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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Mar 5 2026

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday March 5 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle evening meeting starts with the 4:55. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on Paul Mulrennan 𝕏 who rides the Newcastle AW track very well, especially the straight course. He has three rides.

Additionally, I am looking at 5lb claimer Jack Callan 𝕏, who has a strong 24% strike rate here this season, so is obviously worth his allowance.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 5 Mar 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Ben Haslam LIGHTENING COMPANY
  • 5 Mar 2026 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 6f Bryan Smart FILLE UNIQUE ✅
  • 5 Mar 2026 7:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Bryan Smart CASTAN ✅

Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 5 Mar 2026 4:55 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Hugo Palmer MONTY BEAU ✅
  • 5 Mar 2026 7:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Hugo Palmer SOUTH COAST STAR

Newcastle Betting Analysis

4:55 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp ❖ Monty Beau (4/1) is running well at present. The 4/1 available is reasonable enough.


4:55 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Monty Beau (Unp 3/1f)

5:30 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 3yo Hcp ❖ Fille Unique (28/1) is upped in trip to 6f. Shes done nothing wrong on the level. I feel the 28/1 is an out with the washing quote. I think she has a squeak.

There is no harm at the price, of a small stake, win only bet. 45/1 freely available on the exchanges btw.


5:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 28/1 Fille Unique (Unp 18/1)

7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Castan (9/2) is knocking on the door. With Mulrennan aboard, a half reasonable break will see this one be a winner today against these.


7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Castan (Unp 5/1)

Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
4/1 Monty Beau. (Unplaced 3/1f) Took keen hold, soon led, pushed after 3f out, ridden and headed after 2f out, stayed on well, beaten only 1/4 length in a 5 way photo into 5th place.

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
28/1 Fille Unique. (Unplaced 18/1) In touch with leaders, outpaced 2f out, weakened final 110yds, 6th.c

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
9/2 Castan. (Unplaced 5/1) Prominent, disputed lead entering final furlong, outpaced before final 110yds, soon weakened, 8th.

8:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Newcastle Results - Thursday March 5 2026. Going: standard
16:55
1. 9 Boubyan 28/1
2. 2 Haveyoumissedme 17/2
3. 4 Imperial Trooper 9/2
Tote Win 29.00
Places 6.40, 3.30, 1.60
Exacta: 247.00
CSF: 251.42
Tricast: 1290.46
Trifecta: 2181.40
Winning Jockey: J Watson
Winning Trainer: M Appleby
Distances: Head, Short Head
Monty Beau 3/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 3
17:30
1. 4 Tactical Blitz 11/4
2. 1 Arishka's Dream 2/1F
3. 9 Marra Donna 7/2
Tote Win 3.80
Places 1.30, 1.10, 2.20
Exacta: 13.80
CSF: 8.73
Tricast: 20.43
Trifecta: 35.30
Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Winning Trainer: A Watson
Distances: Neck, 2 1/4 lengths
Arishka's Dream 2/1 F
11 ran
18:00
1. 1 Billecart 1/6F
2. 3 Wuood 5/1
Tote Win 1.20
Places ,
Exacta: 1.30
CSF: 1.34
Trifecta: 2.00
Winning Jockey: Rowan Scott
Winning Trainer: K R Burke
Distances: 5 lengths
Billecart 1/6 F
4 ran
18:30
1. 3 Nikovo 15/8F
2. 4 Talis Evolvere 9/2
3. 1 Doctor Khan Junior 10/3
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.10, 1.50, 1.20
Exacta: 10.50
CSF: 10.95
Tricast: 26.34
Trifecta: 41.90
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: M Herrington
Distances: Short Head, 1 1/4 length
Nikovo 15/8 F
8 ran
19:00
1. 2 Kingofthecarnival 15/8F
2. 6 Archangel Josepi 6/1
3. 7 Maximum Velocity 10/1
Tote Win 2.88
Places 1.50, 6.10, 2.80
Exacta: 19.80
CSF: 13.43
Tricast: 94.60
Trifecta: 140.80
Winning Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Winning Trainer: A Watson
Distances: 1 3/4 length, Nose
Kingofthecarnival 15/8 F
12 ran
19:30
1. 6 Dark Kestrel 22/1
2. 10 Our Absent Friends 6/1
3. 12 Water Of Leith 9/1
Tote Win 23.40
Places 5.30, 2.20, 2.90
Exacta: 183.40
CSF: 156.34
Tricast: 1328.50
Trifecta: 3041.40
Winning Jockey: Harry Russell
Winning Trainer: A Brittain
Distances: 1 length, 1/2 length
Lion's House 4/1 F
12 ran
20:00
1. 9 Woodrafff 3/1
2. 6 Starshot 10/1
3. 3 Lady Delila 9/2
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.50, 2.30, 1.80
Exacta: 33.20
CSF: 33.05
Trifecta: 200.80
Winning Jockey: J P Sullivan
Winning Trainer: Mrs R Carr
Distances: 1 length, 3/4 length
Esque Elegance 7/4 F
9 ran

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3 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 5th March 2026

16:55 Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Boubyan J Watson 9 9 0 28/1
Midfield, pushed before 2f out, switched to near side rail before final furlong, stayed on strongly inside final furlong, hit front on line

2nd Haveyoumissedme A Mullen Head 2 9 7 17/2
Tracked leaders, every chance when pushed after 2f out, ridden inside final furlong and stayed on strongly, just failed

