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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code ~ Fri Nov 7 2025

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Cracking The Newcastle AW Code

❖ Friday November 7 2025

❖ We Study The Racing Stats @ The Adrian Massey.com Horse Racing Database

Newcastle AW Code Breaker

This afternoon's AW meeting is 9 race card from Newcastle. 8 of the races are handicaps for me to look at ~ one is a nursery handicap for 2yo horses, another is a fillies only. I will be attempting to Crack The All Weather Code At Newcastle in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ For this afternoon's's meeting I will be focusing on anything ridden by 51yr old veteran jockey Rab Havlin ~ he has 2 rides this afternoon.

Young jock Billy Loughnane (𝕏) is always worth a look also. He has 6 rides.

❖ Trainer ❖ No particular trainer catches my eye.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ The draw bias at Newcastle is non existent, especially on the straight course, so nothing to see there.

Newcastle AW Jockey Statistics

Jockey RAB HAVLIN

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 7 Nov 2025 2:18 Newcastle Handicap 1m 4f S Woods BAHADUR
  • 7 Nov 2025 6:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Jim Goldie IGNAC LAMAR ✅

Jockey BILLY LOUGHNANE

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | Horse | ✅ Denotes Selection |
  • 7 Nov 2025 3:28 Newcastle 2yo Nursery Hcp 6f Lawrence Mullaney RYEFIELD
  • 7 Nov 2025 4:00 Newcastle Fillies Handicap 7f George Boughey AFTER LOVE
  • 7 Nov 2025 5:00 Newcastle Handicap 6f Phil McEntee BILL PLUMB ✅
  • 7 Nov 2025 5:30 Newcastle Handicap 1m Ian Williams BETTY BASSETT ✅
  • 7 Nov 2025 6:00 Newcastle Handicap 7f Lawrence Mullaney NORTHERN CRACKSMAN
  • 7 Nov 2025 6:30 Newcastle Handicap 7f Ian Williams CALL GLORY

Newcastle Betting Analysis

5:00 Newcastle ❖ 6f C5 Hcp ❖ Bill Plumb (13/2) is running well and will be there at the finish line with whoever has a chance of the outright win. The one to beat as far as I can see. Nice price.


5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 13/2 Bill Plumb (3rd 15/1)

5:30 Newcastle ❖ 1m C5 Hcp ❖ Betty Bassett (11/2) was a neck behind over the C&D last time out and reopposes without a penalty. Loughnane takes the ride from Mulrennan. Will be right there at the death.


5:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 11/2 Betty Bassett (4th 15/2)

6:00 Newcastle ❖ 7f C6 Hcp ❖ Ignac Lamar (5/1) ran well over the C&D last time out, going down a length. Upped a lb for that run, he'll be right there again under the guidance of Havlin, who takes the ride from De Sousa.


6:00 Newc ~ Win Bet: 5/1 Ignac Lamar (Unp 5/1)


Newcastle Meeting Bets

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard.

2:18 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

2:53 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

3:28 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

4:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

5:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
13/2 Bill Plumb. (3rd 15/2) Slow away, held up towards rear, not much room when headway 2f out, kept on, lost 2nd last stride, 3rd.

5:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
11/2 Betty Bassett. (4th 15/2) Tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, lost 3rd close home, 4th.

6:00 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
5/1 Ignac Lamar. (Unplaced 5/1) Held up towards rear, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened, 8th.

6:30 Newcastle (AW Tapeta)
# No Bet.

