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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Fri Oct 3 2025

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Cracking The Southwell AW Code

❖ Friday October 3 2025

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to crack the AW code at Southwell on this evening's 9 race card that features 8 handicaps, one of those is a fillies only hcp, another is a 2yo fillies nursery hcp ~ and 3 2yo novice stake races races, in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The youngster Billy Loughnane (𝕏) is the jockey I will be focusong on this evening.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether they'll actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
  • 3 Oct 2025 4:00 Southwell Handicap 2m Ian Williams SIMIYANN ✅
  • 3 Oct 2025 4:35 Southwell Fillies Nursery Hcp 1m Hugo Palmer DUBAI TIME
  • 3 Oct 2025 5:10 Southwell Stakes 7f Tom Dascombe CAPALL RASA
  • 3 Oct 2025 5:45 Southwell Stakes 7f Richard Hughes WINDING STREAM
  • 3 Oct 2025 6:15 Southwell Stakes 7f S Woods SHAMACID
  • 3 Oct 2025 6:45 Southwell Handicap EJ Houghton 1m LADY OF ARABIA ✅
  • 3 Oct 2025 7:15 Southwell Handicap 6f Richard Hughes BACKSPIN ✅
  • 3 Oct 2025 7:45 Southwell Handicap 5f Kevin Frost PIPERSTOWN
  • 3 Oct 2025 8:15 Southwell Fillies Handicap 1m 6f Hugo Palmer KOKINELLI

Southwell Betting Analysis

4:00 Southwell ❖ 2m C5 Hcp ❖ Simiyann (6/1f) sets the standard here imo.

Conclusion: Anything that wants to win this race, has to get past Simiyann first. I think the 6/1 looks fairly generous.


4:00 South ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Simiyann (3rd 7/1)

6:45 Southwell ❖ 1m C4 Hcp ❖ Lady Of Arabia (8/1) wasn't beaten far over C&D last month.

Conclusion: Nicely handicapped at the moment. Won't be far away with Loughnane aboard. May well just win it outright. The 8/1 on offer is fair enough.


6:45 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 Lady Of Arabia (3rd 10/1)

7:15 Southwell ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Backspin (4/1f) is plenty good enough for these.

Conclusion: Winning C&D run in matrch this year will be plenty good enough to win this.


7:15 South ~ Win Bet: 4/1f Backspin (Unp 16/5f)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Simiyann. (3rd 7/1) Midfield, driven and chased leaders over 2f out, kept on same pace over 1f out, 3rd.

4:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:10 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Lady Of Arabia. (3rd 10/1) Held up in mid-division, headway 2f out, switched right over 1f out, went 3rd inside final furlong, kept on, 3rd.

7:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
4/1f Backspin. (Unplaced 16/5f) Held up towards rear, headway and switched left over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, not trouble leaders, 6th.

7:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Southwell Results - Oct 3 2025. Going: Standard
16:00
1. 6 New York Minute 5/2F
2. 1 Kingdom Of Stars 3/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 2.00, 2.10
Exacta: 10.80
CSF: 10.47
Trifecta: 38.70
Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Winning Trainer: R M Beckett
Distances: 14 lengths
New York Minute 5/2 F
7 ran
16:35
1. 1 Previous 9/4F
2. 3 Blooming Legend 4/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places 1.90, 1.30
Exacta: 12.60
CSF: 11.94
Trifecta: 32.40
Winning Jockey: Rowan Scott
Winning Trainer: K P De Foy
Distances: 4 lengths
Previous 9/4 F
6 ran
17:10
1. 1 Capall Rasa 11/2
2. 2 Magical Merlot 7/4F
3. 6 Shafi 5/2
Tote Win 6.50
Places 1.70, 1.40, 1.50
Exacta: 19.20
CSF: 15.81
Trifecta: 63.00
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Distances: 1 1/2 length, 1 3/4 length
Magical Merlot 7/4 F
9 ran
17:45
1. 1 Winding Stream 6/5F
2. 6 Medyg 11/1
3. 4 Strong Voice 2/1
Tote Win 2.20
Places 1.10, 3.70, 1.10
Exacta: 22.20
CSF: 17.97
Trifecta: 64.00
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: R Hughes
Distances: 3 3/4 lengths, 1 length
Winding Stream 6/5 F
8 ran
Non Runners 2
18:15
1. 1 Zabeel Alkabeir 8/15F
2. 6 Shamacid 4/1
3. 5 Proud To Be Fox 7/1
Tote Win 1.54
Places 1.10, 1.10, 1.80
Exacta: 3.20
CSF: 3.03
Trifecta: 8.90
Winning Jockey: Clifford Lee
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 3 3/4 lengths, 1 length
Zabeel Alkabeir 8/15 F
8 ran
18:45
1. 13 Bin Ajwad 3/1F
2. 8 Paladin 5/1
3. 6 Lady Of Arabia 10/1
Tote Win 4.10
Places 1.60, 1.90, 2.90
Exacta: 23.40
CSF: 18.99
Tricast: 146.05
Trifecta: 156.50
Winning Jockey: D Allan
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 3/4 length
Bin Ajwad 3/1 F
13 ran
Non Runners 9
19:15
1. 11 Fan Mail 11/2
2. 4 True Promise 7/2
3. 8 Baba Reza 11/2
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.50, 1.70, 2.30
Exacta: 23.90
CSF: 26.25
Tricast: 120.48
Trifecta: 252.20
Winning Jockey: D Allan
Winning Trainer: T D Easterby
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 length
Backspin 16/5 F
13 ran
19:45
1. 2 Arlington 4/1
2. 1 It's Showtime 9/1
3. 9 Tilsworth Turf 100/1
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.60, 2.80, 17.50
Exacta: 44.90
CSF: 41.43
Tricast: 2304.03
Trifecta: 1094.40
Winning Jockey: Oliver Carmichael
Winning Trainer: B Smart
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Desert Master 3/1 JF
Piperstown 3/1 JF
10 ran
20:15
1. 6 Kokinelli 8/1
2. 3 Mission Possible 9/4
3. 4 Night Tara 13/8F
Tote Win 9.50
Places 2.20, 1.20, 1.20
Exacta: 16.80
CSF: 26.91
Tricast: 44.44
Trifecta: 74.90
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: H Palmer
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Night Tara 13/8 F
8 ran
Non Runners 8

Labels:

3 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Southwell, 3rd October 2025

16:00 Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns Handicap
Going standard, 7 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st New York Minute Edward Greatrex 6 9 2 5/2 F
Held up in rear, smooth headway over 3f out, soon led and pushed along, went clear over 1f out, easily

2nd Kingdom Of Stars P J McDonald 14 lengths 1 10 2 3/1
Chased leader, headway to lead 4f out, ridden and headed over 2f out, outpaced by winner over 1f out

3rd Simiyann Billy Loughnane 2 1/2 lengths 3 9 10 7/1
Midfield, driven and chased leaders over 2f out, kept on same pace over 1f out

4th Upepo Molly Gunn 10 lengths 5 9 6 80/1
Slowly away, held up in rear, ridden and minor headway over 2f out, kept on same pace over 1f out

5th Louie's Folly Jason Hart 4 3/4 lengths 7 8 13 10/1
Midfield, ridden over 3f out, faded 2f out

6th Lunar Power P Cosgrave 7 lengths 4 9 9 5/1
Midfield, driven and lost position over 4f out, no impression over 2f out

7th Padesha Rowan Scott 38 lengths 2 10 1 7/2
Took keen hold, led, soon clear, ridden and headed 4f out, soon lost position, tailed off over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 4:38 pm, October 03, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 3rd October 2025

