SANDRACER.COM ~ ALL WEATHER RACING BLOG

Cracking The Kempton AW Code ~ Mon Sept 15 2025

Blog Post Content

Post Body

Cracking The Kempton AW Code

❖ Monday Sept 15 2025

Kempton AW Code Breaker

Kempton on the All Weather this evening is a 9 race card. There are 5 handicaps for me to look at. I will attempt to crack the Kemp All Weather code in as few words as possible.

❖ Jockeys ❖ I am concentrating on 30 yr old top jockey Oisin Murphy (𝕏) for this evening's meeting. He has 3 handicap rides.

❖ Trainers ❖ No trainer in particular catches my eye today.

❖ Draw Bias ❖ Draw considerations come into play sharply at Kempton. I will be looking for a low draw (1~5) in all races up to a mile.

❖ Bet Selection Considerations ❖

  • ❖ If anything Murphy is on is well drawn, give it a close look on form.
  • ❖ Also beware anything that has been thrown into a race with a clear and obvious advantage.

Kempton AW Jockey Runners

Jockey OISIN MURPHY

  • Date | Race | Type | Distance | Trainer | HORSE
  • 15 Sep 2025 6:00 Kempton Handicap 1m Andrew Balding FALMOUTH LAD ✅
  • 15 Sep 2025 6:30 Kempton Handicap 1m Mark Loughnane TORALOU ✅
  • 15 Sep 2025 8:00 Kempton Handicap 2m Charlie Johnston SAX APPEAL

Kempton Betting Analysis

6:00 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Falmouth Lad (4/1) won well last time up and with the aid of Murphy on board for the first time, has every chance of following up.

6:00 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Falmouth Lad (Won 5/2f)

6:30 Kempton ❖ 1m C5 Handicap ❖ Toralou (4/1) looks like a solid fav to me, but is priced up as 3rd fav, and with Murphy taking the reins, should take all the beating.

6:30 Kempton ~ Win Bet: 4/1 Toralou (Unp 11/2)

8:00 Kempton ❖ 2m C4 Hcp ❖ Sax Appeal (EVf) looks the likely winner, but at Even money he's not worth the risk. He has the field to beat and a penalty to overcome, so not for me, even with Murphy on board.

# No Bet.

Π Going: Tapeta - Standard/Slow

4:25 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

4:55 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

5:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

6:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
♥ 4/1 Falmouth Lad. (Won 5/2f from 4's) Raced in second, led 1f out, ran on well final 110 yards, always doing enough towards finish, 1st.
Returns: £3.50

6:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
4/1 Toralou. (Unplaced 11/2) Soon mid-division inside, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and no impression inside final 2f, weakened soon after, 8th.

7:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

7:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:00 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

8:30 Kempton (AW Polytrack)
# No Bet.

Stake: 2 X £1.00 Win Singles

Returns: £3.50

Total: + £1.50

Kempton Results - Mon Sept 15 2025. Going: Standard
16:25
1. 9 Port Of London 11/10JF
2. 7 Military Cross 17/2
3. 5 Criminal 11/10JF
Tote Win 2.10
Places 1.02, 2.00, 1.10
Exacta: 11.10
CSF: 12.48
Trifecta: 20.60
Winning Jockey: William Buick
Winning Trainer: J & T Gosden
Distances: Head, Neck
Criminal 11/10 JF
Port Of London 11/10 JF
9 ran
16:55
1. 4 Dancing Flower 7/4F
2. 9 Star Mirage 17/2
3. 11 Tarot 11/4
Tote Win 2.75
Places 1.10, 2.20, 1.20
Exacta: 21.30
CSF: 18.71
Trifecta: 73.50
Winning Jockey: William Buick
Winning Trainer: C Appleby
Distances: 1 3/4 length, 1 1/4 length
Dancing Flower 7/4 F
11 ran
Non Runners 8
17:30
1. 3 Midnight Rodeo 2/1F
2. 1 Hamaleel 10/1
3. 8 Royalist 10/3
Tote Win 3.00
Places 1.30, 3.20, 1.70
Exacta: 23.20
CSF: 23.64
Tricast: 64.72
Trifecta: 84.80
Winning Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Winning Trainer: George Scott
Distances: 3 1/4 lengths, 3 3/4 lengths
Midnight Rodeo 2/1 F
8 ran
18:00
1. 4 Falmouth Lad 5/2F
2. 3 Ocean Odyssey 10/1
3. 10 Zolder 10/1
Tote Win 3.50
Places 1.40, 3.30, 3.10
Exacta: 35.40
CSF: 30.10
Tricast: 222.80
Trifecta: 340.60
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: A M Balding
Distances: 3/4 length, 2 3/4 lengths
Falmouth Lad 5/2 F
10 ran
18:30
1. 9 Radical Design 11/1
2. 8 Dragonflame 5/2F
3. 3 Beauty By My Side 22/1
Tote Win 12.00
Places 3.40, 1.20, 5.20
Exacta: 46.30
CSF: 39.13
Tricast: 615.51
Trifecta: 575.30
Winning Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winning Trainer: S C Williams
Distances: 1 length, Neck
Dragonflame 5/2 F
9 ran
19:00
1. 9 Rose Of Honour 15/8
2. 1 Rock Iguana 6/4F
3. 3 Freddie's Star 12/1
Tote Win 2.90
Places 1.20, 1.10, 2.50
Exacta: 7.20
CSF: 5.37
Trifecta: 36.70
Winning Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Winning Trainer: J Tate
Distances: 2 1/4 lengths, Head
Rock Iguana 6/4 F
9 ran
19:30
1. 4 Champion Again Ole 16/5F
2. 5 Silca Bay 10/1
3. 2 Kit Gabriel 9/2
Tote Win 4.20
Places 1.70, 1.90, 1.90
Exacta: 40.50
CSF: 36.74
Tricast: 147.44
Trifecta: 210.90
Winning Jockey: Raymond Dawson
Winning Trainer: R Varian
Distances: 1 1/4 length, 1/2 length
Champion Again Ole 16/5 F
9 ran
Non Runners 7 8
20:00
1. 3 Sax Appeal 11/10F
2. 1 Campaign Trail 9/2
Tote Win 2.10
Places 1.20, 2.30
Exacta: 5.70
CSF: 6.38
Trifecta: 14.60
Winning Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winning Trainer: C Johnston
Distances: 4 lengths
Sax Appeal 11/10 F
5 ran
20:30
1. 2 Uzincso 18/1
2. 3 Age Of Time 5/1
3. 8 Cardinal Point 15/8F
Tote Win 19.70
Places 3.90, 2.30, 1.40
Exacta: 169.00
CSF: 107.91
Tricast: 260.14
Trifecta: 933.40
Winning Jockey: D Egan
Winning Trainer: J Butler
Distances: 3/4 length, 1 3/4 length
Cardinal Point 15/8 F
13 ran