Stake: 3 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: 0.00

Total: - £3.00

Newcastle Results - Friday November 7 2025. Going: standard
14:18
1. 5 Bahadur 2/1F
2. 8 Winter Flower 7/2
3. 4 Machete 20/1
Tote Win 3.30
Places 1.50, 1.30, 3.40
Exacta: 11.10
CSF: 9.14
Tricast: 111.70
Trifecta: 278.30
Winning Jockey: R Havlin
Winning Trainer: S Woods
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 2 1/2 lengths
Bahadur 2/1 F
10 ran
14:53
1. 9 We're Goosers 1/2F
2. 4 Kaindy 2/1
3. 1 Fyreline 12/1
Tote Win 1.50
Places 1.02, 1.20, 2.40
Exacta: 2.40
CSF: 2.09
Trifecta: 10.80
Winning Jockey: Jason Hart
Winning Trainer: H Palmer
Distances: 2 lengths, 11 lengths
We're Goosers 1/2 F
9 ran
15:28
1. 8 The Tunguska Event 11/1
2. 5 My Champion 2/1F
3. 6 Hey Havana 5/1
Tote Win 22.00
Places 7.40, 1.20, 1.50
Exacta: 47.00
CSF: 34.52
Tricast: 129.69
Trifecta: 434.50
Winning Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Winning Trainer: J & S Quinn
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1 1/2 length
My Champion 2/1 F
8 ran
16:00
1. 6 Electric Avenue 3/1F
2. 7 Graduated 9/1
3. 4 Emery Down 10/1
Tote Win 4.00
Places 1.30, 2.20, 5.10
Exacta: 36.10
CSF: 31.72
Tricast: 249.62
Trifecta: 537.40
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1/2 length
Electric Avenue 3/1 F
10 ran
16:30
1. 5 Blue Lakota 9/2
2. 11 Orbital Chime 20/1
3. 3 Spirit Of Applause 11/8F
Tote Win 6.90
Places 1.90, 6.60, 1.20
Exacta: 166.20
CSF: 100.63
Tricast: 197.80
Trifecta: 876.60
Winning Jockey: Mr Jack Callan
Winning Trainer: K A Ryan
Distances: Head, 1 length
Spirit Of Applause 11/8 F
14 ran
17:00
1. 1 Fortamour 9/2
2. 11 Asadjumeirah 18/1
3. 6 Bill Plumb 15/2
Tote Win 5.50
Places 2.10, 4.60, 2.80
Exacta: 86.20
CSF: 89.85
Tricast: 628.15
Trifecta: 956.90
Winning Jockey: P Mulrennan
Winning Trainer: B Haslam
Distances: Neck, Head
Brazilian Rose 4/1 F
12 ran
17:30
1. 5 Bowood 7/4F
2. 11 Powerful Response 28/1
3. 4 It's A Love Thing 14/1
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.40, 6.00, 4.20
Exacta: 73.70
CSF: 65.43
Tricast: 575.06
Trifecta: 605.50
Winning Jockey: Elle-may Croot
Winning Trainer: I Furtado
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 1 length
Bowood 7/4 F
10 ran
Non Runners 1
18:00
1. 3 Front Gunner 6/1
2. 1 Yafaarr 9/4F
3. 2 Vizzavona Lady 6/1
Tote Win 7.00
Places 1.80, 2.40, 2.50
Exacta: 29.20
CSF: 19.90
Tricast: 89.43
Trifecta: 186.80
Winning Jockey: T Eaves
Winning Trainer: Mrs A Duffield
Distances: 1 1/4 length, Neck
Yafaarr 9/4 F
11 ran
18:30
1. 3 Eden Storm 5/1
2. 7 Pit Boss 7/1
3. 6 Military Leader 7/2
Tote Win 6.00
Places 1.80, 1.80, 1.30
Exacta: 33.90
CSF: 40.64
Tricast: 139.44
Trifecta: 158.70
Winning Jockey: D Nolan
Winning Trainer: P Morris
Distances: Head, Neck
Call Glory 11/4 F
9 ran
Non Runners 2

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Race Result - Newcastle, 7th November 2025

17:00 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap
Going standard, 12 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Fortamour P Mulrennan 1 9 9 9/2
Prominent, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on

2nd Asadjumeirah Cameron Hardie Neck 11 8 7 18/1
Held up in mid-division, headway over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, went 2nd last stride

3rd Bill Plumb Billy Loughnane Head 6 9 6 15/2
Slow away, held up towards rear, not much room when headway 2f out, kept on, lost 2nd last stride

