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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon rolls into Chelmsford this cold sunday afternoon starting with a race at 1:42. A 7 race card with 6 handicaps to look at. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this afternoon is apprentice jockey Ryan Kavanagh (𝕏) ~ He has three rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey RYAN KAVANAGH (5lb)

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 11 Jan 2026 2:12 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f David Evans LADY WINGALONG ✅
• 11 Jan 2026 3:12 Chelmsford City 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m 2f Ian Williams MARINAKIS
• 11 Jan 2026 3:42 Chelmsford City Handicap 7f David Evans GAIETY MUSICAL ✅

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

2:12 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C5 Hcp. ❖ Lady Wingalong (15/2) is in decent form and should be able to take this C5 handicap, which represents a slight drop in class, with the aid of Kavanagh's 5lb claim.

2:12 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 15/2 Lady Wingalong (4th 11/2)

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3:42 Chelmsford ❖ 7f C4 Hcp. ❖ Gaiety Musical (10/1) is another running well enough to possibly nick a race with the aid of Kaavanagh's 5lb claim.

3:42 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 10/1 Gaiety Musical

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Labels: All-Weather-Code

Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Saturday January 10 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle evening meeting starts with the 3:10. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on 25yr old ex champion apprentice jockey Jason Watson 𝕏 | Insta | who has a 31% strike rate here this season ~ so he knows the track well. He has three rides today.

Additionally, I will be checking out all of the Cieren Fallon 𝕏 ridden horses. There are three of those also.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON WATSON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 10 Jan 2026 3:47 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ed Bethell THE ENGLISH ROGUE ✅
• 10 Jan 2026 5:20 Newcastle 4yo+ Novice Stakes 1m Andrew Balding TED LE SAUX
• 10 Jan 2026 6:20 Newcastle Handicap 5f Michael Keady MAD UNICORN

Jockey CIEREN FALLON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 10 Jan 2026 4:50 Newcastle 4yo+ Classified Stakes 1m Kevin Frost AL BAAHY ✅
• 10 Jan 2026 5:50 Newcastle Handicap 7f James Owen GOLDMOYNE
• 10 Jan 2026 6:20 Newcastle Handicap 5f Dylan Cunha KING OF CHAOS

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

3:47 Newcastle ❖ 1m C5 Hcp ❖ The English Rogue (10/1) has only had 5 runs in his career, but has never run badly, nor has he ever troubled the judge. The 10/1 on offer that he can get his head in front now he's dropped in trip and mark, looks reasonable.

The race circumstances today may well be right up his street. I won't bore you with the technical deatails, otherwise we might be all day. Let's just see how he goes, win only, small stakes.

3:47 Newc ~ Win Bet: 10/1 The English Rogue (Unp 14/1)

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4:50 Newcastle ❖ 1m C6 Classified Stakes ❖ Al Baahy (4/1) drops down to the basement, ie a C6 classified race. He has not won for two years. His performances however, are never stinkers. He runs his race. I expect he'll win today. I am fairly surprised he's not a 2/1fav chance, so I'll play.

4:50 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Al Baahy (3rd 4/1)

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Cracking The Lingfield AW Code

❖ Saturday January 10 2026

Lingfield AW Code Breaker

Today's first saturday racing AW meeting comes from Lingfield. Racing starts at 11:40 in the morning, so it's an early start. An eight race card with five handicaps to pick from. I will attempt to Crack The Lingfield All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey I am concentrating on today is the old warhorse Luke Morris (facebook). He rides Lingfield's quirky track very well.

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❖ Trainers ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye for today's afternoon meeting.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ No draw bias at Lingfield worthy of note. You want decent jockeys at Lingfield, not an inside or outside draw etc.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ Check out all of the Morris rides, especially in handicaps, very closely.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Lingfield AW Jockey Runners

Jockey Luke Morris

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 10 Jan 2026 11:40 Lingfield Handicap 1m David Simcock CITY OF YORK
• 10 Jan 2026 12:40 Lingfield 4yo+ Classified Stakes 7f Ed De Giles INVINCIBLE STORM
• 10 Jan 2026 2:20 Lingfield Handicap 5f Mike Attwater DESDEMONA
• 10 Jan 2026 3:38 Lingfield Handicap 1m 4f Mike Attwater BLUE UNIVERSE ✅

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Lingfield Betting Analysis

3:38 Lingfield ❖ 1m 4f C5 Hcp ❖ Blue Universe (18/1) is running well over the hurdles lately so he's fit enough. Also has spots of half reasonable flat form. With Luke Morris booked, who has ridden the horse before, I don't think the Attwater 𝕏 stable have sent him here for a jolly game of cricket.

