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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Mon Sept 29 2025

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Cracking The Southwell AW Code

❖ Mon September 29 2025

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to crack the AW code at Southwell on this evening's 8 race card that features 5 handicaps, one of those is a fillies only hcp ~ and 3 novice stake races races, in as few words as possible.


Jockeys ❖ I will be concentrating on deciphering the Rossa Ryan (𝕏) ridden handicap rides (3) ~ in particular for this evening.

Oisin Murphy is also at Southwell this evening. He does not have a great record here, but he's always worth a look. A perilous jockey to ignore at present.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether they'll actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.


Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
  • 29 Sep 2025 5:00 Southwell Handicap 2m Harry Charlton BIG WIN
  • 29 Sep 2025 5:30 Southwell Stakes 7f Bill Knight CAPRICORN BELLE
  • 29 Sep 2025 6:00 Southwell Stakes 6f Jim Tate ROSE OF HONOUR
  • 29 Sep 2025 6:30 Southwell Handicap 6f Tom Clover LADY MODENA
  • 29 Sep 2025 7:30 Southwell Handicap 1m Devid Loughnane MY BROTHER MIKE

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Horse | Trainer
  • 29 Sep 2025 5:30 Southwell Stakes 7f James Ferguson ART GALLERY
  • 29 Sep 2025 6:30 Southwell Handicap 6f Denis Coakley PHOENIX MOON
  • 29 Sep 2025 7:00 Southwell Handicap 5f David O'Meara ZIGGY'S TRITON
  • 29 Sep 2025 7:30 Southwell Handicap 1m Denis Coakley MY AMBITION

Southwell Betting Analysis

6:30 Southwell ❖ 6f C5 Fillies Hcp ❖ Pheonix Moon (3/1f) won well last time out under Murphy.

Conclusion: Easy winner last time out, will the 5lb rise in the weights stop her today? I think maybe not..


6:30 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1f Pheonix Moon (2nd 7/2jf)


7:00 Southwell ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ Ziggys Triton (6/1) is running well at present.

Conclusion: Won't be far away with Oisin Murphy aboard. May well just win it outright. The 6/1 on offer is very reasonable.


7:00 South ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Ziggys Triton (2nd 15/2)


7:30 Southwell ❖ 5f C5 Hcp ❖ My Brother Mike (8/1) is plenty good enough for these.

Conclusion: Will be played late by Ryan. Has the ability and a decent enough mark to run past them all in the last furlong if things fall right in front of him.


7:30 South ~ Win Bet: 8/1 My Brother Mike (Unp 9/1)


Southwell Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

5:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
3/1f Pheonix Moon. (2nd 7/2jf) Tried to anticipate start and slowly into stride, soon mid-division, headway chasing leaders over 1f out, ridden to lead final 110 yards, headed towards finish, 2nd.

7:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Ziggys Triton. (2nd 15/2) Led against near side rail, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, headed and not pace of winner towards finish, 2nd.

7:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
8/1 My Brother Mike. (Unplaced 9/1) Raced keenly tracking leaders, pushed along out wide over 2f out, ridden inside final 2f, weakened inside final furlong, 7th.

8:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Southwell Results - 29 Sept 2025. Going: Standard
17:00
1. 1 Universal Story 13/8
2. 3 Wasthatok 33/1
Tote Win 2.63
Places 1.20, 8.60
Exacta: 43.50
CSF: 42.32
Trifecta: 74.90
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: J Candlish
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths
Big Win 11/10 F
6 ran
17:30
1. 4 Crafty Blue 4/1
2. 6 Izz'nt She Hot 6/1
3. 9 Tago Mago 16/1
Tote Win 6.60
Places 1.70, 2.20, 2.90
Exacta: 36.10
CSF: 28.79
Trifecta: 418.20
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: Short Head, 1 1/4 length
Art Gallery 2/1 F
8 ran
Non Runners 5
18:00
1. 2 Rose Of Honour 2/5F
2. 7 Spitzbergen 11/4
3. 9 Vamp 17/2
Tote Win 1.40
Places 1.02, 1.10, 1.80
Exacta: 1.90
CSF: 2.19
Trifecta: 4.90
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 4 1/2 lengths
Rose Of Honour 2/5 F
8 ran
Non Runners 1
18:30
1. 11 After Love 7/2JF
2. 12 Phoenix Moon 7/2JF
3. 10 Addarella 18/1
Tote Win 4.70
Places 2.10, 2.10, 4.50
Exacta: 25.30
CSF: 15.32
Tricast: 213.01
Trifecta: 301.50
Winning Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winning Trainer: G Boughey
Distances: Neck, 3/4 length
Phoenix Moon 7/2 JF
After Love 7/2 JF
13 ran
19:00
1. 6 Sturlasson 6/1
2. 3 Ziggy's Triton 15/2
3. 2 Grace Angel 13/8F
Tote Win 7.00
Places 2.10, 2.40, 1.20
Exacta: 60.50
CSF: 53.23
Tricast: 109.70
Trifecta: 241.00
Winning Jockey: S Donohoe
Winning Trainer: J Ryan
Distances: 1 length, 1/2 length
Grace Angel 13/8 F
12 ran
19:30
1. 4 Jazz Scene 8/1
2. 7 Back From Dubai 11/2
3. 9 Create 22/1
Tote Win 9.40
Places 2.90, 2.10, 6.30
Exacta: 73.20
CSF: 52.83
Tricast: 690.77
Trifecta: 949.50
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: J Parr
Distances: Neck, 1/2 length
My Ambition 5/2 F
14 ran
20:00
1. 6 Stellenbosch 9/2
2. 7 Welljudged 5/2
Tote Win 5.50
Places 2.60, 1.90
Exacta: 14.80
CSF: 16.81
Trifecta: 48.20
Winning Jockey: S M Levey
Winning Trainer: R Hannon
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths
Luminoso 7/4 F
7 ran
20:30
1. 9 Thanks Dad 14/1
2. 10 Atomic Mass 10/1
3. 5 Ottawa 7/2
CSF: 150.56
Tricast: 621.18
Winning Jockey: Joseph Haynes
Winning Trainer: S Dixon
Distances:
Roaring Ralph 10/3 F
12 ran

Labels:

3 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Southwell, 29th September 2025

18:30 Join Southwell Golf Club Fillies' Handicap
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st After Love Billy Loughnane 11 9 2 7/2 JF
Off the pace in last pair, headway between horses over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, led towards finish

2nd Phoenix Moon Oisin Murphy Neck 12 9 1 7/2 JF
Tried to anticipate start and slowly into stride, soon mid-division, headway chasing leaders over 1f out, ridden to lead final 110 yards, headed towards finish

3rd Addarella Marco Ghiani 3/4 length 10 9 4 18/1
Chased leaders, went 2nd over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, headed final 110 yards, weakened and lost 2nd inside final 110 yards

4th Storm Call Billy Garritty 3/4 length 4 9 9 25/1
Led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, soon lost 2nd no extra and lost 3rd towards finish

5th Ziggy's Queen Ethan Tindall Short Head 1 9 11 10/1
Off the pace towards rear, headway over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, not pace to challenge

6th Boyne Lady C Horgan 1 1/4 length 5 9 8 11/1
Mid-division inside, headway chasing leaders 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong

7th Daytona Lady J P Sullivan Short Head 7 9 8 15/2
Off the pace towards rear, weakened inside final furlong

8th Spirit Of Jenny D C Costello Neck 9 9 6 22/1
Chased leaders, went to near side rail over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong

9th Improve Your Move S M Levey 1/2 length 8 9 7 10/1
Chased leader until ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong

10th Holy Fire Tom Marquand Neck 6 9 8 5/1
Mid-division, headway and went to near side rail turning in, hampered inside final 2f, no chance after

11th Spiritualism Mr L Edmunds Neck 3 9 9 80/1
Off the pace and always towards rear

12th Melissa Honey Jack Mitchell Head 13 8 12 22/1
Slowly into stride, always behind

13th Lady Modena Rossa Ryan 1 1/4 length 2 9 10 10/1
Off the pace in last trio, behind final 2f, never on terms

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:06 pm, September 29, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 29th September 2025

