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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code ~ Thurs Nov 6 2025

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Cracking The Chelmsford AW Code

❖ Thursday November 6 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Chelmsford AW Code Breaker

We have a second meeting on the AW this thursday evening at Chelmsford. An 8 race card with 6 handicaps to try to pick a winner from. Tow of the handicaps are 2yo nurseries. My attempt to Crack The Chelmsford All Weather Code in as few words as possible, is as follows.

❖ Jockeys ❖ The jockes to follow this evening, has to be Hector Crouch (𝕏) who has a decent strike (23.8%) here this season. He has 5 rides.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations are zero at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 6 Nov 2025 5:45 Chelmsford City 2yo Novice Stakes 1m Michael Bell TIMBER TWELVE
  • 6 Nov 2025 6:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m David O'Meara RAJAPOUR ✅
  • 6 Nov 2025 7:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 6f Jamie Osborne WODAO ✅
  • 6 Nov 2025 7:45 Chelmsford City Handicap 5f Rae Guest HEAVEN KNOWS
  • 6 Nov 2025 8:15 Chelmsford City Handicap 1m 2f Darryll Holland LOVE YOUR WORK

Chelmsford Betting Analysis

6:15 Chelmsford ❖ 1m C4 Hcp. ❖ Rajapour (5/1) will appreciate the drop back to a mile. The most winnable set of race conditions he's faced since arriving from France with a reasonable record. Now running at 11lb lower than his UK best, will take all the beating with Crouch in the saddle for the first time.


6:15 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Rajapour (Unp 7/2)

7:15 Chelmsford ❖ 6f C4 Hcp. ❖ Wadao (16/1) has been discounted by ther bookies judging by the price. I say that, but he was available at 33's overnight, so some punters have noticed, seeing his price has halved.

Running at 20lb+ below his best, he'll be right there at the end of the race, pushing for the win under Hector Crouch.


7:15 Chelmsford ~ Win Bet: 16/1 Wadao (unp 18/1)

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
5/1 Rajapour. (Unplaced 7/2) Held up in last pair, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never going pace to reach leaders, 5th.

6:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
16/1 Wadao. (Unplaced 18/1) Held up towards rear of mid-division, never managed to get involved with the leaders, 6th.

7:45 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:15 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Chelmsford Results - Thursday Nov 6 2025. Going: Standard
16:45
1. 3 Onyeisi 8/1
2. 1 Captain Cairney 4/6F
Tote Win 9.00
Places 3.20, 1.10
Exacta: 13.70
CSF: 14.14
Trifecta: 56.20
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: Head
Captain Cairney 4/6 F
6 ran
17:15
1. 2 Flash Rascal 4/1
2. 1 Corniche Girl 9/2
Tote Win 5.00
Places 2.20, 2.00
Exacta: 23.50
CSF: 22.57
Tricast: 106.35
Trifecta: 123.10
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: Dr R Newland & J Insole
Distances: 1 3/4 length
Solar Invincible 5/2 F
7 ran
Non Runners 8
17:45
1. 1 Starlight Time 1/2F
2. 5 Devil's Brigade 14/1
3. 9 Al's River 33/1
Tote Win 1.50
Places 1.10, 3.00, 7.20
Exacta: 11.30
CSF: 8.75
Trifecta: 81.30
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1 1/4 length
Starlight Time 1/2 F
14 ran
Non Runners 2 16
18:15
1. 11 Threatening 15/2
2. 12 Happy Banner 11/2
3. 1 Shimmering Spin 7/2
Tote Win 8.50
Places 2.30, 1.90, 1.80
Exacta: 39.50
CSF: 49.07
Tricast: 177.86
Trifecta: 233.90
Winning Jockey: Luke Morris
Winning Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 1/2 length
Absolute Star 5/2 F
10 ran
Non Runners 3 10
18:45
1. 3 Freddie's Star 1/16F
2. 1 Al Hofzan 15/2
Tote Win 1.10
Places 1.02, 1.60
Exacta: 1.50
CSF: 1.68
Trifecta: 2.30
Winning Jockey: Mr L Edmunds
Winning Trainer: R A Teal
Distances: 2 lengths
Freddie's Star 1/16 F
5 ran
19:15
1. 3 Valley Ofthe Kings 4/1
2. 11 Tyger Bay 17/2
3. 10 Starproof 25/1
Tote Win 5.30
Places 1.80, 2.10, 6.20
Exacta: 41.60
CSF: 33.27
Tricast: 558.53
Trifecta: 817.30
Winning Jockey: George Wood
Winning Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Distances: 1 length, 3/4 length
Azure Zain 10/3 F
10 ran
19:45
1. 1 General Assembly 5/1
2. 6 Emperor's Son 9/2
3. 7 Mick's Spirit 9/1
Tote Win 6.00
Places 1.90, 2.10, 2.00
Exacta: 32.00
CSF: 28.56
Tricast: 200.50
Trifecta: 277.40
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: C Hobson
Distances: Neck, Head
Mart 3/1 F
9 ran
20:15
1. 1 Renesmee 22/1
2. 3 Love Your Work 8/1
3. 6 Salaria 9/2
Tote Win 23.00
Places 5.60, 2.30, 2.20
Exacta: 247.70
CSF: 192.66
Tricast: 954.25
Trifecta: 1572.40
Winning Jockey: K S McHugh
Winning Trainer: Michael Keady
Distances: 4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Glorious Kitty 3/1 F
11 ran
Non Runners 7 11 12

