Newcastle AW Code Breaker
This afternoon's AW meeting is an 8 race twilight card from Newcastle. 6 handicap races, one of them is an apprentice only handicap. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.
❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing Irishman Paul Mulrennan 𝕏. He has 5 rides to look into. I will also scour the 5lb claimer Jack Callan and his four rides, he's well worth his claim.
❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.
❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.
Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics
Jockey PAUL MULRENNAN
- Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
- 27 Nov 2025 4:40 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Ed Walker DEL CORSO
- 27 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Stella Barclay PLATOON
- 27 Nov 2025 5:45 Newcastle Handicap 5f Linda Perratt POCKLEY ✅
- 27 Nov 2025 6:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m Jim Goldie YAASER
- 27 Nov 2025 6:45 Newcastle Handicap 6f Jim Goldie ARNHEM ✅
Jockey JACK CALLAN (5lb)
- Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
- 27 Nov 2025 3:28 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston KNOCKBREX ✅
- 27 Nov 2025 4:40 Newcastle 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Si & Ed Crisford EDDAARI
- 27 Nov 2025 5:15 Newcastle Handicap 1m George Boughey UNASSUMING
- 27 Nov 2025 7:15 Newcastle Apprentice Handicap 7f Charlie Johnston INVINCIBLE LOVE
Newcastle Betting Analysis
3:28 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C4 Hcp ❖ Knockbrex (10/1) if he's fit after an 8 month break, with Callan's claim, could well win this outright. The Johnstone team are always trying. I have to presume the horse is ready.
I rarely back horses running without a recent run, but sometimes a double figure price can take the eye.
3:28 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Knockbrex (Won 12/1)
5:45 Newcastle ❖ 5f C6 Hcp ❖ Pockley (6/1) epitomises the C6 handicap horse. His last run just has to be ignored ~ I see mention of a unclear run ~ not for me, he just did very little either way..
The one before it takes this, even with a 10lb rise. The 5/1 ~ 6/1 is reasonable with Mulrennan aboard imo. I make him about a 3/1fav personally.
5:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 6/1 Pockley (Unp 6/1)
6:45 Newcastle ❖ 6f C4 Hcp ❖ Arnhem (16/1) may have been overlooked judging by the prices. He has comparable Irish form at Dundalk at this level. Went ok under Goldie's apprentice Lauren Young. I am sure Mulrennan will be a bit more aggressive early on today. He could well just trouble them all at a price if he can race a bit nearer than out the back this time.
He's worth a speculative, small stake, win only poke. 25/1 on the exchanges should be very gettable.
6:45 Newc ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Arnhem (3rd 17/2 from 16's)
Newcastle Meeting Bets
Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.
3:28 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
♥ 10/1 Knockbrex. (Won 12/1) Midfield, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, pressed inside final furlong, kept on, just held on, 1st.
Returns: £13.00
4:05 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
4:40 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
6/1 Pockley. (Unplaced 6/1) Midfield, ridden and progress over 1f out, weakened near finish. 7th.
6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
16/1 Arnhem. (3rd 17/2 from 16's) Held up in rear, asked for effort and headway over 1f out, went 3rd final furlong, no match for front pair, 3rd.
7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.
Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles
Returns: £13.00
Total: + £10.00
15:28
1. 1 Knockbrex 12/1
2. 4 Jez Bomb 10/3
3. 9 Without Compromise 9/4F
Tote Win 13.00
Places 3.90, 1.10, 2.00
Exacta: 45.20
CSF: 53.04
Tricast: 127.14
Trifecta: 444.50
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: Head, 2 1/4 lengths
Without Compromise 9/4 F
10 ran
|
16:05
1. 4 Loquella 9/2
2. 2 Leonetto 1/2F
Tote Win 5.50
Places ,
Exacta: 8.60
CSF: 7.54
Trifecta: 16.00
Winning Jockey: J Fanning
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths
Leonetto 1/2 F
4 ran
|
16:40
1. 3 Director's Cut 7/1
2. 4 Eddaari 7/4F
3. 9 Sheikhnshah 22/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 1.80, 1.10, 6.10
Exacta: 29.70
CSF: 20.33
Trifecta: 351.30
Winning Jockey: Luke Catton
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Eddaari 7/4 F
12 ran
Non Runners 10
|
17:15
1. 13 Rainbow Nebula 9/2
2. 8 Unassuming 4/1JF
3. 14 High On Hope 12/1
Tote Win 5.80
Places 2.10, 1.80, 5.00
Exacta: 31.30
CSF: 23.23
Tricast: 209.47
Trifecta: 419.40
Winning Jockey: Billy Garritty
Winning Trainer: R A Fahey
Distances: Nose, 3 lengths
Unassuming 4/1 JF
First Ambition 4/1 JF
12 ran
Non Runners 4 7
|
17:45
1. 7 Bibendum 85/40F
2. 10 Little Mi Mi 9/1
3. 3 Papa Don't Preach 12/1
Tote Win 3.13
Places 1.50, 3.20, 3.00
Exacta: 26.50
CSF: 23.70
Tricast: 201.04
Trifecta: 271.50
Winning Jockey: Kevin Stott
Winning Trainer: Miss J A Camacho
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 1 length
Bibendum 85/40 F
11 ran
Non Runners 8
|
18:15
1. 4 Uniting 7/4F
2. 7 Tasever 12/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.40, 5.40
Exacta: 18.50
CSF: 23.42
Trifecta: 99.20
Winning Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Winning Trainer: Ian Williams
Distances: 1 1/2 length
Uniting 7/4 F
7 ran
|
18:45
1. 11 Filly One 4/1JF
2. 9 Heavenly Heather 5/1
3. 6 Arnhem 17/2
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.10, 1.70, 3.40
Exacta: 28.40
CSF: 24.83
Tricast: 169.99
Trifecta: 312.70
Winning Jockey: P J McDonald
Winning Trainer: G R Oldroyd
Distances: Neck, 1 1/2 length
Secret Guest 4/1 JF
Filly One 4/1 JF
11 ran
Non Runners 12
|
