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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Fri Jan 16 2026

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday January 16 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle afternoon meeting starts with a 6f apprentice handicap at 12:30. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on young jockey Billy Loughnane 𝕏 who rides the Newcastle AW track very well. He has four rides.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 16 Jan 2026 1:40 Newcastle Fillies Handicap 7f Mark Loughnane MOLLIE FOSTER
  • 16 Jan 2026 2:15 Newcastle Handicap 2m George Boughey BRASIL POWER ✅
  • 16 Jan 2026 2:50 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Ian Williams BEYLERBEYI
  • 16 Jan 2026 3:55 Newcastle Handicap 6f Jamie Osborne TEN CARAT HARRY ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

2:15 Newcastle ❖ 2m C2 Hcp ❖ Brasil Power (10/1) is upped in trip by 4f so is a bit of an unknown. However, the further he's gone, the better he's got. Ther 10/1 on offer is very tempting. I'll play to small stakes, win only.


2:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Brasil Power (3rd 8/1)

3:55 Newcastle ❖ 1m C4 Hcp ❖ Ten Carat Harry (13/2) is in barnstorming form and goes for a 5 timer. Will the handicapper's latest 3lb rise be enough to stop him? At the price I'll take my chances.


3:55 Newc ~ Win Bet: 13/2 Ten Carat Harry (Won 4/1 from 13/2)

Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

12:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:05 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:40 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

14:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
10/1 Brasil Power. (3rd 8/1) Mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on final furlong, went third final 50yds, 3rd.

14:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
♥ 13/2 Ten Carat Harry. (Won 4/1 from 13/2) Front rank, going well over 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, kept on well inside final furlong, 1st.
Returns: £5.00

16:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £5.00

Total: + £3.00

12:30
1. 4 Blue Lakota 10/1
2. 2 True Promise 4/1
3. 8 Cargin Bhui 5/2F
Tote Win 13.80
Places 3.00, 1.90, 1.60
Exacta: 37.90
CSF: 49.89
Tricast: 133.27
Trifecta: 144.20
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Nicholls
Winning Trainer: K A Ryan
Distances: Neck, 1 1/4 length
Cargin Bhui 5/2 F
9 ran
13:05
1. 4 Supreme King 7/2JF
2. 2 Dandy Magic 7/1
3. 7 Express Train 14/1
Tote Win 4.90
Places 2.30, 2.20, 4.20
Exacta: 38.20
CSF: 29.85
Tricast: 312.67
Trifecta: 429.70
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: Nose, 1 length
Judgment Call 7/2 JF
Supreme King 7/2 JF
9 ran
13:40
1. 2 Stateira 6/4F
2. 8 Nikki Swango 13/2
3. 4 Indigo Dream 8/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.10, 2.50, 3.10
Exacta: 12.10
CSF: 11.96
Tricast: 64.51
Trifecta: 81.10
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Stateira 6/4 F
11 ran
14:15
1. 2 Duke Of Oxford 5/1
2. 7 Ribble Vibe 5/1
3. 3 Brasil Power 8/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.10, 2.70, 2.60
Exacta: 39.10
CSF: 31.20
Tricast: 202.16
Trifecta: 197.30
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: M L W Bell
Distances: 3 lengths, 3 1/2 lengths
Berkshire Sundance 4/1 F
11 ran
14:50
1. 4 King's Code 18/1
2. 8 Parlando 9/2
3. 3 Beylerbeyi 22/1
Tote Win 28.60
Places 6.70, 1.40, 3.90
Exacta: 157.50
CSF: 100.53
Tricast: 1873.23
Trifecta: 3553.90
Winning Jockey: P Cosgrave
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 length
Regal Ulixes 6/4 F
13 ran
Non Runners 10
15:20
1. 11 The Caltonian 33/1
2. 3 Pocklington 10/3F
3. 5 Fivethousandtoone 28/1
Tote Win 58.90
Places 10.40, 1.60, 10.50
Exacta: 315.20
CSF: 139.50
Tricast: 3320.24
Trifecta: 3387.60
Winning Jockey: Keiran O'Neill
Winning Trainer: Miss L A Perratt
Distances: 3/4 length, 3/4 length
Pocklington 10/3 F
14 ran
15:55
1. 4 Ten Carat Harry 4/1
2. 8 Lord Harcourt 17/2
3. 9 One And Gone 50/1
Tote Win 5.10
Places 2.00, 3.20, 4.50
Exacta: 33.90
CSF: 40.32
Tricast: 1528.21
Trifecta: 1466.70
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: J A Osborne
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Augustus Gloop 10/3 F
11 ran
16:30
1. 1 Witch Hunter 11/2
2. 6 Talis Evolvere 13/2
3. 8 Dosman 18/1
CSF: 42.04
Tricast: 608.25
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 1 1/2 length, Head
Storm Star 7/4 F
9 ran