Labels:

2 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Kempton, 15th September 2025

18:00 Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (Div 1)
Going standard / slow, 10 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Falmouth Lad Oisin Murphy 4 9 9 5/2 F
Raced in second, led 1f out, ran on well final 110 yards, always doing enough towards finish

2nd Ocean Odyssey Paddy Bradley 3/4 length 3 9 10 10/1
Prominent, went third and chased leaders 2f out, went second 1f out, ran on but always held by winner towards finish

3rd Zolder J F Egan 2 3/4 lengths 10 8 13 10/1
Prominent, pushed along over 2f out, ridden 1f out, went fourth inside final furlong, kept on

4th Waistcoat Rhys Clutterbuck 1 3/4 length 7 9 8 15/2
Midfield, raced wide early, plenty to do when making headway 2f out, chased leading trio final furlong, kept on, never nearer

5th Sense Of Worth Shay Farmer Head 8 9 8 22/1
Towards rear, some headway inside 2f out, kept on final furlong, never dangerous

6th Lessay Hector Crouch 1/2 length 2 9 12 3/1
Midfield, outpaced 3f out, rallied and some headway over 1f out, weakened before final 110 yards

7th Corundum Jack Mitchell 3 1/2 lengths 5 9 9 12/1
Led, went two lengths clear 4f out, shaken up over 2f out, headed 1f out, weakened quickly final 110 yards

8th Outlandish Kieran Shoemark 1 length 6 9 8 7/1
Slowly away, always towards rear, struggling from 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

9th Newfangled Rob Hornby Neck 1 10 0 8/1
Raced in third, ridden when lost position over 2f out, weakened quickly final furlong

10th Fitzmaurice Raymond Dawson 40 lengths 9 9 6 50/1
Dwelt, always in rear, detached over 4f out, tailed off from 2f out

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:40 pm, September 15, 2025  

Race Result - Kempton, 15th September 2025

18:30 Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (Div 2)
Going standard / slow, 9 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Radical Design Marco Ghiani 9 9 0 11/1
Chased leader, ridden to lead over 1f out, stayed on well

2nd Dragonflame Rossa Ryan 1 length 8 9 6 5/2 F
Off the pace in last pair in main group, plenty to do when headway under pressure out wide over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, took 2nd towards finish, not pace to challenge

3rd Beauty By My Side Darragh Keenan Neck 3 9 9 22/1
Tracked leaders, headway between horses over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, took 3rd towards finish

4th Mythical Bird D Egan Short Head 5 9 9 9/2
Tracked leaders inside, ridden in 3rd inside final 2f, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, lost 3rd post

5th Riyadh Gem Hollie Doyle Neck 6 9 8 3/1
Bit keen, led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened and lost three places towards finish

6th Flightofthephoenix Benjamin Sanderson 1 1/4 length 4 9 9 13/2
Flighty going to post, held up towards rear, pushed along 3f out, never involved

7th Optimatum S D Bowen 1 1/2 length 7 9 8 25/1
Raced wide and held up off the pace towards rear, wide turning in, ridden inside final 2f, ridden and some headway over 1f out, weakened quickly inside final furlong

8th Toralou Oisin Murphy 4 1/4 lengths 1 10 0 11/2
Soon mid-division inside, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and no impression inside final 2f, weakened soon after

9th Zucayan Rob Hornby 1 length 2 9 11 100/1
Slowly away, outpaced and always in rear

Blogger Sandracer @ 8:40 pm, September 15, 2025  

Post a Comment