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Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's seven race card that features six handicaps.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be scrutinising the rides Cieren Fallon 𝕏 has booked ~ he has a 20% strike rate here this season. He has two rides for powerful stables.

I will also be looking at all of the horses ridden by fellow Irishman Rossa Ryan very closely. He always rides well on any AW track I feel. He has three rides later this evening.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

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Southwell AW Jockey Runners

Jockey CIERAN FALLON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Apr 2026 5:10 Southwell 3yo Fillies Maiden 1m William Haggis PALACE ARTOIS
• 2 Apr 2026 7:48 Southwell Handicap 2m James Owen A MERE BAGATELLE ✅

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 2 Apr 2026 5:48 Southwell Handicap 6f Michael Appleby MR LIGHTSIDE ✅
• 2 Apr 2026 7:48 Southwell Handicap 2m Jack Jones ROGUE JUSTICE
• 2 Apr 2026 8:18 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f John Butler SOLANNA ✅

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Southwell Betting Analysis

5:48 Southwell ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ Mr Lightside (8/1) has every chance here today with Rossa Ryan aboard.

Conclusion: Usually runs over 5f but can operate at 6f. The mark he's on now, gives Ryan every chance of collaring the outright win at a reasonable price.

5:48 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Mr Lightside

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7:48 Southwell ❖ 2m C6 Hcp ❖ A Mere Bagatelle (8/1) will almost certainly be up there.

Conclusion: Fit from thr jumps, with Irish form thats translates to what looks like a winning chance here, Cieren Fallon aboard, I have high hopes of a collect.

7:48 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 A Mere Bagatelle

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8:18 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C5 Hcp ❖ Solanna (3/1) should go in again I feel.

Conclusion: Won well enough under Rossa Ryan on his first trip on him. The quick follow up leads me to believe the pairing can defy the 2lb rise by the Capper.

8:18 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1 Solanna

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