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Cracking The Southwell AW Code ~ Mon Aug 25 2025

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Cracking The Southwell AW Code

❖ Mon Aug 25 2025

Southwell AW Code Breaker

Up early on this bank holiday monday to check out the form for the 8 races on the card and to try to crack the AW code at Southwell today. I have my eye on 6 handicaps.


JockeysHector Crouch is having a good season, as is Paddy Bradley ~ they are the two jocks I'll be focusing on today.


Trainers ❖ Trainer focus is not of much use today regarding pointers.


Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Southwell is non existent. Back who you like wherever they're drawn. If backing any front runners, pay close attention to whether you think they have the ability to actually get home up the slightly uphill 1.5f finish.


Bet Selection Considerations

  • Anything ridden by Hector Crouch or Paddy Bradley
  • Solid Southwell C&D form may be a good pointer this afternoon
  • I will be discounting the maiden runner race ~ focusing on the handicaps only

Southwell AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey HECTOR CROUCH

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
  • 25 Aug 2025 2:15 Southwell Handicap 1m 6f Ralph Beckett NEW YORK MINUTE
  • 25 Aug 2025 2:50 Southwell Handicap 1m Jack Jones TIEMPO ALEGRE
  • 25 Aug 2025 4:00 Southwell Handicap 7f Richard Hughes SHEIKH RAJ

Jockey PADDY BRADLEY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse
  • 25 Aug 2025 2:50 Southwell Handicap 1m Patrick Morris EDEN STORM
  • 25 Aug 2025 4:33 Southwell Handicap 7f Josh Moore DANNICK
  • 25 Aug 2025 5:38 Southwell Handicap 6f Patrick Morris MYTHICAL ISLE (NR)

Southwell Betting Analysis

2:15 Southwell ❖ 2mile C5 Hcp ❖ Hector Crouch rides New York Minute (9/4f) for Ralph Beckett.

Conclusion: New York Minute (9/4f) is having his first run on the All Weather. I cannot possibly back him at 9/4f. He may well win, but there are some obvious opponents who are not worth opposing at the odds on offer.

# No Bet.


2:50 Southwell ❖ 1m C6 Hcp ❖ Tiempo Allegre (3/1f) won easily last time up over the C&D.

Conclusion: Ridden by Hector Crouch last time up, Tiempo Allegre won easily by 4.5l over the C&D a month ago. Upped 9lb for that effort, I am of the opinion the rise probably won't be enough to stop her following up.

2:50 South ~ Win Bet: 3/1f Tiempo Allegre (2nd 7/2f)


4:00 Southwell ❖ 7f C6 3yo Hcp ❖ Hector Crouch comes here on the well fancied Sheikh Raj (2/1f)

Conclusion: Sheikh Raj (2/1f) has just had a win op and looks like the likely winner in this low grade hcp. I won't be chancing it though, not at the price. I'll watch.

# No Bet.


4:33 Southwell ❖ 7f C5 3yo Hcp ❖ Paddy Bradley rides Dannick (7/2) for the Gary & Josh Moore stable.

Conclusion: This represent a slight drop in grade for Dannick and he looks like he'll go well on the surface. I think the 7/2 on offer is a reasonable betting proposition.

4:33 South ~ Win Bet: 7/2 Dannick (2nd 2/1jf from 7/2)



Southwell Meeting Bets


Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

1:45 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:15 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:50 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
3/1f Tiempo Allegre. (2nd 7/2f) Held up towards rear on outside, ridden off pace 2f out, short of room and slighty hampered approaching final furlong, headway to go 2nd final 100 yards, kept on well, 2nd.

3:25 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:00 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:33 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
7/2 Dannick. (2nd 2/1jf from 7/2) Mid-division on inside, hard ridden 2f out, headway final furlong, stayed on well without threatening, 2nd.

5:08 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:38 Southwell (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles = £2.00

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £2.00

Southwell Results - 25 Aug 2025. Going: Standard
13:45
1. 4 Ophelia Grace 4/11F
2. 8 Slot 66/1
3. 3 Lelosaja 11/1
Tote Win 1.37
Places 1.02, 10.30, 2.60
Exacta: 42.00
CSF: 53.26
Trifecta: 277.40
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: K P De Foy
Distances: 5 lengths, 3/4 length
Ophelia Grace 4/11 F
8 ran
Non Runners 5
14:15
1. 10 Double Meaning 3/1
2. 5 Action Pact 9/1
3. 11 Captain Robert 8/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.50, 3.00, 2.80
Exacta: 33.40
CSF: 31.63
Tricast: 205.27
Trifecta: 262.30
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: John Berry
Distances: 10 lengths, 4 lengths
New York Minute 5/2 F
12 ran
14:50
1. 5 Volto Di Medusa 10/1
2. 10 Tiempo Alegre 7/2F
3. 9 Francesi 14/1
Tote Win 11.00
Places 3.60, 2.10, 4.30
Exacta: 71.20
CSF: 47.53
Tricast: 531.95
Trifecta: 920.40
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: Jack Jones
Distances: 1/2 length, 1 length
Tiempo Alegre 7/2 F
13 ran
Non Runners 4
15:25
1. 2 Breakdancer 2/1F
2. 8 Flightofthephoenix 17/2
3. 9 Barry's Boy 9/2
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.20, 2.90, 2.00
Exacta: 18.00
CSF: 20.07
Tricast: 72.84
Trifecta: 123.10
Winning Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Winning Trainer: S & E Crisford
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 3/4 length
Breakdancer 2/1 F
11 ran
16:00
1. 3 Dapper Guest 3/1
2. 1 Sheikh Raj 11/4F
3. 7 Tattie Bogle 6/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.70, 1.20, 2.30
Exacta: 13.80
CSF: 11.76
Tricast: 47.40
Trifecta: 53.20
Winning Jockey: J F Egan
Winning Trainer: G G Margarson
Distances: 3 1/2 lengths, 2 1/2 lengths
Sheikh Raj 11/4 F
10 ran
16:33
1. 3 Stenmark 22/1
2. 2 Dannick 2/1JF
3. 8 Opening Bat 7/2
Tote Win 25.70
Places 5.10, 1.40, 1.30
Exacta: 96.60
CSF: 65.24
Tricast: 206.30
Trifecta: 625.20
Winning Jockey: D E Hogan
Winning Trainer: D P Quinn
Distances: 1 1/2 length, Head
Nahash 2/1 JF
Dannick 2/1 JF
9 ran
17:08
1. 9 Vinatera 11/2
2. 13 Belsito 11/1
3. 2 Beelzebub 4/1
Tote Win 6.50
Places 2.50, 2.70, 2.20
Exacta: 85.00
CSF: 65.16
Tricast: 276.70
Trifecta: 736.30
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: S C Williams
Distances: Short Head, 1 1/4 length
Willolarupi 7/2 F
14 ran
17:38
1. 10 Up The Monk 6/1
2. 8 Top Biller 9/1
2. 13 Mission In Malton 10/1
Tote Win 8.00
Places 2.10, 3.40, 3.20
Exacta: 32.50
CSF: 33.09
Tricast: 277.90
Trifecta: 221.90
Winning Jockey: A Rawlinson
Winning Trainer: M Appleby
Distances: Head, Dead Heat
Wild Embers 18/5 F
10 ran
Non Runners 5 6 9