19:00 Join Us For Glitzmas In December Handicap
Going standard, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Sturlasson S Donohoe 6 9 8 6/1
Towards rear of mid-division, headway when not clear run and switched left over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, led towards finish, won going away

2nd Ziggy's Triton Oisin Murphy 1 length 3 9 11 15/2
Led against near side rail, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, headed and not pace of winner towards finish

3rd Grace Angel N Callan 1/2 length 2 9 12 13/8 F
Chased leader, ridden and challenging inside final furlong, outpaced towards finish

4th Blue Anthem Billy Loughnane 1 1/2 length 4 9 10 9/1
Chased leaders, pushed along halfway, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

5th Ready Freddie Go Harry Russell 1 3/4 length 11 9 4 14/1
Slowly into stride, towards rear, not clearest of runs over 1f out, keeping on but held when hung left final furlong

6th Thankuappreciate Mr Harry Smith Neck 8 9 8 9/2
Slowly into stride, outpaced in rear, moderate headway out wide, never threatened

7th King's Crown S B Kirrane 1/2 length 5 9 9 18/1
Towards rear out wide, never threatened

8th Mart S M Levey 1 1/2 length 9 9 7 12/1
Off the pace towards rear, never on terms

9th Popular Dream Mr L Edmunds 3/4 length 12 9 1 50/1
Sweating, always towards rear

10th Phoenix Beach Joseph Haynes 1 3/4 length 10 9 7 33/1
Mid-division far side of group, pushed along halfway, ridden and weakened inside final 2f

11th Le Beau Garcon Billy Garritty 3 1/2 lengths 1 9 12 16/1
Chased leaders near side rail, pushed along hanging left halfway, weakened soon after

12th J Street Luke Morris 1/2 length 7 9 8 33/1
Chased leaders out wide, pushed along halfway, weakened inside final 2f

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:32 pm, September 29, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 29th September 2025

19:30 attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap
Going standard, 14 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Jazz Scene Luke Morris 4 9 6 8/1
Prominent out wide, led over 5f out, clear over 1f out, ran on

2nd Back From Dubai Mr L Edmunds Neck 7 9 2 11/2
Led over 2f, tracked winner, ridden and no impression over 1f out, kept on towards finish, just held

3rd Create Joseph Haynes 1/2 length 9 8 11 22/1
Slowly into stride and switched left start, off the pace towards rear, good headway far side of group and went between horses over 1f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, not reach leading duo

4th Kodebreaker J P Sullivan 3/4 length 13 8 9 28/1
Mid-division inside, headway chasing leaders and angled out over 2f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, not pace to challenge

5th Heretic D E Hogan 1 3/4 length 8 9 1 11/1
Towards rear of mid-division, headway far side of group over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

6th My Brother Mike Rossa Ryan Neck 5 9 6 9/1
Raced keenly tracking leaders, pushed along out wide over 2f out, ridden inside final 2f, weakened inside final furlong

7th Vecchio Cameron Hardie Neck 12 8 9 66/1
Slowly into stride and switched left start, off the pace towards rear, some headway far side of group inside final furlong, never going pace to get involved

8th Woodleigh Billy Loughnane 1/2 length 6 9 5 7/2
Held up towards rear, never involved

9th Kaaress Harry Russell Nose 3 9 7 16/1
Off the pace towards rear, ridden over 1f out, never on terms

10th Ciara Storm Aidan Keeley Short Head 11 8 9 100/1
Slowly into stride, always towards rear

11th My Ambition Oisin Murphy 1 length 1 9 9 5/2 F
Keen in mid-division, switched right to outer over 2f out, ridden and no headway final 2f

12th Cuban Fiesta Raymond Dawson 1/2 length 2 9 7 15/2
Raced out wide and never closer than in mid-division

13th Eagle Landed Jonny Peate 1 1/2 length 14 8 9 100/1
Started very slowly and lost all chance, always behind

14th Haaf A Diamond Callum Hutchinson 7 lengths 10 8 11 28/1
Chased leaders inside, weakened quickly

Blogger Sandracer @ 7:33 pm, September 29, 2025  

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