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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Thurs Oct 2 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Thursday October 2nd 2025

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening we have an 8 race card from Newcastle. 6 of the races are handicaps including two for 2yo's in nursery handicaps. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by in a handicap by Paul Mulrennan (𝕏).

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
  • 2 Oct 2025 6:00 Newcastle 2yo Nursery Hcp 7f Ed Walker GOUKEN
  • 2 Oct 2025 6:30 Newcastle Maiden 1m Sir Mark Prescott HOME SECRETARY
  • 2 Oct 2025 7:30 Newcastle Handicap 5f Paul Midgeley HERAKLES ✅
  • 2 Oct 2025 8:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m David O'Meara MISTER INVINCIBLE ✅

Newcastle Betting Analysis

7:30 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Herakles (12/1) runs these races all the time over the 5f straight trip at Newcastle from around this mark. He has won some and lost some. The 12/1 is twice the price it should be. 14's available in a place or two. 16/1 overnight.


7:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Herakles (2nd 11/1)

8:30 Newcastle ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Mister Invincible (12/1) has every chance now upped to a mile on the AW circuit for the first time. The slight drop in grade won't hurt, nor will the booking of Mulrennan for the first time. Should be about a 5/1 chance imo.


8:30 Newc ~ Win Bet: 12/1 Mr Invincible


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Herakles. (2nd 11/1) Went right and bumped start, held up towards rear, headway chasing leaders over 1f out, ridden and went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on but no chance with winner, 2nd.

8:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Mr Invincible. (Unplaced 12/1) Steadied and switched right start, held up in rear, never involved, 6th.


Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £1.00

Newcastle Results - Thurs Oct 2 2025. Going: standard
16:55
1. 6 Sibling Rivelry 5/1
2. 3 Arkinthestars 11/4
Tote Win 6.00
Places ,
Exacta: 10.80
CSF: 14.96
Trifecta: 10.10
Winning Jockey: Jack Dace
Winning Trainer: D M Simcock
Distances: Neck
Team Player 4/7 F
3 ran
Non Runners 1 2 5
17:30
1. 3 Captain Bruce 9/1
2. 2 Loose Connection 2/1JF
Tote Win 10.00
Places 3.30, 1.60
Exacta: 30.10
CSF: 27.33
Trifecta: 74.70
Winning Jockey: Alex Jary
Winning Trainer: N Tinkler
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths
Time Twister 2/1 JF
Loose Connection 2/1 JF
5 ran
18:00
1. 5 Advertised 10/3
2. 1 First Time 9/4F
Tote Win 4.34
Places 1.60, 1.70
Exacta: 12.20
CSF: 11.15
Trifecta: 47.30
Winning Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Winning Trainer: Grant Tuer
Distances: 3/4 length
First Time 9/4 F
6 ran
18:30
1. 3 Corinth 4/5F
2. 7 Balkadisha 12/1
Tote Win 1.80
Places 1.20, 3.20
Exacta: 8.70
CSF: 12.17
Trifecta: 24.20
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Nose
Corinth 4/5 F
7 ran
19:00
1. 5 Easy Peeler 7/1
2. 6 Al Joory 15/8F
Tote Win 8.00
Places 3.20, 1.90
Exacta: 18.90
CSF: 20.69
Tricast: 90.23
Trifecta: 77.90
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: J & S Quinn
Distances: 1 length
Al Joory 15/8 F
7 ran
19:30
1. 1 Mattice 5/2F
2. 6 Herakles 11/1
3. 7 Get Up Everybody 25/1
Tote Win 3.60
Places 1.50, 3.90, 8.40
Exacta: 47.00
CSF: 32.49
Tricast: 621.98
Trifecta: 560.70
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: I W McInnes
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1 1/4 length
Mattice 5/2 F
13 ran
20:00
1. 4 Call Me Betty 2/1
2. 1 Anthropologist 5/1
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.40, 2.00
Exacta: 11.60
CSF: 12.62
Trifecta: 28.20
Winning Jockey: Connor Beasley
Winning Trainer: M Dods
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths
Ey Up He's A Star 13/8 F
7 ran
20:30
1. 11 Terrapin 7/2
2. 9 Glorious Kitty 10/1
3. 4 Runninsonofagun 12/1
Tote Win 4.50
Places 1.30, 3.40, 4.00
Exacta: 40.00
CSF: 40.30
Tricast: 398.42
Trifecta: 391.80
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Seed Investor 7/4 F
12 ran

