Royal Ascot - Day Four - 2025
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| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Awaken (IRE) | 3 | G Boughey | Billy Loughnane | 2 | 9-2 | 25/1 |
| 2 | Balantina (IRE) | 4 | Donnacha O'Brien | Tom Marquand | 2 | 9-2 | 16/1 |
| 3 | Bibi Dahl (USA) | 6 | Jorge Delgado | Rossa Ryan | 2 | 9-2 | 66/1 |
| 4 | Fairy Oak | 10 | M O'Callaghan | C T Keane | 2 | 9-2 | 40/1 |
| 5 | Fitzella | 13 | H Palmer | Oisin Murphy | 2 | 9-2 | 5/1 |
| 6 | Gold Digger (IRE) | 14 | R Spencer | J P Spencer | 2 | 9-2 | 9/1 |
| 7 | Green Sense (IRE) | 8 | J P O'Brien | D McMonagle | 2 | 9-2 | 9/1 |
| 8 | Indigo Dawn (IRE) | 12 | R Hannon | P J Dobbs | 2 | 9-2 | 50/1 |
| 9 | Ipanema Queen (IRE) | 17 | A Murray | D Egan | 2 | 9-2 | 10/1 |
| 10 | Magny Cours (IRE) | 16 | Daniel McLoughlin | M Barzalona | 2 | 9-2 | 100/1 |
| 11 | Nandita (IRE) | 2 | J & T Gosden | W Buick | 2 | 9-2 | 20/1 |
| 12 | Oh Cecelia (IRE) | 5 | J Davison | J J G Ryan | 2 | 9-2 | 28/1 |
| 13 | Senorita Vega (IRE) | 15 | Tom Dascombe | R Kingscote | 2 | 9-2 | 80/1 |
| 14 | Signora (IRE) | 11 | A P O'Brien | R L Moore | 2 | 9-2 | 15/8 |
| 15 | Spinning Lizzie | 7 | Dr R Newland & J Insole | K Shoemark | 2 | 9-2 | 33/1 |
| 16 | Tahalel (IRE) | 9 | R Hannon | S M Levey | 2 | 9-2 | 18/1 |
| 17 | Venetian Sun (IRE) | 1 | K R Burke | C Lee | 2 | 9-2 | 11/1 |
| All Odds▸ Signora 15/8 | Fitzella 5/1 | Gold Digger 9/1 | Green Sense 9/1 | Ipanema Queen 10/1 | Venetian Sun 11/1 | Balantina 16/1 | Tahalel 18/1 | Nandita 20/1 | Awaken 25/1 | Oh Cecelia 28/1 | Spinning Lizzie 33/1 | Fairy Oak 40/1 | Indigo Dawn 50/1 | Bibi Dahl 66/1 | Senorita Vega 80/1 | Magny Cours 100/1 | |||||||
Race Analysis ~ 14:30 Ascot ~ Albany Stakes (Group 3)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 6f | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Signora (15/8) ~ Aidan O’Brien’s Frankel filly, 3rd in Naas Group 3 (6f, 73.12s). Stall 11 ideal for high-draw bias, strong stable form (20% strike rate).
- Fitzella (5/1) ~ Palmer’s Too Darn Hot filly, won Haydock (6f, 73.45s) by 3½ lengths. Stall 13 suits, Oisin Murphy in top form (18% Ascot).
- Green Sense (9/1) ~ J P O’Brien’s filly, 2nd in Naas Group 3 (6f, 73.12s). Stall 8 fair, but needs to reverse form with Signora.
- Ipanema Queen (10/1) ~ Murray’s filly, dominant Curragh maiden win (6f, 72.89s). Stall 17 perfect for high-draw bias, big each-way chance.
- Gold Digger (9/1) ~ Spencer’s filly, won Yarmouth maiden (6f, 73.01s). Stall 14 strong, but needs to step up in class.
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Signora | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Naas Group 3 form, stall 11, O’Brien’s record. 15/8 tight (~35% win). |
| Ipanema Queen | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Curragh maiden romp, stall 17 ideal. 10/1 offers 8-10% win, 20% place. |
| Fitzella | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Haydock win, stall 13, Murphy rides. 5/1 fair for 15% win chance. |
| Green Sense | ⭐⭐⭐ | Naas form strong, stall 8 less ideal. 9/1 reasonable for place. |
| Gold Digger | ⭐⭐⭐ | Yarmouth win, stall 14 good. 9/1 fair, class step-up a concern. |
| Venetian Sun | ⭐⭐ | Carlisle win (5f, 61.88s), stall 1 tough. 11/1 short for class rise. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ High draws (10+) dominate 6f races on Good to Firm, winning 8/10 recent Albany Stakes. Low draws (1~5) struggle in big fields.
- Profile▸ 6f speed, Group/listed form, or strong maiden win. Hold-up or mid-pack tactics suit fast pace.
- Trainer▸ O’Brien won 2/4 recent Albany Stakes, Palmer (15%) and Hannon (12%) in form.
- Market▸ Signora shortened from 2/1 to 15/8, Ipanema Queen steady at 10/1, Fitzella well-backed.
Conclusion▸ Signora’s Naas Group 3 form and Aidan O’Brien’s record make her the one to beat, but 15/8 offers limited value. Ipanema Queen’s explosive Curragh win and ideal stall 17 make her a serious threat at 10/1, with Fitzella also strong from stall 13. The high-draw bias on the straight course under Good to Firm conditions favours these runners.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Ipanema Queen (10/1)▸ Curragh form, perfect stall 17. 8-10% win, 20% place.
