SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

I find it highly unlikely that Obe Royal will be around the 20/1 mark as the Racing Post tissue suggests.

RACING POST BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Don´t Tell Sue, 5/1 Diriculous, Mr Cellophane, 8/1 Bertie Southstreet, 9/1 Resplendent Alpha, 10/1 Divertimenti, Monashee Prince, 12/1 Grimes Faith, 14/1 Hucking Hill, 16/1 Bobby Rose, Red Rudy, 20/1 Obe Royal.

 Sandracer @ 9:27 pm, February 27, 2008  

I've priced up the race and have him in my tissue at 16/1.

 Slipperytoad @ 10:16 pm, February 27, 2008  

Maybe i'm going mad then..

I've backed worse 10/1 shots many times I believe..

 Sandracer @ 11:09 pm, February 27, 2008  

have to agree with you there mate (not the mad bit) lol! you are the king of the longshots so go with what works for you.

 Slipperytoad @ 11:43 pm, February 27, 2008  

8.50

5/1 Diriculous, Resplendent Alpha, 6/1 Dont Tell Sue, Mr Cellophane, 8/1 Hucking Hill, 9/1 Bobby Rose, 16/1 Obe Royal, 20/1 Divertimenti

9.20

5/1 Justcallmehandsome, Wrighty Almighty, Waterline Twenty, 8/1 Satyricon, King´s Ransom 9/1 Under Fire, 12/1 Emma Jean Lad

 Slipperytoad @ 12:03 am, February 28, 2008  

Did'nt like much in the 9:20. Maybe i'll have another look in the afternoon..

 Sandracer @ 12:10 am, February 28, 2008  

8:50 Kempton Early Odds From Bet365

8.50 Kempton
Each-way 1/4 1-2-3
6f Handicap Flat

No Silk Form Horse/Trainer Jockey Previous Odds Odds

1
(5) 226-455 Resplendent Alpha
P Howling J Quinn 10/1 Bet
2
(6) 8-14123 Grimes Faith
K A Ryan N Callan 14/1 Bet
3
(8) 245-254 Divertimenti
C R Dore R Winston 10/1 Bet
4
(12) 767-546 Bertie Southstreet
J R Best S Sanders 12/1 Bet
5
(10) 821157- Bobby Rose
D K Ivory R Havlin 25/1 Bet
6
(2) 421435 Obe Royal
P D Evans Richard Evans 12/1 Bet
7
(7) 8204-22 Mr Cellophane
J R Jenkins F Lynch 11/2 Bet
8
(3) 80/008-2 Don't Tell Sue
D W P Arbuthnot D Sweeney 5/1 Bet
9
(1) 5120-34 Red Rudy
A W Carroll Kirsty Milczarek 14/1 Bet
10
(9) 41-15 Diriculous
T G Mills Jim Crowley 7/2 Bet
11
(11) 635355 Hucking Hill
J R Best Hayley Turner 14/1 Bet
12
(4) 8-27524 Monashee Prince
J R Best A Munro 14/1 Bet
Favourite SP Bet
2nd Favourite SP Bet
Non Runners:

 Sandracer @ 2:58 pm, February 28, 2008  

Best odds available on Obe One are 16/1 at Sportingodds, and 17/1 at Betfair..

 Sandracer @ 3:00 pm, February 28, 2008  

in the 8:50 consider Resplendent Alpha as the value play at the moment. Hucking Hill is a lively outsider but he's a bit close to my "natural odds" metric so we'll see.

In the 9:20 playing a wait and see game.

 Slipperytoad @ 4:30 pm, February 28, 2008  

Obe Royal is 22/1 at Betfair right now.

That'll do me...

 Sandracer @ 8:24 pm, February 28, 2008  

42/1 now available on Obe Royal. It must be christmas..

 Sandracer @ 8:44 pm, February 28, 2008  

three drifters against the field based on tissue: Resplendent Alpha, Hucking Hill, Don't Tell Sue in the 8:20

 Slipperytoad @ 8:50 pm, February 28, 2008  

blew it!

 Slipperytoad @ 8:53 pm, February 28, 2008  

Yip. No good all around...

 Sandracer @ 8:59 pm, February 28, 2008  

Waterline Twenty in the 9:20 with no great confidence

 Slipperytoad @ 9:18 pm, February 28, 2008  

I never picked one here. Will hope your one wins..

 Sandracer @ 9:20 pm, February 28, 2008  

hmmmm.. back to the drawing board with the tissues.. maybe back tomorrow, but need a few beers to cool the flames.

 Slipperytoad @ 9:23 pm, February 28, 2008  

Placepot: £308.90 Pool:£96,388.60 227.75 winning tickets Quadpot: £248.10 Pool:£7,746.60 23.10 winning tickets


KEMPTON 9:20 Full Results >>
1st 5 King's Ransom 8/1 Winning jockey J Jones
Trainer S Gollings
Owner Mrs D Dukes

2nd 10 Carlitos Spirit (IRE) 11/2
3rd 9 Under Fire (IRE) 7/1
10 Ran
TOTE: Win:£7.30 Place:£2.40,£1.90,£2.10 Exacta:£96.80
CSF: £54.54 TRICAST: £333.47
Favourite: Justcallmehandsome 7/2


KEMPTON 8:50 Full Results >>
1st 10 Diriculous 15/8 Fav Winning jockey Jim Crowley
Trainer T G Mills
Owner Sherwoods Transport Ltd

2nd 9 Red Rudy 14/1
3rd 6 Obe Royal 20/1
12 Ran
TOTE: Win:£3.00 Place:£1.80,£5.60,£4.90 Exacta:£48.40
CSF: £34.46 TRICAST: £454.64



KEMPTON 8:20 Full Results >>
1st 1 Rebellious Spirit 6/1 Winning jockey Kirsty Milczarek
Trainer S Curran
Owner Mr Colin Hill

2nd 10 Megalala (IRE) 33/1
3rd 5 Burgundy 20/1
12 Ran
NR: Blue Eyed Eloise, Glendale

TOTE: Win:£5.70 Place:£2.50,£5.00,£5.40 Exacta:£173.60
CSF: £187.49 TRICAST: £3186.59
Favourite: Wind Flow 7/2, My Mentor (IRE) 7/2


KEMPTON 7:50 Full Results >>
1st 8 Greylami (IRE) 7/4 Winning jockey Jim Crowley
Trainer T G Mills
Owner Mr J Daniels

2nd 9 Silver Waters 33/1
3rd 6 Deer Daylami (IRE) 4/1
11 Ran
TOTE: Win:£3.30 Place:£1.10,£6.40,£1.60 Exacta:£142.00
CSF: £68.37
Favourite: Eastern Hills 11/8


KEMPTON 7:20 Full Results >>
1st 1 Harry Up 6/4 JtFav Winning jockey N Callan
Trainer K A Ryan
Owner The Fishermen

2nd 3 Spoof Master (IRE) 6/4 JtFav
6 Ran
TOTE: Win:£1.90 Place:£1.10,£2.00 Exacta:£4.60
CSF: £3.59



KEMPTON 6:50 Full Results >>
1st 2 Ducal Regancy Red 2/1 Winning jockey Kelly Harrison
Trainer C J Teague
Owner Regancy Bloodstock

2nd 7 Time Share (IRE) 4/1
5 Ran
NR: Chiracahua (IRE), Royal Guest

TOTE: Win:£2.60 Place:£1.30,£2.60 Exacta:£15.50
CSF: £9.70
Favourite: Maktavish 7/4

 Sandracer @ 1:23 am, February 29, 2008