18:45 Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! Handicap
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Bin Ajwad D Allan 13 9 3 3/1 F
Held up in mid-division, niggled along over 4f out, headway and switched right over 2f out, led over 1f out, clear inside final furlong, stayed on well

2nd Paladin Oliver Stammers 1 3/4 length 8 9 8 5/1
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, went 2nd entering final furlong, no impression on winner, kept on

3rd Lady Of Arabia Billy Loughnane 3/4 length 6 9 9 10/1
Held up in mid-division, headway 2f out, switched right over 1f out, went 3rd inside final furlong, kept on

4th Alessia Fernanda Zak Wheatley 1 length 12 9 5 40/1
In touch in mid-division, effort over 2f out, stayed on same pace from over 1f out

5th Bernalda A Egan 2 lengths 10 9 5 4/1
Chased leaders on outside, took keen hold, went 2nd over 4f out, led over 3f out, headed over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

6th Cephalus T P Queally 1 length 2 9 12 14/1
Slowly into stride, behind, headway over 1f out, kept on, never nearer

7th Al Rufaa D E Hogan 1/2 length 7 9 9 5/1
Mid-division, headway over 2f out, lost place over 1f out

8th American State Cieren Fallon 1 3/4 length 14 9 1 16/1
Held up towards rear, some headway over 1f out, no impression

9th Blue Prince P Cosgrave 3 3/4 lengths 1 9 13 5/1
Chased leaders, hanging right over 3f out, weakened over 1f out

10th Cosmos Raj C Horgan 1/2 length 4 9 10 66/1
Held up towards rear, ridden over 2f out, well beaten over 1f out

11th Rock Walk B d l Sayette 2 1/4 lengths 3 9 12 66/1
In touch in mid-division, lost place over 3f out, well beaten over 1f out

12th Lyndon B W A Carson 7 1/2 lengths 5 9 9 40/1
Prominent and wide early, led over 6f out, headed over 3f out, weakened over 1f out

13th Loch Leven P J McDonald 2 1/2 lengths 11 9 5 33/1
Soon led, headed over 6f out, lost place over 2f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:41 pm, October 03, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 3rd October 2025

19:15 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Fan Mail D Allan 11 9 5 11/2
Held up in mid-division, switched right and headway over 1f out, ran on well inside final furlong, led towards finish, cosily

2nd True Promise Mr Jack Callan 1/2 length 4 9 10 7/2
Led, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed towards finish

3rd Baba Reza Callum Rodriguez 1 length 8 9 9 11/2
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, no impression on winner final 50 yards

4th Beauty Choice Billy Garritty 1/2 length 1 9 11 17/2
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, stayed on same pace final furlong

5th Dark Side Thunder Harrison Shaw 1/2 length 6 9 9 14/1
In touch in mid-division, driven and effort over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong

6th Backspin Billy Loughnane Neck 2 9 11 16/5 F
Held up towards rear, headway and switched left over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, not trouble leaders

7th Farandaway Oliver Stammers Head 3 9 10 10/1
Held up in touch in mid-division, switched left and headway over 1f out, no extra inside final 100 yards

8th Asadjumeirah Alex Jary Neck 13 8 8 40/1
Slowly away, behind, headway over 1f out, not trouble leaders

9th Dark Kestrel Cameron Hardie 2 lengths 9 9 8 18/1
Slowly away, behind, edged right and some headway over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

10th Tomorrow Day Charlie Bennett 1 1/4 length 12 8 11 80/1
Held up in mid-division, well beaten over 1f out

11th Hiatus Connor Planas 1/2 length 7 9 9 40/1
Always towards rear

12th Ancient Times Kaiya Fraser 5 1/2 lengths 5 9 10 10/1
Chased leader, driven over 1f out, soon edged right and weakened

13th Vibrato D C Costello 1/2 length 10 9 8 28/1
Held up towards rear, struggling over 2f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:12 pm, October 03, 2025  

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