- Signora (15/8)▸ Classy, but overbet for value.
- Fitzella (5/1)▸ Haydock form, stall 13, solid for place.
Recommended Bet▸ 14:30 Ascot: Ipanema Queen (10/1) Win Only
| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ain't Nobody (IRE) | 5 | K A Ryan | T Eaves | 3 | 9-2 | 80/1 |
| 2 | Arabie | 14 | K R Burke | C Lee | 3 | 9-2 | 125/1 |
| 3 | Arizona Blaze | 20 | A Murray | D Egan | 3 | 9-2 | 33/1 |
| 4 | Berkshire Whisper (IRE) | 13 | A M Balding | K Shoemark | 3 | 9-2 | 100/1 |
| 5 | Big Mojo (IRE) | 12 | M Appleby | Hollie Doyle | 3 | 9-2 | 16/1 |
| 6 | Diablo Rojo (IRE) | 3 | Raphael Freire | Rossa Ryan | 3 | 9-2 | 80/1 |
| 7 | Ides Of March (IRE) | 22 | A P O'Brien | W M Lordan | 3 | 9-2 | 18/1 |
| 8 | Jonquil | 15 | A M Balding | C Soumillon | 3 | 9-2 | 13/2 |
| 9 | Shadow Of Light | 19 | C Appleby | W Buick | 3 | 9-2 | 7/4 |
| 10 | Soldier's Heart | 8 | S & E Crisford | Callum Shepherd | 3 | 9-2 | 100/1 |
| 11 | Strong Warrior | 9 | R A Fahey | O J Orr | 3 | 9-2 | 50/1 |
| 12 | Whistlejacket (IRE) | 11 | A P O'Brien | R L Moore | 3 | 9-2 | 10/1 |
| 13 | Arabian Dusk | 4 | S & E Crisford | Harry Davies | 3 | 8-13 | 66/1 |
| 14 | Babouche | 18 | G M Lyons | C T Keane | 3 | 8-13 | 5/1 |
| 15 | Carla Ridge (IRE) | 16 | E & P Harty | C D Hayes | 3 | 8-13 | 100/1 |
| 16 | Lady With The Lamp (IRE) | 17 | J P O'Brien | D McMonagle | 3 | 8-13 | 50/1 |
| 17 | Leovanni (IRE) | 21 | K R Burke | James Doyle | 3 | 8-13 | 28/1 |
| 18 | Rayevka (IRE) | 10 | F Graffard | M Barzalona | 3 | 8-13 | 28/1 |
| 19 | Sayidah Dariyan (IRE) | 7 | R Hughes | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 8-13 | 80/1 |
| 20 | Shisospicy (USA) | 2 | J D Angelo | Oisin Murphy | 3 | 8-13 | 18/1 |
| 21 | Sky Majesty (IRE) | 6 | W J Haggas | Tom Marquand | 3 | 8-13 | 25/1 |
| 22 | Time For Sandals (IRE) | 1 | Harry Eustace | R Kingscote | 3 | 8-13 | 50/1 |
| All Odds▸ Shadow Of Light 7/4 | Babouche 5/1 | Jonquil 13/2 | Whistlejacket 10/1 | Big Mojo 16/1 | Ides Of March 18/1 | Shisospicy 18/1 | Sky Majesty 25/1 | Rayevka 28/1 | Leovanni 28/1 | Arizona Blaze 33/1 | Lady With The Lamp 50/1 | Strong Warrior 50/1 | Time For Sandals 50/1 | Arabian Dusk 66/1 | Sayidah Dariyan 80/1 | Diablo Rojo 80/1 | Ain't Nobody 80/1 | Carla Ridge 100/1 | Soldier's Heart 100/1 | Berkshire Whisper 100/1 | Arabie 125/1 | |||||||
Race Analysis ~ 15:05 Ascot ~ Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 6f | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Shadow Of Light (7/4) ~ Appleby’s Middle Park/Dewhurst winner, 3rd in 2000 Guineas (8f, 97.65s). Stall 19 ideal for high-draw bias, Buick in form (16%).
- Babouche (5/1) ~ Lyons’s Phoenix Stakes winner, dominated Lacken Stakes (6f, 71.88s). Stall 18 perfect, strong chance.
- Jonquil (13/2) ~ Balding’s Greenham winner, 2nd in Poule d’Essai (8f, 96.12s). Stall 15 suits, drop to 6f a plus.
- Whistlejacket (10/1) ~ O’Brien’s Morny winner, 2nd to Babouche in Lacken Stakes. Stall 11 fair, Moore rides (20% Ascot).
- Big Mojo (16/1) ~ Appleby’s Pavilion Stakes winner (C&D, 71.45s). Stall 12 decent, Hollie Doyle consistent.
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Shadow Of Light | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Middle Park form, stall 19, class edge. 7/4 tight (~36% win). |
| Babouche | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Phoenix/Lacken wins, stall 18. 5/1 offers 15% win, 30% place. |
| Jonquil | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Greenham/Poule form, stall 15. 13/2 fair for 12% win. |
| Whistlejacket | ⭐⭐⭐ | Morny win, stall 11 less ideal. 10/1 reasonable for place. |
| Big Mojo | ⭐⭐⭐ | Pavilion win, stall 12. 16/1 value for 8% win, 20% place. |
| Shisospicy | ⭐⭐ | US Grade 3 win (5.5f, 65.22s), stall 2 tough. 18/1 short. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ High draws (15+) dominate 6f Group 1s on Good to Firm, winning 7/9 recent Commonwealth Cups. Low draws (1~7) struggle in big fields.