3rd Imperial Trooper Mr L Edmunds Short Head 4 9 5 9/2
Broke well, tracked leader, pushed into lead approaching final furlong, ridden inside final furlong, headed late on

4th Natzor D Nolan Head 6 9 4 100/1
Close-up, pushed to challenge for lead after 2f out, ridden inside final furlong, kept on well

5th Monty Beau Mr Jack Callan Head 1 9 9 3/1 F
Took keen hold, soon led, pushed after 3f out, ridden and headed after 2f out, stayed on well

6th Miners Gamble Cameron Hardie 1 length 10 8 5 6/1
Raced keenly towards rear, pushed approaching 2f out, some headway before ridden entering final furlong, kept on same pace

7th Mao Shang Wong Mark Winn 1 length 8 9 1 5/1
Raced keenly towards rear, pushed after 2f out, kept on one pace

8th Bearwith Aiden Brookes Neck 7 9 3 9/2
Took keen hold, midfield, some headway before pushed after 3f out, fading when ridden before final furlong, no further impression

9th Ana Emaraaty Lauren Young 7 lengths 11 8 5 9/1
Always in rear

10th Lightening Company P Mulrennan 2 3/4 lengths 5 9 4 80/1
Raced keenly towards rear, minor headway before pushed after 3f out, weakened and well beaten before final furlong

Blogger Sandracer @ 5:49 pm, March 05, 2026  

Race Result - Newcastle, 5th March 2026

17:30 Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Tactical Blitz Hollie Doyle 4 9 8 11/4
Prominent, soon raced in second, chased leader from 2f out, ridden inside over 1f out, ran on well final furlong, led final 50yds,

2nd Arishka's Dream J Watson Neck 1 9 9 2/1 F
Wore hood to start and taken down early, led, set strong pace, pushed along over 1f out, ridden inside final furlong, headed final inside 50yds, no extra towards finish

3rd Marra Donna Mason Paetel 2 1/4 lengths 9 9 3 7/2
In touch with leaders, chased leader over 1f out, ridden inside final furlong, not pace of leading pair towards finish

4th Espona Bay Keiran O'Neill 2 1/2 lengths 5 9 6 12/1
Towards rear, ridden to make some headway over 1f out, chased leading trio final furlong, no extra towards finish

5th Mighty Vega Kevin Stott 1 1/2 length 2 9 8 18/1
Midfield, outpaced 1f out, weakened towards finish

6th Fille Unique P Mulrennan 2 lengths 6 9 6 20/1
In touch with leaders, outpaced 2f out, weakened final 110yds

7th Pivotal Terms A Mullen 3/4 length 10 9 1 33/1
Slowly away, towards rear, some headway over 1f out, kept on (wore ear plugs throughout race)

8th Moretons Amie Waugh 1 length 7 9 4 50/1
Prominent, outpaced from 2f out, weakened just inside final furlong

9th Elizabetty Ben Robinson 3/4 length 3 9 8 6/1
Reared start and slowly away, in rear, pushed along over 2f out, weakened quickly final furlong

10th Sparkling Pink Mr Jack Nicholls 1 length 8 9 3 100/1
Midfield, outpaced over 1f out, soon weakened

11th Lina Codina Cameron Hardie 7 lengths 11 8 5 50/1
Prominent, outpaced over 2f out, soon weakened, tailed off final furlong

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:54 pm, March 05, 2026  

Race Result - Newcastle, 5th March 2026

19:30 Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap
Going standard, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Dark Kestrel Harry Russell 6 9 4 22/1
Held up towards rear, pushed along to make headway from 2f out,m ran on well towards centre from 1f out, chased leader inside final furlong, led final 50yds, won going away

2nd Our Absent Friends Jason Hart 1 length 10 8 13 6/1
Prominent, led over 1f out, all out when faced challenge inside final furlong, headed final 50yds, no extra towards finish

3rd Water Of Leith Lauren Young 1/2 length 12 8 11 9/1
Taken down early, rear of midfield, waiting for room over 1f out, ran on well inside final furlong, not reach leaders towards finish

4th Harb C Horgan Head 11 8 13 11/1
Midfield, waiting for room over 1f out, ran on well final furlong, not reach leaders towards finish

5th Lion's House Kaiya Fraser 1 3/4 length 5 9 5 4/1 F
In touch with leaders, ridden over 1f out, outpaced inside final furlong, weakened towards finish

6th Blue Force Cameron Hardie Neck 9 9 0 14/1
Prominent, gradually edged towards far side, every chance over 1f out, ridden when outpaced inside final furlong, weakened towards finish

7th Moonstone Boy Mr L Edmunds 3/4 length 2 9 9 13/2
Towards rear, raced towards centre and some headway 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

8th Castan P Mulrennan Neck 1 9 9 5/1
Prominent, disputed lead entering final furlong, outpaced before final 110yds, soon weakened

9th Digital J P Sullivan 1/2 length 8 9 2 14/1
Taken down early, led, ridden when headed over 1f out, soon weakened

10th Albegone D Allan Nose 7 9 3 16/1
Midfield, pushed along over 1f out, outpaced inside final furlong, weakened inside final 110yds

11th Pop Star A Mullen 1 1/4 length 4 9 6 33/1
Always towards rear, outpaced over 1f out, kept on but never really on terms

12th Juan Les Pins J Watson 5 1/2 lengths 3 9 8 11/2
Mounted on course and taken down early, wore hood to start, awkward start and slowly away, always in rear, soon outpaced and struggling, weakened 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:25 pm, March 05, 2026  

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