SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Fri Oct 24 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Friday October 24 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this evening's 9 race card that features 7 handicaps, one of which is a 2yo nursery hcp, in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Paddy Bradley rides ~ he is in three races.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether they'll actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.


Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 24 Oct 2025 4:50 Southwell Maiden 1m Denis Quinn MICK FROM TIPP
  • 24 Oct 2025 7:30 Southwell Handicap 1m James Owen LATIN
  • 24 Oct 2025 8:30 Southwell Handicap 6f Michael Attwater MEHMO

Southwell Betting Analysis

7:30 Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Latin (11/8f) should be odds on imo.

Conclusion: Won at Bath last time up, now comes to the aw with a decidedly lower mark. Inb the form he's in at present, should be able to collect this prize by a few lengths under Paddy Bradley.


7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 11/8f Latin (2nd 6/4f)


8:30 Southwell ❖ 6f C6 Hcp ❖ Mehmo (33/1) is quite a way overpriced. (40's @ Bet365 only)

Conclusion: Has basement hcp form over 6f from this kind of mark on the AW circuit. If he's fit, will outrun the 40/1 quote easily. I'll be playing to minimal stakes, win only.


7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 33/1 Mehmo


Southwell Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:50 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:20 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:55 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
11/8f Latin. (2nd 6/4f) Raced keenly, soon steadied towards rear, good headway between horses turning in, pushed along and hung left from 2f out, went 2nd over 1f out, ridden and stayed on same pace inside final furlong, no chance with winner, 2nd.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
33/1 Mehmo. (Unplaced 40/1) Never closer than mid-division, 12th.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Southwell Results - Friday Oct 24 2025. Going: Standard
16:15
1. 7 Comic Strip 10/3
2. 1 Akirra 7/4F
3. 3 Moonlight Mirage 5/1
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.60, 1.20, 1.90
Exacta: 13.60
CSF: 9.68
Tricast: 28.18
Trifecta: 44.00
Winning Jockey: Miss J Gordon
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: 3/4 length, Neck
Akirra 7/4 F
9 ran
16:50
1. 1 Abundant 6/5F
2. 6 Delusional 25/1
3. 13 India Gold 18/1
Tote Win 2.20
Places 1.40, 5.50, 3.70
Exacta: 41.60
CSF: 47.23
Trifecta: 579.20
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: T Ward
Distances: 5 1/2 lengths, 3/4 length
Abundant 6/5 F
14 ran
17:20
1. 1 Monarch's Gold 2/9F
2. 4 Start Me Up 4/1
Tote Win 1.23
Places 1.02, 1.60
Exacta: 1.40
CSF: 1.56
Trifecta: 3.40
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: K P De Foy
Distances: 3/4 length
Monarch's Gold 2/9 F
5 ran
17:55
1. 7 Night On Earth 14/1
2. 4 Blinky 11/1
3. 1 Sturlasson 11/8F
Tote Win 15.00
Places 3.00, 2.80, 1.10
Exacta: 131.70
CSF: 158.93
Tricast: 353.67
Trifecta: 501.20
Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1 length, 1 1/2 length
Sturlasson 11/8 F
9 ran
18:30
1. 11 Hickton 9/2JF
2. 13 Belle Amie 9/2JF
3. 5 Wadacre Giorgio 9/1
Tote Win 5.50
Places 1.70, 2.40, 3.20
Exacta: 24.10
CSF: 25.23
Tricast: 187.84
Trifecta: 301.90
Winning Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Winning Trainer: D Carroll
Distances: Neck, 2 lengths
Hickton 9/2 JF
Belle Amie 9/2 JF
14 ran
19:00
1. 5 Quite Sweet 9/2
2. 2 Marry The Night 7/2
3. 8 R P Mcmurphy 15/2
Tote Win 5.50
Places 2.20, 1.80, 3.70
Exacta: 30.00
CSF: 21.39
Tricast: 121.42
Trifecta: 198.60
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: 2 lengths, 3/4 length
Aim For The Bull 11/4 F
11 ran
19:30
1. 2 Heretic 5/2
2. 1 Latin 6/4F
3. 9 Tootsie 18/1
Tote Win 3.60
Places 1.20, 1.20, 2.50
Exacta: 9.10
CSF: 6.77
Tricast: 55.77
Trifecta: 73.30
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: M Herrington
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3 lengths
Latin 6/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 4
20:00
1. 6 Star Of Mali 5/1
2. 1 Al Muqdad 15/2
3. 11 Split Elevens 66/1
Tote Win 6.00
Places 2.20, 3.20, 13.60
Exacta: 72.00
CSF: 44.80
Tricast: 2359.44
Trifecta: 2230.00
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 1 length, Head
Savvy Exchange 10/3 F
14 ran
20:30
1. 7 Pinjarra 14/1
2. 5 Dr Ali 50/1
3. 3 Bad Habits 40/1
Tote Win 16.90
Places 4.30, 13.20, 8.50
Exacta: 606.80
CSF: 621.28
Tricast: 23837.42
Trifecta: 2510.40
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: J & S Quinn
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, Head
Top Biller 4/1 F
14 ran

