Twitter/X posters and racing enthusiasts are buzzing with picks for the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ~ focusing on a mix of unbeaten fillies, improving stayers, and international challengers. The low draw bias (stalls 1-8 favoured in recent winners) is a hot topic, boosting hopes for those drawn on the inside traps. Here's a rundown of standout selections and why users think their horses could win >>

Minnie Hauk (stall 1, 7-2 favourite): Widely backed as the top pick, with posters highlighting her unbeaten record (5-5, including four Oaks wins) and Aidan O'Brien's strong stable form (24% winners). The inside draw is seen as a massive edge for a late strike, fitting the track's two-phase flow (controlled early, acceleration late), and her Frankel-Dansili pedigree suits potentially soft ground. Users call her "out of the top drawer" with a real turn of foot, making her the most bet horse at 15% of total stakes.

Aventure (stall 12, 9-2): A popular each-way shout for her career-best Prix Vermeille win over course and distance on good-to-soft, stepping up from Group 3/2 successes. Posters like her Sea The Stars breeding for stamina if the ground softens, and her improvement this year (second in 2024 Arc) positions her to challenge the favourite, especially with Christophe Ferland's 17% strike rate.

Sosie (stall 3): French fans are optimistic due to the favourable draw (same as last year's winner Bluestocking) and solid form, including a fourth in the 2024 Arc. Users see her as a value play at 11-1 or so, with potential to avoid traffic and capitalize on home advantage in a race where fillies have dominated recently (seven of eight winners in one streak).

Daryz (stall 2): Highlighted for stamina suited to very soft ground and 12f (beaten previously over shorter), with strong breeding (dam a 12f G1 winner) and relations with Arc/HK Vase winners. Trainer Francis-Henri Graffard's high regard and recent pleasing gallops make posters think he'll stay on strongly in a holding track, offering value at 16-1.

Byzantine Dream (14/1) (stall 15): Japanese raider with staying power for the two tempo breaks, per jockey insights from Oisin Murphy (in red-hot form). Posters back her Prix Foy win and potential to turn the wide draw, seeing her as a strong international threat despite the stall disadvantage.

Croix du Nord (stall 17): Noted for beating Daryz over shorter trips, with users eyeing her as a top contender at 10-1 if she handles the wide draw; her form and Japanese challenge add excitement.

Other mentions include White Birch (28/1) for soft ground and late runs, and Kalpana (11/1) for Group 1 places, but the consensus leans toward fillies like Minnie Hauk and Aventure prevailing in what could be a tactical affair on very soft going.

Overall, the field's depth has punters split, with many eyeing up big priced runners beyond the top two.

 Sandracer @ 8:58 pm, October 04, 2025  

X posters are discussing Hiroyasu Tanaka's Alohi Alii as one of Japan's three strong challengers in tomorrow's Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ~ often highlighting his impressive prep form and favourable draw despite being the outsider of the trio at around 16/1.

Positives >>
Users see him as a value each-way bet with untapped potential, thanks to his dominant front-running win in the G2 Prix Guillaume d'Ornano at Deauville ~ where he beat Prix Niel winner Cualificar by three-and-a-half lengths, showcasing sharp acceleration and coolness under pressure that surprised even jockey Christophe Lemaire.

The stall 4 draw is a major plus in a race where low numbers (1-8) have produced 18 of the last 23 winners, allowing him to race handily if he breaks well.

Trainer Tanaka notes the colt's positive keenness in training, adaptation to softer French ground (including heavy work at Les Aigles), and stamina from his pedigree, making him suited if conditions turn testing.

Some fans back him for his visual dominance in Europe over prior Japanese form (like an 8th in the Satsuki Sho), tactical versatility, and as a lightly raced improver who could surprise in a wide-open field.

Negatives >>
However, concerns include unproven stamina at 12 furlongs (only two Arc winners in 40 years succeeded on their first try) and potential rain disadvantaging Japanese speed if the ground gets too soft.

Conclusion >>
Overall, he's viewed as exciting for Japan's historic bid, with posters like tipsters calling him a "tocard du jour" (outsider of the day) and others inhaling the "copium" for a breakthrough win.