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Race Result - Southwell, 25th August 2025

14:50 National Racehorse Week Handicap
Going standard, 13 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Volto Di Medusa D E Hogan 5 9 12 10/1
Held up towards rear, ridden far side 2f out, headway final furlong, led final 100 yards, stayed on well

2nd Tiempo Alegre Hector Crouch 1/2 length 10 9 7 7/2 F
Held up towards rear on outside, ridden off pace 2f out, short of room and slighty hampered approaching final furlong, headway to go 2nd final 100 yards, kept on well

3rd Francesi Suraj Narredu 1 length 9 9 8 14/1
Chased leaders, hard ridden 2f out, headway to lead approaching final furlong, headed final 100 yards, kept on

4th Woodleigh Miss Joanna Mason 1 1/4 length 11 9 6 8/1
Mid-division on outside, keen early, ridden and outpaced over 1f out, late headway final 100 yards

5th Eden Storm Paddy Bradley Head 12 9 5 14/1
Mid-division, ridden when slightly short of room over 1f out, soon headway behind leaders, kept on final 100 yards

6th Mercurius Power George Wood 1 3/4 length 1 10 0 11/1
Chased leaders on outside, ridden to challenge near side approaching final furlong, soon outpaced and no extra

7th Barleybrown J P Sullivan Head 6 9 12 16/1
In rear, ridden off pace over 1f out, late headway inside final furlong

8th Jack Daniel D C Costello Head 13 9 5 9/1
Chased leaders on inside, ridden and outpaced 2f out, weakened final furlong

9th Rapido Girl T Eaves Neck 3 10 0 28/1
Handy on outside, ridden to challenge 2f out, outpaced and weakened approaching final furlong

10th Without Compromise Cameron Hardie Neck 2 10 0 13/2
Slowly away, held up towards rear on inside, pushed along off pace 2f out, hampered and carried left approaching final furlong, plugged on

11th Eva Rosie Zak Wheatley 1 1/4 length 7 9 10 12/1
Mid-division, pushed along and outpaced 2f out, short of room and weakened final furlong

12th Ventura Dream Luke Morris 7 lengths 14 9 4 9/2
Led, ridden and hard pressed 2f out, headed approaching final furlong, soon no extra

13th Tresca Georgia Dobie 20 lengths 8 9 8 25/1
Mid-division on inside, pushed along and weakened over 2f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 4:00 pm, August 25, 2025  

Race Result - Southwell, 25th August 2025

16:33 Grace & Dotty Fedoras And Feathers Handicap (Div 2)
Going standard, 9 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Stenmark D E Hogan 3 9 8 22/1
Chased leaders on inside, led going well 2f out, soon ridden, clear final 100 yards, ran on well

2nd Dannick Paddy Bradley 1 1/2 length 2 9 8 2/1 JF
Mid-division on inside, hard ridden 2f out, headway final furlong, stayed on well without threatening

3rd Opening Bat T E Whelan Head 8 9 2 7/2
Rear of mid-division on inside, pushed along over 2f out, headway far side approaching final furlong, stayed on well without threatening

4th Arboreous Luke Morris 5 1/2 lengths 4 9 7 25/1
Led, ridden and headed 2f out, kept on inside final furlong

5th Mu Mu Land Ryan Sexton Head 7 9 4 22/1
Prominent on outside, pushed along and outpaced 2f out when edged right, plugged on final furlong

6th Silver Arrow George Wood Head 6 9 5 20/1
Held up towards rear on outside, pushed along off pace 2f out, late headway final 100 yards

7th Nahash Jack Mitchell Head 5 9 7 2/1 JF
Mid-division on outside, keen early, pushed along and outpaced 2f out, weakened when hung left final furlong

8th Zabeel Road William Carver 2 lengths 1 9 9 8/1
Rear of mid-division on outside, pushed along and made no impression 2f out

9th Invitorio J P Sullivan 2 1/2 lengths 9 8 11 40/1
In rear, ridden off pace 2f out, behind final furlong

Blogger Sandracer @ 6:54 pm, August 25, 2025  

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