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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 6 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday November 6 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 7 of the races are handicaps for me to look at ~ two are nursery handicaps for 2yo horses. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by 43yr old PJ McDonald (𝕏) ~ he has 4 rides this afternoon.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PJ McDONALD

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 6 Nov 2025 2:45 Newcastle 2yo Nursery Handicap 7f James Ferguson LORD CLOUGHAN
  • 6 Nov 2025 3:20 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Jedd O'Keefe PERCY WILLIS ✅
  • 6 Nov 2025 4:30 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Andrew Balding ROKER ROAR
  • 6 Nov 2025 5:00 Newcastle Handicap 5f Paul Midgely LETHAL NYMPH ✅

Multibet Players: A small stakes win yankee is not the worst bet in the world for Mulrennan's 4 rides as noted above this evening.

Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:20 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C5 Hcp ❖ Percy Willis (20/1) is way overpriced. Has some reasonable runs in his Newcastle form. Dangerous to them all with McDonald taking the ride again today.


3:20 Newc ~ Win Bet: 20/1 Percy Willis (3rd 25/1)

5:00 Newcastle ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Lethal Nymph (5/1) is in good form and this looks like one of his least competetive races for a good while. Goes well for McDonald.


5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Lethal Nymph (Won 4/1)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

2:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:20 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
20/1 Percy Willis. (3rd 25/1) Midfield, driven and progress over 1f out, stayed on one pace, 3rd.

3:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
♥ 5/1 Lethal Nymph. (Won 4/1) Chased leaders, effort over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on, 1st.
Returns: £5.00

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £5.00

Total: + £3.00

Newcastle Results - Thursday November 6 2025. Going: standard
14:10
1. 3 Parisian Scholar 5/2
2. 2 Likeness 9/4F
Tote Win 3.50
Places ,
Exacta: 7.90
CSF: 8.27
Trifecta: 24.40
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 1 1/2 length
Likeness 9/4 F
4 ran
14:45
1. 6 Secret Testimony 50/1
2. 3 Lion of Mali 5/2
3. 1 Mereside Princess 33/1
Tote Win 60.50
Places 8.70, 1.20, 4.20
Exacta: 391.80
CSF: 173.45
Tricast: 4472.30
Trifecta: 2659.00
Winning Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Winning Trainer: D Carroll
Distances: Nose, 1 1/2 length
Lord Cloughan 2/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 10
15:20
1. 3 Without Compromise 2/1F
2. 1 Molinari 7/2
3. 8 Percy Willis 25/1
Tote Win 2.90
Places 1.10, 1.40, 5.10
Exacta: 8.80
CSF: 8.47
Tricast: 116.82
Trifecta: 210.80
Winning Jockey: Cameron Hardie
Winning Trainer: A Brittain
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Without Compromise 2/1 F
10 ran
Non Runners 10
15:55
1. 2 Fashion People 1/2F
2. 3 Heart Beats True 13/2
Tote Win 1.50
Places 1.10, 1.70
Exacta: 5.40
CSF: 4.59
Trifecta: 9.00
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths
Fashion People 1/2 F
6 ran
16:30
1. 1 Be Patient 11/1
2. 5 Glory Of The Seas 3/1
3. 8 Norman Invasion 12/1
Tote Win 12.00
Places 3.20, 1.20, 3.10
Exacta: 49.00
CSF: 43.75
Trifecta: 751.00
Winning Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Winning Trainer: E Bethell
Distances: 1/2 length, Neck
Emtinan 9/4 F
10 ran
17:00
1. 6 Lethal Nymph 4/1
2. 3 Sturlasson 10/3
3. 1 Emperor Spirit 22/1
Tote Win 5.60
Places 1.90, 2.00, 3.10
Exacta: 23.10
CSF: 17.93
Tricast: 257.65
Trifecta: 359.90
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: P T Midgley
Distances: 1 length, Nose
Bonnie's Boy 5/2 F
8 ran
17:30
1. 1 Coramento 11/4F
2. 8 Imola 10/3
3. 6 Concert Boy 7/2
Tote Win 3.75
Places 1.70, 2.10, 1.30
Exacta: 17.60
CSF: 12.13
Tricast: 34.64
Trifecta: 43.70
Winning Jockey: O J Orr
Winning Trainer: D Thompson
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 3/4 length
Coramento 11/4 F
12 ran
Non Runners 4 14
18:00
1. 12 Korroor 4/1
2. 13 Yorkshire Glory 10/3
3. 8 Catherine Chroi 3/1F
Tote Win 6.20
Places 2.60, 1.40, 2.30
Exacta: 30.50
CSF: 17.91
Tricast: 48.30
Trifecta: 119.80
Winning Jockey: T Kiely-Marshall
Winning Trainer: Miss J A Camacho
Distances: 1 length, 1 length
Catherine Chroi 3/1 F
14 ran
18:30
1. 13 Bishop's Glory 22/1
2. 1 Haworth Star 16/1
3. 4 Masterclass 10/1
Tote Win 31.80
Places 7.80, 7.80, 3.40
Exacta: 780.20
CSF: 347.92
Tricast: 3745.25
Trifecta: 1896.60
Winning Jockey: Mr Andrea Pinna
Winning Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Bibendum 10/3 F
14 ran

