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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Mon Oct 27 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Monday October 27 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This evening's AW meeting is 8 race card from Newcastle. 6 of the races are handicaps for me to look at. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this evening's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by Irish jockey Paul Mulrennan (𝕏) ~ he has 7 rides this evening. 6 of them are for the Jim Goldie stable.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye. Mulrennan is almost excusively riding for the Jim Goldie | (𝕏) yard anyway.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 27 Oct 2025 4:10 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Jim Goldie ANNANDALE
  • 27 Oct 2025 4:45 Newcastle 3yo+ Maiden Stakes 5f Jim Goldie APPROACHING DAWN
  • 27 Oct 2025 5:45 Newcastle Handicap 1m Jim Goldie ALPINE SIERRA ✅
  • 27 Oct 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 7f Jim Goldie YAASER ✅
  • 27 Oct 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Jim Goldie WATER OF LEITH ✅
  • 27 Oct 2025 7:15 Newcastle Handicap 5f Jim Goldie THUNDERSTORM KATIE
  • 27 Oct 2025 7:45 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ian Williams BETTY BASSETT

Newcastle Betting Analysis

5:45 Newcastle ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Alpine Sierra (6/1) goes well at Newcastle and cvan take this 1m hcp under Mulrennan from a reasonable mark of 59.


5:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Alpine Sierra (3rd 7/1)

6:15 Newcastle ❖ 7f C4 Hcp ❖ Yaaser (9/1) can rattle home late under Mulrennan if he gets out of the traps on terms, at a decent price. Course distance and mark are not a problem, he just needs to get into top gear early enough and capture his first course win on the straight track ~ which I think suits him.

# Betting Note: Backed down from 20's overnight ~ "apparently". A crazy price in my opinion. No one got anywhere near that on the exchanges, so I doubt any of the traditionals took much bets at those kind of prices whatsoever.


6:15 Newc ~ Win Bet: 9/1 Yaasar (Unp 12/1)

6:45 Newcastle ❖ 5f C4 Hcp ❖ Water Of Leith (22/1) has been totally overlooked judging by the price. I think not so much. His last run here over the C&D under Mulrennan, he was beaten 1.5l carrying 5lb more.


6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 22/1 Water Of Leith (Unp 28/1)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Alpine Sierra. (3rd 7/1) Mid-division, closer from halfway, disputed 2nd 2f out, pushed along and led approaching final furlong, headed under 1f out, soon outpaced by winner and lost 2nd closing stages, 3rd.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
9/1 Yaasar. (Unplaced 12/1) Dwelt, steadied in rear, pushed along under 2f out, no real progress, 7th.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
22/1 Water Of Leith. (Unplaced 28/1) Led down early to post, chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, no impression when carried slightly left over 1f out, soon dropped away, 7th.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Newcastle Results - Monday Oct 27 2025. Going: standard
16:10
1. 2 Jez Bomb 4/1
2. 5 Without Compromise 3/1F
3. 9 Falcon Nine 11/1
Tote Win 5.00
Places 1.80, 1.50, 3.00
Exacta: 20.30
CSF: 16.05
Tricast: 130.81
Trifecta: 104.00
Winning Jockey: S A Gray
Winning Trainer: S England
Distances: 3/4 length, 2 3/4 lengths
Without Compromise 3/1 F
13 ran
Non Runners 1
16:45
1. 4 Night Storm 5/4JF
2. 3 Montezin 5/4JF
Tote Win 2.25
Places 1.20, 1.10
Exacta: 3.50
CSF: 2.99
Trifecta: 8.10
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 1 3/4 length
Night Storm 5/4 JF
Montezin 5/4 JF
5 ran
Non Runners 2
17:15
1. 2 Oursin 4/11F
2. 1 Flame Of Forest 3/1
Tote Win 1.37
Places ,
Exacta: 1.70
CSF: 1.82
Trifecta: 2.30
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: C Hills
Distances: 6 lengths
Oursin 4/11 F
4 ran
17:45
1. 2 Bowood 85/40F
2. 9 Concert Boy 10/1
3. 7 Alpine Sierra 7/1
Tote Win 3.13
Places 1.40, 2.90, 2.00
Exacta: 22.60
CSF: 24.46
Tricast: 127.35
Trifecta: 87.30
Winning Jockey: Elle-may Croot
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 4 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length
Bowood 85/40 F
8 ran
Non Runners 3 10
18:15
1. 3 Arctic Dawn 13/2
2. 9 Fire Flame 6/1
3. 2 Jolly Roger 9/4F
Tote Win 8.50
Places 2.70, 2.00, 1.50
Exacta: 58.90
CSF: 47.26
Tricast: 119.13
Trifecta: 336.20
Winning Jockey: Rob Hornby
Winning Trainer: D & C Kubler
Distances: 3 3/4 lengths, 1 length
Jolly Roger 9/4 F
12 ran
18:45
1. 7 Alligator Alley 5/1
2. 5 Mondammej 11/1
3. 8 Thankuappreciate 11/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.00, 2.50, 2.90
Exacta: 62.70
CSF: 58.82
Tricast: 584.99
Trifecta: 974.30
Winning Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Winning Trainer: Mrs R Carr
Distances: Neck, 2 lengths
Monks Dream 5/2 F
9 ran
19:15
1. 2 Thunderstorm Katie 8/1
2. 8 Bibendum 7/2JF
3. 5 Henery Hawk 16/1
Tote Win 9.40
Places 2.90, 1.90, 4.10
Exacta: 39.20
CSF: 38.28
Tricast: 470.49
Trifecta: 670.70
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: J S Goldie
Distances: Nose, 3/4 length
South Shore 7/2 JF
Bibendum 7/2 JF
14 ran
19:45
1. 6 Yafaarr 7/4F
2. 5 Betty Bassett 9/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.50, 3.10
Exacta: 19.80
CSF: 18.90
Tricast: 50.21
Trifecta: 53.70
Winning Jockey: J Fanning
Winning Trainer: S England
Distances: Neck
Yafaarr 7/4 F
7 ran