 Sandracer @ 9:02 pm, October 04, 2025  

(Live Odds & Final Starting Prices Archive ~ Arc De Triomphe 2025)

#key: No: Horse: Live Odds: Final S.P:
17 Minnie Hauk 11/4, 5/2, 11/4, 5/2, 9/4, 5/2 9/4
6 Byzantine Dream 17/2, 8/1, 15/2, 7/1, 13/2, 6/1, 11/2, 6/1 11/2
10 Aventure 13/2, 7/1, 15/2, 7/1, 13/2, 7/1, 15/2, 7/1 15/2
16 Alohi Alii 8/1, 15/2, 8/1, 17/2, 8/1 15/2
9 Kalpana 11/1, 10/1, 11/1, 12/1, 11/1, 10/1 9/1
11 Daryz 11/1 12/1
15 Croix Du Nord 17/2, 8/1, 17/2, 9/1, 10/1, 11/1, 12/1 14/1
4 Sosie 11/1, 12/1, 14/1, 16/1, 14/1 16/1
8 Quisisana 18/1, 20/1, 22/1, 20/1, 22/1, 20/1, 18/1, 16/1 18/1
13 Cualificar 18/1, 20/1 22/1
2 White Birch 28/1, 33/1, 40/1, 33/1, 28/1 25/1
18 Gezora 28/1, 33/1, 28/1, 33/1, 28/1, 33/1 28/1
1 Giavellotto 33/1 40/1
5 Los Angeles 33/1 40/1
12 Leffard 40/1, 50/1, 40/1, 50/1, 66/1, 50/1 66/1
14 Hotazhell 66/1 80/1
3 Arrow Eagle 100/1, 125/1, 100/1 125/1

📊 SP Book Percentage: 126.22%

 Sandracer @ 3:51 pm, October 05, 2025  

2025 Arc De Triomphe Race Result

🥇 1st – No. 11 Daryz
S.P: 12/1
T: F Graffard | J: M Barzalona

🥈 2nd – No. 17 Minnie Hauk (hd)
S.P: 9/4f
T: A P O’Brien | J: C Soumillon

🥉 3rd – No. 4 Sosie (5½L)
S.P: 16/1
T: A Fabre | J: S Pasquier

4th – No. 1 Giavellotto (hd)
S.P: 40/1
T: M Botti | J: Andrea Atzeni

5th – No. 6 Byzantine Dream (nk)
S.P: 11/2
T: T Sakaguchi | J: Oisin Murphy

6th – No. 3 Arrow Eagle (¾L)
S.P: 125/1
T: J C Rouget | J: I Mendizabal

7th – No. 9 Kalpana (hd)
S.P: 9/1
T: A M Balding | J: Colin Keane

8th – No. 12 Leffard (sh)
S.P: 66/1
T: J C Rouget | J: C Demuro

9th – No. 8 Quisisana (2½L)
S.P: 18/1
T: F Graffard | J: A Pouchin

10th – No. 14 Hotazhell (hd)
S.P: 80/1
T: Mrs J Harrington | J: S Foley

11th – No. 10 Aventure (½L)
S.P: 15/2
T: C Ferland | J: M Guyon

12th – No. 2 White Birch (nk)
S.P: 25/1
T: J J Murphy | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle

13th – No. 18 Gezora (nse)
S.P: 28/1
T: F Graffard | J: Tom Marquand

14th – No. 15 Croix Du Nord (hd)
S.P: 14/1
T: T Saito | J: Y Kitamura

15th – No. 13 Cualificar (¾L)
S.P: 22/1
T: A Fabre | J: W Buick

16th – No. 16 Alohi Alii (3½L)
S.P: 15/2
T: H Tanaka | J: C P Lemaire

17th – No. 5 Los Angeles (7L)
S.P: 40/1
T: A P O’Brien | J: Wayne Lordan

 Sandracer @ 3:55 pm, October 05, 2025  

How They Ran In The Arc (2025)

1st – Daryz (FR) – 12/1
In touch in midfield, headway to chase leaders over 2f out, switched left and ridden 2f out, driven and kept on well from 1½f out, led 50yds out, driven out.
J: Mickael Barzalona | T: F-H Graffard

2nd – Minnie Hauk (IRE) – 5/2F
Tracked leaders, ridden to lead 2f out, driven and kept on well final furlong, headed 50yds out.
J: Christophe Soumillon | T: A P O’Brien

