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Northumberland Plate 2025

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Northumberland Plate Handicap 2025

3:15 Newcastle | Heritage Handicap (Class 2)

20 Runners | Distance▸ 2m 56y | Surface▸ AllWeather

£150,000 added | Winner▸ £81,000 | 2nd▸ £38,025 | 3rd▸ £19,020 | 4th▸ £9,510

1 (7) Onesmoothoperator (USA)

119 | C | CD | Form▸ 105-735

Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 9-12 | Official Rating▸ 105

Trainer▸ B Ellison | Jockey▸ Connor Beasley

2 (10) Roaring Legend (FR)

51 | t | D | CD | Form▸ 1/11166

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-10 | Official Rating▸ 103

Trainer▸ H Palmer | Jockey▸ David Probert

3 (18) Lavender Hill Mob

11 | p | D | Form▸ 47-5410

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-5 | Official Rating▸ 98

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ Mason Paetel

4 (14) East India Dock

11 | D | Form▸ 4314-16

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-4 | Official Rating▸ 97

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ James Doyle

5 (1) Pappano

106 | Form▸ 658513-

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96

Trainer▸ W P Mullins | Jockey▸ J P Spencer

6 (5) Imperial Sovereign (IRE)

28 | C | Form▸ 66945-8

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96

Trainer▸ P A Kirby | Jockey▸ Saffie Osborne

7 (2) Faylaq

7 | Form▸ 711653

Age▸ 9 | Weight▸ 9-3 | Official Rating▸ 96

Trainer▸ J S Goldie | Jockey▸ P Mulrennan

8 (20) Manxman (IRE)

11 | v | D | Form▸ 312-210

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 95

Trainer▸ S & E Crisford | Jockey▸ Daniel Muscutt

9 (12) Duke Of Oxford

50 | t | D | Form▸ 311-430

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 9-2 | Official Rating▸ 95

Trainer▸ M L W Bell | Jockey▸ Taryn Langley

10 (19) Who's Glen (FR)

50 | Form▸ 4215-25

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 9-0 | Official Rating▸ 93

Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ P J McDonald

11 (15) Zanndabad (IRE)

24 | t | Form▸ 07/366-7

Age▸ 6 | Weight▸ 9-0 | Official Rating▸ 93

Trainer▸ A J Martin | Jockey▸ Jim Crowley

12 (4) Charging Thunder

50 | p | D | Form▸ 31-1250

Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ Harry Davies

13 (8) Intinso

70 | C | Form▸ 003-400

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91

Trainer▸ Craig Lidster | Jockey▸ S H James

14 (13) Asgard's Captain (IRE)

21 | C | Form▸ 426014

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-12 | Official Rating▸ 91

Trainer▸ Dylan Cunha | Jockey▸ S M Levey

15 (11) Golden Rules

91 | D | Form▸ 24412/4

Age▸ 8 | Weight▸ 8-11 | Official Rating▸ 90

Trainer▸ T Faulkner | Jockey▸ S De Sousa

16 (17) Shajak (IRE)

158 | D | Form▸ 30643/0-

Age▸ 6 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89

Trainer▸ James Owen | Jockey▸ L Morris

17 (9) Spirit Mixer

20 | D | Form▸ 110-572

Age▸ 7 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89

Trainer▸ A M Balding | Jockey▸ Rob Hornby

18 (3) Dancing In Paris (FR)

35 | Form▸ 8313-43

Age▸ 5 | Weight▸ 8-10 | Official Rating▸ 89

Trainer▸ Ian Williams | Jockey▸ Marco Ghiani

19 (16) Alrazeen (IRE)

91 | D | Form▸ 711-167

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 8-9 | Official Rating▸ 88

Trainer▸ Miss Gay Kelleway | Jockey▸ Warren Fentiman

20 (6) Tribal Star (IRE)

24 | p | Form▸ 312-229

Age▸ 4 | Weight▸ 8-9 | Official Rating▸ 88

Trainer▸ A McGuinness | Jockey▸ Jamie Powell

Betting Odds (Lowest to Highest)

East India Dock▸ 6/1
Who's Glen▸ 7/1
Pappano▸ 15/2
Tribal Star▸ 15/2
Onesmoothoperator▸ 9/1
Golden Rules▸ 9/1
Duke Of Oxford▸ 10/1
Zanndabad▸ 10/1
Dancing In Paris▸ 14/1
Roaring Legend▸ 18/1
Manxman▸ 20/1
Spirit Mixer▸ 20/1
Faylaq▸ 25/1
Asgard's Captain▸ 25/1
Imperial Sovereign▸ 40/1
Charging Thunder▸ 40/1
Shajak▸ 40/1
Lavender Hill Mob▸ 50/1
Alrazeen▸ 50/1
Intinso▸ 66/1
Stay Up To Date With The Latest Northumberland Plate Odds

Northumberland Plate 2025 Analysis

The Northumberland Plate, running tomorrow at 3:15, live on ITV, at Newcastle Racecourse, is a well known 2-mile handicap race on under the all-weather code, attracting 20 experienced stayers. Given the complexity of factors like form and draw bias ~ my analysis points to Zanndabad as a likely winner.

Race Overview

  • Distance▸ 2 miles and 56 yards
  • Surface▸ All-weather (Tapeta)
  • Field▸ 20 runners
  • Prize▸ £150,000

Historical Trends and Draw Bias

Since moving to the all-weather surface in 2016, higher draws have generally performed better, with data showing 13 of the top 5 finishers in early all-weather editions (2016-2018) came from high stalls.

