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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Thurs Feb 5 2026

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Thurs Feb 5 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's nine race card that features seven handicaps, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Paddy Bradley 𝕏 rides (3).

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey PADDY BRADLEY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 5 Feb 2026 6:00 Southwell Handicap 1m 4f Pat Morris HAVACHOC ✅
  • 5 Feb 2026 7:00 Southwell Handicap 1m Pat Morris BAJAN BANDIT ✅
  • 5 Feb 2026 7:30 Southwell Handicap 7f James Owen SIMPLY BLUE ✅
Multibet Talk: Paddy Bradley's three rides all have a squeak. Multibet punters could do worse than have a small dabble. A patent, a trixie, a win treble even. Small stakes though. If you bet to say ~ £10 a point. I think your multibet should cost no more than one stake, ie £10.

Southwell Betting Analysis

6:00 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Havachoc (4/1) stormed home last time.

Conclusion: The 5lb rise for Havachock's latest win in a classified event at Wolverhamton is fair, but in that form, I think he'll go in again.


6:00 South ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Havachoc (Won 5/2f from 4's)

7:00 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Bajan Bandit (15/2) is running well at present.

Conclusion: Every chance of taking this outright from a mark of 71. Bradley has ridden him before and will be looking to get a winner on this one this evening for sure.


7:00 South ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Bajan Bandit (Unp 13/2)

7:30 Southwell ❖ 1m 4f C6 Hcp ❖ Simply Blue (16/1) has drifted from 7/1 out to 16's.

Conclusion: In good form, can win this, but has drifted fairly alarmingly overnight. I presume being drawn out in the car park has scared punters off. You can win from any draw at Southwell, so I am unconcerned. At the price, I'll take my chances, win only. Small stakes is all that is needed at the price.


7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Simply Blue (Unp 14/1)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:50 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:25 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
♥ 4/1 Havachoc. (Won 5/2f from 4's) Midfield, headway over 2f out, ridden to lead well over 1f out, kept on final furlong, pressed near finish, won on the nod, 1st.
Returns: £3.50

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
15/2 Bajan Bandit. (Unplaced 13/2) Raced wide, tracked leaders, shaken up 2f out, soon no threat, 11th.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
16/1 Simply Blue. (Unplaced 14/1) Raced wide, prominent, shaken up over 2f out, soon weakened, 7th.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles = £3.00

Returns: £3.50

Total: + £0.50

Southwell Results - Friday January 30 2026. Going: Standard
15:50
1. 4 Roaring Ralph 7/4F
2. 6 Volendam 6/1
3. 12 Boujee Gold 28/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.30, 1.90, 5.00
Exacta: 14.00
CSF: 12.89
Tricast: 228.28
Trifecta: 208.00
Winning Jockey: Mr L Edmunds
Winning Trainer: M Dods
Distances: 1 length, 5 lengths
Roaring Ralph 7/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 2 10
16:25
1. 6 Dubai Magic 7/1
2. 4 Beneficiary 9/1
3. 7 Glendown 10/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.00, 2.90, 3.60
Exacta: 68.30
CSF: 70.74
Trifecta: 1219.80
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: M Crawley
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 1/2 length
Autumn Angel 4/1 F
12 ran
17:00
1. 3 Mr Juggles 9/5F
2. 4 Allegrino 7/1
Tote Win 2.80
Places 1.40, 2.40
Exacta: 11.50
CSF: 14.36
Trifecta: 25.50
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: M Appleby
Distances: 2 3/4 lengths
Mr Juggles 9/5 F
5 ran
17:30
1. 3 Shabab Al Ahli 8/15F
2. 1 Asia Force 7/4
Tote Win 1.54
Places ,
Exacta: 1.70
CSF: 1.79
Trifecta: 2.00
Winning Jockey: Connor Planas
Winning Trainer: C Appleby
Distances: 8 1/2 lengths
Shabab Al Ahli 8/15 F
4 ran
18:00
1. 5 Havachoc 5/2F
2. 3 Haliphon 7/1
3. 2 Night Bear 5/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.50, 2.80, 1.90
Exacta: 21.20
CSF: 20.96
Tricast: 83.69
Trifecta: 105.30
Winning Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Winning Trainer: P Morris
Distances: Short Head, 1 1/4 length
Havachoc 5/2 F
11 ran
18:30
1. 2 Smokey Malone 5/1
2. 4 Duchess 4/1
3. 11 Karismatique 13/2
Tote Win 6.70
Places 2.10, 1.70, 1.50
Exacta: 29.80
CSF: 25.21
Tricast: 134.97
Trifecta: 152.10
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: J & S Birkett
Distances: Neck, 5 lengths
Free Pic 5/2 F
11 ran
19:00
1. 4 Aisling Oscar 3/1F
2. 1 Studious 9/2
3. 3 Shaw Park 28/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.80, 1.70, 6.40
Exacta: 22.60
CSF: 16.43
Tricast: 284.80
Trifecta: 143.80
Winning Jockey: O McSweeney
Winning Trainer: A Keatley
Distances: 3/4 length, 3/4 length
Aisling Oscar 3/1 F
11 ran
19:30
1. 6 Fools Rush In 16/1
2. 3 No Knee Never 11/2
3. 7 Asian Journey 18/1
Tote Win 19.40
Places 5.70, 2.30, 5.90
Exacta: 93.20
CSF: 104.21
Tricast: 1661.42
Trifecta: 2409.30
Winning Jockey: Miss Joanna Mason
Winning Trainer: Mrs R Carr
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Cill Mocheallog 10/3 F
12 ran