3rd – Sosie (IRE) – 12/1
Towards rear of midfield, ridden under 3f out, headway from 2f out, kept on final furlong, took third close home.
J: Stephane Pasquier | T: A Fabre

4th – Giavellotto (IRE) – 37/1
Midfield, steady headway from over 3f out, ridden and in touch over 2f out, driven and kept on at same pace final furlong, took third 125yds out, lost third close home.
J: Andrea Atzeni | T: Marco Botti

5th – Byzantine Dream (JPN) – 7/1
Started slowly, towards rear, steady headway into midfield 4f out, further headway over 2f out, ridden and chased leaders under 2f out, no extra final furlong.
J: Oisin Murphy | T: Tomoyasu Sakaguchi

6th – Arrow Eagle (FR) – 105/1
Held up in rear, ridden under 3f out, stayed on from 2f out, nearest finish.
J: Ioritz Mendizabal | T: J-C Rouget

7th – Kalpana – 16/1
Towards rear of midfield on outside, ridden and good headway to chase leaders over 2f out, driven and no extra from 1½f out.
J: Colin Keane | T: Andrew Balding

8th – Leffard (FR) – 47/1
Held up towards rear, ridden and kept on from 2½f out, not going pace to threaten, no extra final 100yds.
J: Cristian Demuro | T: J-C Rouget

9th – Quisisana (FR) – 19/1
In touch, switched wide 2½f out, soon ridden, no extra final furlong.
J: Alexis Pouchin | T: F-H Graffard

10th – Hotazhell – 94/1
Raced keenly, prominent, led after 3f, headed after 5f, ridden 2½ out, driven 2f out, weakened gradually from under 2f out.
J: Shane Foley | T: Mrs John Harrington

11th – Aventure (IRE) – 57/10
Midfield, ridden over 2f out, driven and effort 1½f out, weakened final furlong.
J: Maxime Guyon | T: C Ferland

12th – White Birch – 53/1
Towards rear of midfield, ridden over 2f out, driven and no impression from 1½f out.
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle | T: John Joseph Murphy

13th – Gezora (FR) – 31/1
Held up towards rear, ridden and no impression from 2½f out.
J: Tom Marquand | T: F-H Graffard

14th – Croix Du Nord (JPN) – 87/10
Prominent, led after 5f, ridden and headed 2f out, weakened over 1f out.
J: Yuichi Kitamura | T: Takashi Saito

15th – Cualificar – 22/1
Always towards rear.
J: William Buick | T: A Fabre

16th – Alohi Alii (JPN) – 9/1
Led, headed after 3f, steadied and gradually dropped to midfield, outpaced 2½f out, weakened final furlong.
J: Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | T: Hiroyasu Tanaka

17th – Los Angeles (IRE) – 44/1
Tracked leaders, ridden 3f out, weakened over 2f out, soon struggling.
J: Wayne Lordan | T: A P O’Brien

🏁 17 ran — Winning time: 2m 29.17s (fast by 0.23s)
💰 Total SP: 119%
🚫 Non-runner: Estrange

👑 Owners:
1st: Aga Khan Studs SCEA (Daryz)
2nd: Derrick Smith, Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor (Minnie Hauk)
3rd: Wertheimer & Frère (Sosie)

 Sandracer @ 4:01 pm, October 05, 2025  

A Poignant Arc for Daryz (A Londoners Perspective)

Longchamp produced another spine-tingling Arc de Triomphe as Daryz (12/1) stormed home late to deny the 5/2 favourite Minnie Hauk in a thrilling finish that had racing fans on both sides of the Channel holding their breath.

Ridden coolly by Mickael Barzalona for Francis Graffard, Daryz surged thru the softening ground to give both trainer and jockey their first taste of Arc glory ~ and a fifth triumph in the race for the Aga Khans famous colours. It was an emotional victory, coming just months after the passing of the Aga Khan, with his daughter Princess Zahra now guiding the breeding operation.

Minnie Hauk ran a gallant second for Aidan O’Brien, while Sosie (12/1) stayed on for third. Giavellotto (37/1) ran a brave fourth.

 Sandracer @ 4:13 pm, October 05, 2025