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2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 16th January 2026

14:15 Midnite AWC Marathon Trial Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Duke Of Oxford Hector Crouch 2 9 9 5/1
Wore hood to post, midfield, pushed along and switched left over 2f out, headway to lead over 1f out, stayed on well final furlong

2nd Ribble Vibe J Watson 3 lengths 7 8 13 5/1
Chased leaders, ridden to lead and edged left over 1f out, soon headed, kept on well final furlong

3rd Brasil Power Billy Loughnane 3 1/2 lengths 3 9 6 8/1
Mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on final furlong, went third final 50yds

4th Weddell Sea A Mullen 1 length 11 8 2 16/1
Missed break, prominent, ridden 2f out, short of room over 1f out, gradually weakened final furlong
5th Humble Spark Amie Waugh Neck 10 8 7 40/1
Slowly away, held up in rear, smooth headway 2f out, switched left over 1f out, ridden and went third 1f out, no extra and lost third final 50yds
6th Blazeon Five Jack Mitchell 1 1/2 length 5 9 5 12/1
Wore hood to post, towards rear, ridden over 1f out, kept on through beaten rivals final furlong, never involved
7th Wise Eagle Billy Garritty Head 1 9 12 33/1
Mid-division, pushed along and switched left over 2f out, no extra final furlong
8th New York Minute Hollie Doyle 2 1/4 lengths 9 8 9 7/1
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, no extra over 1f out
9th Tryfan P J McDonald 5 lengths 8 8 13 7/1
Wore hood to post, reared as stalls opened, soon led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened final furlong
10th Berkshire Sundance Oisin Murphy 16 lengths 6 9 1 4/1 F
Wore hood to post, missed break, prominent, pushed along over 3f out, weakened over 2f out
11th Sheradann Tom Marquand 24 lengths 4 9 5 7/1
Wore hood to post, hung left throughout, midfield, hung right over 2f out, soon eased

Blogger Sandracer @ 3:02 pm, January 16, 2026  

Race Result - Newcastle, 16th January 2026

15:55 BetMGM AWC 3YO Trial Handicap
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Ten Carat Harry Billy Loughnane 4 9 2 4/1
Front rank, going well over 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, kept on well inside final furlong

2nd Lord Harcourt Jack Doughty 1 1/4 length 8 8 5 17/2
Held up in rear, shaken up going okay over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, went second inside final furlong, ran on

3rd One And Gone Keiran O'Neill Neck 9 8 5 50/1
Taken down early wearing hood, shifted left start and bumped rival, keen, led, pushed along over 3f out, ridden over 2f out, headed over 1f out, rallied and kept on well inside final furlong, not pace of first two

4th Dartrey Hollie Doyle Head 10 8 2 4/1
Wore hood to post, bumped start, midfield, shaken up over 2f out, ridden and made no impression over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong but not pace to challenge

5th Monarch's Gold Rowan Scott 1 1/2 length 2 9 4 6/1
Squeezed out and stumbled shortly after start, keen in rear, outpaced over 2f out, ridden along and made some headway over 1f out, plugged on same pace inside final furlong

6th Augustus Gloop Harry Davies 1 1/2 length 7 8 8 10/3 F
Bumped start, in touch towards rear, ridden and outpaced over 2f out, made steady headway from over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong

7th Rogue Supremacy P J McDonald 3/4 length 1 9 9 14/1
Mid-division, lost position and towards rear of midfield after 2f, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and no impression over 1f out, never dangerous

8th Gorey Gold Rob Hornby 4 lengths 6 8 11 11/1
Wore hood to post, hampered start, midfield, ridden along over 2f out, soon lost position, hung left and weakened over 1f out

9th Gold Queen Kindly Pierre-Louis Jamin 3/4 length 5 9 0 9/1
Chased leaders, ridden along over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

10th Bassenthwaite Hector Crouch 1 1/2 length 3 9 4 14/1
Bumped start, prominent, pushed along over 2f out, ridden along to challenge over 1f out, soon no impression, weakened inside final furlong

11th Remi Mae Nicola Currie 1/2 length 11 8 2 50/1
Wore hood to post, took keen hold, close up, ridden along over 2f out, faded over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 4:33 pm, January 16, 2026  

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