RACE COMMENTARY3.30 Kempton (all-weather polytrack)
Digibet Maiden Stakes 1m
Going: Standard
01 (01) Beau Michael
02 (08) Black Mogul
03 (13) Boz
04 (03) Cape Hawk (IRE)
05 (12) Dream of Fortune (IRE)
06 (07) Hartmann (USA)
07 (04) Lucarno (USA)
08 (14) Master Jobs
09 (11) Soldier Field
10 (05) The Wily Woodcock
11 (09) Central Force
12 (06) Look So
13 (02) Mabaahej (USA)
14 (10) Silver Surprise
Digibet Maiden Stakes 1m
Going: Standard
01 (01) Beau Michael
02 (08) Black Mogul
03 (13) Boz
04 (03) Cape Hawk (IRE)
05 (12) Dream of Fortune (IRE)
06 (07) Hartmann (USA)
07 (04) Lucarno (USA)
08 (14) Master Jobs
09 (11) Soldier Field
10 (05) The Wily Woodcock
11 (09) Central Force
12 (06) Look So
13 (02) Mabaahej (USA)
14 (10) Silver Surprise
Early Betting Odds Forecast: 4/6 Lucarno, 5/1 Dream Of Fortune, 5/1 Hartmann, 6/1 Cape Hawk, 14/1 Master Jobs, 14/1 Central Force, 16/1 The Wily Woodcock, 20/1 Beau Michael, 20/1 Mabaahej, 20/1 Look So, 33/1 Soldier Field, 40/1 Black Mogul, 40/1 Boz, 100/1 Silver Surprise
Race Selection: Master Jobs. (Unplaced 66/1)
Master Jobs: As usual with maiden races, there's not a lot to go on formwise for most runners. Lucano ran well enough after a bad start on the turf behind Diamond Tycoon, but this is the all-weather, so i'll side with Master Jobs, who ran well on the sand for a long way over 2 furlongs further, to upset the short priced jolly. This drop back in distance could well see the selection be up with the pace and stay up the front come the finish.
Master Jobs: As usual with maiden races, there's not a lot to go on formwise for most runners. Lucano ran well enough after a bad start on the turf behind Diamond Tycoon, but this is the all-weather, so i'll side with Master Jobs, who ran well on the sand for a long way over 2 furlongs further, to upset the short priced jolly. This drop back in distance could well see the selection be up with the pace and stay up the front come the finish.
Betting Shop Odds Shows Archive
07 Lucarno 4/7 1/2 8/15 1/2
04 Cape Hawk 8/1 7/1 8/1
06 Hartmann 10/1 9/1
05 Dream of Fortune 9/1
01 Beau Michael 25/1 20/1 16/1
13 Mabaahej 16/1
11 Central Force 33/1 25/1
10 The Wily Woodcock 33/1
12 Look So 50/1
08 Master Jobs 66/1
03 Boz 66/1
09 Soldier Field 50/1 66/1
02 Black Mogul 66/1
14 Silver Surprise 100/1
07 Lucarno 4/7 1/2 8/15 1/2
04 Cape Hawk 8/1 7/1 8/1
06 Hartmann 10/1 9/1
05 Dream of Fortune 9/1
01 Beau Michael 25/1 20/1 16/1
13 Mabaahej 16/1
11 Central Force 33/1 25/1
10 The Wily Woodcock 33/1
12 Look So 50/1
08 Master Jobs 66/1
03 Boz 66/1
09 Soldier Field 50/1 66/1
02 Black Mogul 66/1
14 Silver Surprise 100/1
Race Result
3.30 Kempton
1st Lucarno 1/2 Favourite
2nd Cape Hawk 8/1
3rd Mabaahej 20/1
14 Ran.
3.30 Kempton
1st Lucarno 1/2 Favourite
2nd Cape Hawk 8/1
3rd Mabaahej 20/1
14 Ran.
Posted at 19:03, Sunday, May 06, 2007 by the Sandracer.
1 Comment(s)
3.30 Kempton
Each-way 1/5 1-2-3
1m Flat
Best Odds Guaranteed on all races .
Race Overview: This looks an above average maiden with some top trainers represented and we will give a narrow vote to Lucarno, with Dream Of Fortune and Central Force two newcomers to note. John Gosden's colt was put in his place by Diamond Tycoon on his Newbury debut, but was clear second best. That winner ran a blinder in the 2000 Guineas and with improvement expected Lucarno looks the best of the experienced runners. Jeremy Noseda trains Dream Of Fortune a well bred son of Danehill Dancer, and Ed Dunlop is responsible for Central Force, an expensive daughter of Pivotal. The market should give some clues as to their relative chances. The once raced Cape Hawk showed plenty of promise and is another to consider for the places, however Lucarno does appear to have the best recent form on show and he gets our vote.
No Silk Form Horse/Trainer Jockey Previous Odds Odds
1
(1) Beau Michael
W R Swinburn A Kirby 20/1 Bet
2
(8) 50- Black Mogul
W R Muir P Doe 66/1 Bet
3
(13) 00 Boz
L M Cumani C Catlin 66/1 Bet
4
(3) 6- Cape Hawk
R Hannon M Hills 6/1 Bet
5
(12) Dream of Fortune
J Noseda T P Queally 8/1 Bet
6
(7) Hartmann
B J Meehan J P Spencer 8/1 Bet
7
(4) 2 Lucarno
J H M Gosden J Fortune 4/7 1/2 Bet
8
(14) 5 Master Jobs
S C Williams Hayley Turner 50/1 Bet
9
(11) 0- Soldier Field
A M Balding F Norton 50/1 Bet
10
(5) 79- The Wily Woodcock
G Wragg R Havlin 33/1 Bet
11
(9) Central Force
E A L Dunlop D O'Donohoe 14/1 25/1 Bet
12
(6) Look So
R M Beckett T E Durcan 33/1 Bet
13
(2) 0 Mabaahej
B W Hills R Hills 20/1 Bet
14
(10) U Silver Surprise
J J Bridger T Block 100/1 Bet
Favourite SP Bet
2nd Favourite SP Bet
Non Runners:
Comment Posted By
Sandracer - 1:15 pm, May 07, 2007