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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Fri Jan 30 2026

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Friday January 30 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's seven race card that features six handicaps, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the apprentice jockey and 5lb claimer Ryan Kananagh rides (2).

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey RYAN KAVANAGH (5lb)

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 30 Jan 2026 1:32 Southwell Handicap 1m Ian Williams TONAL
  • 30 Jan 2026 4:10 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Ian Williams NAUGHTY NIALL ✅

Southwell Betting Analysis

4:10 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C6 Hcp ❖ Naughty Niall 8/1 is running well at the moment.

Conclusion: Kavanagh's 5lb claim could prove the difference today. The horse has gone well at Southwell before and will be in it to win it at the end, duelling with whoever is up there too, most likely the 3/1 second favourite Time Turner.


4:10 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Naughty Niall (Unp 17/2)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

1:02 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

1:32 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:02 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:32 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:03 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:38 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:10 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Naughty Niall. (Unplaced 17/2) Led, joined 3f out, soon ridden, headed over 1f out, soon faded, 7th.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Southwell Results - Friday January 30 2026. Going: Standard
13:02
1. 4 Filly Foden 10/3
2. 2 Blue Deveron 4/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 2.40, 1.80
Exacta: 17.40
CSF: 17.19
Trifecta: 72.60
Winning Jockey: Keiran O�Neill
Winning Trainer: B R Millman
Distances: Neck
Arlo's Girl 7/4 F
6 ran
Non Runners 3
13:32
1. 6 Frostmagic 5/1
2. 11 King Of York 20/1
3. 4 Tonal 11/10F
Tote Win 6.00
Places 1.60, 5.10, 1.20
Exacta: 53.40
CSF: 106.19
Tricast: 190.67
Trifecta: 244.80
Winning Jockey: Mason Paetel
Winning Trainer: I Mohammed
Distances: Neck, 2 lengths
Tonal 11/10 F
11 ran
14:02
1. 1 Betties Bay 3/1JF
2. 8 Northern Attitude 13/2
3. 7 Minnesota Lad 9/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.80, 2.80, 3.40
Exacta: 22.70
CSF: 24.01
Tricast: 164.95
Trifecta: 350.00
Winning Jockey: Mason Paetel
Winning Trainer: James Owen
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 length
Betties Bay 3/1 JF
Clover Time 3/1 JF
11 ran
Non Runners 12
14:32
1. 8 Saytarr 11/2
2. 6 Mereside Diva 14/1
3. 10 Chola Empire 10/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.10, 6.50, 3.30
Exacta: 98.50
CSF: 84.74
Tricast: 784.05
Trifecta: 1029.70
Winning Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Winning Trainer: James Horton
Distances: 1/2 length, 2 lengths
Brazilian Rose 9/4 F
12 ran
15:03
1. 3 Doctor Khan Junior 10/3
2. 4 Legal Reform 9/1
3. 9 Down To The Kid 9/4JF
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.80, 1.90, 1.40
Exacta: 29.00
CSF: 33.40
Tricast: 82.47
Trifecta: 152.60
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: G R Oldroyd
Distances: 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Down To The Kid 9/4 JF
Talis Evolvere 9/4 JF
9 ran
15:38
1. 5 Aajej 11/2
2. 8 Trojan Soldier 6/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.20, 3.20
Exacta: 39.50
CSF: 37.20
Tricast: 87.17
Trifecta: 167.20
Winning Jockey: S D Bowen
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: Neck
Military Cross 2/1 F
7 ran
Non Runners 3
16:10
1. 8 Velvet Red 25/1
2. 6 Rogue Identity 6/4F
3. 4 Beachborough Girl 7/1
Tote Win 33.30
Places 7.60, 1.10, 2.20
Exacta: 108.10
CSF: 62.70
Tricast: 323.87
Trifecta: 754.10
Winning Jockey: Rowan Scott
Winning Trainer: Charlie Clover
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 length
Rogue Identity 6/4 F
11 ran
Non Runners 11

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Race Result - Southwell, 30th January 2026

16:10 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Velvet Red Rowan Scott 8 9 4 25/1
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, headway approaching final furlong, kept on well and led near finish

2nd Rogue Identity Daniel Muscutt 1 1/4 length 6 9 6 6/4 F
In touch with leaders, ridden 2f out, headway to dispute lead approaching final furlong, kept on but headed near finish

3rd Beachborough Girl D E Hogan 1 length 4 9 7 7/1
Prominent, disputed lead 3f out, soon pushed along and hung left, briefly led outright over 1f out, headed and dropped to third close home

4th Shielas Well S Donohoe 2 1/2 lengths 9 9 3 4/1
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, some headway entering final furlong, kept on, not reach leading trio

5th Rubellite Tyrese Cameron 2 lengths 2 9 9 22/1
Took keen hold, held up in rear, ridden 2f out, soon switched right, minor headway inside final furlong

6th Jack Andrea S D Bowen Neck 10 8 11 28/1
Held up in rear, ridden over 2f out, minor headway inside final furlong

7th Naughty Niall Ryan Kavanagh 1/2 length 3 9 7 17/2
Led, joined 3f out, soon ridden, headed over 1f out, soon faded

8th Sisterandbrother A Rawlinson Neck 7 9 6 20/1
Wore hood to post, midfield, ridden and switched left 2f out, faded inside final furlong

9th Time Turner Callum Rodriguez 2 1/2 lengths 1 9 12 4/1
Went early to post, took keen hold, midfield, ridden 2f out, kept on same pace entering final furlong

10th Aye Up Tom Rhys Elliott 3 1/2 lengths 12 8 7 150/1
Always in rear

11th Saahir Darragh Keenan 3/4 length 5 9 7 33/1
Prominent, ridden over 2f out, soon faded

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:52 pm, January 30, 2026  

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