- Profile▸ Group 1/2 form at 6f, speed key, hold-up or mid-pack tactics suit fast pace.
- Trainer▸ Appleby (18%) and O’Brien (20%) excel in Ascot sprints, Lyons (15%) in form.
- Market▸ Shadow Of Light steady at 7/4, Babouche backed from 6/1 to 5/1, Big Mojo drifting from 14/1.
Conclusion▸ Shadow Of Light’s Middle Park form and stall 19 make him the one to beat, but 7/4 offers limited value in a deep field. Babouche’s Phoenix and Lacken Stakes wins, combined with stall 18, make her a strong contender at 5/1. Jonquil’s class and Big Mojo’s course form add depth, with high draws favoured on Good to Firm ground.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Babouche (5/1)▸ Phoenix/Lacken form, stall 18. 15% win, 30% place.
- Shadow Of Light (7/4)▸ Classy, but overbet for value.
- Jonquil (13/2)▸ Greenham form, stall 15, solid place chance.
Recommended Bet▸ 15:05 Ascot: Babouche (5/1) Win Only
| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teumessias Fox (IRE) | 14 | A M Balding | P J McDonald | 6 | 9-12 | 33/1 |
| 2 | Flight Leader | 21 | J A Osborne | Saffie Osborne | 5 | 9-12 | 80/1 |
| 3 | See Hector (GER) | 5 | J A Osborne | P J Dobbs | 6 | 9-11 | 80/1 |
| 4 | Caviar Heights (IRE) | 16 | W J Haggas | Non Runner | 4 | 9-11 | 14/1 |
| 5 | Mutaawid | 8 | J & T Gosden | Jim Crowley | 4 | 9-10 | 18/1 |
| 6 | Naqeeb (IRE) | 11 | Miss J A Camacho | Ryan Sexton | 5 | 9-10 | 20/1 |
| 7 | Hand Of God | 10 | Harry Charlton | W Buick | 4 | 9-9 | 15/2 |
| 8 | Mount Atlas | 17 | A M Balding | Rob Hornby | 4 | 9-9 | 13/2 |
| 9 | Stressfree (FR) | 18 | D O'Meara | D Tudhope | 5 | 9-9 | 18/1 |
| 10 | Max Mayhem | 19 | H Kobeissi | M Barzalona | 7 | 9-7 | 100/1 |
| 11 | Siege Of Troy | 13 | J P Murtagh | Oisin Murphy | 4 | 9-6 | 18/1 |
| 12 | French Duke (IRE) | 15 | R Varian | James Doyle | 4 | 9-6 | 13/2 |
| 13 | War Rooms (IRE) | 12 | G Keane | C T Keane | 4 | 9-6 | 7/1 |
| 14 | Almosh'her | 22 | K R Burke | C Lee | 4 | 9-5 | 5/1 |
| 15 | Auld Toon Loon (IRE) | 4 | Tom Dascombe | Pierre-Louis Jamin | 6 | 9-4 | 22/1 |
| 16 | Brodure (IRE) | 9 | X Blanchet | C Soumillon | 4 | 9-4 | 80/1 |
| 17 | Blue Lemons (IRE) | 3 | W P Mullins | Billy Loughnane | 4 | 9-4 | 28/1 |
| 18 | Ethical Diamond (IRE) | 7 | W P Mullins | R L Moore | 5 | 9-3 | 4/1 |
| 19 | Satin | 2 | Mrs J Harrington | S Foley | 5 | 9-3 | 33/1 |
| 20 | HMS President (IRE) | 6 | A King | Rossa Ryan | 8 | 9-3 | 40/1 |
| All Odds▸ Ethical Diamond 4/1 | Almoshher 5/1 | French Duke 13/2 | Mount Atlas 13/2 | War Rooms 7/1 | Hand Of God 15/2 | Caviar Heights 14/1 | Stressfree 18/1 | Siege Of Troy 18/1 | Mutaawid 18/1 | Naqeeb 20/1 | Auld Toon Loon 22/1 | Blue Lemons 28/1 | Satin 33/1 | Teumessias Fox 33/1 | Crystal Flyer 40/1 | HMS President 40/1 | Cumulonimbus 40/1 | See Hector 80/1 | Flight Leader 80/1 | Brodure 80/1 | Max Mayhem 100/1 | |||||||
Race Analysis ~ 15:40 Ascot ~ Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 1m 3f 211y | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Ethical Diamond (4/1) ~ Mullins’s hurdler, 2nd in this race last year (1m 4f, 144.22s). Stall 7 fair, Moore’s 20% Ascot strike rate a boost.
- Almosh'her (5/1) ~ Burke’s progressive colt, won York (1m 4f, 143.89s). Stall 22 ideal for high-draw bias, strong contender.
- French Duke (13/2) ~ Varian’s unexposed colt, 2nd at Ascot (1m 4f, 146.12s). Stall 15 suits, James Doyle rides.
- Mount Atlas (13/2) ~ Balding’s C&D winner, 5th in Ormonde Stakes (1m 5f, 164.45s). Stall 17 strong, progressive form.
- Hand Of God (15/2) ~ Charlton’s Golden Gates winner here last year (1m 2f, 124.56s). Stall 10 decent, Buick in form (16%).
