SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Santa Anita - Breeders Cup - USA Racing Bets - 4 Nov 2023

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Π Going: Dirt: Fast, Turf: Firm.

9:50 Up To The Mark (15/2) is a real top grade American horse who judging by the formlines, will be a hard nut to crack for the 4 European based horses taking up the top 4 places in the betting. I doubt the tote style pool betting will have this one as the 5th favourite come the off. 15/2 is available at the UK bookmakers, 10's atm on the exchanges, I'll take my chances to small stakes at what looks like reasonable odds to me, and watch some ridiculously high value American racing on the ITV4 Breeders Cup meeting this evening. Cheers, Sandracer.

5:10 Santa Anita (250k, G2 Alliance Stakes, 1m5f Dirt)
# No Bet.

5:50 Santa Anita (250k, G2 Twilight Derby, 1m1f Turf)
# No Bet.

6:30 Santa Anita ($1m, Breeders Cup Dirt Mile) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

7:10 Santa Anita ($2m, Breeders Cup Filly & Mare, 1m2f Turf) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

7:50 Santa Anita ($1m, Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, 7f Dirt) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

8:30 Santa Anita ($2m, Breeders Cup Turf Mile) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

9:10 Santa Anita ($2m, Breeders Cup Distaff, 1m1f Dirt) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

9:50 Santa Anita ($4m, Breeders Cup 1m4f Turf) (ITV4)
15/2 Up To The Mark. (2nd 4/1 from 15/2) midfield early, took closer order after 5f out, tracked leaders going well over 2f out, ridden and every chance 1 1/2f out, kept on well final furlong, no impression on winner who had a dream run up the inside rail, 2nd.

10:40 Santa Anita ($6m, Breeders Cup Classic, 1m2f Dirt) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

11:25 Santa Anita ($1m, Breeders Cup Sprint, 5.5f Turf) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

12:00 Santa Anita ($2m, Qatar Racing Breeders Cup Sprint, 6f Dirt) (ITV4)
# No Bet.

12:30 Santa Anita (100k, Allowance, 6f Turf)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

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Chelmsford Bets - Sat Nov 4 2023 (afternoon meeting)

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Π Going: Polytrack - Standard.

4:30 Excel Power (9/1) looks like an overpriced drift to me (4's to 9's). The general thought amongst the racing race readers is there's too much pace in the race for the horse, hence the large price.

My take is he is an AW specialist in comparison to the main rivals, and with Luke Morris in the saddle, Morris will take a lead from the quicker ones and catch them out after the burn up half way through the race, ie take the lead up mid race, steal a decent lead and hold on against the faster finishers (2/1f enfjaar). Cheers, Sandracer.

2:50 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

3:25 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
9/1 Excel Power. (3rd 14/1) tracked leader on inside, ridden 2f out, stayed on without threatening, 3rd.

5:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:00 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:30 Chelmsford (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Newcastle Bets - Fri Nov 3 2023 (afternoon meeting)

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Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

3:40 Star Shield (8/1) is running about a length short of his best form, but is about 7lb short of his highest mark. In my book, he'll run up a couple of wins in a row very soon. The 8/1 on offer about today being a good day looks reasonable to me after drifting from an opening price of 5's. Cheers, Sandracer.

1:55 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:05 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:40 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
8/1 Star Shield. (2nd 8/1) mid-division, steady headway and ridden under 1f out, stayed on well final 110 yards, held towards finish, 2nd.

4:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Newcastle Bets - Thurs Nov 2 2023 (afternoon meeting)

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Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

5:45 Street Life (11/1) will get a half decent break, will sit behind the leaders for a couple of furlongs, will take up the running with a couple to go and will hang on at a double figure price. Oh yes he will. Cheers, Sandracer.

1:40 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:50 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:25 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:35 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
11/1 Street Life. (Unplaced 11/2 from 11's) prominent, ridden over 1f out, weakened 1f out, 9th

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Kempton Bets - Wed Nov 1 2023 (evening meeting)

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Π Going: Polytrack - Standard/Slow.

7:15 Bohemian Breeze (10/1) is upped 5lb for his latest win here over the 1m4f distance. I liked the look of that win and give this horse a reasonable chance of defying the uptick in the weights. Still available at a double figure price, I'll take this one to go in again for the Johnston yard.

4:05 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:40 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:15 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:45 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:15 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:45 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:15 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
10/1 Bohemian Breeze. (Unplaced 5/1 from 10's) tracked leaders out wide, went 2nd over 9f out until 5f out, tracked leaders, ridden and weakened final furlong, 7th.

7:45 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:15 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Lingfield Bets - Wed Nov 1 2023 (afternoon meeting)

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Π Going: Polytrack: Standard/Slow.

3:38 Gold Standard (28/1) ran a month ago, beaten 42l @ 125/1 at Bath after a 10 month absence from the racetrack. Today he's back at a trip he's won at before, on a course he's won at before Cheers, on a mark he's won at before. If he is fitter today, which he should be, he can win at 28's. If he doesn't win at 28's today over the C&D, he'll win another race of the exact same type, against the same type of opposition, but at 5/1. I'm taking the 28's today. It's a gamble. Nothing else on the card interests me.

12:30 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:00 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

13:30 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

14:05 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

14:38 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

15:08 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

15:38 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
28/1 Gold Standard. (Unplaced 80/1) steadied and switched left start, held up and always towards rear, 11th.

16:08 Lingfield (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00

Newcastle Bets - Tues Oct 31 2023 (evening meeting)

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Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

4:10 Broctune Red (12/1) is priced up as the 6th most likely winner. I am of the opinion he should be 2nd fav, just behind the current jolly Elshaameq. I think it will be close. There are others in the race to consider obviously. However, they are priced up accordingly.

Gillian Boanas is not a prolific, or especially well known trainer, but she took over the well known Revely stable and didn't do so for a laugh. She has also recently upgraded the training facilities at the yard. The 12/1 is too big. Cheers, Sandracer.

4:10 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
12/1 Broctune Red. (Unplaced 15/2 from 12's) took keen hold, midfield, ridden over 2f out, soon switched left, kept on same pace inside final furlong, 8th.

4:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

6:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

7:45 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

8:15 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.


Stake: 1 X £1.00 Win Single = £1.00
Returns: 0.00
Total: Minus £1.00