4th Brazilian Rose Kaiya Fraser Neck 4 9 7 4/1 F
Steadied start, held up in rear, going well when not much room 2f out, soon switched right, headway over 1f out, ridden inside final furlong, no impression close home
5th Dandy Magic Lauren Young 1/2 length 5 9 6 9/2
Held up in rear, headway when not clear run over 1f out, not able to get on terms
6th King's Crown Mr L Edmunds Nose 7 9 4 9/1
Led, ridden and edged right over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra close home
7th Chola Empire Luke Morris 1/2 length 2 9 8 14/1
Held up in mid-division, switched left and headway over 1f out, not trouble leaders
8th Lovat Scout Mr Jack Nicholls 1/2 length 8 9 4 11/2
In touch behind leaders, effort over 2f out, no extra inside final 100 yards
9th Dream Deal S B Kirrane 3/4 length 10 8 11 8/1
In touch behind leaders, unable to quicken over 1f out, weakened inside final 100 yards
10th Ramon Di Loria Aiden Brookes Neck 12 8 5 18/1
Chased leaders, outpaced 2f out, soon beaten
11th Angel Of England B McHugh 4 3/4 lengths 9 8 12 28/1
Prominent, ridden and weakened over 1f out
12th Ziggy's Ariel Jason Hart 3 3/4 lengths 3 9 7 40/1
Prominent, lost place over 1f out, soon weakened

Blogger Sandracer @ 9:13 pm, November 07, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 7th November 2025

17:30 Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap
Going standard, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Bowood Elle-may Croot 5 9 13 7/4 F
Slow away, held up in rear, headway over 1f out, led inside final furlong, soon edged left and clear, easily

2nd Powerful Response O McSweeney 3 1/4 lengths 11 9 2 28/1
Led, driven 2f out, headed over 1f out, no impression on winner final 150 yards, kept on

3rd It's A Love Thing J Fanning 1 length 4 9 13 14/1
Held up towards rear, switched left and headway over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong, went 3rd close home

4th Betty Bassett Billy Loughnane Nose 10 9 3 15/2
Tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, lost 3rd close home
5th Fire Eyes Mark Winn 1 length 9 9 5 5/1
Took keen hold, mid-division, not much room over 2f out, never threatened
6th Volto Di Medusa Mr Jack Callan 3/4 length 3 9 13 10/1
Held up rear of mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, not clear run over 1f out, never on terms
7th Joseph Warren Fentiman Head 7 9 9 7/2
Mid-division, ridden and effort stands side from 2f out, weakened inside final furlong
8th Eeetee P Mulrennan 1 1/4 length 8 9 5 40/1
Prominent, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out
9th Theme Park Faye McManoman Neck 2 10 0 9/1
Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, lost place over 1f out
10th Lightning Galaxy S B Kirrane 4 1/2 lengths 6 9 10 28/1
Steadied start, soon chasing leaders, ridden over 2f out, lost place over 1f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 9:14 pm, November 07, 2025  

Race Result - Newcastle, 7th November 2025

18:00 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)
Going standard, 11 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Front Gunner T Eaves 3 9 9 6/1
Made all, ridden over 1f out, stayed on well

2nd Yafaarr Mr Jack Nicholls 1 1/4 length 1 10 0 9/4 F
Chased leaders, closed over 2f out, went 2nd towards finish, not trouble winner

3rd Vizzavona Lady Mr Jack Callan Neck 2 9 11 6/1
Held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, lost 2nd towards finish

4th Cable Beach A Elliott Nose 11 8 9 28/1
Chased leaders, ridden and edged left over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong
5th Yaahobby Cameron Hardie Head 10 8 10 12/1
Held up in rear, not much room inside 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong
6th Wyvern D Nolan 1/2 length 8 9 4 28/1
Held up towards rear, headway over 1f out, lacked pace to get on terms
7th Rooska Oliver Stammers 3/4 length 4 9 7 8/1
Slowly away, held up towards rear, ridden and effort 1f out, no extra final 50 yards
8th Ignac Lamar R Havlin 6 1/2 lengths 6 9 5 5/1
Held up towards rear, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened
9th Laura's Breeze Billy Garritty 1 3/4 length 9 8 11 22/1
Held up towards rear, some headway over 1f out, no impression, weakened inside final furlong
10th Northern Cracksman Billy Loughnane 5 lengths 5 9 6 6/1
Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, weakened over 1f out
11th Genius Mistake S B Kirrane 19 lengths 7 9 5 125/1
Took keen hold, prominent, ridden over 2f out, soon lost place

Blogger Sandracer @ 9:16 pm, November 07, 2025  

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