SANDRACER.COM - UK All-Weather Horse Racing Blog

2007 Kentucky Derby Overview

This years Kentucky Derby... the 133rd running of the classic "Run For The Roses"... has a scheduled field of 20 starters... all 3 year olds... and it is a wide open race that could see ANY of these 20 horses being victorious.

This is an extremely difficult race to handicap... as the large field will create a lot of traffic problems... and make positioning vital, but difficult... and racing "luck" will play a big part in the outcome of this race.

The major contenders are morning line favorite CURLIN (4/1)... with STREET SENSE (4/1)... SCAT DADDY (6/1)... and NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ (8/1) all likely to receive a fair amount of betting support.

A few "price shots" are TIAGO (16/1)... CIRCULAR QUAY (7/1)... and ANY GIVEN SATURDAY (14/1)... all in with a big chance, in my opinion.

With this race at a mile and a quarter distance... which is longer than any of these horses have ever raced before... the horse that gets the best trip, and avoids traffic... will have the best shot a winning.

With no real "stand out"... the stretch run in this race should be dramatic... with any horse within 5-6 lengths at the top of the stretch a possible winner.

This will be a great race to "watch"... but NOT to bet... other than to take a shot with a few 20-1 or better horses and perhaps "get lucky"... as there is little value in betting anything at less odds.

Enjoy the race!