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2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Chelmsford City, 6th November 2025

18:15 Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Threatening Luke Morris 11 9 2 15/2
Close3rd, ridden out wide hanging left over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final 110 yards, kept on

2nd Happy Banner Kieran Shoemark 3/4 length 12 9 2 11/2
Led, ridden and hung badly right 1f out, headed inside final 110 yards, kept on but not recover

3rd Shimmering Spin A Egan 1 1/2 length 1 10 0 7/2
Tracked leader inside, challenging turning in, soon ridden, lost 2nd inside final furlong, no extra in 3rd

4th Absolute Star Rossa Ryan Neck 6 9 12 5/2 F
Mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway out wide chasing leaders over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never going pace to challenge
5th Rajapour Hector Crouch 1 1/4 length 2 10 0 7/2
Held up in last pair, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never going pace to reach leaders
6th Stenmark Darragh Keenan 2 1/4 lengths 4 9 12 17/2
Steadied and switched left start, held up in rear, never really on terms
7th Pitney Paddy Bradley 3/4 length 9 9 5 80/1
Slowly into stride, soon mid-division inside, headway tracking leaders 5f out, ridden and weakened over 1f out
8th War Chant Rob Hornby Neck 5 9 12 20/1
Raced wide in last trio, never involved
9th Port Erin Mr Jack Callan 4 1/2 lengths 7 9 11 28/1
Never closer than mid-division
10th Lyndon B W A Carson 27 lengths 8 9 9 80/1
Tracked leaders out wide, pushed along and outpaced over 3f out, ridden and weakened over 2f out, tailed off

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:29 pm, November 06, 2025  

Race Result - Chelmsford City, 6th November 2025

19:15 Betfair Exchange Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Valley Ofthe Kings George Wood 3 9 9 4/1
Chased leaders out wide, ridden and challenging inside final furlong, led inside final 110 yards, ran on

2nd Tyger Bay Mr Joe Leavy 1 length 11 9 1 17/2
Raced keenly in close 3rd inside, not clear run over 1f out, edging left when switched right final 110 yards, ran on into 2nd towards finish, never able to challenge

3rd Starproof Mr L Edmunds 3/4 length 10 9 2 25/1
Raced keenly pressing leader, ridden to lead inside final furlong, headed inside final 110 yards, no extra and lost 2nd towards finish

4th Lipsink Jack Dace 1/2 length 5 9 7 10/1
Good speed from wide draw to lead, ridden and strongly pressed over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, weakened inside final 110 yards
5th Azure Zain C J Orr 2 3/4 lengths 6 9 5 10/3 F
Raced keenly in mid-division, never dangerous
6th Wodao Hector Crouch 1 length 2 9 9 18/1
Held up towards rear of mid-division, never involved
7th Diamond Dreamer Kieran Shoemark 1/2 length 8 9 2 14/1
Held up in rear, never on terms
8th Counsel Darragh Keenan Neck 4 9 7 16/1
Never closer than mid-division
9th Bint Havana Gold Oliver Hoodless 3/4 length 9 9 2 12/1
Held up in last trio, pushed along over 2f out, never involved
10th Giant Luke Morris 1/2 length 7 9 3 4/1
Tried to anticipate start and started slowly, held up in last trio, never involved

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:30 pm, November 06, 2025  

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