Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Thur Aug 28 2025
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Cracking The Southwell AW Code
❖ Thurs Aug 28 2025
Southwell AW Code Breaker
My attempt to crack the AW code at Southwell this evening takes me to the 6th and last day of the £2m Racing League. The racing becomes alot more competetive when there's better prize money. Picking out winners becomes more difficult, but that's the game.
❖ Jockeys ❖ I'll be focusing on the horses ridden by Jason Hart. Also, after a quick look at the stats ~ Daniel Muscutt comes into the spotlight for me this evening.
❖ Trainers ❖ Very strong line up trainer~wise this evening. Hence, no one stands out as worth focusing on specifically.
❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether they'll actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.
❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖
- Anything ridden by Daniel Muscutt or Jason Hart
- Solid Southwell C&D form may be a good pointer this evening
- I will be focusing on handicaps only
Southwell AW Jockey Statistics
Jockey DANIEL MUSCUTT
- Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
- 28 Aug 2025 6:15 Southwell Handicap 7f James Fanshawe PHILANTHROPIST
- 28 Aug 2025 6:45 Southwell Handicap 6f Gemma Tutty ORMOLULU
- 28 Aug 2025 7:45 Southwell Handicap 1m David Evans BLUE PRINCE
- 28 Aug 2025 8:15 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f James Fanshawe CHARMAINE
Jockey JASON HART
- Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
- 28 Aug 2025 5:45 Southwell Handicap 1m 4f B F Brookhouse SECRET BEACH (Non Runner)
- 28 Aug 2025 8:15 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f J S Quinn LIBERTY COACH
Southwell Betting Analysis
6:15 Southwell ❖ 7f C4 Hcp ❖ Muscutt's rides Philanthropist (3/1f) who was a slightly unlucky loser last time out over the C&D.
Conclusion: The 3/1 on offer looks reasonable to me. He will be rattling home and looks the most likely to prevail. He's not nailed on, which is why you can get 3/1 currently. I think he'll win tonight.
6:15 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1f Philanthropist (3rd 3/1)
6:45 Southwell ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ 3/1fav Ormululu has an obvious chance with Muscutt aboard.
Conclusion: Ormululu (3/1f) is a bet I will pass up. Her tardy starting will almost certainly cost her the race. Arguably this is a drop in class for today, but something is still very likely going to hold her off at the death.
# No Bet.
7:45 Southwell ❖ 1m C3 Hcp ❖ Blue Prince 18/1 is a lively outsider.
Conclusion: Blue Prince 18/1 is a danger to them all at a price, but I need a little more evidence that he can actually do a mile. The 8f trip seems to be just beyond him, but I would not be surprised to see him rattle past them late with the aid of Muscutt up top.
# No Bet
8:15 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C3 Hcp ❖ Liberty Coach (10/1) with Hart aboard looks to me, to have a better chance of winning that Muscutt's Charmaine (9/2).
Conclusion: Liberty Coach (10/1) has been pretty much discounted as a winning prospect, but I think the extra furlong won't be a problem. He was running off of 17lb lower this time last year, so he's on the up and it is possible the mark of 91 is not beyond him. At the price, I'll play.
8:15 South ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Liberty Coach (Unp 9/1)
Southwell Meeting Bets
Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.
5:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
6:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
3/1f Philanthropist. (3rd 3/1) Chased leaders, effort to chase winner over 1f out, held and lost 2nd towards finish, 3rd.
6:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
7:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
7:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
8:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
10/1 Liberty Coach. (Unplaced 9/1) Led early, prominent, pushed along over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong, 5th.
8:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles = £2.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: - £2.00
| Southwell Results - 28th Aug 2025. Going: Standard |
17:45
1. 14 Say What You See 15/8F2. 6 Spirit Of Jura 7/2 3. 10 Always A Star 4/1 Tote Win 2.88 Places 1.30, 1.80, 1.90 Exacta: 12.90 CSF: 7.67 Tricast: 24.41 Trifecta: 49.70 Winning Jockey: William Pyle Winning Trainer: L Bailey Distances: Head, Neck Say What You See 15/8 F 12 ran Non Runners 3 7 |
18:15
1. 9 Benacre 14/12. 7 Best Rate 11/1 3. 5 Philanthropist 3/1 Tote Win 15.20 Places 4.20, 3.90, 1.50 Exacta: 217.90 CSF: 163.57 Tricast: 597.79 Trifecta: 891.00 Winning Jockey: J Fanning Winning Trainer: C Johnston Distances: Head, 3/4 length Kosometsuke 11/4 F 13 ran Non Runners 8 |
18:45
1. 1 Aberama Gold 11/12. 8 Havana Rum 11/1 3. 11 Miss Hathaway 14/1 Tote Win 13.40 Places 3.50, 3.70, 5.10 Exacta: 114.60 CSF: 130.83 Tricast: 1785.21 Trifecta: 1588.10 Winning Jockey: D Tudhope Winning Trainer: D O'Meara Distances: Neck, Head Ormolulu 4/1 F 14 ran |
19:15
1. 4 Sheradann 6/12. 6 Artisan Dancer 2/1F 3. 11 Francesco Baracca 12/1 Tote Win 7.00 Places 2.10, 1.10, 3.20 Exacta: 22.70 CSF: 18.24 Tricast: 139.67 Trifecta: 131.40 Winning Jockey: Edward Greatrex Winning Trainer: Ian Williams Distances: 1 length, 2 3/4 lengths Artisan Dancer 2/1 F 9 ran Non Runners 3 5 |
19:45
1. 3 Indalo 4/1F2. 12 Gloriously Sassy 5/1 3. 13 Sky Advocate 10/1 Tote Win 5.00 Places 2.10, 2.20, 3.10 Exacta: 30.30 CSF: 23.50 Tricast: 195.37 Trifecta: 419.60 Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell Winning Trainer: R Varian Distances: 1 length, Neck Indalo 4/1 F 13 ran |
20:15
1. 11 Crowd Quake 5/12. 7 Charmaine 4/1JF 3. 6 Kitty Furnival 12/1 Tote Win 6.00 Places 1.90, 1.70, 3.70 Exacta: 33.10 CSF: 25.98 Tricast: 233.44 Trifecta: 343.00 Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani Winning Trainer: S C Williams Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length Fantasy Believer 4/1 JF Charmaine 4/1 JF 11 ran Non Runners 2 |
20:45
1. 9 Canon's House 17/22. 6 Queen's Guard 33/1 3. 11 Muker 33/1 Tote Win 9.50 Places 3.10, 9.50, 6.40 Exacta: 315.70 CSF: 280.48 Tricast: 8783.04 Trifecta: 5223.30 Winning Jockey: Miss Joanna Mason Winning Trainer: M & D Easterby Distances: Head, 3/4 length Against The Wind 3/1 F 14 ran |
Labels: All-Weather-Code
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