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Cracking The Kempton AW Code ~ Wed Oct 1 2025

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Cracking The Kempton AW Code

❖ Wednesday October 1 2025

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton on the All Weather this evening is a 9 race card. There are 6 handicaps to have a look at. I will attempt to crack the Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be concentrating on 30 yr old top jockey Oisin Murphy (𝕏) ~ who has 6 rides ~ for this evening's betting.

❖ Trainers ❖ One could argue ommitting the Gosden pair who are ridden by Buick is folly. They are both low priced favourites. I will be taking them on.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

  • ❖ If anything Murphy is on is well drawn, give it a close look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
  • 1 Oct 2025 4:23 Kempton Maiden 1m 3f John Gosden NASEBAH
  • 1 Oct 2025 4:55 Kempton Stakes 6f Andrew Balding LIFEGUARD
  • 1 Oct 2025 5:30 Kempton Handicap 7f David Evans LADY WINGALONG (Non Runner)
  • 1 Oct 2025 6:00 Kempton Stakes 6f Andrew Balding MARCHOGION
  • 1 Oct 2025 6:30 Kempton Handicap 1m 3f S B Suroor FIRST VIEW ✅
  • 1 Oct 2025 7:00 Kempton Handicap 1m S B Suroor OLYMPIC CANDLE ✅

Kempton Betting Analysis

6:30 Kempton ❖ 1m 3f C4 Handicap ❖ First View (11/2) is upped in trip today which he looks to be needing ~ and Murphy has been booked to ride. Seems to have a winning chance to me.


6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 11/2 First View (4th 4/1)

6:30 Kempton ❖ 1m C4 Handicap ❖ Olympic Candle (4/1) is running off a 200 day break. I doubt that will stop this Suroor horse running his race. I make him a clear fav running over a mile in a C4 carrying 8lb less than his best.


6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Olympic Candle (Won 3/1f)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:23 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:55 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

600 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
11/2 First View. (4th 4/1) Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra well inside final furlong, 4th.

7:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
♥ 4/1 Olympic Candle. (Won 3/1f) Held up in mid-division, switched left over 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong, led towards finish, 1st.
Returns: £4.00

7:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.


Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £4.00

Total: + £2.00

Kempton Results - Wed Oct 1 2025. Going: Standard
16:23
1. 5 Nasebah 10/11F
2. 1 La Cadalora 6/1
Tote Win 1.91
Places 1.10, 1.80
Exacta: 5.10
CSF: 6.91
Trifecta: 7.10
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Short Head
Nasebah 10/11 F
5 ran
16:55
1. 5 Generous Rascal 9/4F
2. 8 Perola 7/1
3. 2 Argy Bhaji 8/1
Tote Win 3.25
Places 1.30, 2.80, 2.30
Exacta: 24.60
CSF: 19.64
Trifecta: 175.00
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: Oliver Cole
Distances: Neck, Head
Generous Rascal 9/4 F
12 ran
17:30
1. 13 Kit Gabriel 7/1
2. 3 Arctician 14/1
3. 9 Great 11/2
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.60, 4.70, 2.40
Exacta: 150.60
CSF: 107.17
Tricast: 596.81
Trifecta: 872.50
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: S Pearce
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Palmarian 3/1 JF
Happy Banner 3/1 JF
13 ran
Non Runners 2
18:00
1. 2 Ten Pounds 6/4F
2. 5 Divine Libra 12/1
Tote Win 2.50
Places 1.50, 4.10
Exacta: 14.60
CSF: 19.84
Trifecta: 64.70
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: Harry Charlton
Distances: 1 length
Ten Pounds 6/4 F
6 ran
Non Runners 7
18:30
1. 2 King's Code 12/1
2. 8 Elsass 13/2
3. 3 Power Of Destiny 11/2
Tote Win 13.00
Places 3.40, 2.50, 2.50
Exacta: 89.60
CSF: 88.44
Tricast: 484.44
Trifecta: 568.50
Winning Jockey: Tom Marquand
Winning Trainer: P D Evans
Distances: 1/2 length, 1/2 length
Port Of London 2/1 F
9 ran
19:00
1. 7 Olympic Candle 3/1F
2. 2 Cogitate 10/3
3. 4 Footwork 11/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.80, 1.30, 3.40
Exacta: 16.70
CSF: 13.64
Tricast: 102.74
Trifecta: 103.90
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: S bin Suroor
Distances: Neck, 3/4 length
Olympic Candle 3/1 F
12 ran
19:30
1. 1 Love Your Work 9/4
2. 3 Triggered 9/2
3. 5 English Lady 85/40F
Tote Win 3.03
Places 1.20, 1.10, 1.50
Exacta: 13.20
CSF: 10.88
Tricast: 18.16
Trifecta: 26.40
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: Darryll Holland
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length
English Lady 85/40 F
10 ran
20:00
1. 4 Final Night 3/1
2. 8 Sir Patchy 40/1
3. 7 Marchetti 15/2
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.40, 8.30, 1.90
Exacta: 88.70
CSF: 121.35
Tricast: 859.70
Trifecta: 763.20
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: J Butler
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Island Ocean 13/8 F
10 ran
20:30
1. 5 Smasher 17/2
2. 6 Beau Jardine 12/1
3. 9 Dark Sorceress 11/1
Tote Win 9.50
Places 2.30, 3.80, 3.70
Exacta: 115.40
CSF: 108.52
Tricast: 1164.47
Trifecta: 621.80
Winning Jockey: W A Carson
Winning Trainer: M J Attwater
Distances: Neck, Neck
Chasing Gold 11/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1