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Ethical Diamond | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 2024 runner-up, hurdling form, Moore rides. 4/1 tight (~20% win). |
| Almosh'her | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | York win, stall 22 perfect. 5/1 offers 15% win, 30% place. |
| French Duke | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Ascot form, stall 15, unexposed. 13/2 fair for 12% win. |
| Mount Atlas | ⭐⭐⭐ | C&D win, stall 17. 13/2 reasonable for place. |
| Hand Of God | ⭐⭐⭐ | Golden Gates win, stall 10. 15/2 value for 10% win, 25% place. |
| Stressfree | ⭐⭐ | Haydock win, stall 18 good. 18/1 fair for place, needs more. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ High draws (9+) dominate, winning 8/10 recent runnings. 2023 saw 1-2-3-4-5 from stalls 9+. Low draws (1~5) struggle.
- Profile▸ 4-5yo with 1m 4f form, handicap mark 95~105, course experience a plus.
- Trainer▸ Mullins (15% Ascot), Varian (14%), and Balding (12%) in form.
- Market▸ Ethical Diamond backed from 5/1 to 4/1, French Duke steady at 13/2, Almosh'her solid at 5/1.
Conclusion▸ Ethical Diamond’s 2024 runner-up effort and hurdling form make him a strong contender, but 4/1 is tight. Almosh'her’s York win and stall 22 align perfectly with the high-draw bias, offering value at 5/1. French Duke’s Ascot form and Mount Atlas’s C&D win keep them in the mix, with high draws favoured on Good to Firm ground.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Almosh'her (5/1)▸ York form, stall 22. 15% win, 30% place.
- Ethical Diamond (4/1)▸ Classy, but overbet for value.
- French Duke (13/2)▸ Ascot form, stall 15, solid place chance.
Recommended Bet▸ 15:40 Ascot: Almosh'her (5/1) Win Only
| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cathedral | 6 | R M Beckett | D Egan | 3 | 9-2 | 33/1 |
| 2 | Cercene (IRE) | 1 | J G Murphy | G F Carroll | 3 | 9-2 | 33/1 |
| 3 | Chantilly Lace (IRE) | 5 | R M Beckett | Rossa Ryan | 3 | 9-2 | 14/1 |
| 4 | Duty First | 8 | A Watson | Hollie Doyle | 3 | 9-2 | 70/1 |
| 5 | Exactly (IRE) | 4 | A P O'Brien | W M Lordan | 3 | 9-2 | 16/1 |
| 6 | Falakeyah | 2 | Owen Burrows | Jim Crowley | 3 | 9-2 | 11/4 |
| 7 | Flight | 11 | Ollie Sangster | Oisin Murphy | 3 | 9-2 | 22/1 |
| 8 | January (IRE) | 10 | A P O'Brien | R L Moore | 3 | 9-2 | 13/2 |
| 9 | Kon Tiki | 3 | Jane Chapple-Hyam | W Buick | 3 | 9-2 | 8/1 |
| 10 | Simmering | 7 | Ollie Sangster | D McMonagle | 3 | 9-2 | 50/1 |
| 11 | Zarigana | 9 | F Graffard | M Barzalona | 3 | 9-2 | 2/1 |
| All Odds▸ Zarigana 2/1 | Falakeyah 11/4 | January 13/2 | Kon Tiki 8/1 | Chantilly Lace 14/1 | Exactly 16/1 | Flight 22/1 | Cercene 33/1 | Cathedral 33/1 | Simmering 50/1 | Duty First 70/1 | |||||||
Race Analysis ~ 16:20 Ascot ~ Coronation Stakes (Group 1)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 7f 213y | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Zarigana (2/1) ~ Graffard’s filly, won French 1000 Guineas (1m, 96.45s) via stewards. Stall 9 suits, strong form (RPR 116).
- Falakeyah (11/4) ~ Burrows’s unbeaten filly, won Pretty Polly (1m 2f, 124.12s). Stall 2 tricky, but class evident.
- January (13/2) ~ O’Brien’s filly, 2nd in Fillies’ Mile (1m, 97.88s). Stall 10 ideal, Moore rides (20% Ascot).
- Kon Tiki (8/1) ~ Chapple-Hyam’s unbeaten filly, won York listed (1m, 96.22s). Stall 3 tough, Buick in form (16%).
- Chantilly Lace (14/1) ~ Beckett’s filly, 5th in 1000 Guineas (1m, 96.33s). Stall 5 fair, upside potential.
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Zarigana | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | French Guineas win, stall 9. 2/1 tight (~33% win). |
| Falakeyah | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Pretty Polly win, stall 2 risky. 11/4 offers 20% win, 35% place. |
| January | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Fillies’ Mile form, stall 10. 13/2 fair for 15% win. |
| Kon Tiki | ⭐⭐⭐ | York listed win, stall 3. 8/1 reasonable for place. |
| Chantilly Lace | ⭐⭐⭐ | 1000 Guineas form, stall 5. 14/1 value for 10% win, 25% place. |
| Exactly | ⭐⭐ | Leopardstown win, stall 4. 16/1 fair for place, needs more. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ Middle-to-high draws (6~11) won 7/10 recent Coronation Stakes. Low draws (1~5) struggle on round course.
- Profile▸ Group 1/2 form at 7f~1m, 1000 Guineas runners excel, hold-up tactics suit.
- Trainer▸ O’Brien (20% Ascot) dominates (3/5 wins), Graffard (12%) and Burrows (10%) in form.
- Market▸ Zarigana steady at 2/1, Falakeyah backed from 3/1 to 11/4, January steady at 13/2.
Conclusion▸ Zarigana’s French 1000 Guineas win and stall 9 make her the one to beat, but 2/1 offers limited value. Falakeyah’s unbeaten record and Pretty Polly romp make her a serious threat at 11/4, despite a low draw. January’s Group 1 form and stall 10 keep her in contention, with Chantilly Lace offering some value at 14/1 for big price punters.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Falakeyah (11/4)▸ Pretty Polly form, class edge. 20% win, 35% place.