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2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 2nd October 2025

19:30 Download The At The Races App Handicap
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Mattice Jason Hart 1 9 13 5/2 F
Chased leaders near side of group, went 2nd inside final 2f, ridden to lead over 1f out, clear inside final furlong, ran on strongly

2nd Herakles P Mulrennan 1 1/4 length 6 9 7 11/1
Went right and bumped start, held up towards rear, headway chasing leaders over 1f out, ridden and went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on but no chance with winner

3rd Get Up Everybody B McHugh 1 1/4 length 7 9 7 25/1
Well off the pace in last pair, headway far side of group over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, took 3rd towards finish, no chance with winner

4th Let's Go Hugo T Kiely-Marshall Neck 12 9 2 18/5
Off the pace towards rear near side of group, headway when not clear run and switched left inside final furlong, ran on well towards finish, took 4th final strides

5th Go On Rosie Alex Jary Head 11 9 5 33/1
Mid-division near side of group, headway chasing leaders halfway, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, lost well held 4th final strides

6th Startling D Nolan 1/2 length 5 9 7 16/1
Mid-division, headway towards far side chasing leaders halfway, ridden and no extra inside final furlong

7th Miss Rainbow Amie Waugh Neck 10 9 5 22/1
Led in centre, headed halfway, lost 2nd soon after, weakened inside final furlong

8th Our Absent Friends Rowan Scott 1/2 length 2 9 10 4/1
Towards rear far side of group, pushed along halfway, headway under pressure over 1f out, ridden and weakened inside final furlong

9th Filly's Last Lady Billy Garritty 3/4 length 8 9 7 25/1
Went left and bumped start, chased leader until halfway, chased leaders, weakened inside final furlong

10th Chief Of State Rhys Elliott 1 length 13 9 1 20/1
Mid-division far side of group, headway chasing leaders halfway, weakened inside final 2f

11th Cash In J P Sullivan 3/4 length 9 9 5 11/1
Prominent, led halfway, headed inside final 2f, weakened final furlong

12th Midnight Lir Connor Beasley 1/2 length 3 9 9 12/1
Never closer than mid-division

13th Cape Sovereign T Eaves 1 1/2 length 4 9 9 10/1
Badly outpaced in rear far side of group, never a factor

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:21 pm, October 02, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 2nd October 2025

20:30 Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! Handicap
Going standard, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Terrapin P J McDonald 11 9 1 7/2
Tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, came clear inside final furlong, eased towards finish

2nd Glorious Kitty Billy Garritty 4 lengths 9 9 5 10/1
Raced near side rail, chased leaders, ridden and went 2nd inside final furlong, no chance with winner

3rd Runninsonofagun Rowan Scott 1 1/4 length 4 9 9 12/1
Led in centre, narrowly headed over 3f out, led again over 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, no chance with easy winner when lost 2nd inside final furlong

4th Mrbluesky B McHugh 1 3/4 length 12 9 0 10/1
Raced far side of group, off the pace towards rear, headway final furlong, went modest 4th post, never going pace to get involved

5th Seed Investor D Nolan Nose 5 9 8 7/4 F
Towards rear far side of group, headway under pressure over 1f out, lost modest 4th post

6th Mister Invincible P Mulrennan 3 1/2 lengths 1 9 9 12/1
Steadied and switched right start, held up in rear, never involved

7th Suzette Harry Russell Head 10 9 1 16/1
Off the pace and always towards rear

8th Bun Bang Fai Laura Coughlan 3 1/2 lengths 7 9 7 33/1
Raced keenly tracking leader, led narrowly over 3f out, ridden and headed over 2f out, head high and weakened inside final 2f

9th Pacifist Archie Young 1 length 3 9 9 9/1
Chased leaders far side of group, ridden and weakened inside final 2f

10th Urban Sky T Eaves 2 3/4 lengths 6 9 7 66/1
Pulled hard and always towards rear

11th Coonawarra Star Ben Robinson 17 lengths 2 9 9 11/1
Chased leaders near side of group, pushed along 3f out, weakened quickly soon after, tailed off

12th Oceans Charm C Horgan 9 lengths 8 9 6 28/1
Never closer than mid-division

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:28 pm, October 02, 2025  

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