Labels:

3 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 27th October 2025

17:45 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap
Going standard / slow, 8 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Bowood Elle-may Croot 2 9 8 85/40 F
Slowly away, held up in rear, headway travelling smoothly over 2f out, pushed along and led under 1f out, ran on strongly and cleared away

2nd Concert Boy Kaiya Fraser 4 1/2 lengths 9 8 10 10/1
Slowly away, towards rear, pushed along and headway under 2f out, went 4th over 1f out, stayed on, took 2nd closing stages, no chance with winner

3rd Alpine Sierra P Mulrennan 1/2 length 7 9 3 7/1
Mid-division, closer from halfway, disputed 2nd 2f out, pushed along and led approaching final furlong, headed under 1f out, soon outpaced by winner and lost 2nd closing stages

4th Volenti Rowan Scott 1 1/4 length 1 9 9 5/2
Mid-division, waiting for gap over 2f out, soon pushed along, switched right approaching final furlong, ran on for late headway

5th Tasever Harry Burns 2 lengths 4 9 8 12/1
Prominent, pushed along led well over 1f out, headed approaching final furlong, weakened tamely

6th Golden Valour D Allan Neck 8 8 11 18/1
Tracked leaders, ridden 2f out, no impression and faded

7th Law Supreme Edward Greatrex 11 lengths 6 9 4 11/2
Chased leaders, pushed along and weakened over 1f out

8th Pallas Lord Rhys Elliott 3/4 length 5 9 6 22/1
Led, pushed along over 2f out, headed and weakened well over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:12 pm, October 27, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 27th October 2025

18:15 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap
Going standard / slow, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Arctic Dawn Rob Hornby 3 9 13 13/2
Wore red hood to post, prominent, led under 2f out and pushed along, stayed on strongly and forged clear final 110 yards

2nd Fire Flame Callum Rodriguez 3 3/4 lengths 9 9 3 6/1
Went to post early, mid-division, closer over 2f out, pushed along well over 1f out disputing 3rd, kept on but no match for winner

3rd Jolly Roger Harry Davies 1 length 2 9 13 9/4 F
Mid-division, pushed along and steady headway under 2f out, ridden over 1f out, stayed on, never threatened

4th Benacre J Fanning Neck 7 9 8 8/1
Soon led, pushed along and headed under 2f out, stayed on one pace

5th Candonomore D Allan 3/4 length 5 9 9 5/1
Slowly away, towards rear, improved over 2f out and pushed along, soon no impression

6th Heavenly Heather T Eaves 3/4 length 6 9 8 33/1
Chased leaders, pushed along over 1f out, faded

7th Yaaser P Mulrennan Short Head 11 9 2 12/1
Dwelt, steadied in rear, pushed along under 2f out, no real progress

8th Pal Joey Rowan Scott 3/4 length 10 9 3 16/1
Dwelt, rear mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, no response

9th Obelix Ryan Sexton 1/2 length 4 9 11 14/1
Mid-division, pushed along 2f out, no progress, weakened inside last

10th Bellarchi Oliver Stammers 2 1/4 lengths 1 10 1 18/1
Settled handy, pushed along and dropped away 2f out

11th Estrella Divina Edward Greatrex 87 lengths 8 9 4 12/1
Front mid-division, outpaced and pushed along over 2f out, soon behind

Unseated Rider Streak Lightning Kaiya Fraser 12 8 12 100/1
Fly leapt start and unseated rider

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:22 pm, October 27, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 27th October 2025

18:45 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap
Going standard / slow, 9 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Alligator Alley Kaiya Fraser 7 9 5 5/1
Tracked leaders, pushed along well over 1f out, ridden 1f out, led narrowly over 110 yards out, ran on gamely, just prevailed

2nd Mondammej Cameron Hardie Neck 5 9 5 11/1
Went to post early, mid-division, pushed along and headway well over 1f out, slightly hampered and switched left over 1f out, ridden and every chance inside last, just held towards finish

3rd Thankuappreciate Mr Harry Smith 2 lengths 8 9 4 11/1
Mid-division, angled out and pushed along for headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, headed over 110 yards out, kept on one pace

4th Dark Kestrel Alex Jary 1 length 6 9 5 15/2
Went to post early, slowly away, in rear, in touch, improved 2f out, ridden inside last and ran on, never nearer

5th Mattice Rob Hornby 3/4 length 4 9 6 8/1
Prominent, pushed along and faded 2f out

6th Monks Dream D Allan Short Head 3 9 8 5/2 F
Handy, pushed along over 1f out, weakened final 100 yards

7th Water Of Leith P Mulrennan Neck 9 9 1 28/1
Led down early to post, chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, no impression when carried slightly left over 1f out, soon dropped away

8th Lion's House Harry Burns 1 1/4 length 1 9 9 4/1
Mid-division pushed along well over 1f out, no response

9th South Parade Ethan Tindall 1 length 2 9 8 11/1
Led, saddle slipped soon after start, headed over 1f out, eased

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:22 pm, October 27, 2025  

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