- Zarigana (2/1)▸ French Guineas form, overbet for value.
- Chantilly Lace (14/1)▸ 1000 Guineas form, stall 5. 10% win, 25% place.
Recommended Bet▸ 16:20 Ascot: Falakeyah (11/4) Win Only
| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabiti | 1 | R M Beckett | C T Keane | 3 | 9-9 | 18/1 |
| 2 | Betty Clover | 23 | Eve Johnson Houghton | W Buick | 3 | 9-8 | 11/1 |
| 3 | Serving With Style | 19 | K R Burke | C Lee | 3 | 9-8 | 66/1 |
| 4 | Mojave River (FR) | 4 | J P O'Brien | D McMonagle | 3 | 9-6 | 33/1 |
| 5 | Bountiful | 17 | G Boughey | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 9-5 | 25/1 |
| 6 | Silver Ghost (IRE) | 20 | Miss E C Lavelle | S M Levey | 3 | 9-3 | 11/1 |
| 7 | Sweet Chariot (IRE) | 13 | A P O'Brien | R L Moore | 3 | 9-0 | 10/1 |
| 8 | Amangani (IRE) | 26 | J P O'Brien | W M Lordan | 3 | 8-13 | 33/1 |
| 9 | Nancy J (IRE) | 11 | Mrs J Harrington | S Foley | 3 | 8-12 | 50/1 |
| 10 | Supermodel (IRE) | 3 | W J Haggas | Tom Marquand | 3 | 8-12 | 8/1 |
| 11 | Miss Nightfall | 28 | J R Fanshawe | Oisin Murphy | 3 | 8-11 | 6/1 |
| 12 | Never Let Go | 2 | E Walker | K Shoemark | 3 | 8-10 | 20/1 |
| 13 | Zgharta (IRE) | 25 | A M Balding | Hollie Doyle | 3 | 8-10 | 14/1 |
| 14 | Trad Jazz | 7 | James Owen | Non Runner | 3 | 8-9 | 33/1 |
| 15 | Oolong Poobong (IRE) | 21 | E Bethell | Connor Beasley | 3 | 8-9 | 12/1 |
| 16 | Saariselka | 8 | E Walker | M Barzalona | 3 | 8-9 | 40/1 |
| 17 | Cartwheel | 24 | Dylan Cunha | Andrew Slattery | 3 | 8-9 | 50/1 |
| 18 | Dash Of Azure | 16 | R M Beckett | R Kingscote | 3 | 8-8 | 8/1 |
| 19 | Cajole | 6 | J & T Gosden | Saffie Osborne | 3 | 8-7 | 20/1 |
| 20 | Sea Poetry (IRE) | 9 | Owen Burrows | T E Whelan | 3 | 8-6 | 50/1 |
| 21 | Purple Rainbow | 14 | W J Haggas | Warren Fentiman | 3 | 8-6 | 28/1 |
| 22 | Annsar | 18 | Jack Jones | Jack Doughty | 3 | 8-6 | 50/1 |
| 23 | Bassadanza | 12 | C Johnston | J Fanning | 3 | 8-6 | 80/1 |
| 24 | Dancing Teapot (IRE) | 10 | J P O'Brien | C D Hayes | 3 | 8-6 | 33/1 |
| 25 | Alfareqa | 27 | Owen Burrows | David Probert | 3 | 8-6 | 12/1 |
| 26 | Ryka (IRE) | 22 | D O'Meara | S D Bowen | 3 | 8-4 | 33/1 |
| 27 | Arabian Leopard | 5 | D M Simcock | S De Sousa | 3 | 8-3 | 18/1 |
| 28 | Eazy On The Eye | 15 | H Main | Grace McEntee | 3 | 8-2 | 100/1 |
| All Odds▸ Miss Nightfall 6/1 | Supermodel 8/1 | Dash Of Azure 8/1 | Sweet Chariot 10/1 | Silver Ghost 11/1 | Betty Clover 11/1 | Oolong Poobong 12/1 | Alfareqa 12/1 | Zgharta 14/1 | Tabiti 18/1 | Arabian Leopard 18/1 | Never Let Go 20/1 | Cajole 20/1 | Bountiful 25/1 | Purple Rainbow 28/1 | Mojave River 33/1 | Trad Jazz 33/1 | Dancing Teapot 33/1 | Ryka 33/1 | Amangani 33/1 | Saariselka 40/1 | Cartwheel 50/1 | Sea Poetry 50/1 | Nancy J 50/1 | Annsar 50/1 | Serving With Style 66/1 | Bassadanza 80/1 | Eazy On The Eye 100/1 | |||||||
Race Analysis ~ 17:00 Ascot ~ Sandringham Stakes (Fillies' Handicap)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 1m | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Miss Nightfall (6/1) ~ Fanshawe’s filly, 2nd to Silver Ghost at Goodwood (7f, 85.33s). Stall 28 ideal for high-draw bias, Oisin Murphy rides (18% Ascot).
- Dash Of Azure (8/1) ~ Beckett’s progressive filly, won Kempton (7f, 85.12s). Stall 16 suits, unexposed at 1m.
- Supermodel (8/1) ~ Haggas’s filly, won Nottingham (1m, 96.22s). Stall 3 tough, but form strong (RPR 94).
- Silver Ghost (11/1) ~ Lavelle’s Goodwood winner (7f, 85.33s). Stall 20 strong, suited to 1m.
- Sweet Chariot (10/1) ~ O’Brien’s filly, 2nd at Curragh (7f, 85.45s). Stall 13 fair, Moore’s 20% Ascot record.