Key Contenders

Horse Draw Odds Recent Form Expert Mentions
Zanndabad 15 10/1 3rd in Chester Cup last year, 7th at Curragh recently Oddschecker 1st, Weekend Winners pick
Who's Glen 19 7/1 5th in Chester Cup, strong staying potential Timeform 1st
East India Dock 14 6/1 Won Chester Cup, 6th at Ascot Stakes -
Pappano 1 15/2 Recent AW win, pulled up in Triumph Hurdle Timeform 2nd
Tribal Star 6 15/2 Strong AW Hcp form recently Racing Post 1st
Onesmoothoperator 7 9/1 Last year's winner, recent 5th at Meydan Oddschecker 2nd
Golden Rules 11 9/1 2nd in this race last year, 4th at Kempton Timeform 3rd

Expert Predictions

  • Oddschecker▸ Zanndabad (1st), Onesmoothoperator (2nd), Dancing In Paris (3rd)
  • Timeform▸ Who's Glen (1st), Pappano (2nd), Golden Rules (3rd)
  • Weekend Winners Team▸ Zanndabad strongly recommended due to high draw advantage

Additional Factors

  • Jim Crowley has a 100% strike rate for Zanndabad's trainer Tony Martin
  • Higher draws generally favoured on all-weather at Newcastle
  • Recent form and age trends favour Zanndabad and Who's Glen

Final Recommendation ~ Zanndabad 10/1 ~ Win Only

Given the combination of form and draw advantage my selection to win the 2025 Northumberland Plate has to be Zanndabad. However, this remains a wide-open race, with Who's Glen and East India Dock also representing strong challenges.

1 Comentario 💬


Race Result - Newcastle, 28th June 2025

15:15 JenningsBet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Going standard, 20 ran.

Place Horse Jockey Distance No. Weight S.P.
1st Spirit Mixer Rob Hornby 17 8 10 25/1
Rear of mid-division, smooth headway almost upsides near side 2f out, led final 100 yards, stayed on well

2nd Dancing In Paris Marco Ghiani Neck 18 8 10 11/1
Mid-division, headway under pressure far side to challenge 2f out, led narrowly approaching final furlong, headed final 100 yards, kept on

3rd Charging Thunder Harry Davies 3 lengths 12 8 12 22/1
Mid-division on inside, smooth headway far side to challenge over 2f out, soon hard ridden, outpaced final furlong, kept on well

4th Tribal Star Jamie Powell 1/2 length 20 8 9 11/1
Rear of mid-division, ridden off pace far side 3f out, soon outpaced, late headway inside final furlong

5th Faylaq P Mulrennan Short Head 7 9 3 25/1
Chased leader on inside, going well 3f out, ridden and outpaced 2f out when slightly short of room, stayed on well inside final furlong

6th East India Dock J Doyle 1 1/4 length 4 9 4 7/2 F
Held up towards rear, pushed along off pace 3f out, rapid late headway final 100 yards

7th Shajak Luke Morris Head 16 8 10 40/1
Mid-division, pushed along 4f out, headway almost upsides near side 2f out, soon outpaced, rallied final 100 yards

8th Onesmoothoperator Connor Beasley Short Head 1 9 12 16/1
Held up towards rear, pushed along 3f out, some headway behind leaders approaching final furlong, soon outpaced, kept on

9th Roaring Legend David Probert 3 1/4 lengths 2 9 10 11/1
Rear of mid-division, smooth headway to dispute lead near side 2f out, soon pushed along, outpaced and no extra final furlong

10th Lavender Hill Mob Mason Paetel Neck 3 9 5 40/1
Prominent, led going well 4f out, ridden and headed over 2f out, weakened final furlong

11th Zanndabad Jim Crowley 3/4 length 11 9 0 13/2
In rear, pushed along off pace 4f out, late headway inside final furlong, never on terms

12th Duke Of Oxford Miss Taryn Langley 2 1/2 lengths 9 9 2 11/1
Held up towards rear, ridden off pace 3f out, plugged on final furlong

13th Asgard's Captain S M Levey Neck 14 8 12 18/1
Rear of mid-division on outside, pushed along and outpaced 4f out, eased down when behind final furlong

14th Golden Rules S De Sousa 7 1/2 lengths 15 8 11 14/1
Chased leader on outside, keen early, pushed along and outpaced 3f out, soon weakened

15th Who's Glen P J McDonald Neck 10 9 0 17/2
Mid-division on outside, pushed along and made no impression over 2f out

16th Imperial Sovereign Saffie Osborne 6 lengths 6 9 3 50/1
Rear of mid-division, pushed along and made no impression 3f out

17th Manxman Daniel Muscutt 32 lengths 8 9 2 12/1
Always towards rear, never involved

18th Intinso S James 9 lengths 13 8 12 100/1
Led, headed 4f out, pushed along and weakened rapidly over 2f out

19th Alrazeen Warren Fentiman 39 lengths 19 8 9 50/1
Mid-division on outside, keen early, pushed along and weakened over 4f out, tailed off

20th Pappano J P Spencer 99 lengths 5 9 3 12/1
Mid-division on inside, struggling and dropped to rear 7f out, tailed off

Blogger Sandracer @ 5:44 pm, June 28, 2025  


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