Labels:

2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Southwell, 24th October 2025

19:30 Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Heretic D E Hogan 2 9 7 5/2
Tracked leader and keen, led over 2f out, ridden clear inside final furlong, ran on well

2nd Latin Paddy Bradley 1 1/4 length 1 9 9 6/4 F
Raced keenly, soon steadied towards rear, good headway between horses turning in, pushed along and hung left from 2f out, went 2nd over 1f out, ridden and stayed on same pace inside final furlong, no chance with winner

3rd Tootsie S B Kirrane 3 lengths 9 9 2 18/1
Held up towards rear, went wide to near side rail over 2f out, ridden inside final 2f, plugged on inside final furlong, took modest 3rd final strides

4th Masham Moor A Elliott Head 6 9 4 33/1
Slowly into stride, held up in rear, pushed along over 2f out, headway and ridden far side of group over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, lost modest 3rd last strides

5th The Pug Aiden Brookes Nose 3 9 5 14/1
Tracked leaders inside, pushed along 3f out, ridden and unable to quicken over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong

6th Doomsday Miss Joanna Mason 1 length 10 9 2 66/1
Dwelt, soon recovered to lead, pushed along and headed over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

7th Dash Power Benjamin Sanderson Short Head 5 9 5 22/1
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and weakened final furlong

8th Velvet Vortex Daniel Muscutt 4 3/4 lengths 7 9 4 12/1
Slowly into stride, held up in last pair, never involved

9th Bovey Belle Cameron Hardie 1/2 length 11 8 13 125/1
Slowly into stride, soon mid-division inside, ridden and weakened over 2f out,

10th Unknown Journey Marco Ghiani 3/4 length 8 9 3 10/3
Raced keenly in mid-division out wide, headway tracking leaders 3f out, pushed along out wide turning in, weakened inside final 2f

Blogger Sandracer @ 9:28 pm, October 24, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 24th October 2025

20:30 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap
Going standard, 14 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Pinjarra P J McDonald 7 9 5 14/1
Keen tracking leaders inside, angled out to near side inside final 2f, led and hung left entering final furlong, ridden clear

2nd Dr Ali Jonny Peate 2 1/2 lengths 5 9 6 50/1
Held up towards rear, headway chasing leaders inside final 2f, went 2nd inside final furlong, no chance with winner

3rd Bad Habits Miss Joanna Mason Head 3 9 7 40/1
In touch with leaders, ran on inside final furlong, just missed 2nd, no chance with winner

4th My Mate Beattie Marco Ghiani Neck 8 9 5 15/2
Slowly into stride and switched left start, held up in rear, headway far side of group over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, no chance with winner

5th Vault Of Heaven William Pyle 1 1/2 length 4 9 6 13/2
Towards rear, some late minor headway near side rail, never going pace to get involved

6th Eldeyaar Cameron Hardie Head 12 9 3 5/1
Tracked leader, ridden to lead inside final 2f, headed entering final furlong, weakened inside final furlong

7th She'sashambles S A Gray Neck 14 9 0 11/2
Keen in touch with leaders inside, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

8th Angel's Call Edward Greatrex 3/4 length 9 9 4 5/1
Outpaced in last pair, never on terms

9th Top Biller D E Hogan 2 3/4 lengths 1 9 9 4/1 F
Led, pushed along over 2f out, headed inside final 2f, weakened quickly

10th Indy's Angel Aiden Brookes 1/2 length 10 9 4 8/1
Never closer than mid-division

11th McCauley's Tavern R Havlin 1/2 length 6 9 6 25/1
Slowly into stride, always towards rear

12th Mehmo Paddy Bradley 2 1/2 lengths 13 9 3 40/1
Never closer than mid-division

13th Laura's Breeze Daniel Muscutt 2 1/2 lengths 11 9 4 40/1
Raced wide and never closer than mid-division

14th Kamberleigh D Egan 24 lengths 2 9 8 16/1
Chased leaders out wide, pushed along over 2f out, weakened rapidly and eased over 1f out, tailed off

Blogger Sandracer @ 9:30 pm, October 24, 2025  

Post a Comment

Clicky