Labels:

2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 6th November 2025

15:20 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Without Compromise Cameron Hardie 3 9 11 2/1 F
Prominent, pushed along to lead over 1f out, went clear final furlong, easily

2nd Molinari Mark Winn 3 1/2 lengths 1 10 0 7/2
Led, driven and headed over 1f out, kept on one pace, no chance with winner

3rd Percy Willis P J McDonald 1 1/4 length 8 9 8 25/1
Midfield, driven and progress over 1f out, stayed on one pace

4th King Chaos Kaiya Fraser 1 1/2 length 7 9 9 9/2
Held up in rear, headway between horses final furlong, went 4th final strides, never going pace to challenge

5th Stipulation Daniel Muscutt Head 6 9 10 4/1
Midfield, progress to track leader after 3f, ridden and lost place 2f out, plugged on

6th Berezka Billy Loughnane 1 1/4 length 4 9 11 17/2
Held up in rear, asked for effort over 2f out, never a danger

7th Rock Armour Harrison Shaw 1 1/4 length 11 9 4 125/1
Took keen hold in touch, driven over 2f out, soon no impression

8th Cusack S B Kirrane Neck 2 9 12 25/1
Prominent, pushed along over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

9th Bay Dream Believer Rhys Elliott 1 1/4 length 12 9 1 50/1
Took keen hold in last, ridden 2f out, never involved

10th Naturalia Shay Farmer 4 lengths 9 9 7 50/1
Midfield, asked for effort over 1f out, soon beaten

Blogger Sandracer @ 4:48 pm, November 06, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 6th November 2025

17:00 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap
Going standard, 8 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Lethal Nymph P J McDonald 6 9 5 4/1
Chased leaders, effort over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on

2nd Sturlasson S Donohoe 1 length 3 9 8 10/3
Towards rear, headway when not much room over 1f out, not clear run and switched right inside final furlong, ran on, went 2nd post

3rd Emperor Spirit Daniel Muscutt Nose 1 9 9 22/1
Led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, lost 2nd post

4th Bonnie's Boy O J Orr 3/4 length 8 9 2 5/2 F
Held up in mid-division, driven over 1f out, kept on, never on terms

5th Easy Peeler Jason Hart Short Head 2 9 9 14/1
Prominent, ridden and every chance over 1f out, no extra well inside final furlong

6th Bright Billy Loughnane Short Head 5 9 5 13/2
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, one pace and no impression final furlong

7th Alligator Alley Kaiya Fraser 1 1/4 length 7 9 3 11/2
Blindfold removed late and slow away, always in rear

8th Curious Rover William Pyle 1/2 length 4 9 7 25/1
Prominent early, chased leaders, lost place over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:02 pm, November 06, 2025  

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