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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Wed Nov 26 2025

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Cracking The Southwell All Weather Code

❖ Wednesday November 26 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Southwell AW Code Breaker

My attempt to Crack The AW Code At Southwell on this afternoon's 9 race card that features six handicaps.

❖ Jockeys ❖ This evening I'll be studying all of the Hector Crouch (𝕏) rides. He has 6 rides booked. There will likely be a winner or two to be had from those.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.

Southwell AW Jockey Quick Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 26 Nov 2025 12:00 Southwell 2yo Fillies Novice Stakes 1m Ralph Beckett LISA JOY
  • 26 Nov 2025 12:30 Southwell 2yo Novice Stakes 7f Edward Bethell ROGUE INVINCIBLE
  • 26 Nov 2025 1:30 Southwell Handicap 1m 3f Ismael Mohammed MUST BELIEVE ✅
  • 26 Nov 2025 2:03 Southwell Handicap 7f Ed Dunlop AMBER HONEY
  • 26 Nov 2025 2:33 Southwell Handicap 7f Ed Dunlop MOONLIGHT BOMB
  • 26 Nov 2025 3:35 Southwell Handicap 6f Ralph Beckett BOLO NEIGHS

Southwell Betting Analysis

1:30 Southwell ❖ 1m 3f C5 Hcp ❖ Must Believe (9/2) is running well at present.

Conclusion: Will definitely be fighting for the win at the end. In form and has Hector Crouch for company, who's also going great guns lately.


1:30 South ~ Win Bet: 9/2 Must Believe (Won 11/2)

Southwell Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

11:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

12:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

12:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

13:30 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
♥ 9/2 Must Believe. (Won 11/2) Prominent, ridden to lead over 2f out, kept over 1f out, diminishing advantage near finish but always holding on, 1st.
Returns: £6.50

14:03 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

14:33 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:05 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

15:35 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single

Returns: £6.50

Total: + £5.50

Southwell Results - Wednesday November 26 2025. Going: Standard
11:30
1. 1 Young Endless 3/1F
2. 7 Billy Bathgate 8/1
3. 8 Zooks 10/1
Tote Win 5.30
Places 1.90, 2.10, 3.30
Exacta: 33.00
CSF: 29.14
Tricast: 225.72
Trifecta: 202.20
Winning Jockey: Mr Lewis Kent
Winning Trainer: K Frost
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 3 1/4 lengths
Young Endless 3/1 F
12 ran
Non Runners 13
12:00
1. 8 K Sarra 16/5
2. 9 Lisa Joy 7/1
3. 11 Royal Poetry 15/2
Tote Win 4.80
Places 1.80, 2.20, 2.30
Exacta: 32.90
CSF: 26.31
Trifecta: 261.20
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: R M Beckett
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths, 1 length
Loving Queen 15/8 F
14 ran
12:30
1. 8 Organise 11/10F
2. 12 The Stone Power 5/2
3. 4 Breathe Easy 25/1
Tote Win 2.10
Places 1.10, 1.90, 4.00
Exacta: 4.80
CSF: 4.27
Trifecta: 52.80
Winning Jockey: J Doyle
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: 7 lengths, 1/2 length
Organise 11/10 F
14 ran
13:00
1. 1 Ten Carat Harry 1/1F
2. 3 Eternal Solace 6/1
Tote Win 2.00
Places 1.30, 2.20
Exacta: 6.70
CSF: 7.77
Trifecta: 15.70
Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Winning Trainer: J A Osborne
Distances: Neck
Ten Carat Harry 1/1 F
6 ran
13:30
1. 5 Must Believe 11/2
2. 7 Westcombe 6/4F
3. 4 Life Is Rosie 14/1
Tote Win 7.70
Places 2.20, 1.10, 3.50
Exacta: 19.50
CSF: 14.16
Tricast: 115.80
Trifecta: 133.60
Winning Jockey: Hector Crouch
Winning Trainer: I Mohammed
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 1/4 length
Westcombe 6/4 F
11 ran
14:03
1. 3 Onemorenomore 6/1
2. 2 Portoro 7/2
3. 1 Amber Honey 3/1F
Tote Win 10.30
Places 2.80, 1.90, 1.70
Exacta: 44.60
CSF: 28.33
Tricast: 79.28
Trifecta: 141.30
Winning Jockey: J Watson
Winning Trainer: P J McBride
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 3/4 length
Amber Honey 3/1 F
11 ran
14:33
1. 11 Cable Beach 7/1
2. 7 Bullington Bry 9/1
3. 9 Bad Habits 18/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.00, 3.40, 3.70
Exacta: 78.70
CSF: 71.42
Tricast: 1131.30
Trifecta: 317.70
Winning Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Winning Trainer: T P Tate
Distances: Head, Neck
Moonlight Bomb 11/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1
15:05
1. 6 Dyrholaey 10/3
2. 4 Prince Of Pillo 3/1F
Tote Win 4.34
Places 2.40, 2.80
Exacta: 14.40
CSF: 13.93
Trifecta: 41.60
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: A Watson
Distances: 2 1/2 lengths
Prince Of Pillo 3/1 F
7 ran
15:35
1. 11 Betsen 40/1
2. 1 Berkshire Whisper 6/1
3. 9 Spangled Mac 13/2
Tote Win 46.80
Places 8.40, 1.60, 1.90
Exacta: 235.80
CSF: 269.24
Tricast: 1804.00
Trifecta: 1423.90
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: A W Carroll
Distances: Neck, Head
We Never Stop 2/1 F
9 ran
Non Runners 7 8

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Race Result - Southwell, 26th November 2025

13:30 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Must Believe Hector Crouch 5 9 9 11/2
Prominent, ridden to lead over 2f out, kept over 1f out, diminishing advantage near finish but always holding on

2nd Westcombe Luke Morris 3/4 length 7 9 8 6/4 F
In touch with leaders, ridden over 2f out, soon chased winner, switched right and kept on inside final furlong, not reach winner

3rd Life Is Rosie Kieran Shoemark 1 1/4 length 4 9 10 14/1
In touch behind leaders, ridden over 2f out, soon chased leaders, kept on same pace inside final furlong

4th Show Biz Kid Finley Marsh 2 lengths 1 10 0 20/1
Held up in rear, ridden and kept on over 1f out, nearest finish
5th Spec Of Light Rossa Ryan Short Head 9 9 6 10/1
Held up in midfield, ridden 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on same pace
6th Jam Lass Mark Winn 7 lengths 6 9 8 40/1
Held up in rear, driven over 3f out, soon switched left, kept on over 1f out, no danger
7th Forca Timao Mr T Greatrex Head 2 9 12 25/1
Wore hood to post, midfield, ridden over 2f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong
8th Age Of Time Callum Hutchinson 1 length 8 9 6 10/3
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, kept on same pace over 1f out
9th Abila J Watson 1 1/2 length 10 9 4 80/1
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened
10th Si Solus R Havlin 4 1/4 lengths 3 9 11 11/1
Led, ridden and headed over 2f out, soon weakened
11th Off Spin D Fentiman 12 lengths 11 9 0 14/1
Took keen hold, always in rear, ridden over 2f out, soon faded

Blogger Sandracer @ 2:30 pm, November 26, 2025  

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