#Betting Note: I shall be having a small bet, win only. 55/1 is freely available on the exchanges at the moment.

3:38 Lingfield ~ Win Bet: 18/1 Blue Universe (Unp 50/1)

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday January 9 2026

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

Two AW meetings today. The Newcastle afternoon meeting starts with the 1:27 with a C5 1.5m handicap. I will attempt to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's meeting I will be focusing on 25yr old ex champion apprentice jockey Jason Watson 𝕏 | Insta | who has a 33% strike rate here this season ~ so he knows the track well. He has four rides today.

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❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

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Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey JASON WATSON

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 9 Jan 2026 1:27 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f Liam Bailey BRUNELLO BREEZE
• 9 Jan 2026 1:57 Newcastle 3yo Novice Stakes 1m 2f Andrew Balding LEVEL LOOK
• 9 Jan 2026 2:27 Newcastle Handicap 1m 2f Charlie Johnston ONYEISI ✅
• 9 Jan 2026 3:30 Newcastle Fillies Handicap 1m David O'Meara DONNA NOOK

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Newcastle Betting Analysis

2:27 Newcastle ❖ 1m 2f C6 3yo Hcp ❖ Onyesi (4/1) is no great shakes from what I can see, but looks better than the opposition. I think the 4/1 on offer is 2 points above what I price the race up at, so I'll play.

Betting Note: drifted from an overnight 13/8f out to 4/1, which imo, makes him a decent bet at the price. Some punters don't like going against the market movement, so be aware.

2:27 Newc ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Onyesi (2nd 11/4)

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Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

The AW bandwagon rolls into Chelmsford this evening starting at 5:30. A 7 race card with 5 handicaps and 2 minor stakes races to try to pick a winner from. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockey to follow this evening has to be the old warhorse Luke Morris (𝕏) ~ He has four rides.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

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Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey LUKE MORRIS

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 8 Jan 2026 5:30 Chelmsford City 3-5yo Maiden Stakes 6f Archie Watson EVENEPOEL
• 8 Jan 2026 6:00 Chelmsford City 4yo+ Classified Stakes 6f Matt Crawley DUBAI MAGIC ✅
• 8 Jan 2026 7:00 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 5f Archie Watson POWER QUEST
• 8 Jan 2026 8:30 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Ed Bethell NOSS MAYO

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Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:00 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C6 Classified Stakes. ❖ Dubai Magic (5/1) nearly broke her duck last time out and should be good enough with Luke Morris' help to take this.

6:00 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Dubai Magic

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Labels: All-Weather-Code

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton racing this evening is a seven race card. 6 races are handicaps. I will attempt to Crack The Kempton Park All Weather code in as few words as possible.

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❖ Jockeys ❖ I will be looking to Oisin Murphy 𝕏 ~ who has four rides on the card.

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❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

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❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

• ❖ If anything Oisin Murphy is riding is well drawn, give it a very close look on form.
• ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

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Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey ROSSA RYAN

• Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
• 7 Jan 2026 5:00 Kempton Handicap 6f Mick Bell ESPONA BAY
• 7 Jan 2026 6:00 Kempton Handicap 7f Toni Carroll UP THE ANTI ✅
• 7 Jan 2026 6:30 Kempton Handicap 7f Ed Walker POPMASTER ✅
• 7 Jan 2026 7:00 Kempton Handicap 1m Mick Bell RAJINOORA

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Kempton Betting Analysis

6:00 Kempton ❖ 7f C5 Handicap ❖ Up The Anti (5/2f) won well last time out here over 6f. I think he'll go in again under Murphy. I wouldn't want to lay him at evens, so the 5/2 available seems more than fair to me.

6:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 5/2f Up The Anti (Unp 3/1f)

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6:30 Kempton ❖ 7f C5 Handicap ❖ Popmaster (3/1f) looks nicely handicapped in comparison to his last run here over the C&D where he was beated 1.5l carrying 6lb more. The presence of Oisin Murphy firther strengthens the horse's claims for this race. The 3/1f odds seem fair enough and worth a punt.

6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 3/1f Popmaster (2nd 13/8f from 3's)

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