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Miss Nightfall | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Goodwood form, stall 28, Murphy rides. 6/1 fair (~15% win). |
| Dash Of Azure | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Kempton win, stall 16. 8/1 offers 12% win, 30% place. |
| Supermodel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Nottingham win, stall 3 risky. 8/1 fair for 12% win. |
| Silver Ghost | ⭐⭐⭐ | Goodwood win, stall 20. 11/1 reasonable for place. |
| Sweet Chariot | ⭐⭐⭐ | Curragh form, stall 13. 10/1 value for 10% win, 25% place. |
| Alfareqa | ⭐⭐ | Doncaster win, stall 27. 12/1 fair for place, needs more. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ High draws (15+) dominate 1m handicaps on straight course, winning 8/10 recent runnings. Low draws (1~7) struggle in big fields.
- Profile▸ 3yo fillies with 7f~1m form, handicap mark 85~95, listed/group form a plus.
- Trainer▸ O’Brien (20% Ascot), Haggas (14%), and Beckett (14%) excel in fillies’ races.
- Market▸ Miss Nightfall backed from 7/1 to 6/1, Dash Of Azure steady at 8/1, Silver Ghost drifting from 10/1 to 11/1.
Conclusion▸ Miss Nightfall’s Goodwood form and stall 28 make her a strong contender, with 6/1 offering fair value. Dash Of Azure’s progressive profile and stall 16 provide excellent potential at 8/1. Supermodel’s form is solid but hampered by stall 3, while Silver Ghost and Sweet Chariot are place contenders. High draws are key on Good to Firm ground.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Dash Of Azure (8/1)▸ Kempton win, stall 16. 12% win, 30% place.
- Miss Nightfall (6/1)▸ Goodwood form, stall 28, solid enough chance.
- Sweet Chariot (10/1)▸ Curragh form, stall 13, good place chance.
Recommended Bet▸ 17:00 Ascot: Dash Of Azure (8/1) Win Only
| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amiloc | 6 | R M Beckett | Rossa Ryan | 3 | 9-2 | 5/2 |
| 2 | Convergent (IRE) | 9 | K R Burke | Non Runner | 3 | 9-2 | 10/1 |
| 3 | Galveston | 4 | A P O'Brien | W M Lordan | 3 | 9-2 | 33/1 |
| 4 | Green Storm (IRE) | 10 | C Johnston | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 9-2 | 28/1 |
| 5 | Minhad | 1 | I Mohammed | Tom Marquand | 3 | 9-2 | 125/1 |
| 6 | Nightwalker | 2 | J & T Gosden | C T Keane | 3 | 9-2 | 12/1 |
| 7 | Opportunity | 5 | W J Haggas | James Doyle | 3 | 9-2 | 12/1 |
| 8 | Puppet Master (IRE) | 7 | A P O'Brien | R L Moore | 3 | 9-2 | 5/1 |
| 9 | Regal Ulixes | 8 | A M Balding | Oisin Murphy | 3 | 9-2 | 16/1 |
| 10 | Wimbledon Hawkeye | 3 | James Owen | S D Bowen | 3 | 9-2 | 14/1 |
| 11 | Zahrann (IRE) | 11 | J P Murtagh | B M Coen | 3 | 9-2 | 5/2 |
| All Odds▸ Amiloc 5/2 | Zahrann 5/2 | Puppet Master 5/1 | Convergent 10/1 | Nightwalker 12/1 | Opportunity 12/1 | Wimbledon Hawkeye 14/1 | Regal Ulixes 16/1 | Green Storm 28/1 | Galveston 33/1 | Minhad 125/1 | |||||||
Race Analysis ~ 17:35 Ascot ~ King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 1m 3f 211y | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Amiloc (5/2) ~ Beckett’s unbeaten colt, won Cocked Hat Stakes (11.2f, 137.88s, RPR 109). Stall 6 suits, Rossa Ryan rides (14% Ascot).
- Zahrann (5/2) ~ Murtagh’s progressive colt, won Leopardstown listed (12f, 148.22s, RPR 105). Stall 11 ideal for high-draw bias.
- Puppet Master (5/1) ~ O’Brien’s Lingfield Derby Trial winner (11.6f, 141.45s, RPR 105). Stall 7 strong, Moore rides (20% Ascot).
- Wimbledon Hawkeye (14/1) ~ Owen’s Royal Lodge winner, 3rd in Dante (10.2f, 124.33s, RPR 110). Stall 3 tricky, cheekpieces on.
- Nightwalker (12/1) ~ Gosden’s colt, 5th in Dante (10.2f, RPR 107). Stall 2 tough, blinkers added.
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Amiloc | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Cocked Hat win, stall 6. 5/2 tight (~28% win). |
| Zahrann | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Leopardstown form, stall 11. 5/2 offers 25% win, 40% place. |
| Puppet Master | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Lingfield win, stall 7. 5/1 fair for 15% win. |
| Wimbledon Hawkeye | ⭐⭐⭐ | Dante form, stall 3. 14/1 reasonable for place. |
| Nightwalker | ⭐⭐⭐ | Dante form, stall 2, blinkers. 12/1 value for 10% win, 25% place. |
| Opportunity | ⭐⭐ | Goodwood form, stall 5. 12/1 fair for place, needs more. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ Middle-to-high draws (6~11) won 7/10 recent runnings. Low draws (1~5) struggle on round course.
- Profile▸ 3yo colts with Group 2/3 form at 10f~12f, RPR 105+, recent win key.
- Trainer▸ O’Brien (20% Ascot) dominates, Beckett (14%) and Murtagh (12%) in form.