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2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Kempton, 1st October 2025

18:30 Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Going standard / slow, 9 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st King's Code Tom Marquand 2 10 2 12/1
Prominent early, held up in touch, closed over 2f out, led over 1f out, stayed on well, ridden out

2nd Elsass J Fanning 1/2 length 8 8 13 13/2
Prominent early, tracked leaders on inside, switched right over 2f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, stayed on

3rd Power Of Destiny Rossa Ryan 1/2 length 3 10 1 11/2
Held up in mid-division, headway over 2f out, went 3rd well inside final furlong, kept on

4th First View Oisin Murphy 1/2 length 5 9 9 4/1
Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra well inside final furlong

5th Gaassee Raymond Dawson 1/2 length 1 10 2 11/2
Slowly away, held up towards rear, headway over 1f out, unable to get on terms

6th Bint Al Daar Jack Mitchell 3 1/2 lengths 7 9 1 40/1
In touch in mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, no impression from over 1f out

7th Port Of London William Buick 1 1/2 length 6 9 6 2/1 F
Slowly into stride, soon chasing leader, not much room and unbalanced 2f out, weakened quickly

8th Montpellier Green Edward Greatrex 7 1/2 lengths 9 8 6 66/1
Slowly away, always in rear, well beaten over 2f out

9th Rogue Impact Luke Morris 1/2 length 4 9 11 12/1
Held up towards rear, driven over 2f out, soon well beaten

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:06 pm, October 01, 2025  

Race Result - Kempton, 1st October 2025

19:00 Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap
Going standard / slow, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Olympic Candle Oisin Murphy 7 9 9 3/1 F
Held up in mid-division, switched left over 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong, led towards finish

2nd Cogitate Billy Loughnane Neck 2 10 0 10/3
Chased leaders, closed from 2f out, led 1f out, stayed on, headed close home

3rd Footwork J Fanning 3/4 length 4 9 11 11/1
Prominent, ridden over 1f out, kept on, 3rd and held well inside final furlong

4th Talis Evolvere Tyrese Cameron 1/2 length 1 10 1 9/2
Towards rear, not much room 4f out, switched left inside final furlong, ran on, nearest finish

5th Borgi Rossa Ryan 1/2 length 3 9 13 22/1
Chased leaders, steadied over 6f out, headway over 1f out, kept on, not pace to get involved

6th Notimeforchitchat Finley Marsh 1/2 length 6 9 9 12/1
Soon towards rear, ridden over 2f out, switched right over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, not trouble leaders

7th Rukaana Raymond Dawson Neck 9 9 6 100/1
Mid-division, headway over 2f out, soon hung right, kept on with getting on terms final furlong

8th Headmaster Tom Marquand 3/4 length 5 9 11 10/3
Wore red hood to post, chased leaders, kept wide until went 2nd over 6f out, led 2f out, headed 1f out, weakened final 100 yards

9th King's Vanity Rob Hornby 2 1/4 lengths 8 9 7 50/1
Wore red hood to post, led, headed 2f out, not much room and weakened inside final furlong

10th Enthused Miss Laura Pearson 1 length 12 9 1 50/1
Towards rear, shaken up over 2f out, never involved

11th Penfolds Grange Luke Morris 1 length 11 9 1 100/1
Slowly away, always in rear

12th Slipper Time Nicola Currie 2 lengths 10 9 4 10/1
Took keen hold early, tracked leaders, not much room 2f out, soon beaten

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:59 pm, October 01, 2025  

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