Labels:

2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Southwell, 5th February 2026

18:00 Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div 1)
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Havachoc Paddy Bradley 5 9 5 5/2 F
Midfield, headway over 2f out, ridden to lead well over 1f out, kept on final furlong, pressed near finish, won on the nod

2nd Haliphon Edward Greatrex Short Head 3 9 6 7/1
Held up in touch, pushed along and progress over 2f out, stayed on final furlong, challenged near finish, lost on the nod

3rd Night Bear W A Carson 1 1/4 length 2 9 8 5/1
Midfield, improved into third well over 2f out, ridden to lead 2f out, soon headed, kept on one pace

4th Rosco Rogers S B Kirrane Nose 4 9 6 5/1
Midfield, asked for effort over 2f out, edged left and headway into fourth over 1f out, just missed third

5th Abu Royal S D Bowen 1 length 6 9 4 16/1
Held up in rear, pushed along over 2f out, went past beaten rivals over 1f out, went fifth near finish

6th Easter Sundae Miss Joanna Mason 1 3/4 length 10 9 0 100/1
Held up in rear, shaken up over 3f out, headway between horses over 1f out, plugged on final furlong

7th Angelardo William Pyle 1 1/2 length 11 8 12 18/1
Held up in rear, pushed along over 3f out, went past beaten rivals 1f out, never in contention

8th Lednikov Elle-may Croot 5 lengths 1 9 9 16/1
Led, ridden over 2f out, headed 2f out, weakened 1f out

9th Stoneacre Keiran O'Neill 13 lengths 9 9 0 66/1
Tracked leader, ridden to press leader over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

10th Broadstone P Mulrennan 1 1/4 length 7 9 0 18/1
Ridden away from stalls, held up in touch, pushed along over 2f out, soon no threat

11th Argentum Luke Morris 6 lengths 8 9 0 4/1
Midfield, asked for effort 3f out, weakened well over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:45 pm, February 05, 2026  

Race Result - Southwell, 5th February 2026

19:00 Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Aisling Oscar O McSweeney 4 9 7 3/1 F
Tracked leader, switched left well over 1f out, ridden entering final furlong, led final furlong, ran on

2nd Studious Jack Mitchell 3/4 length 1 9 9 9/2
Wore red hood to post, prominent, pushed along over 2f out, went second final furlong, kept on but held by winner

3rd Shaw Park Keiran O'Neill 3/4 length 3 9 7 28/1
Led, ridden over 2f out, headed final furlong, kept on

4th Forest Caper J Watson Head 7 9 6 17/2
Went early to post, held up in touch, switched left and headway over 1f out, ridden final furlong, went fourth final 110yards, just missed third

5th Marry The Night S B Kirrane 1 length 11 8 12 4/1
Midfield, shaken up over 2f out, plugged on final furlong

6th Camino Del Ray T Kiely-Marshall 1 length 2 9 8 28/1
Midfield, switched left and asked for effort over 1f out, short of room approaching final furlong, never going pace to threaten

7th Eve's Boy P Mulrennan 1 1/4 length 6 9 6 6/1
Midfield, pushed along 2f out, weakened final furlong

8th Soames Forsyte D E Hogan 1/2 length 8 9 4 12/1
Held up in rear, asked for effort over 1f out, never a danger

9th Evocative Spark Callum Hutchinson 2 1/4 lengths 10 8 13 50/1
Held up in rear, pushed along over 2f out, never in contention

10th Finn Ironside Elle-may Croot 1 1/2 length 9 9 2 33/1
Went early to post, held up in rear, shaken up over 2f out, never involved

11th Bajan Bandit Paddy Bradley 2 1/4 lengths 5 9 7 13/2
Raced wide, tracked leaders, shaken up 2f out, soon no threat

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:45 pm, February 05, 2026  

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