- Market▸ Amiloc and Zahrann steady at 5/2, Puppet Master backed from 6/1 to 5/1.
Conclusion▸ Amiloc’s unbeaten record and Cocked Hat win make him a standout, but 5/2 is tight. Zahrann’s Leopardstown form and stall 11 offer value at 5/2. Puppet Master’s Lingfield win and Moore’s booking keep him in contention. High draws are favoured on Good to Firm ground.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Zahrann (5/2)▸ Leopardstown win, stall 11. 25% win, 40% place.
- Amiloc (5/2)▸ Cocked Hat form, overbet though.
- Puppet Master (5/1)▸ Lingfield win, Moore rides, solid chance.
Recommended Bet▸ 17:35 Ascot: Zahrann (5/2) Win Only
| No | Horse | Dr | Trainer | Jockey | Ag | Wt | OR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammer The Hammer (IRE) | 17 | K A Ryan | T Eaves | 3 | 9-9 | 100 | 8/1 |
| 2 | Mr Lightside (IRE) | 29 | M Appleby | K Stott | 3 | 9-8 | 99 | 14/1 |
| 3 | Jungle Drums (IRE) | 20 | J A Osborne | Saffie Osborne | 3 | 9-8 | 99 | 50/1 |
| 4 | Candy | 15 | R Spencer | George Wood | 3 | 9-7 | 98 | 66/1 |
| 5 | Miss Lamai (IRE) | 26 | K R Burke | C Lee | 3 | 9-6 | 97 | 22/1 |
| 6 | Maw Lam (IRE) | 3 | Adrian Nicholls | Jack Nicholls | 3 | 9-5 | 96 | 50/1 |
| 7 | Zayer (IRE) | 18 | A Watson | Hollie Doyle | 3 | 9-5 | 96 | 15/2 |
| 8 | Stormy Impact | 6 | R A Fahey | Warren Fentiman | 3 | 9-4 | 95 | 16/1 |
| 9 | Redorange | 4 | C G Cox | Rossa Ryan | 3 | 9-4 | 95 | 10/1 |
| 10 | Bodhi Bear (IRE) | 11 | J A Stack | J A Heffernan | 3 | 9-3 | 94 | 14/1 |
| 11 | King's Call (IRE) | 25 | S Spencer | D Swift | 3 | 9-3 | 94 | 100/1 |
| 12 | Realign (FR) | 9 | W J Haggas | James Doyle | 3 | 9-2 | 93 | 4/1 |
| 13 | Ruby's Profit (IRE) | 21 | Dr R Newland & J Insole | K Shoemark | 3 | 9-2 | 93 | 12/1 |
| 14 | Enola Holmes (IRE) | 7 | Jack Jones | David Probert | 3 | 9-2 | 93 | 80/1 |
| 15 | Arctic Voyage | 19 | R M Beckett | R Kingscote | 3 | 9-1 | 92 | 50/1 |
| 16 | Vingegaard (IRE) | 30 | Miss J A Camacho | Ryan Sexton | 3 | 9-1 | 92 | 66/1 |
| 17 | Englemere (IRE) | 8 | G Boughey | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 8-13 | 90 | 66/1 |
| 18 | Red Sand (IRE) | 28 | E Walker | Non Runner | 3 | 8-13 | 90 | 14/1 |
| 19 | Dark Cloud Rising | 27 | D O'Meara | D Tudhope | 3 | 8-13 | 90 | 20/1 |
| 20 | Suhail Star (IRE) | 1 | Mohammed Khalifa Al | Ashley Lewis | 3 | 8-13 | 90 | 125/1 |
| 21 | King Of Light | 13 | K R Burke | S Foley | 3 | 8-13 | 90 | 50/1 |
| 22 | King Of Bears (IRE) | 5 | George Scott | Callum Shepherd | 3 | 8-12 | 89 | 40/1 |
| 23 | Adrestia | 24 | S & E Crisford | Oisin Murphy | 3 | 8-12 | 89 | 13/2 |
| 24 | Jorge Alvares (IRE) | 16 | G M Lyons | C T Keane | 3 | 8-12 | 89 | 25/1 |
| 25 | Brosay | 22 | P Attwater | Edward Greatrex | 3 | 8-11 | 88 | 20/1 |
| 26 | Brighton Boy (IRE) | 31 | A M Balding | W Buick | 3 | 8-11 | 88 | 20/1 |
| 27 | Lexington Blitz (IRE) | 2 | R M H Cowell | S M Levey | 3 | 8-11 | 88 | 22/1 |
| 28 | Mearall (IRE) | 12 | R A Fahey | S A Gray | 3 | 8-10 | 87 | 50/1 |
Race Analysis ~ 18:10 Ascot ~ Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes (Handicap)
Going▸ Good to Firm (Good in Places) | Distance▸ 5f | Surface▸ Turf
Key Contenders
- Hammer The Hammer (8/1) ~ Ryan’s progressive sprinter, won Chester (6f, 71.22s, RPR 100). Stall 17 suits high-draw bias.
- Realign (4/1) ~ Haggas’s colt, dominant Salisbury win (6f, 71.88s, RPR 93). Stall 9 tricky, unexposed on handicap debut.
- Adrestia (13/2) ~ Crisford’s filly, won Sandown nursery (5f, 59.45s, RPR 89). Stall 24 ideal, Oisin Murphy rides (18% Ascot).
- Ruby’s Profit (12/1) ~ Newland/Insole’s filly, 3rd in Epsom Dash (5f, 59.12s, RPR 93). Stall 21 strong, value for place.
