta: 237.70
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: K A Ryan
Distances: 1 length, 1 length
Goldmoyne 11/4 JF
Front Gunner 11/4 JF
11 ran
Non Runners 8
18:20
1. 2 Justmyluck 14/1
2. 4 See That Spark 8/1
Tote Win 15.00
Places 3.50, 3.00
Exacta: 100.20
CSF: 113.22
Trifecta: 268.10
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: Miss L A Perratt
Distances: 1 1/2 length
Sound And Vision 5/6 F
6 ran
18:50
1. 5 Spartan Fighter 5/2
2. 7 Fircombe Hall 8/1
Tote Win 3.60
Places 1.60, 3.50
Exacta: 20.70
CSF: 23.38
Tricast: 94.19
Trifecta: 88.20
Winning Jockey: Cameron Hardie
Winning Trainer: A Brittain
Distances: 1 1/4 length
Yorkshire Glory 11/8 F
7 ran
Non Runners 2
19:20
1. 6 Athollblair Boy 11/2
2. 5 Superior Council 7/2
3. 3 Ramon Di Loria 5/1
Tote Win 6.60
Places 2.00, 1.40, 1.40
Exacta: 26.80
CSF: 25.21
Tricast: 104.30
Trifecta: 108.80
Winning Jockey: Faye McManoman
Winning Trainer: N Tinkler
Distances: Nose, 1/2 length
Instant Bond 7/4 F
8 ran

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Race Result - Newcastle, 10th January 2026

15:47 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Eligible Miss Joanna Mason 1 9 13 6/1
Taken down early, mid-division, made headway going well over 2f out, pressed leaders over 1f out, soon ridden to lead, went clear inside final furlong, readily

2nd Book Of Life J P Sullivan 2 3/4 lengths 11 8 13 40/1
Took keen hold, towards rear, pushed along and headway over 1f out, ridden and went second inside final furlong, no match for winner

3rd Starliner Kaiya Fraser 1 1/4 length 6 9 7 17/2
Held up in rear of mid-division, shaken up over 2f out, switched right around rivals and made headway over 1f out, went third inside final furlong, never near to challenge

4th Sea Legend P Mulrennan 1/2 length 9 9 5 12/1
In touch, going well 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, edged left but kept on inside final furlong, not reach leaders

5th Just Typical Billy Loughnane Head 8 9 6 4/1
Slowly away, held up in rear, pushed along and plenty to do over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, never seriously involved

6th Tasever Jason Hart Head 10 9 3 15/2
Led, pushed along 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra and lost several places inside final furlong

7th Second Fiddle Mohammed Tabti 1/2 length 4 9 9 10/3 F
Held up in rear, shaken up 3f out, ridden and plenty to do over 2f out, made no impression

8th Mao Shang Wong D Nolan Neck 2 9 9 13/2
Took keen hold, front rank, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

9th Maui Breeze Paula Muir 1 1/2 length 5 9 7 14/1
Midfield, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and faded over 1f out

10th The English Rogue J Watson Nose 7 9 7 14/1
Wore hood to post, chased leaders, pushed along over 3f out, ridden and made no impression over 2f out, weakened gradually from over 1f out

11th Far Ahead Jack Garritty 17 lengths 3 9 9 40/1
Prominent, ridden along over 2f out, weakened quickly over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 10:12 pm, January 10, 2026  

Race Result - Newcastle, 10th January 2026

16:50 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 2)
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Pink Socks Billy Loughnane 7 9 9 6/4 F
Mid-division, made smooth headway going easily over 2f out, shaken up to lead over 1f out, soon went clear, impressive

2nd That Lucas Fella A Mullen 5 1/2 lengths 9 9 9 7/1
Took keen hold, led, ridden along over 2f out, headed over 1f out, no match for winner

3rd Al Baahy Cieren Fallon Head 1 9 9 4/1
In touch, waiting for room 2f out, not clear run over 1f out, soon ridden when in clear, kept on and went third inside final furlong, never dangerous

4th Top Gun Tina Mark Winn 3/4 length 10 9 9 8/1
Held up in midfield, shaken up over 2f out, ridden and edged left over 1f out, ran on same pace inside final furlong

5th Lady Sonata D Nolan Short Head 5 9 9 28/1
Held up in rear of midfield, shaken up over 2f out, ridden and some headway over 1f out, plugged on same pace

6th Madame Plaintiff S B Kirrane Head 6 9 9 22/1
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on until no extra well inside final furlong

7th Pop Favorite Joseph Haynes 1 3/4 length 8 9 9 6/1
Dwelt, towards rear, never a factor

8th Anificas Beauty Miss Joanna Mason 1 3/4 length 2 9 9 25/1
Took keen hold, front rank, ridden along over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

9th Freak Encounter Jason Hart 2 1/2 lengths 4 9 9 14/1
Prominent, ridden along over 2f out, made no impression and faded over 1f out

10th Aye Up Tom T Eaves 2 3/4 lengths 3 9 9 50/1
Keen in rear, lost touch over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 10:14 pm, January 10, 2026  

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