- Zayer (15/2) ~ Watson’s colt, 4th on handicap debut (5f, RPR 96). Stall 18 suits, cheekpieces added.
📈 Form & Value Ratings (1~5)
| Horse | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Hammer The Hammer | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chester win, stall 17. 8/1 fair (~10% win). |
| Realign | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Salisbury win, stall 9 risky. 4/1 tight for 15% win. |
| Adrestia | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Sandown form, stall 24. 13/2 offers 12% win, 30% place. |
| Ruby’s Profit | ⭐⭐⭐ | Epsom form, stall 21. 12/1 value for 8% win, 25% place. |
| Zayer | ⭐⭐⭐ | Handicap form, stall 18. 15/2 reasonable for place. |
| Redorange | ⭐⭐ | Chester win, stall 4. 10/1 fair for place, needs more. |
📊 Trends & Betting Dynamics
- Draw▸ High draws (15+) dominate 5f handicaps on straight course, winning 8/10 recent runnings. Low draws (1~7) struggle in big fields.
- Profile▸ 3yo sprinters with 5f~6f form, OR 85~100, recent wins key.
- Trainer▸ Haggas (14% Ascot), Crisford (12%), and Ryan (12%) in form.
- Market▸ Realign backed from 5/1 to 4/1, Adrestia steady at 13/2, Hammer The Hammer stable at 8/1.
Conclusion▸ Hammer The Hammer’s Chester form and stall 17 make him a strong contender, but 8/1 is fair rather than generous. Adrestia’s Sandown win and stall 24 offer a bit of value at 13/2. Realign’s potential is high, but stall 9 and 4/1 odds temper enthusiasm. Ruby’s Profit and Zayer are place contenders in a competitive field.
⭐ Bet Analysis
- Adrestia (13/2)▸ Sandown form, stall 24. 12% win, 30% place.
- Hammer The Hammer (8/1)▸ Chester form, solid but shorter odds.
- Ruby’s Profit (12/1)▸ Epsom form, stall 21, good place chance.
Recommended Bet▸ 18:10 Ascot: Adrestia (13/2) Win Only
| Royal Ascot Results - 20 June 2025. Going: good to firm |
14:30
1. 17 Venetian Sun 7/12. 1 Awaken 66/1 3. 2 Balantina 40/1 Tote Win 8.30 Places 2.85, 9.30, 7.05 Exacta: 290.00 CSF: 426.09 Tricast: 8768.25 Trifecta: 2966.50 Winning Jockey: Clifford Lee Winning Trainer: K R Burke Distances: 1 1/2 length, 1 length Signora 15/8 F 17 ran |
15:05
1. 22 Time For Sandals 25/12. 3 Arizona Blaze 28/1 3. 18 Rayevka 20/1 Tote Win 28.90 Places 4.40, 4.35, 4.70 Exacta: 558.80 CSF: 601.61 Tricast: 13558.69 Trifecta: 23471.90 Winning Jockey: R Kingscote Winning Trainer: Harry Eustace Distances: Neck, 1/2 length Shadow Of Light 6/4 F 21 ran Non Runners 17 |
15:40
1. 18 Ethical Diamond 3/1F2. 5 Mutaawid 12/1 3. 6 Naqeeb 33/1 4. 11 Siege Of Troy 16/1 Tote Win 4.25 Places 2.00, 4.80, 13.50, Exacta: 58.90 CSF: 43.66 Tricast: 1091.93 Trifecta: 1402.10 Winning Jockey: R L Moore Winning Trainer: W P Mullins Distances: 2 lengths, 1/2 length, 2 1/4 lengths Ethical Diamond 3/1 F 18 ran Non Runners 3 4 |
16:20
1. 2 Cercene 33/12. 11 Zarigana 6/4F 3. 8 January 8/1 Tote Win 34.00 Places 4.95, 1.45, 2.85 Exacta: 114.40 CSF: 81.37 Tricast: 475.55 Trifecta: 653.10 Winning Jockey: G F Carroll Winning Trainer: J G Murphy Distances: 1/2 length, 1 length Zarigana 6/4 F 11 ran |
17:00
1. 12 Never Let Go 22/12. 19 Cajole 25/1 3. 1 Tabiti 18/1 4. 15 Oolong Poobong 10/1 Tote Win 30.35 Places 6.70, 8.10, 3.55, 3.40 Exacta: 1009.90 CSF: 512.60 Tricast: 4929.86 Trifecta: 11164.70 Winning Jockey: Kieran Shoemark Winning Trainer: E Walker Distances: 1 length, 1 length, 3/4 length Miss Nightfall 16/5 F 25 ran Non Runners 7 10 14 |
17:35
1. 1 Amiloc 11/8F2. 11 Zahrann 11/4 3. 3 Galveston 20/1 Tote Win 2.38 Places 1.20, 1.50, 4.00 Exacta: 5.80 CSF: 5.08 Tricast: 48.56 Trifecta: 67.80 Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan Winning Trainer: R M Beckett Distances: 3/4 length, 2 1/4 lengths Amiloc 11/8 F 9 ran Non Runners 2 8 |
18:10
1. 23 Adrestia 10/12. 1 Hammer The Hammer 9/2 3. 9 Redorange 12/1 4. 7 Zayer 16/1 Tote Win 15.80 Places 4.00, 2.10, 2.35, 4.40 Exacta: 151.10 CSF: 53.36 Tricast: 594.08 Trifecta: 1711.80 Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford Distances: 1 length, Short Head, 1 1/4 length Realign 7/2 F 24 ran Non Runners 3 15 16 18 |
Labels: Ascot
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